A company announces record revenue. Analysts upgrade their forecasts. The stock gets attention.
But there is one number I think deserves more attention than it usually receives: the number of shares outstanding.
Here is why.
Imagine a company generates $100 million in annual profit and has 100 million shares outstanding. That works out to $1 in earnings per share.
Now imagine its profit grows to $120 million. Sounds great, right?
But during the same period, the company issues another 50 million shares to fund acquisitions, compensate employees or raise capital.
Its earnings per share fall to just $0.80.
The business is making 20% more profit, yet each share represents a smaller portion of that profit than before.
This is the part of investing that can get lost when everyone focuses on revenue growth.
🔍 Three numbers worth checking
1️⃣ Earnings per share growth
Revenue growth tells us whether a business is expanding. Earnings per share help show whether that growth is translating into greater earnings for each share we own.
Both matter, but they tell different stories.
2️⃣ Free cash flow
Accounting profits do not always translate into cash available to shareholders. Free cash flow provides another way to assess whether a company is generating cash after capital expenditure.
A business can look impressive on an income statement while still consuming substantial amounts of cash.
3️⃣ Share count over time
Stock-based compensation can help companies attract and retain employees, particularly in competitive industries. However, when new shares are issued faster than a company repurchases shares, existing shareholders can experience dilution.
Buybacks can offset that dilution, but the headline value of a buyback programme does not tell the whole story. The price paid for shares and the change in total shares outstanding matter too.
💡 The bigger lesson
I am not suggesting that share issuance is always bad. Young companies may need capital to grow, and acquisitions can create real value.
The question is whether the benefits of that growth outweigh the cost to existing shareholders.
A company growing revenue at 30% annually might attract more attention than one growing at 10%. But if the faster-growing company continually issues shares, has weak cash generation and struggles to improve earnings per share, the slower-growing business could ultimately deliver better shareholder returns.
Growth is exciting. Growth per share is what deserves closer examination.
The next time a company announces record revenue, I would look beyond the headline and ask a simple question:
Am I actually getting a bigger slice of the business, or is the business getting bigger while my slice stays the same—or even shrinks?
💬 When evaluating a growth stock, which matters most to you: revenue growth, earnings per share, or free cash flow?
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