Mic6226 personal page - To The Moon

Mic6226

Mic6226

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2024-12-02

$MEITUAN-W(03690)$

2024-11-29

$MEITUAN-W(03690)$

2024-07-23

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

2024-01-04

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@TigerEvents:🐅🌟 TIGER TYCOON CHALLENGE IS ON! 🌟🐅

2023-04-14

Come and join the game with fun 🫡

2023-04-13

Come and join the game, jumping together

2023-04-12

Come and play, let's jump together. Have fun together 🤑

2023-04-11

Good morning, let come to join jumping 😎

2023-04-09

Nice games, come to play together 🤡🤡🤡 jumping jumping

2023-04-08

Nice game, come to jump together

2023-04-07

Nice , come to play🤩, very exciting and have very Nice reward to waiting you to collect ❤️

2023-04-06

Nicely game, come to play

2023-04-05

Come and join the game, very nice 😊

2023-04-05

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@TigerEvents:【Game】Easter Egg Hunting with Tiger, Win Disney Shares and USD 120 Voucher

2023-03-22

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$

2023-01-13

Come and join the football game, very cool 😎

2022-12-27

G

@Dragon1976:$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$ Roar in 2023 and sure will be rocket to the moon. Keep adding! Rocket 🚀

2022-12-27

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@Keeley:$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ #NIO Price filled the fair value gap at 11.34 as analyzed last week. Price has been consolidation here for a few days, accumulating orders. There are 2 scenarios I'm looking at right now, either price takes out the sell-side liquidity built from Oct - Nov first, or to take out the buy-side liquidity built recently. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NIO/xRdsAF7x-NIO-Analysis/

