Sloth16
06-14

$Oracle(ORCL)$ Chip stocks tell us what suppliers hope will happen. Oracle’s backlog tells us what customers have already committed to. If RPO growth is real and durable, it weakens the “AI bubble” argument considerably. The market will be watching whether revenue eventually catches up to the promises.

AI Race Pivots to Safety — Can Security Software Replace Compute?
Broadcom closed up 0.32% to $361.99 Friday, behind the group, with Nvidia −0.03%. The weekend's slow-down-frontier-AI push opened a second storyline: competition moving from model capability toward safety and compliance. Budgets decide whether money moves — monitoring, identity, cloud security, automated defense would extend the AI trade from GPUs into security software. It hasn't moved yet: the security group rose 0.44% Friday and CrowdStrike fell 1.02%. Security budgets are close to non-discretionary, but the pool is far smaller than compute capex. Do you own security, or is it all compute?
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