cbl personal page - To The Moon

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2022-08-30

$Tellurian Inc.(TELL)$share

2022-08-28

$DYNA-MAC HOLDINGS LTD.(NO4.SI)$sharing

2022-08-26

$Tellurian Inc.(TELL)$sharing

2022-08-12

$Alibaba 5xLongSG231214(DVIW.SI)$sharing

2022-08-09

$Alibaba 5xLongSG231214(DVIW.SI)$sharing

2022-07-28

$Tellurian Inc.(TELL)$sharing

2022-07-27

$Alibaba(09988)$sharing

2022-07-09

$Alibaba(BABA)$up?

2022-07-05

$SILVERLAKE AXIS LTD(5CP.SI)$more up

2022-07-04

$Alibaba(BABA)$msharing

2022-07-03

$KINGSMEN CREATIVES LTD(5MZ.SI)$sharing

2022-07-03

$SINJIA LAND LIMITED(5HH.SI)$sharing

2022-07-01

$SILVERLAKE AXIS LTD(5CP.SI)$sharing

2022-06-30

$DYNA-MAC HOLDINGS LTD.(NO4.SI)$up or dwn

2022-06-29

$Alibaba(09988)$bottomed?

2022-06-28

$Tellurian Inc.(TELL)$sharing

2022-06-26

$SILVERLAKE AXIS LTD(5CP.SI)$sharing

2022-06-23

$DYNA-MAC HOLDINGS LTD.(NO4.SI)$end of drop?