2022-12-27

Go go go

2022-12-24

Good kit

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Simply jump and catch the egg, and you could be a lucky winner. 🐇That's not all. You can also invite your friends to join in the fun to earn more points. Plus, you can challenge your friends for a race up the leaderboard. Let's fly to the moon together!Don't miss out on this egg-citing opportunity to win BIG! Join the game now and hop on your way to victory. 🥳🐣<a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2023/easter/?adcode=20230316162207#/\" target=\"_blank\">Join our Easter campaign now</a>","listText":"🐰🌷 Hop into the Easter spirit and join our \"Tiger's Egg Hunting\" game! 🎉Stand to win free Disney stocks and a USD 120 cash voucher!🎁🌟Our interactive Easter game is open to Tigers, and it's so easy to play! Simply jump and catch the egg, and you could be a lucky winner. 🐇That's not all. You can also invite your friends to join in the fun to earn more points. Plus, you can challenge your friends for a race up the leaderboard. Let's fly to the moon together!Don't miss out on this egg-citing opportunity to win BIG! Join the game now and hop on your way to victory. 🥳🐣<a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2023/easter/?adcode=20230316162207#/\" target=\"_blank\">Join our Easter campaign now</a>","text":"🐰🌷 Hop into the Easter spirit and join our \"Tiger's Egg Hunting\" game! 🎉Stand to win free Disney stocks and a USD 120 cash voucher!🎁🌟Our interactive Easter game is open to Tigers, and it's so easy to play! Simply jump and catch the egg, and you could be a lucky winner. 🐇That's not all. You can also invite your friends to join in the fun to earn more points. Plus, you can challenge your friends for a race up the leaderboard. Let's fly to the moon together!Don't miss out on this egg-citing opportunity to win BIG! Join the game now and hop on your way to victory. 🥳🐣Join our Easter campaign now","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c90a7371a3bcd1e6c552d2aa23f72c33","width":"1200","height":"630"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943960936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":284,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943269053,"gmtCreate":1679492720973,"gmtModify":1679492723871,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4109843165472380","idStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NVDA\">$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943269053","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":162,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958921829,"gmtCreate":1673617282761,"gmtModify":1676538865492,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4109843165472380","idStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come and join the football game, very cool 😎&nbsp;","listText":"Come and join the football game, very cool 😎&nbsp;","text":"Come and join the football game, very cool 😎","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958921829","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":91,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924081078,"gmtCreate":1672136117694,"gmtModify":1676538639868,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4109843165472380","idStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"G","listText":"G","text":"G","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924081078","repostId":"9924080919","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9924080919,"gmtCreate":1672135522632,"gmtModify":1676538639649,"author":{"id":"3581667755269715","authorId":"3581667755269715","name":"Dragon1976","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/490476b6972495f8a3fcdcab33e93aa0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581667755269715","idStr":"3581667755269715"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a> Roar in 2023 and sure will be rocket to the moon. Keep adding! Rocket 🚀&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a> Roar in 2023 and sure will be rocket to the moon. Keep adding! Rocket 🚀&nbsp;","text":"$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$ Roar in 2023 and sure will be rocket to the moon. Keep adding! Rocket 🚀","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4c7ed2e02f832d786c7cbddfa975772d","width":"1125","height":"1717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924080919","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":174,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924083772,"gmtCreate":1672136091896,"gmtModify":1676538639860,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4109843165472380","idStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924083772","repostId":"9924014631","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9924014631,"gmtCreate":1672135115824,"gmtModify":1676538639558,"author":{"id":"3583230105554843","authorId":"3583230105554843","name":"Keeley","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c720283f6ce0951b275b726005d199ad","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3583230105554843","idStr":"3583230105554843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>#NIO Price filled the fair value gap at 11.34 as analyzed last week. Price has been consolidation here for a few days, accumulating orders. There are 2 scenarios I'm looking at right now, either price takes out the sell-side liquidity built from Oct - Nov first, or to take out the buy-side liquidity built recently. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NIO/xRdsAF7x-NIO-Analysis/","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>#NIO Price filled the fair value gap at 11.34 as analyzed last week. Price has been consolidation here for a few days, accumulating orders. There are 2 scenarios I'm looking at right now, either price takes out the sell-side liquidity built from Oct - Nov first, or to take out the buy-side liquidity built recently. