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Nimisgnow
2021-04-21
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2021-04-21
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09:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Dogecoin Is the Meme Stock of the Cryptocurrency Universe","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135997952","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Should investors consider backing a joke?Ever heard the one about the joke that’s worth $50 billion?","content":"<blockquote><b>Should investors consider backing a joke?</b></blockquote><p>Ever heard the one about the joke that’s worth $50 billion?</p><p>In 2013,two friends created Dogecoin— a parody of a cryptocurrency that was meant to be worthless. Its mascot is a meme-worthy Shiba-Inu that can’t quite spell or get its grammar right.</p><p>It definitely did not stay worthless. Dogecoin’s value has rocketed up 18,000% over the past year. Even as Bitcoin dipped dramatically over the weekend, Dogecoin was trading near all-time highs. As the Shiba-Inu would say: “Wow. Much inexplicable.”</p><p>Elon Musk tweets about it. Dallas Mavericks owner Mark Cuban believes it’s educational and entertaining. And crypto bull Mike Novogratz says he’d be “very, very worried” if one of his friends was investing in it.</p><p>On Tuesday, Dogecoin was trading near 35 cents. Earlier it had risen above 42 cents — evidence that not everyone is paying heed to Novogratz’s skepticism. Many are even seeing unexpected gains.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee07d522224b95f9d17705113ecfed63\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1194\"></p><p><b>Some retail investors are profiting...</b></p><p>Those include Alyssa Vazquez, a 26-year-old accountant from Dallas.</p><p>Vazquez originally bought $600 worth of Dogecoin in January and February with her husband as a joke, thinking that they probably wouldn’t get anything out of it. “When we started, we agreed that we would never put in more than we could afford to lose,” she said. Now, they are up around $6,000.</p><p>“We got into it around the time that GameStop went off. We started reading tweets about how this coin was up,” she said in a phone interview. When the currency rallied she was completely taken by surprise. “My husband text me like: ‘Did you see this?’ I was just shocked.”</p><p>Vazquez and her husband had previously invested in Litecoin and Ethereum, but said they hadn’t dabbled much further. “We didn’t really trust it back then,” she said. “The blow-up of Bitcoin changed our opinion.”</p><p>The couple are trying to figure out the best time to get out of Doge. They hope to use their earnings to pay off some debt, including student loans. But before then, they will probably buy more. And they have already started investing in another new cryptocurrency: SafeMoon. They’ve put in around $500.</p><p>Brayden Johnson, 26, an electrician from Alberta, Canada, bought Dogecoin in memory of his Shiba Inu named Hudson who passed away last year at age 15.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f0822e312b7555a1fdef03e3ed809ec\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1550\"></p><p>“I actually think about him anytime someone says the word doge,” Johnson wrote in an email. “I can picture in my head all the times that I’ve seen him do the goofy face of the meme and all his fur get scrunched up in his collar.”</p><p>When Johnson saw that Dogecoin was up big, he was really excited and did not expect it to gain so much at such a rapid rate.</p><p>“It feels good to be up, because who couldn’t use some extra money?” he said. “It feels a little sweeter that an investment made because I missed my dog has paid such nice dividends.”</p><p><b>...but why is this happening?</b></p><p>This week’s surge may appear confounding. How can a joke be worth so much?</p><p>FOMO has a lot to do with it.</p><p>“People are trying to recapture that magic that Bitcoin created for those who were there early,” said Michael O’Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading. “The key differentiator here is Bitcoin is going to be capped, there’s going to be a limited number of coins.”</p><p>Since its start in 2009, Bitcoin has had a fixed supply of 21 million coins that will ever be minted. Not so for Dogecoin: There is no limit to the amount that can be created.</p><p>Ardent enthusiasts might use this fact to draw comparisons between Dogecoin and fiat currencies. Of course, there isn’t a Bitcoin-like cap on the number of, say, dollars that the U.S. government can print. Yet while Dogecoin has a lot of memes and jokes behind it, the dollar has the U.S. economy and population. O’Rourke says this explains why there is so much trust in the dollar.</p><p>“I still don’t know what the purpose of Dogecoin is other than a speculative instrument,” he said. “You’re speculating on something that is there just because people are speculating on it. That’s a very dangerous mix.”</p><p>Plus, there was a campaign to rally Dogecoin’s price up to 69 cents on or by April 20 — the 4/20 holiday associated with weed smoking.</p><p><b>Dare you Doge?</b></p><p>So, should you get in on the Dogecoin action?