MHh
05-10
I think both will go up with more AI capex. The technology and use cases advance rapidly and all industries are FOMO and fear of being the laggard. AI promises productivity which means more output with less manpower. With agentic AI, more are looking to learning costly manpower or in industries where manpower is always a limit. In the short term, however, I think memory has a bigger upside. For years, many recognise CPU as being crucial but only recently that memory became talk of town and this creates awareness of demand being far greater than supply. This along with many rushing to buy the stocks create upward pressure. So I believe memory stocks will see the gains that CPU has 2-3 years ago. I think AMD’s fair value is probably another year 10-20% more as it is hard to have data centres quickly. This will be its main limiting factor to further scale and the market can’t always be buying into the demand more than supply story.
INTC Drops: Has Competitive Landscape Changed?
Intel fell 3.62% on the same day Cerebras surged 68% in its IPO debut, absorbing the most direct competitive narrative hit as a new AI chip rival went public. Cerebras' CEO warned the U.S. needs 15 years to close the semiconductor manufacturing gap with China — the market assigned that irony squarely to Intel — while NVDA's simultaneous all-time high further compressed INTC's valuation. Do you see INTC as oversold, or has the competitive landscape fundamentally changed?
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