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NIO/xRdsAF7x-NIO-Analysis/","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ #NIO Price filled the fair value gap at 11.34 as analyzed last week. Price has been consolidation here for a few days, accumulating orders. There are 2 scenarios I'm looking at right now, either price takes out the sell-side liquidity built from Oct - Nov first, or to take out the buy-side liquidity built recently. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NIO/xRdsAF7x-NIO-Analysis/","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d1c01cbc1b8d4c82a7f10e81468de6c0","width":"720","height":"1436"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924014631","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":137,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924095225,"gmtCreate":1672129157267,"gmtModify":1676538638660,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4109843165472380","idStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go go go","listText":"Go go go","text":"Go go go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924095225","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922771463,"gmtCreate":1671854181953,"gmtModify":1676538604059,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4109843165472380","idStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good kit","listText":"Good kit","text":"Good kit","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9922771463","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":32,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9079435627,"gmtCreate":1657235890269,"gmtModify":1676535973709,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9079435627","repostId":"2249828426","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2249828426","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1657235012,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2249828426?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-08 07:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-S&P, Nasdaq Rise for Fourth Straight Day as Rate-hike Fears Ease","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2249828426","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Weekly jobless claims unexpectedly rise* Fed hinting at less aggressive rate hikes emboldens* Sams","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Weekly jobless claims unexpectedly rise</p><p>* Fed hinting at less aggressive rate hikes emboldens</p><p>* Samsung results boost chipmakers</p><p>Wall Street benchmarks ended up on Thursday, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq recording their fourth successive higher closes, as traders leaned in to U.S. equities after the Federal Reserve hinted interest rate hikes could be tempered if growth suffered.</p><p>U.S. stock markets have stabilized in July after a brutal selloff in the first half against the backdrop of a surge in inflation, the Ukraine conflict and the Fed&#39;s pivot away from easy-money policy.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index    has closed higher in each of the first four sessions so far this month, after recording its steepest first-half percentage drop since 1970. The benchmark has not had five successive gains so far in 2022.</p><p>Minutes from the central bank&#39;s June policy meeting, where the Fed raised interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point, showed on Wednesday a firm restatement of its intent to get prices under control.</p><p>However, Fed officials acknowledged the risk of rate increases having a &#34;larger-than-anticipated&#34; impact on economic growth and judged that an increase of 50 or 75 basis points would likely be appropriate at the policy meeting in July.</p><p>The less hawkish tone was echoed in comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Thursday. In calling fears of a U.S. recession overblown, he advocated for a 50 basis-point hike in September.</p><p>Such sentiment was taken as a cue by some to add positions, including in high-growth stocks, which had suffered in the first half of 2022 as investors fretted over their prospects in a rising interest rate environment: Tesla Inc    and Google parent Alphabet Inc    both advanced.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s starting to feel like real money is starting to come back,&#34; said Louis Ricci, head trader at Emles Advisors.</p><p>&#34;There&#39;s no reason that the market cannot go down another 30%, but we think the risk is 30% to the downside but three to four times that to the upside.&#34;</p><p>Though investors widely expect the Fed to hike rates by another 75 basis points in July, expectations of peak terminal rate next year have come down significantly amid growing worries of a global economic slowdown.</p><p>Fed funds futures traders are pricing for the benchmark rate to peak at 3.44% in March. Expectations before the June meeting were that it would increase to around 4% by May. It is currently 1.58%.    .</p><p>Elsewhere, a report on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly rose last week and demand for labor is slowing with layoffs surging to a 16-month high in June.</p><p>A closely watched employment report on Friday is expected to show nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 268,000 jobs last month after rising by 390,000 in May.</p><p>According to preliminary data, the S&amp;P 500 gained 56.29 points, or 1.46%, to end at 3,901.37 points, while the Nasdaq Composite    gained 254.97 points, or 2.24%, to 11,616.82. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 346.05 points, or 1.11%, to 31,383.73.</p><p>The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index climbed after South Korea&#39;s Samsung Electronics    turned in its best second-quarter profit since 2018, driven by strong sales of memory chips.