</p><p>“It’s almost irresponsible to lend credence to the speculation by even asking that question,” said David Trainer, chief executive of New Constructs, an independent securities research firm based in Nashville.</p><p>But people are asking it after seeing their friends’ pocket money without doing all that much work or research. Trainer says everyone’s situation is different.</p><p>“If you have excess funds that you like to speculate with instead of betting on the Yankees, and you want to put it into cryptocurrencies, then maybe, yeah, that would make sense,” he said. “As long as you’re not afraid to lose it all.”</p><p>What may be clouding investors’ vision, Trainer says, is the fact that for all the recent talk of how overvalued some stocks and cryptocurrencies are, the excitement has really yet to subside. It’s unclear how much longer this can go on for.</p><p>“I think the root cause of all this is that people have forgotten the difference, the distinction, between investing and speculating,” he said.</p><p>Some have compared the Dogecoin surge — with its memes and explosive growth — to the burst of interest in GameStop Corp. earlier this year. But Brent Weiss, a financial planner and co-founder of Facet Wealth in Baltimore says Dogecoin falls into an entirely different — even less serious — investment category.</p><p>“When it comes to Dogecoin as a cryptocurrency, that is an absolute joke,” he said.</p><p>Weiss is no fan of GameStop as an investment, either, but says that at least with stocks for the video-game company, there was an underlying company with tangible underlying assets.</p><p>“Every Doge has its day,” Weiss said. “But today is not the day to make Doge part of your portfolio.”</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Dogecoin Is the Meme Stock of the Cryptocurrency Universe</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Dogecoin Is the Meme Stock of the Cryptocurrency Universe\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-21 09:53 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-20/dogecoin-doge-how-is-it-different-from-bitcoin-btc-and-should-you-buy-it?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Should investors consider backing a joke?Ever heard the one about the joke that’s worth $50 billion?In 2013,two friends created Dogecoin— a parody of a cryptocurrency that was meant to be worthless. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-20/dogecoin-doge-how-is-it-different-from-bitcoin-btc-and-should-you-buy-it?srnd=markets-vp\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-04-20/dogecoin-doge-how-is-it-different-from-bitcoin-btc-and-should-you-buy-it?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135997952","content_text":"Should investors consider backing a joke?Ever heard the one about the joke that’s worth $50 billion?In 2013,two friends created Dogecoin— a parody of a cryptocurrency that was meant to be worthless. Its mascot is a meme-worthy Shiba-Inu that can’t quite spell or get its grammar right.It definitely did not stay worthless. Dogecoin’s value has rocketed up 18,000% over the past year. Even as Bitcoin dipped dramatically over the weekend, Dogecoin was trading near all-time highs. As the Shiba-Inu would say: “Wow. Much inexplicable.”Elon Musk tweets about it. Dallas Mavericks owner Mark Cuban believes it’s educational and entertaining. And crypto bull Mike Novogratz says he’d be “very, very worried” if one of his friends was investing in it.On Tuesday, Dogecoin was trading near 35 cents. Earlier it had risen above 42 cents — evidence that not everyone is paying heed to Novogratz’s skepticism. Many are even seeing unexpected gains.Some retail investors are profiting...Those include Alyssa Vazquez, a 26-year-old accountant from Dallas.Vazquez originally bought $600 worth of Dogecoin in January and February with her husband as a joke, thinking that they probably wouldn’t get anything out of it. “When we started, we agreed that we would never put in more than we could afford to lose,” she said. Now, they are up around $6,000.“We got into it around the time that GameStop went off. We started reading tweets about how this coin was up,” she said in a phone interview. When the currency rallied she was completely taken by surprise. “My husband text me like: ‘Did you see this?’ I was just shocked.”Vazquez and her husband had previously invested in Litecoin and Ethereum, but said they hadn’t dabbled much further. “We didn’t really trust it back then,” she said. “The blow-up of Bitcoin changed our opinion.”The couple are trying to figure out the best time to get out of Doge. They hope to use their earnings to pay off some debt, including student loans. But before then, they will probably buy more. And they have already started investing in another new cryptocurrency: SafeMoon. They’ve put in around $500.Brayden Johnson, 26, an electrician from Alberta, Canada, bought Dogecoin in memory of his Shiba Inu named Hudson who passed away last year at age 15.“I actually think about him anytime someone says the word doge,” Johnson wrote in an email. “I can picture in my head all the times that I’ve seen him do the goofy face of the meme and all his fur get scrunched up in his collar.”When Johnson saw that Dogecoin was up big, he was really excited and did not expect it to gain so much at such a rapid rate.