2022-06-19

$DYNA-MAC HOLDINGS LTD.(NO4.SI)$buy

2022-06-18

Great

Alibaba: A Bull Market Is Born

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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23:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: A Bull Market Is Born","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105210003","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryA deep dive into the e-commerce behemoth Alibaba (BABA) depicts a multi-engine growth machine","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>A deep dive into the e-commerce behemoth Alibaba (BABA) depicts a multi-engine growth machine, at a cyclical low.</li><li>Our analysis of industry tailwinds and normalized earnings points to a huge opportunity for risk-tolerant investors.</li><li>We estimate a market-crushing return of 17% per annum for Alibaba shareholders, indicating a 5x in the decade to come.</li></ul><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>Dark days have lingered for Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA), down 65% from its high. The past year has been a true test of investors&#39; fortitude. Over the past year, geopolitical risks have surfaced. Asked why he bought into Alibaba given those risks, Charlie Munger stated, &#34;I was willing to take a little political risk to get into the better companies at the lower prices.&#34; As for the recent run-up and steep decline, legendary investor Sir John Templeton had some advice:</p><blockquote>Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria.</blockquote><p>As pessimism looms, the bull market builds. We caution investors that now is not the time to trade BABA shares, but to own them. In the decade ahead, we estimate a market-crushing return of 17% per annum.</p><p><b>Know What You Own</b></p><p>Peter Lynch once advised, &#34;Know what you own, and know why you own it.&#34; Let&#39;s take a look at Alibaba&#39;s multifaceted business model.</p><p>Alibaba is an expansive ecosystem of products. The pieces of Alibaba interact with each other to accomplish the company&#39;s mission: To make it easy to do business anywhere.</p><p><b>Core Commerce</b></p><p>The company&#39;s core commerce segment accounts for approximately75% of revenue. Alibaba&#39;s most important assets are its online shopping platforms Taobao, Tmall, Lazada, andAlibaba.com. Within core commerce, Alibaba makes money from advertising, customer management, subscriptions, and direct sales.</p><p>The company owns a collection of fast-growing grocery chains such as Freshippo, Sunart, and Tmall Supermarket. Although grocery has been a drag on margins, it is still an integral part of Alibaba&#39;s business empire. The Freshippo (Hema) chain even offers 30-minute delivery using smart logistics.</p><p>Despite its much smaller market cap, Alibaba is a larger e-commerce player than Amazon (AMZN). In 2020, Alibaba accounted for 29% of the e-commerce goods transacted globally:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/687477af832cf5d2d67ff108a6c3dda8\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"456\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Global E-Commerce GMV Share(Forbes)</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s combined business reached1.31 billion consumers across the world over the past year. This number continues to grow despite its scale. In China alone, the company has nearly a billion monthly active consumers on its mobile shopping platforms:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f01eaafba46a3ecaaf5306394e811d3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"399\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>MAU&#39;s Across Alibaba&#39;s Shopping Platforms(Statista)</p><p><b>An Expansive Ecosystem</b></p><p>Alibaba spawns new businesses where it sees an economic need in society. The company&#39;s new businesses, whether acquired or built, always support each other within the Alibaba ecosystem. The ecosystem includes Cainiao smart logistics and a digital payments app, Alipay.</p><p>Alibaba started Alipay in 2004 to help build trust between consumers and merchants in online purchases (The company now owns 33% of the FinTech parent company, Ant Group). Fast-forward to today, and mobile payments are the preferred method of payment in China. Alipay has a 54.5% share of the market:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b353a8f92e6920c424fc6b7c26c19854\" tg-width=\"860\" tg-height=\"809\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Alipay vs. WeChat Pay Market Share(EastWestBank)</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s reach is enormous in China. The company plays an integral part in the day-to-day lives of citizens, whether it be through payment, e-commerce, groceries, delivery (Ele.me), streaming (Youku), or navigation (Amap). The company is also the lifeblood of millions and millions of small businesses.</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s reach is a powerful network effect for its rapidly growing cloud segment. Alibaba Cloud is building out its network globally, and there is a very long runway for the business. Alibaba Cloud just became profitable over the past six months, and should contribute to the company&#39;s bottom line going forward. The company still has room to grow its cloud market share:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a56959ac1a5611da4ea9ddd4f24b64fe\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"1200\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Global Cloud Market Share(Statista)</p><p><b>S.W.O.T. Analysis</b></p><p>To analyze what Alibaba does well, along with the risks it faces as a business, we present a S.W.O.T. analysis for the company:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41a651cf204eb9f2ce9034c78114b4d3\" tg-width=\"407\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Normalized Earnings</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s normalized earnings are around $22 billion, or $8.22 per share. The company experienced several one-off hits to its earnings over the past 12 months, including a $2.8 billion fine from the government, increased ad spend on Taobao deals, poor economic conditions in China, and huge goodwill impairments. To normalize earnings, we have taken the average net income over fiscal 2020 and 2021, divided by the current shares outstanding. Keep in mind that revenue and active users have grown substantially since 2020, indicating a conservative figure.