NVIDIA Earnings: Goldman Is 34% Above Street — Is $219 a New Base or a Crowded Entry?

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05-12
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$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has been setting new highs preearnings.

Goldman's buy call. Goldman expects a "beat-and-raise" quarter but explicitly flags: the bar for outperformance is very high after positive supply chain signals from TSMC and SK Hynix have already elevated consensus.

Q2 Preview: GS estimates revenue $87.7B (vs Street $85.1B, +3%), Data Center $82.1B (+4%).

Two Signals the Market Hasn't Fully Priced

① $1 Trillion Data Center Revenue Visibility

Blackwell + Rubin platform revenue runway. Goldman raised FY27/28 EPS to $9.35 / $14.8014% / 34% above Street. FY29 EPS: $18.75, +42% above consensus. This isn't a small revision — it's a systematic repricing of NVIDIA's long-term earnings power.

② Agentic AI Creates a New CPU Demand Curve

NVIDIA's CPU-only rack is expected to begin shipping in 2H26 — a business that's been almost entirely unpriced by the market. As AI shifts from training to agentic inference, CPU scheduling demand is surging. NVIDIA is no longer just a GPU company. Add in accelerating demand from OpenAI, Anthropic, and sovereign AI customers, and the addressable market is being redefined.

Is the Valuation Actually Expensive?

$NVDA$'s current NTM P/E trades at roughly a 10x discount to its 3-year median of 32x. Its premium vs. peers like $AVGO$, $AMD$, $MRVL$ is near historical lows.

Goldman's take: the market is still valuing NVIDIA as a semiconductor cyclical, not as an AI infrastructure platform. The multiple hasn't caught up to the story.

What to Watch Post-Earnings

- Data Center at $74B+ with strong Q2 guidance

- Rubin platform delivery timeline and customer feedback

- First CPU-only rack order volumes

- Non-hyperscaler demand (sovereign AI, Anthropic, OpenAI)

🎯 How Are You Positioned Into NVIDIA Earnings?

Is market underpricing NVIDIA's long-term earnings, or is Goldman too aggressive?

How often does NVDA's beat-and-raise quarter end in "sell the news"?

NVIDIA entering the CPU market with Agentic AI racks — direct competition with $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ and $Intel(INTC)$ . Is that incremental optionality or a distraction from the core GPU story?

Leave your comments to win tiger coins~

NVDA All-Time High, PT Raised: Take Profits or Buy Before Earnings?
Nvidia surged 4.39% to a new all-time high, while Cerebras soared 68% on its IPO debut, validating AI inference chip demand. The $235 level is the key near-term pivot — a hold points to the $250 round-number target. Institutional bulls and bears are sharply divided at current levels. Will you chase the rally now, or wait for a pullback? What are your expectations for Nvidia's earnings next week?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
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Comments

  • Shyon
    05-12
    Shyon
    I’m still bullish into $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ earnings because the story now goes beyond GPUs. I think NVDA is becoming the core infrastructure layer for the AI economy. If Goldman’s $1T data center revenue thesis plays out, today’s valuation may still look reasonable despite the huge rally.

    What interests me most is the Agentic AI angle and NVIDIA entering the CPU market. I see it as ecosystem expansion rather than a distraction. If AI agents drive massive inference and scheduling workloads, CPUs become strategically important too. That could pressure AMD and Intel while strengthening NVIDIA’s moat with Blackwell and Rubin.

    That said, I still expect volatility after earnings because expectations are extremely high. Even strong beat-and-raise quarters can trigger “sell the news” reactions. For me, the key is whether management continues raising long-term AI demand visibility from hyperscalers, sovereign AI, OpenAI, and Anthropic.

    @Tiger_Earnings @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub

  • 這是甚麼東西
    05-13
    這是甚麼東西
    CPU Market Entry ImpactI view NVIDIA's move into the CPU market via Agentic AI racks as highly valuable incremental optionality rather than a distraction. Agentic AI applications introduce heavy workflows like tool-calling and orchestration, which reduces the traditional CPU-to-GPU data center ratio toward 1:1.By launching proprietary server chips alongside its graphics processors, NVIDIA directly secures a strategic position in a booming $60 billion data center CPU supercycle. This product expansion captures high-margin enterprise demand while building a comprehensive compute ecosystem that box-ins legacy x86 architectures.
  • Adz5150
    05-15 06:52
    Adz5150
    I’m also still bullish on NVDA, but at this stage the risk is less about the story breaking and more about expectations running too far ahead of reality.


    That’s what makes these setups tricky.


    The business still looks elite.
    AI demand still looks strong.
    But when price is making new highs into earnings and targets keep getting pushed higher, the bar becomes “great isn’t enough, it has to be exceptional.”


    So for me the question isn’t whether NVDA is a great company.
    It’s whether the next report can still surprise a market that already expects near perfection.


    Bullish trend.
    Tighter margin for disappointment.


    Do you think NVDA still rips after earnings, or is too much already priced in here?
  • icycrystal
    05-14
    icycrystal
    The market is structurally underpricing NVIDIA’s long-term earnings. Goldman Sachs estimates that consensus forecasts sit 14% lower for CY26 and 34% lower for CY27. This discrepancy exists because traditional Wall Street models struggle to project the structural shift from standard training clusters to complex agentic reasoning architectures.
    NVIDIA has beaten consensus expectations in 30 of its last 31 earnings releases. Despite these persistent operational beats, short-term post-earnings performance is heavily dictated by immediate market positioning.
    The introduction of the standalone Vera CPU rack architecture (256 Arm-based liquid-cooled processors) is pure incremental optionality. It does not distract from core GPU processing; instead, it aggressively secures the hardware real estate around it.
  • 這是甚麼東西
    05-13
    這是甚麼東西
    Beat-and-Raise Trading PatternI expect NVIDIA's upcoming beat-and-raise quarter to end in a "sell the news" market reaction. The company consistently surpasses financial expectations, but the tactical bar for immediate equity outperformance is historically high.With the stock underperforming rivals like AMD and Intel this year due to general artificial intelligence market fatigue, institutional positioning is already saturated. Unless the forward guidance exceeds the top end of expectations by an extraordinary margin, short-term traders will utilize the positive print to lock in profits.
  • 這是甚麼東西
    05-13
    這是甚麼東西
    Market Valuation vs Goldman SachsI believe the market is underpricing NVIDIA's long-term earnings, and Goldman Sachs' aggressive forecasts are justified. Goldman raised its calendar year 2026 and 2027 earnings per share estimates to roughly 14% and 34% above the broader Wall Street consensus.This premium is completely validated by the structural "gigawatt-scale" expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure globally. As data center demand continuously outpaces hardware supply, NVIDIA retains absolute pricing power and multi-year order visibility that consensus figures fail to model.
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