</p><p>Almost all of the S&amp;P subsectors were higher, with the energy index    the best performer as oil and gas companies followed the rebound in crude prices from the previous day&#39;s 12-week low.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-S&P, Nasdaq Rise for Fourth Straight Day as Rate-hike Fears Ease</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-S&P, Nasdaq Rise for Fourth Straight Day as Rate-hike Fears Ease\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-08 07:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Weekly jobless claims unexpectedly rise</p><p>* Fed hinting at less aggressive rate hikes emboldens</p><p>* Samsung results boost chipmakers</p><p>Wall Street benchmarks ended up on Thursday, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq recording their fourth successive higher closes, as traders leaned in to U.S. equities after the Federal Reserve hinted interest rate hikes could be tempered if growth suffered.</p><p>U.S. stock markets have stabilized in July after a brutal selloff in the first half against the backdrop of a surge in inflation, the Ukraine conflict and the Fed&#39;s pivot away from easy-money policy.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 index    has closed higher in each of the first four sessions so far this month, after recording its steepest first-half percentage drop since 1970. The benchmark has not had five successive gains so far in 2022.</p><p>Minutes from the central bank&#39;s June policy meeting, where the Fed raised interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point, showed on Wednesday a firm restatement of its intent to get prices under control.</p><p>However, Fed officials acknowledged the risk of rate increases having a &#34;larger-than-anticipated&#34; impact on economic growth and judged that an increase of 50 or 75 basis points would likely be appropriate at the policy meeting in July.</p><p>The less hawkish tone was echoed in comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Thursday. In calling fears of a U.S. recession overblown, he advocated for a 50 basis-point hike in September.</p><p>Such sentiment was taken as a cue by some to add positions, including in high-growth stocks, which had suffered in the first half of 2022 as investors fretted over their prospects in a rising interest rate environment: Tesla Inc    and Google parent Alphabet Inc    both advanced.</p><p>&#34;It&#39;s starting to feel like real money is starting to come back,&#34; said Louis Ricci, head trader at Emles Advisors.</p><p>&#34;There&#39;s no reason that the market cannot go down another 30%, but we think the risk is 30% to the downside but three to four times that to the upside.&#34;</p><p>Though investors widely expect the Fed to hike rates by another 75 basis points in July, expectations of peak terminal rate next year have come down significantly amid growing worries of a global economic slowdown.</p><p>Fed funds futures traders are pricing for the benchmark rate to peak at 3.44% in March. Expectations before the June meeting were that it would increase to around 4% by May. It is currently 1.58%.    .</p><p>Elsewhere, a report on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly rose last week and demand for labor is slowing with layoffs surging to a 16-month high in June.</p><p>A closely watched employment report on Friday is expected to show nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 268,000 jobs last month after rising by 390,000 in May.</p><p>According to preliminary data, the S&amp;P 500 gained 56.29 points, or 1.46%, to end at 3,901.37 points, while the Nasdaq Composite    gained 254.97 points, or 2.24%, to 11,616.82. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 346.05 points, or 1.11%, to 31,383.73.</p><p>The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index climbed after South Korea&#39;s Samsung Electronics    turned in its best second-quarter profit since 2018, driven by strong sales of memory chips.</p><p>Almost all of the S&amp;P subsectors were higher, with the energy index    the best performer as oil and gas companies followed the rebound in crude prices from the previous day&#39;s 12-week low.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","BK4576":"AR","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","SSO":"两倍做多标普500ETF","BK4566":"资本集团","GOOGL":"谷歌A","BK4525":"远程办公概念",".DJI":"道琼斯","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","GOOG":"谷歌","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","BK4538":"云计算","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","DOG":"道指反向ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4573":"虚拟现实","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","SH":"标普500反向ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4514":"搜索引擎","OEX":"标普100","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","IVV":"标普500指数ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2249828426","content_text":"* Weekly jobless claims unexpectedly rise* Fed hinting at less aggressive rate hikes emboldens* Samsung results boost chipmakersWall Street benchmarks ended up on Thursday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq recording their fourth successive higher closes, as traders leaned in to U.S. equities after the Federal Reserve hinted interest rate hikes could be tempered if growth suffered.U.S. stock markets have stabilized in July after a brutal selloff in the first half against the backdrop of a surge in inflation, the Ukraine conflict and the Fed's pivot away from easy-money policy.The S&P 500 index    has closed higher in each of the first four sessions so far this month, after recording its steepest first-half percentage drop since 1970. The benchmark has not had five successive gains so far in 2022.Minutes from the central bank's June policy meeting, where the Fed raised interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point, showed on Wednesday a firm restatement of its intent to get prices under control.However, Fed officials acknowledged the risk of rate increases having a \"larger-than-anticipated\" impact on economic growth and judged that an increase of 50 or 75 basis points would likely be appropriate at the policy meeting in July.The less hawkish tone was echoed in comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Thursday. In calling fears of a U.S. recession overblown, he advocated for a 50 basis-point hike in September.Such sentiment was taken as a cue by some to add positions, including in high-growth stocks, which had suffered in the first half of 2022 as investors fretted over their prospects in a rising interest rate environment: Tesla Inc    and Google parent Alphabet Inc    both advanced.