“It feels good to be up, because who couldn’t use some extra money?” he said. “It feels a little sweeter that an investment made because I missed my dog has paid such nice dividends.”...but why is this happening?This week’s surge may appear confounding. How can a joke be worth so much?FOMO has a lot to do with it.“People are trying to recapture that magic that Bitcoin created for those who were there early,” said Michael O’Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading. “The key differentiator here is Bitcoin is going to be capped, there’s going to be a limited number of coins.”Since its start in 2009, Bitcoin has had a fixed supply of 21 million coins that will ever be minted. Not so for Dogecoin: There is no limit to the amount that can be created.Ardent enthusiasts might use this fact to draw comparisons between Dogecoin and fiat currencies. Of course, there isn’t a Bitcoin-like cap on the number of, say, dollars that the U.S. government can print. Yet while Dogecoin has a lot of memes and jokes behind it, the dollar has the U.S. economy and population. O’Rourke says this explains why there is so much trust in the dollar.“I still don’t know what the purpose of Dogecoin is other than a speculative instrument,” he said. “You’re speculating on something that is there just because people are speculating on it. That’s a very dangerous mix.”Plus, there was a campaign to rally Dogecoin’s price up to 69 cents on or by April 20 — the 4/20 holiday associated with weed smoking.Dare you Doge?So, should you get in on the Dogecoin action?“It’s almost irresponsible to lend credence to the speculation by even asking that question,” said David Trainer, chief executive of New Constructs, an independent securities research firm based in Nashville.But people are asking it after seeing their friends’ pocket money without doing all that much work or research. Trainer says everyone’s situation is different.“If you have excess funds that you like to speculate with instead of betting on the Yankees, and you want to put it into cryptocurrencies, then maybe, yeah, that would make sense,” he said. “As long as you’re not afraid to lose it all.”What may be clouding investors’ vision, Trainer says, is the fact that for all the recent talk of how overvalued some stocks and cryptocurrencies are, the excitement has really yet to subside. It’s unclear how much longer this can go on for.“I think the root cause of all this is that people have forgotten the difference, the distinction, between investing and speculating,” he said.Some have compared the Dogecoin surge — with its memes and explosive growth — to the burst of interest in GameStop Corp. earlier this year. But Brent Weiss, a financial planner and co-founder of Facet Wealth in Baltimore says Dogecoin falls into an entirely different — even less serious — investment category.“When it comes to Dogecoin as a cryptocurrency, that is an absolute joke,” he said.Weiss is no fan of GameStop as an investment, either, but says that at least with stocks for the video-game company, there was an underlying company with tangible underlying assets.“Every Doge has its day,” Weiss said. “But today is not the day to make Doge part of your portfolio.”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":810,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371788113,"gmtCreate":1618972025632,"gmtModify":1704717690050,"author":{"id":"3581422366606158","authorId":"3581422366606158","name":"Nimisgnow","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581422366606158","authorIdStr":"3581422366606158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hodl","listText":"Hodl","text":"Hodl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/371788113","repostId":"1186349790","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186349790","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618902818,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1186349790?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-20 15:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: 3 Key Earnings Questions","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186349790","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Margins in focus after unusual quarter and China factory ramp.Robo-taxi situation still unclear as autopilot data weakens.All eyes will be on electric vehicle maker Tesla next Monday as the company reports earnings after the bell. There is the potential for this to be a very noisy quarterly report given what happened throughout the quarter, so we could be in store for a lot of one-time items. With the stock having rebounded a bit in recent weeks, investors are looking for significant signs of p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Margins in focus after unusual quarter and China factory ramp.</li>\n <li>Investors expecting guidance update given Q1 deliveries.</li>\n <li>Robo-taxi situation still unclear as autopilot data weakens.