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>We estimate Alibaba will grow normalized earnings at 13% annualized over the next decade, resulting in 2032 earnings per share of $27.90.</p><ul><li>Alibaba is still growing its user count. The company is in the early stages of its international expansion in e-commerce and cloud computing. These businesses have strong industry tailwinds, allowing Alibaba to grow organically. Alibaba also benefits from China&#39;s rapidly growing middle class. As a result, the average spend on Taobao and Tmall will increase if user retention remains strong. The same is true for Alibaba&#39;s delivery, streaming, grocery, and payments assets. On top of this, the company has $39 billion of working capital on its balance sheet to buy back shares, acquire businesses, and build new businesses.</li></ul><p>Our 2032 price target for Alibaba is $488 per share, implying a return of 17% per annum.</p><ul><li>We have applied a terminal multiple of 17.5 for a business that we believe has an enduring network effect, brand, and industry tailwind.</li></ul></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: A Bull Market Is Born</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: A Bull Market Is Born\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-17 23:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518935-baba-stock-alibaba-a-bull-market-is-born><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryA deep dive into the e-commerce behemoth Alibaba (BABA) depicts a multi-engine growth machine, at a cyclical low.Our analysis of industry tailwinds and normalized earnings points to a huge ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518935-baba-stock-alibaba-a-bull-market-is-born\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518935-baba-stock-alibaba-a-bull-market-is-born","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105210003","content_text":"SummaryA deep dive into the e-commerce behemoth Alibaba (BABA) depicts a multi-engine growth machine, at a cyclical low.Our analysis of industry tailwinds and normalized earnings points to a huge opportunity for risk-tolerant investors.We estimate a market-crushing return of 17% per annum for Alibaba shareholders, indicating a 5x in the decade to come.Investment ThesisDark days have lingered for Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA), down 65% from its high. The past year has been a true test of investors' fortitude. Over the past year, geopolitical risks have surfaced. Asked why he bought into Alibaba given those risks, Charlie Munger stated, \"I was willing to take a little political risk to get into the better companies at the lower prices.\" As for the recent run-up and steep decline, legendary investor Sir John Templeton had some advice:Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria.As pessimism looms, the bull market builds. We caution investors that now is not the time to trade BABA shares, but to own them. In the decade ahead, we estimate a market-crushing return of 17% per annum.Know What You OwnPeter Lynch once advised, \"Know what you own, and know why you own it.\" Let's take a look at Alibaba's multifaceted business model.Alibaba is an expansive ecosystem of products. The pieces of Alibaba interact with each other to accomplish the company's mission: To make it easy to do business anywhere.Core CommerceThe company's core commerce segment accounts for approximately75% of revenue. Alibaba's most important assets are its online shopping platforms Taobao, Tmall, Lazada, andAlibaba.com. Within core commerce, Alibaba makes money from advertising, customer management, subscriptions, and direct sales.The company owns a collection of fast-growing grocery chains such as Freshippo, Sunart, and Tmall Supermarket. Although grocery has been a drag on margins, it is still an integral part of Alibaba's business empire. The Freshippo (Hema) chain even offers 30-minute delivery using smart logistics.Despite its much smaller market cap, Alibaba is a larger e-commerce player than Amazon (AMZN). In 2020, Alibaba accounted for 29% of the e-commerce goods transacted globally:Global E-Commerce GMV Share(Forbes)Alibaba's combined business reached1.31 billion consumers across the world over the past year. This number continues to grow despite its scale. In China alone, the company has nearly a billion monthly active consumers on its mobile shopping platforms:MAU's Across Alibaba's Shopping Platforms(Statista)An Expansive EcosystemAlibaba spawns new businesses where it sees an economic need in society. The company's new businesses, whether acquired or built, always support each other within the Alibaba ecosystem. The ecosystem includes Cainiao smart logistics and a digital payments app, Alipay.Alibaba started Alipay in 2004 to help build trust between consumers and merchants in online purchases (The company now owns 33% of the FinTech parent company, Ant Group). Fast-forward