\"It's starting to feel like real money is starting to come back,\" said Louis Ricci, head trader at Emles Advisors.\"There's no reason that the market cannot go down another 30%, but we think the risk is 30% to the downside but three to four times that to the upside.\"Though investors widely expect the Fed to hike rates by another 75 basis points in July, expectations of peak terminal rate next year have come down significantly amid growing worries of a global economic slowdown.Fed funds futures traders are pricing for the benchmark rate to peak at 3.44% in March. Expectations before the June meeting were that it would increase to around 4% by May. It is currently 1.58%.    .Elsewhere, a report on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly rose last week and demand for labor is slowing with layoffs surging to a 16-month high in June.A closely watched employment report on Friday is expected to show nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 268,000 jobs last month after rising by 390,000 in May.According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 gained 56.29 points, or 1.46%, to end at 3,901.37 points, while the Nasdaq Composite    gained 254.97 points, or 2.24%, to 11,616.82. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 346.05 points, or 1.11%, to 31,383.73.The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index climbed after South Korea's Samsung Electronics    turned in its best second-quarter profit since 2018, driven by strong sales of memory chips.Almost all of the S&P subsectors were higher, with the energy index    the best performer as oil and gas companies followed the rebound in crude prices from the previous day's 12-week low.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":233,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9042851006,"gmtCreate":1656463142805,"gmtModify":1676535833667,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9042851006","repostId":"2246894200","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2246894200","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1656462529,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2246894200?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-29 08:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Recession Could Push Apple Stock 27% Down Says Evercore ISI and Cuts Price Target","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2246894200","media":"StreetInsider","summary":"Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani slashed the price target on Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) to $180.00 per ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani slashed the price target on Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) to $180.00 per share from $210.00 to reflect “increased macro uncertainty.”</p><p>Apple has been included in the “medium” risk bucket with a 20-40% downside potential with the analyst assigning a 27% downside risk to Apple stock if recession pushes the multiple to 19x from 21x currently.</p><p>“Apple was in growth mode during the 2008/2009 as we were still at the beginning of the smartphone revolution, so revenue declines in a recession today would likely be more severe vs. the growth they managed in 2009. We are modeling a revenue decline of 3% in a recession (8% below current estimates). We also see margins coming under pressure (-300bps) with iPhone and Services mix likely to decline and we would not expect Apple to make material changes to its R&amp;D spending plans which would add further pressure. Apple should be able to mitigate potential margin compression by ramping up buybacks ($80B in net cash),” Daryanani told clients in a note.</p><p>Commscope (NASDAQ: COMM), Sensata (NYSE: ST) and TE Connectivity (NYSE: TEL) have been included in the high-risk bucket with the downside risk exceeding 40%.</p><p>Among other price target changes, Evercore ISI slashed the PT on Hewlett Packard Enterprise (NYSE: HPE) to $18.00 from $21.00, on NetApp (NASDAQ: NTAP) to $71.00 from $85.00, and on Cloudflare (NYSE: NET) to $65.00 from $110.00.</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_streetinsider","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Recession Could Push Apple Stock 27% Down Says Evercore ISI and Cuts Price Target</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRecession Could Push Apple Stock 27% Down Says Evercore ISI and Cuts Price Target\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-29 08:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20265218><strong>StreetInsider</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani slashed the price target on Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) to $180.00 per share from $210.00 to reflect “increased macro uncertainty.”Apple has been included in the “medium” ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20265218\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.streetinsider.com/dr/news.php?id=20265218","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2246894200","content_text":"Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani slashed the price target on Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) to $180.00 per share from $210.00 to reflect “increased macro uncertainty.”Apple has been included in the “medium” risk bucket with a 20-40% downside potential with the analyst assigning a 27% downside risk to Apple stock if recession pushes the multiple to 19x from 21x currently.