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f3c3ad04a2f4463c75b7cee0a91bb23\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"793\"><span>Photo by AdrianHancu/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p>All eyes will be on electric vehicle maker Tesla (TSLA) next Monday as the company reports earnings after the bell. There is the potential for this to be a very noisy quarterly report given what happened throughout the quarter, so we could be in store for a lot of one-time items. With the stock having rebounded a bit in recent weeks, investors are looking for significant signs of progress and a major update on the yearly forecast.</p>\n<p>While expectations dipped throughout the quarter, Tesla ended up with a preliminary delivery record of 184,800 vehicles for Q1 2021, up a little more than 4,000 units sequentially. However, that was all due to sales of the Model 3/Y increasing by more than 21,000 units from Q4, as there were only about 2,000 S/X units sold. Despite Elon Musk's statement on the Q4 conference call, as well as his tweets that the new versions of the S/X were already in production and deliveries would start in February, those new vehicles didn't make it to customers during Q1. Investors will be looking for an explanation as to what happened that caused Model S/X production to be zero for the quarter, and what the status is there as we are a number of weeks into Q2.</p>\n<p>As for the headline financials, everyone will be comparing the major results to the Q4 figures that Tesla reported. For that period, total revenues were just above $10.74 billion. Of that, more than $9.31 billion came from automotive revenues, with $401 million of that being regulatory revenue credits sales. Tesla had automotive GAAP gross margins of 25.6%, but when excluding those highly profitable credit sales, non-GAAP margins were just 21.0%. Tesla delivered GAAP net income of $270 million, or $0.24 per share, while non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.80.</p>\n<p>As I discussed in my most recent Tesla article, my main focus will be on the company's margins this quarter. If overall revenues are close to the street average, say within $100 million without any major surprises like credit sales, I won't make a big deal about the top line. Gross margins are more in focus given a number of price cuts early in the quarter, some price increases later in the quarter, the China Model Y ramp, and increases in key commodity prices. If Tesla can keep its margin profile close to that of Q4, then expectations for long term increased profitability will probably remain elevated. As I usually do, the table below shows my three cases for what results could look like. Dollar values are in millions.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37e25d8b7ec8932fe0c7b8ee2557cf99\" tg-width=\"551\" tg-height=\"577\"></p>\n<p>I'm not expecting any major surprises here for the first quarter, as I'm a little below the current street average for revenues but higher on the bottom line. If management was correct that there were a number of one-time items that dragged down Q4 profitability, then I think Tesla will be a little better off on its expense structure than analysts are expecting. Of course, credit sales are always a wildcard, and the Model S/X situation could complicate things a bit. As a point of reference, the numbers above exclude any potential gains from the sales of Bitcoin, which could be in the hundreds of millions of dollars or even more if Tesla sold some of or even all of its position during the quarter.</p>\n<p>The second major item to watch is the yearly forecast. While management called for deliveries of over 750,000 for 2021, investors are looking for a lot more than that, especially after the Q1 figures. With even a very modest contribution from the S/X in Q2, the next stage of the Made in China Model Y ramp should easily get deliveries over 200k in this quarter. The table below shows Tesla's installed capacity update from its prior reports along with actual production reported.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a285f38669d7589e5d24de12393541a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"226\"><span>Source: Tesla quarterly reports on IR site</span></p>\n<p>Over the last three quarters, Tesla has been running production at about 94% of the previous earnings report's four quarter rolling average for total production capacity (annual figure divided by four). Extrapolating out at say 95% for the rest of the year with no additional capacity increases puts Tesla at about 882,000 units, and that doesn't include any help from the new factories in Berlin or Texas. Thus, even if you take out a few thousand units for the slow S/X ramp and assume nothing from those two places, Tesla should be able to produce at least 875,000 units for the year. Realistically, the number should be closer to 900,000 unless there are any major problems, so the yearly delivery forecast really should be in the high 800k area. Whether or not management does give us a concrete number or even an approximation is uncertain, however.