to today, and mobile payments are the preferred method of payment in China. Alipay has a 54.5% share of the market:Alipay vs. WeChat Pay Market Share(EastWestBank)Alibaba's reach is enormous in China. The company plays an integral part in the day-to-day lives of citizens, whether it be through payment, e-commerce, groceries, delivery (Ele.me), streaming (Youku), or navigation (Amap). The company is also the lifeblood of millions and millions of small businesses.Alibaba's reach is a powerful network effect for its rapidly growing cloud segment. Alibaba Cloud is building out its network globally, and there is a very long runway for the business. Alibaba Cloud just became profitable over the past six months, and should contribute to the company's bottom line going forward. The company still has room to grow its cloud market share:Global Cloud Market Share(Statista)S.W.O.T. AnalysisTo analyze what Alibaba does well, along with the risks it faces as a business, we present a S.W.O.T. analysis for the company:Normalized EarningsAlibaba's normalized earnings are around $22 billion, or $8.22 per share. The company experienced several one-off hits to its earnings over the past 12 months, including a $2.8 billion fine from the government, increased ad spend on Taobao deals, poor economic conditions in China, and huge goodwill impairments. To normalize earnings, we have taken the average net income over fiscal 2020 and 2021, divided by the current shares outstanding. Keep in mind that revenue and active users have grown substantially since 2020, indicating a conservative figure.ValuationWe estimate Alibaba will grow normalized earnings at 13% annualized over the next decade, resulting in 2032 earnings per share of $27.90.Alibaba is still growing its user count. The company is in the early stages of its international expansion in e-commerce and cloud computing. These businesses have strong industry tailwinds, allowing Alibaba to grow organically. Alibaba also benefits from China's rapidly growing middle class. As a result, the average spend on Taobao and Tmall will increase if user retention remains strong. The same is true for Alibaba's delivery, streaming, grocery, and payments assets. On top of this, the company has $39 billion of working capital on its balance sheet to buy back shares, acquire businesses, and build new businesses.Our 2032 price target for Alibaba is $488 per share, implying a return of 17% per annum.We have applied a terminal multiple of 17.5 for a business that we believe has an enduring network effect, brand, and industry tailwind.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":942,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9052647293,"gmtCreate":1655171649812,"gmtModify":1676535575283,"author":{"id":"3581735992939068","authorId":"3581735992939068","name":"cbl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45ebece1d4598598e1107d18b7e0fbb5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581735992939068","idStr":"3581735992939068"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NO4.SI\">$DYNA-MAC 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today","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4289fcbd983e9e7ae9dcee9491a82dcd","width":"1080","height":"2840"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9051133122","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9050544623,"gmtCreate":1654218960762,"gmtModify":1676535415026,"author":{"id":"3581735992939068","authorId":"3581735992939068","name":"cbl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45ebece1d4598598e1107d18b7e0fbb5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581735992939068","idStr":"3581735992939068"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NO4.SI\">$DYNA-MAC HOLDINGS LTD.(NO4.SI)$</a>time to fly","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NO4.SI\">$DYNA-MAC HOLDINGS LTD.(NO4.SI)$</a>time to fly","text":"$DYNA-MAC HOLDINGS 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23:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: A Bull Market Is Born","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105210003","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryA deep dive into the e-commerce behemoth Alibaba (BABA) depicts a multi-engine growth machine","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>A deep dive into the e-commerce behemoth Alibaba (BABA) depicts a multi-engine growth machine, at a cyclical low.</li><li>Our analysis of industry tailwinds and normalized earnings points to a huge opportunity for risk-tolerant investors.</li><li>We estimate a market-crushing return of 17% per annum for Alibaba shareholders, indicating a 5x in the decade to come.</li></ul><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>Dark days have lingered for Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA), down 65% from its high. The past year has been a true test of investors&#39; fortitude. Over the past year, geopolitical risks have surfaced. Asked why he bought into Alibaba given those risks, Charlie Munger stated, &#34;I was willing to take a little political risk to get into the better companies at the lower prices.&#34; As for the recent run-up and steep decline, legendary investor Sir John Templeton had some advice:</p><blockquote>Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria.</blockquote><p>As pessimism looms, the bull market builds. We caution investors that now is not the time to trade BABA shares, but to own them. In the decade ahead, we estimate a market-crushing return of 17% per annum.</p><p><b>Know What You Own</b></p><p>Peter Lynch once advised, &#34;Know what you own, and know why you own it.&#34; Let&#39;s take a look at Alibaba&#39;s multifaceted business model.