“Apple was in growth mode during the 2008/2009 as we were still at the beginning of the smartphone revolution, so revenue declines in a recession today would likely be more severe vs. the growth they managed in 2009. We are modeling a revenue decline of 3% in a recession (8% below current estimates). We also see margins coming under pressure (-300bps) with iPhone and Services mix likely to decline and we would not expect Apple to make material changes to its R&D spending plans which would add further pressure. Apple should be able to mitigate potential margin compression by ramping up buybacks ($80B in net cash),” Daryanani told clients in a note.Commscope (NASDAQ: COMM), Sensata (NYSE: ST) and TE Connectivity (NYSE: TEL) have been included in the high-risk bucket with the downside risk exceeding 40%.Among other price target changes, Evercore ISI slashed the PT on Hewlett Packard Enterprise (NYSE: HPE) to $18.00 from $21.00, on NetApp (NASDAQ: NTAP) to $71.00 from $85.00, and on Cloudflare (NYSE: NET) to $65.00 from $110.00.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":95,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9035018310,"gmtCreate":1647473095947,"gmtModify":1676534233492,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news&nbsp;","listText":"Good news&nbsp;","text":"Good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9035018310","repostId":"2220169793","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2220169793","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1647471128,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2220169793?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-17 06:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street Pares Gains after Fed Hikes Rates, Signals More","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2220169793","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Fed ups rates by 25 basis points, signals 7 hikes for 2022* S&P banks close up 3.7%, financials add 2.9%* Indexes up: Dow 1.55%, S&P 500 2.24%, Nasdaq 3.77%March 16 (Reuters) - The S&P 500closed up ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Fed ups rates by 25 basis points, signals 7 hikes for 2022</p><p>* S&amp;P banks close up 3.7%, financials add 2.9%</p><p>* Indexes up: Dow 1.55%, S&amp;P 500 2.24%, Nasdaq 3.77%</p><p>March 16 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 closed up more than 2% while the Nasdaq rallied almost 4% on Wednesday as investors shrugged off initial jitters following the U.S. Federal Reserve&#39;s interest rate increase and its signal that more hikes would be needed to fight inflation, ending the pandemic-era&#39;s easy monetary policy.</p><p>The central bank announced a quarter-percentage-point increase in its benchmark overnight rate as was widely expected but the projection that its rate would hit between 1.75% and 2% by year&#39;s end was more hawkish than some investors said they had expected.</p><p>While the Fed flagged the massive uncertainty the economy faces from the war between Russia and Ukraine and the ongoing COVID-19 crisis, it said &#34;ongoing increases&#34; in the target federal funds rate &#34;will be appropriate&#34; to curb the highest inflation the country has witnessed in 40 years.</p><p>While the major indexes pared earlier gains sharply and the S&amp;P and the Dow both dipped into the red briefly after the Fed statement, the indexes steadied as Fed chair Jerome Powell spoke at a press conference.</p><p>Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at The Leuthold Group in Minneapolis said investors may be relieved the Fed is taking action against surging inflation.</p><p>&#34;Hearing the Fed finally &#39;say and act&#39; to tackle inflation is somewhat calming for the investment community, and for Main Street struggling with higher inflation,&#34; he said.</p><p>But other market analysts were concerned the aggressive rate hike projected could cause the economy to skid.</p><p>&#34;This looks like a Fed that is intending on causing recession in order to stamp out the inflation problem and that is as short sighted as calling inflation transitory a year ago,” Scott Ladner, chief investment officer, Horizon Investments, Charlotte, North Carolina.</p><p>Joseph LaVorgna, Americas chief economist at Natixis in New York was also skeptical.</p><p>“They’re going to try to be aggressive here in raising rates. I wish Jay Powell and company all the best of luck because they&#39;re not going to get anywhere near as they think, unless they’re willing to throw a lot of people out of jobs, because that&#39;s what&#39;s going to happen.  Because we&#39;re going to have a recession. This is a recession forecast,&#34; he said.</p><p>&#34;I just don&#39;t see the Fed being able to engineer this kind of tightening for what right now is inflationary demand destruction.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 518.76 points, or 1.55%, to 34,063.1, the S&amp;P 500 gained 95.41 points, or 2.24%, to 4,357.86 and the Nasdaq Composite added 487.93 points, or 3.77%, to 13,436.55.</p><p>Of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s 11 major industry sectors, the biggest gainers were sectors that had fallen sharply in a recent sell off with consumer discretionary and technology</p><p>both finishing up more than 3% while communications services and financials added almost 3%.</p><p>Only two of the sectors ended the day in the red with energy falling 0.4% and utilities losing 0.2%.