</p>\n<p>The final item I'll be watching for is for a major update on Tesla's autonomy progress. Elon Musk's statement of a million robo-taxis on the road in 2020 obviously didn't pan out, and some have suggested the company will launch an Uber (UBER) like driver based ride hailing service soon. Late last week, Tesla released its Q1 vehicle safety report, and the results were a bit underwhelming. For the first time since releasing this data, the year over year Autopilot data worsened, with the number of miles per crash coming down by nearly 10.5% from Q1 2020. Another horrible deadly crash over the weekend has put the company in the spotlight again, and not in a good way. Tesla's self-driving ambitions are a big reason why investors have been bidding up this stock, but the program continues to fall behind almost every timeline that Elon Musk has put out there.</p>\n<p>Tesla shares go into this earnings report at an interesting time. As the chart below shows, they spent nearly two months below their 50-day moving average (green line) before getting above it recently. Should shares drop after earnings, this key technical level would likely continue its fall at a brisk pace, increasing the chance of a death cross happening in a couple of months. On the flip side, a positive earnings reaction could get the 50-day line moving higher and help to form a support base.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e377e2082619305a6d2a94ef9d07df50\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"275\"><span>Source: Yahoo! Finance</span></p>\n<p>In the end, Tesla's earnings report next week will certainly be an interesting one. This has the potential to be a very noisy report, given no Model S/X production and potentially large Bitcoin gains. I'll be most focusing on margins as the Model Y started to ramp in China, and we saw numerous price changes during the quarter. Now that almost a third of the year is done, investors will be waiting to see if management gives a more concrete yearly delivery forecast, with expectations rising after Q1's print. Finally, questions over autonomy plans will only grow as autopilot statistics weakened and another high profile crash occurred. While Tesla shares are still well off their all-time highs, they've rebounded a bit in recent weeks to get above a key technical level recently.</p>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: 3 Key Earnings Questions</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: 3 Key Earnings Questions\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-20 15:13 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4419885-tesla-3-key-earnings-questions><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nMargins in focus after unusual quarter and China factory ramp.\nInvestors expecting guidance update given Q1 deliveries.\nRobo-taxi situation still unclear as autopilot data weakens.\n\nPhoto by ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4419885-tesla-3-key-earnings-questions\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4419885-tesla-3-key-earnings-questions","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1186349790","content_text":"Summary\n\nMargins in focus after unusual quarter and China factory ramp.\nInvestors expecting guidance update given Q1 deliveries.\nRobo-taxi situation still unclear as autopilot data weakens.\n\nPhoto by AdrianHancu/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nAll eyes will be on electric vehicle maker Tesla (TSLA) next Monday as the company reports earnings after the bell. There is the potential for this to be a very noisy quarterly report given what happened throughout the quarter, so we could be in store for a lot of one-time items. With the stock having rebounded a bit in recent weeks, investors are looking for significant signs of progress and a major update on the yearly forecast.\nWhile expectations dipped throughout the quarter, Tesla ended up with a preliminary delivery record of 184,800 vehicles for Q1 2021, up a little more than 4,000 units sequentially. However, that was all due to sales of the Model 3/Y increasing by more than 21,000 units from Q4, as there were only about 2,000 S/X units sold. Despite Elon Musk's statement on the Q4 conference call, as well as his tweets that the new versions of the S/X were already in production and deliveries would start in February, those new vehicles didn't make it to customers during Q1. Investors will be looking for an explanation as to what happened that caused Model S/X production to be zero for the quarter, and what the status is there as we are a number of weeks into Q2.\nAs for the headline financials, everyone will be comparing the major results to the Q4 figures that Tesla reported. For that period, total revenues were just above $10.74 billion. Of that, more than $9.31 billion came from automotive revenues, with $401 million of that being regulatory revenue credits sales. Tesla had automotive GAAP gross margins of 25.6%, but when excluding those highly profitable credit sales, non-GAAP margins were just 21.0%. Tesla delivered GAAP net income of $270 million, or $0.24 per share, while non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.80.\nAs I discussed in my most recent Tesla article, my main focus will be on the company's margins this quarter. If overall revenues are close to the street average, say within $100 million without any major surprises like credit sales, I won't make a big deal about the top line. Gross margins are more in focus given a number of price cuts early in the quarter, some price increases later in the quarter, the China Model Y ramp, and increases in key commodity prices. If Tesla can keep its margin profile close to that of Q4, then expectations for long term increased profitability will probably remain elevated. As I usually do, the table below shows my three cases for what results could look like. Dollar values are in millions.