</p><p>Alibaba is an expansive ecosystem of products. The pieces of Alibaba interact with each other to accomplish the company&#39;s mission: To make it easy to do business anywhere.</p><p><b>Core Commerce</b></p><p>The company&#39;s core commerce segment accounts for approximately75% of revenue. Alibaba&#39;s most important assets are its online shopping platforms Taobao, Tmall, Lazada, andAlibaba.com. Within core commerce, Alibaba makes money from advertising, customer management, subscriptions, and direct sales.</p><p>The company owns a collection of fast-growing grocery chains such as Freshippo, Sunart, and Tmall Supermarket. Although grocery has been a drag on margins, it is still an integral part of Alibaba&#39;s business empire. The Freshippo (Hema) chain even offers 30-minute delivery using smart logistics.</p><p>Despite its much smaller market cap, Alibaba is a larger e-commerce player than Amazon (AMZN). In 2020, Alibaba accounted for 29% of the e-commerce goods transacted globally:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/687477af832cf5d2d67ff108a6c3dda8\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"456\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Global E-Commerce GMV Share(Forbes)</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s combined business reached1.31 billion consumers across the world over the past year. This number continues to grow despite its scale. In China alone, the company has nearly a billion monthly active consumers on its mobile shopping platforms:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f01eaafba46a3ecaaf5306394e811d3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"399\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>MAU&#39;s Across Alibaba&#39;s Shopping Platforms(Statista)</p><p><b>An Expansive Ecosystem</b></p><p>Alibaba spawns new businesses where it sees an economic need in society. The company&#39;s new businesses, whether acquired or built, always support each other within the Alibaba ecosystem. The ecosystem includes Cainiao smart logistics and a digital payments app, Alipay.</p><p>Alibaba started Alipay in 2004 to help build trust between consumers and merchants in online purchases (The company now owns 33% of the FinTech parent company, Ant Group). Fast-forward to today, and mobile payments are the preferred method of payment in China. Alipay has a 54.5% share of the market:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b353a8f92e6920c424fc6b7c26c19854\" tg-width=\"860\" tg-height=\"809\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Alipay vs. WeChat Pay Market Share(EastWestBank)</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s reach is enormous in China. The company plays an integral part in the day-to-day lives of citizens, whether it be through payment, e-commerce, groceries, delivery (Ele.me), streaming (Youku), or navigation (Amap). The company is also the lifeblood of millions and millions of small businesses.</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s reach is a powerful network effect for its rapidly growing cloud segment. Alibaba Cloud is building out its network globally, and there is a very long runway for the business. Alibaba Cloud just became profitable over the past six months, and should contribute to the company&#39;s bottom line going forward. The company still has room to grow its cloud market share:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a56959ac1a5611da4ea9ddd4f24b64fe\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"1200\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Global Cloud Market Share(Statista)</p><p><b>S.W.O.T. Analysis</b></p><p>To analyze what Alibaba does well, along with the risks it faces as a business, we present a S.W.O.T. analysis for the company:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41a651cf204eb9f2ce9034c78114b4d3\" tg-width=\"407\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Normalized Earnings</p><p>Alibaba&#39;s normalized earnings are around $22 billion, or $8.22 per share. The company experienced several one-off hits to its earnings over the past 12 months, including a $2.8 billion fine from the government, increased ad spend on Taobao deals, poor economic conditions in China, and huge goodwill impairments. To normalize earnings, we have taken the average net income over fiscal 2020 and 2021, divided by the current shares outstanding. Keep in mind that revenue and active users have grown substantially since 2020, indicating a conservative figure.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>We estimate Alibaba will grow normalized earnings at 13% annualized over the next decade, resulting in 2032 earnings per share of $27.90.</p><ul><li>Alibaba is still growing its user count. The company is in the early stages of its international expansion in e-commerce and cloud computing. These businesses have strong industry tailwinds, allowing Alibaba to grow organically. Alibaba also benefits from China&#39;s rapidly growing middle class. As a result, the average spend on Taobao and Tmall will increase if user retention remains strong. The same is true for Alibaba&#39;s delivery, streaming, grocery, and payments assets. On top of this, the company has $39 billion of working capital on its balance sheet to buy back shares, acquire businesses, and build new businesses.</li></ul><p>Our 2032 price target for Alibaba is $488 per share, implying a return of 17% per annum.</p><ul><li>We have applied a terminal multiple of 17.5 for a business that we believe has an enduring network effect, brand, and industry tailwind.