</p><p>Historical data suggests tighter monetary policy has often been accompanied by solid gains in stocks. The S&amp;P 500 has returned an average 7.7% in the first year the Fed raises rates, according to a Deutsche Bank study of 13 hiking cycles since 1955.</p><p>Ahead of the Fed statement stocks had been rallying as talk of compromise from both Moscow and Kyiv on a status for Ukraine outside of NATO lifted hope on Wednesday for a potential breakthrough after three weeks of war.</p><p>The global mood had also been lifted earlier by China&#39;s promise to roll out more stimulus for the economy and keep markets stable.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.79-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 93 new lows.</p><p>On U.S. exchanges 15.82 billion shares changed hands compared with the 14.04 billion 20-day moving average.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street Pares Gains after Fed Hikes Rates, Signals More</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street Pares Gains after Fed Hikes Rates, Signals More\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-17 06:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Fed ups rates by 25 basis points, signals 7 hikes for 2022</p><p>* S&amp;P banks close up 3.7%, financials add 2.9%</p><p>* Indexes up: Dow 1.55%, S&amp;P 500 2.24%, Nasdaq 3.77%</p><p>March 16 (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 closed up more than 2% while the Nasdaq rallied almost 4% on Wednesday as investors shrugged off initial jitters following the U.S. Federal Reserve&#39;s interest rate increase and its signal that more hikes would be needed to fight inflation, ending the pandemic-era&#39;s easy monetary policy.</p><p>The central bank announced a quarter-percentage-point increase in its benchmark overnight rate as was widely expected but the projection that its rate would hit between 1.75% and 2% by year&#39;s end was more hawkish than some investors said they had expected.</p><p>While the Fed flagged the massive uncertainty the economy faces from the war between Russia and Ukraine and the ongoing COVID-19 crisis, it said &#34;ongoing increases&#34; in the target federal funds rate &#34;will be appropriate&#34; to curb the highest inflation the country has witnessed in 40 years.</p><p>While the major indexes pared earlier gains sharply and the S&amp;P and the Dow both dipped into the red briefly after the Fed statement, the indexes steadied as Fed chair Jerome Powell spoke at a press conference.</p><p>Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at The Leuthold Group in Minneapolis said investors may be relieved the Fed is taking action against surging inflation.</p><p>&#34;Hearing the Fed finally &#39;say and act&#39; to tackle inflation is somewhat calming for the investment community, and for Main Street struggling with higher inflation,&#34; he said.</p><p>But other market analysts were concerned the aggressive rate hike projected could cause the economy to skid.</p><p>&#34;This looks like a Fed that is intending on causing recession in order to stamp out the inflation problem and that is as short sighted as calling inflation transitory a year ago,” Scott Ladner, chief investment officer, Horizon Investments, Charlotte, North Carolina.</p><p>Joseph LaVorgna, Americas chief economist at Natixis in New York was also skeptical.</p><p>“They’re going to try to be aggressive here in raising rates. I wish Jay Powell and company all the best of luck because they&#39;re not going to get anywhere near as they think, unless they’re willing to throw a lot of people out of jobs, because that&#39;s what&#39;s going to happen.  Because we&#39;re going to have a recession. This is a recession forecast,&#34; he said.</p><p>&#34;I just don&#39;t see the Fed being able to engineer this kind of tightening for what right now is inflationary demand destruction.&#34;</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 518.76 points, or 1.55%, to 34,063.1, the S&amp;P 500 gained 95.41 points, or 2.24%, to 4,357.86 and the Nasdaq Composite added 487.93 points, or 3.77%, to 13,436.55.</p><p>Of the S&amp;P 500&#39;s 11 major industry sectors, the biggest gainers were sectors that had fallen sharply in a recent sell off with consumer discretionary and technology</p><p>both finishing up more than 3% while communications services and financials added almost 3%.</p><p>Only two of the sectors ended the day in the red with energy falling 0.4% and utilities losing 0.2%.</p><p>Historical data suggests tighter monetary policy has often been accompanied by solid gains in stocks. The S&amp;P 500 has returned an average 7.7% in the first year the Fed raises rates, according to a Deutsche Bank study of 13 hiking cycles since 1955.</p><p>Ahead of the Fed statement stocks had been rallying as talk of compromise from both Moscow and Kyiv on a status for Ukraine outside of NATO lifted hope on Wednesday for a potential breakthrough after three weeks of war.</p><p>The global mood had also been lifted earlier by China&#39;s promise to roll out more stimulus for the economy and keep markets stable.</p><p>Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.79-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 93 new lows.</p><p>On U.S. exchanges 15.82 billion shares changed hands compared with the 14.04 billion 20-day moving average.