Talk of an "AI slowdown"—pacing frontier model development for safety—has not halted long-term chip stock momentum due to four key realities:
* Inference vs. Training: Slower training doesn't cut usage. Running everyday user queries and agentic workflows (inference) requires massive, continuous compute power.
* Locked CapEx: Hyperscalers are executing hundreds of billions in multi-year data center builds. Hardware order books are committed long before software launches.
* Safety Needs Hardware: Running guardrails, red-teaming, and evaluations actually increases required processing cycles.
* Global Competition: Voluntary pacing by select U.S. labs doesn't stop global or open-source rivals, preserving the hardware buildout.
Markets separate software pacing from hardware infrastructure—chips power current workload scale regardless of launch schedules.
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