\n\nI'm not expecting any major surprises here for the first quarter, as I'm a little below the current street average for revenues but higher on the bottom line. If management was correct that there were a number of one-time items that dragged down Q4 profitability, then I think Tesla will be a little better off on its expense structure than analysts are expecting. Of course, credit sales are always a wildcard, and the Model S/X situation could complicate things a bit. As a point of reference, the numbers above exclude any potential gains from the sales of Bitcoin, which could be in the hundreds of millions of dollars or even more if Tesla sold some of or even all of its position during the quarter.\nThe second major item to watch is the yearly forecast. While management called for deliveries of over 750,000 for 2021, investors are looking for a lot more than that, especially after the Q1 figures. With even a very modest contribution from the S/X in Q2, the next stage of the Made in China Model Y ramp should easily get deliveries over 200k in this quarter. The table below shows Tesla's installed capacity update from its prior reports along with actual production reported.\nSource: Tesla quarterly reports on IR site\nOver the last three quarters, Tesla has been running production at about 94% of the previous earnings report's four quarter rolling average for total production capacity (annual figure divided by four). Extrapolating out at say 95% for the rest of the year with no additional capacity increases puts Tesla at about 882,000 units, and that doesn't include any help from the new factories in Berlin or Texas. Thus, even if you take out a few thousand units for the slow S/X ramp and assume nothing from those two places, Tesla should be able to produce at least 875,000 units for the year. Realistically, the number should be closer to 900,000 unless there are any major problems, so the yearly delivery forecast really should be in the high 800k area. Whether or not management does give us a concrete number or even an approximation is uncertain, however.\nThe final item I'll be watching for is for a major update on Tesla's autonomy progress. Elon Musk's statement of a million robo-taxis on the road in 2020 obviously didn't pan out, and some have suggested the company will launch an Uber (UBER) like driver based ride hailing service soon. Late last week, Tesla released its Q1 vehicle safety report, and the results were a bit underwhelming. For the first time since releasing this data, the year over year Autopilot data worsened, with the number of miles per crash coming down by nearly 10.5% from Q1 2020. Another horrible deadly crash over the weekend has put the company in the spotlight again, and not in a good way. Tesla's self-driving ambitions are a big reason why investors have been bidding up this stock, but the program continues to fall behind almost every timeline that Elon Musk has put out there.\nTesla shares go into this earnings report at an interesting time. As the chart below shows, they spent nearly two months below their 50-day moving average (green line) before getting above it recently. Should shares drop after earnings, this key technical level would likely continue its fall at a brisk pace, increasing the chance of a death cross happening in a couple of months. On the flip side, a positive earnings reaction could get the 50-day line moving higher and help to form a support base.\nSource: Yahoo! Finance\nIn the end, Tesla's earnings report next week will certainly be an interesting one. This has the potential to be a very noisy report, given no Model S/X production and potentially large Bitcoin gains. I'll be most focusing on margins as the Model Y started to ramp in China, and we saw numerous price changes during the quarter. Now that almost a third of the year is done, investors will be waiting to see if management gives a more concrete yearly delivery forecast, with expectations rising after Q1's print. Finally, questions over autonomy plans will only grow as autopilot statistics weakened and another high profile crash occurred. While Tesla shares are still well off their all-time highs, they've rebounded a bit in recent weeks to get above a key technical level recently.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":545,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":373764053,"gmtCreate":1618884738072,"gmtModify":1704716338898,"author":{"id":"3581422366606158","authorId":"3581422366606158","name":"Nimisgnow","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581422366606158","authorIdStr":"3581422366606158"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"DOGE","listText":"DOGE","text":"DOGE","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/373764053","repostId":"2128898947","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":760,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