</li></ul></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: A Bull Market Is Born</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: A Bull Market Is Born\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-17 23:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518935-baba-stock-alibaba-a-bull-market-is-born><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryA deep dive into the e-commerce behemoth Alibaba (BABA) depicts a multi-engine growth machine, at a cyclical low.Our analysis of industry tailwinds and normalized earnings points to a huge ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518935-baba-stock-alibaba-a-bull-market-is-born\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4518935-baba-stock-alibaba-a-bull-market-is-born","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105210003","content_text":"SummaryA deep dive into the e-commerce behemoth Alibaba (BABA) depicts a multi-engine growth machine, at a cyclical low.Our analysis of industry tailwinds and normalized earnings points to a huge opportunity for risk-tolerant investors.We estimate a market-crushing return of 17% per annum for Alibaba shareholders, indicating a 5x in the decade to come.Investment ThesisDark days have lingered for Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA), down 65% from its high. The past year has been a true test of investors' fortitude. Over the past year, geopolitical risks have surfaced. Asked why he bought into Alibaba given those risks, Charlie Munger stated, \"I was willing to take a little political risk to get into the better companies at the lower prices.\" As for the recent run-up and steep decline, legendary investor Sir John Templeton had some advice:Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria.As pessimism looms, the bull market builds. We caution investors that now is not the time to trade BABA shares, but to own them. In the decade ahead, we estimate a market-crushing return of 17% per annum.Know What You OwnPeter Lynch once advised, \"Know what you own, and know why you own it.\" Let's take a look at Alibaba's multifaceted business model.Alibaba is an expansive ecosystem of products. The pieces of Alibaba interact with each other to accomplish the company's mission: To make it easy to do business anywhere.Core CommerceThe company's core commerce segment accounts for approximately75% of revenue. Alibaba's most important assets are its online shopping platforms Taobao, Tmall, Lazada, andAlibaba.com. Within core commerce, Alibaba makes money from advertising, customer management, subscriptions, and direct sales.The company owns a collection of fast-growing grocery chains such as Freshippo, Sunart, and Tmall Supermarket. Although grocery has been a drag on margins, it is still an integral part of Alibaba's business empire. The Freshippo (Hema) chain even offers 30-minute delivery using smart logistics.Despite its much smaller market cap, Alibaba is a larger e-commerce player than Amazon (AMZN). In 2020, Alibaba accounted for 29% of the e-commerce goods transacted globally:Global E-Commerce GMV Share(Forbes)Alibaba's combined business reached1.31 billion consumers across the world over the past year. This number continues to grow despite its scale. In China alone, the company has nearly a billion monthly active consumers on its mobile shopping platforms:MAU's Across Alibaba's Shopping Platforms(Statista)An Expansive EcosystemAlibaba spawns new businesses where it sees an economic need in society. The company's new businesses, whether acquired or built, always support each other within the Alibaba ecosystem. The ecosystem includes Cainiao smart logistics and a digital payments app, Alipay.Alibaba started Alipay in 2004 to help build trust between consumers and merchants in online purchases (The company now owns 33% of the FinTech parent company, Ant Group). Fast-forward to today, and mobile payments are the preferred method of payment in China. Alipay has a 54.5% share of the market:Alipay vs. WeChat Pay Market Share(EastWestBank)Alibaba's reach is enormous in China. The company plays an integral part in the day-to-day lives of citizens, whether it be through payment, e-commerce, groceries, delivery (Ele.me), streaming (Youku), or navigation (Amap). The company is also the lifeblood of millions and millions of small businesses.Alibaba's reach is a powerful network effect for its rapidly growing cloud segment. Alibaba Cloud is building out its network globally, and there is a very long runway for the business. Alibaba Cloud just became profitable over the past six months, and should contribute to the company's bottom line going forward. The company still has room to grow its cloud market share:Global Cloud Market Share(Statista)S.W.O.T. AnalysisTo analyze what Alibaba does well, along with the risks it faces as a business, we present a S.W.O.T. analysis for the company:Normalized EarningsAlibaba's normalized earnings are around $22 billion, or $8.22 per share. The company experienced several one-off hits to its earnings over the past 12 months, including a $2.8 billion fine from the government, increased ad spend on Taobao deals, poor economic conditions in China, and huge goodwill impairments. To normalize earnings, we have taken the average net income over fiscal 2020 and 2021, divided by the current shares outstanding. Keep in mind that revenue and active users have grown substantially since 2020, indicating a conservative figure.ValuationWe estimate Alibaba will grow normalized earnings at 13% annualized over the next decade, resulting in 2032 earnings per share of $27.90.Alibaba is still growing its user count. The company is in the early stages of its international expansion in e-commerce and cloud computing. These businesses have strong industry tailwinds, allowing Alibaba to grow organically. Alibaba also benefits from China's rapidly growing middle class. As a result, the average spend on Taobao and Tmall will increase if user retention remains strong. The same is true for Alibaba's delivery, streaming, grocery, and payments assets. On top of this, the company has $39 billion of working capital on its balance sheet to buy back shares, acquire businesses, and build new businesses.Our 2032 price target for Alibaba is $488 per share, implying a return of 17% per annum.We have applied a terminal multiple of 17.5 for a business that we believe has an enduring network effect, brand, and industry tailwind.