SGX Weekly: 8C8U REIT Yield Fails The Stress Test |🦖EP1511

The Investing Iguana

SGX Weekly: 8C8U REIT Yield Fails The Stress Test |🦖EP1511

The market is suddenly happy to dump safe 4% CPF‑style yield and chase zero‑yield, high‑debt stories, but the forensic numbers say most of those “gainers” can’t pay you to sit through the next storm. When AEM runs 11% in a week on a 0.3% yield and 41x earnings, and Ultra G carries four‑digit leverage with no cash back, you’re not investing, you’re betting someone more optimistic will buy your risk later. My stance is simple: if a stock can’t clear the Forensic Floor or offer a huge discount to fair value, it doesn’t get Sunday money.

In a 5,000‑point STI world with a 1.37% Singapore T‑Bill on the table, the 3.2% Forensic Floor is not a theory, it’s the minimum price of taking equity risk with your retirement base. The real hurdle is closer to 4.7% once you price in storm risk, sequence risk, and the fact that you can already get a “good enough” return without touching a single stock. If your S$100,000 is leaving the CPF sanctuary, every counter you buy has to justify that leap in hard cash terms, not just narrative.

📺 YouTube: https://youtu.be/7bikU46sGlc

📩 Substack: https://investingiguana.substack.com/p/sgx-weekly-updates-gainers-and-losers

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When AEM runs 11% in a week on a 0.3% yield and 41x earnings, and Ultra G carries four‑digit leverage with no cash back, you’re not investing, you’re betting someone more optimistic will buy your risk later. My stance is simple: if a stock can’t clear the Forensic Floor or offer a huge discount to fair value, it doesn’t get Sunday money.</p>\n<p>In a 5,000‑point STI world with a 1.37% Singapore T‑Bill on the table, the 3.2% Forensic Floor is not a theory, it’s the minimum price of taking equity risk with your retirement base. The real hurdle is closer to 4.7% once you price in storm risk, sequence risk, and the fact that you can already get a “good enough” return without touching a single stock. 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In a 5,000‑point STI world with a 1.37% Singapore T‑Bill on the table, the 3.2% Forensic Floor is not a theory, it’s the minimum price of taking equity risk with your retirement base. The real hurdle is closer to 4.7% once you price in storm risk, sequence risk, and the fact that you can already get a “good enough” return without touching a single stock. 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