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09988":0.9,"BABA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":942,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9040379778,"gmtCreate":1655614063594,"gmtModify":1676535672280,"author":{"id":"3581735992939068","authorId":"3581735992939068","name":"cbl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45ebece1d4598598e1107d18b7e0fbb5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581735992939068","idStr":"3581735992939068"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NO4.SI\">$DYNA-MAC HOLDINGS 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09:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Apple an Excellent Dividend Stock to Buy?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2238501379","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The company does not have a long history of payouts, but it has the qualities of an excellent dividend stock.","content":"<div>\n<p>Apple is one of the world's best-known companies. But one of the characteristics it is least known for is its dividend payment. The company is relatively new to the dividend-paying list of stocks and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/28/is-apple-an-excellent-dividend-stock-to-buy/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Apple an Excellent Dividend Stock to Buy?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Apple an Excellent Dividend Stock to Buy?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-29 09:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/28/is-apple-an-excellent-dividend-stock-to-buy/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Apple is one of the world's best-known companies. But one of the characteristics it is least known for is its dividend payment. The company is relatively new to the dividend-paying list of stocks and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/28/is-apple-an-excellent-dividend-stock-to-buy/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/05/28/is-apple-an-excellent-dividend-stock-to-buy/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2238501379","content_text":"Apple is one of the world's best-known companies. But one of the characteristics it is least known for is its dividend payment. The company is relatively new to the dividend-paying list of stocks and is far from reaching Dividend King status. The tech giant resumed paying a dividend in 2012 after a 17-year pause.Still, Apple could be an excellent dividend stock for investors who buy it today. Let's look at its capacity to pay dividends and consider its valuation to determine its virtues as a dividend stock.Apple has delivered robust dividend growthIncome investors can be encouraged by Apple's acceleration of dividend payments. From 2012 to 2021, the company has increased its dividend per share from $0.10 to $0.85. That means shareholders saw their dividends grow more than eightfold in that time.In that same period, earnings per share rose from $1.58 to $5.61. Earnings are crucial to sustaining a dividend payment. In that regard, Apple's quality earnings growth is a good sign for the prospects of dividend increases.Its earnings are buoyed by continued innovation in its products, like the iPhone, Apple Watch, AirPods, and iPads. Supplementing that is a robust and expanding services segment that totaled 20% of revenue in its most recent quarter, which ended March 26. The rise of the services segment is crucial because it generated a gross profit margin of 72.6% vs. a gross profit margin of 36.4% for its products.AAPL payout ratio data by YCharts.While Apple's current dividend yield is a modest 0.65%, there's plenty of room for it to grow when you consider the company's dividend payout ratio. This is the percentage of earnings paid out in dividends. Most recently, Apple's dividend payout ratio was 14.5%, so the company could sustainably increase its dividend payment even if earnings remained constant, or sustain its current dividend even if profits decrease. The lower the percentage, the more wiggle room a company has in its dividend payment.Apple's stock is not expensiveComparing Apple's price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-free-cash-flow (P/FCF) ratios to their historic levels reveals that it is valued slightly above the average for those ratios over the past five years. In other words, in the last five years, there were times when Apple was pricier and times when it was cheaper.AAPL P/E ratio data by YCharts.Another way to measure valuation is a comparison with a competitor. Using the same metrics, Apple sells at a discount vs. one of its rivals, Microsoft (MSFT 2.76%). Of course, it is not an apples-to-apples comparison (pardon the pun), but Microsoft is a big tech stock with a mix of hardware and software revenue.Accordingly, income investors who buy Apple stock today will probably thank themselves 10 years from now. To more directly answer the question in the headline, yes, Apple is an excellent dividend stock to buy.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":612,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}