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2220169793","content_text":"* Fed ups rates by 25 basis points, signals 7 hikes for 2022* S&P banks close up 3.7%, financials add 2.9%* Indexes up: Dow 1.55%, S&P 500 2.24%, Nasdaq 3.77%March 16 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed up more than 2% while the Nasdaq rallied almost 4% on Wednesday as investors shrugged off initial jitters following the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate increase and its signal that more hikes would be needed to fight inflation, ending the pandemic-era's easy monetary policy.The central bank announced a quarter-percentage-point increase in its benchmark overnight rate as was widely expected but the projection that its rate would hit between 1.75% and 2% by year's end was more hawkish than some investors said they had expected.While the Fed flagged the massive uncertainty the economy faces from the war between Russia and Ukraine and the ongoing COVID-19 crisis, it said \"ongoing increases\" in the target federal funds rate \"will be appropriate\" to curb the highest inflation the country has witnessed in 40 years.While the major indexes pared earlier gains sharply and the S&P and the Dow both dipped into the red briefly after the Fed statement, the indexes steadied as Fed chair Jerome Powell spoke at a press conference.Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at The Leuthold Group in Minneapolis said investors may be relieved the Fed is taking action against surging inflation.\"Hearing the Fed finally 'say and act' to tackle inflation is somewhat calming for the investment community, and for Main Street struggling with higher inflation,\" he said.But other market analysts were concerned the aggressive rate hike projected could cause the economy to skid.\"This looks like a Fed that is intending on causing recession in order to stamp out the inflation problem and that is as short sighted as calling inflation transitory a year ago,” Scott Ladner, chief investment officer, Horizon Investments, Charlotte, North Carolina.Joseph LaVorgna, Americas chief economist at Natixis in New York was also skeptical.“They’re going to try to be aggressive here in raising rates. I wish Jay Powell and company all the best of luck because they're not going to get anywhere near as they think, unless they’re willing to throw a lot of people out of jobs, because that's what's going to happen.  Because we're going to have a recession. This is a recession forecast,\" he said.\"I just don't see the Fed being able to engineer this kind of tightening for what right now is inflationary demand destruction.\"The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 518.76 points, or 1.55%, to 34,063.1, the S&P 500 gained 95.41 points, or 2.24%, to 4,357.86 and the Nasdaq Composite added 487.93 points, or 3.77%, to 13,436.55.Of the S&P 500's 11 major industry sectors, the biggest gainers were sectors that had fallen sharply in a recent sell off with consumer discretionary and technologyboth finishing up more than 3% while communications services and financials added almost 3%.Only two of the sectors ended the day in the red with energy falling 0.4% and utilities losing 0.2%.Historical data suggests tighter monetary policy has often been accompanied by solid gains in stocks. The S&P 500 has returned an average 7.7% in the first year the Fed raises rates, according to a Deutsche Bank study of 13 hiking cycles since 1955.Ahead of the Fed statement stocks had been rallying as talk of compromise from both Moscow and Kyiv on a status for Ukraine outside of NATO lifted hope on Wednesday for a potential breakthrough after three weeks of war.The global mood had also been lifted earlier by China's promise to roll out more stimulus for the economy and keep markets stable.Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 3.79-to-1 ratio favored advancers.The S&P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and 1 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 29 new highs and 93 new lows.On U.S. exchanges 15.82 billion shares changed hands compared with the 14.04 billion 20-day moving average.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9928540806,"gmtCreate":1671328820307,"gmtModify":1676538524796,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9928540806","repostId":"2292831501","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2292831501","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1671321913,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2292831501?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-18 08:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will Tesla Ever Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock Again?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2292831501","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The electric car maker has a long road ahead to make it back to that elite club.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>It wasn&#39;t all that long ago that <b>Tesla</b> had a trillion-dollar valuation. As recently as April, it was part of a tiny but exclusive club of companies that had broken through the threshold. Today that club has just three members: <b>Apple</b>, <b>Microsoft</b>, and <b>Alphabet</b>.</p><p>Since then, Tesla&#39;s stock has fallen hard, losing nearly 60% of its value, and some are actively rooting for it to fail.</p><p>While Tesla has its fans who seemingly wear rose-colored glasses about any of its flaws, the critics don green eyeshades tinted a few shades too dark that blind them to the EV maker&#39;s enduring potential.</p><p>Somewhere between those extremes lies the truth about Tesla, so let&#39;s see if there is any hope the premier EV stock can be a $1 trillion company again.</p><h2>First off the line</h2><p>There&#39;s no doubt Elon Musk and Tesla brought electric vehicles into the mainstream. While there were other EVs before Tesla (they&#39;ve actually existed for almost 200 years), it was the Roadster that changed the auto industry due to the range of its battery, speed, acceleration, and price that made it comparable to gas-powered cars.</p><p>That first-mover status boosted Tesla to the forefront of the electric car industry, a place it remains in with a 64% market share, as of the end of the third quarter. While that&#39;s down from the 75% it held back in the first quarter, it&#39;s also a natural consequence of so many competitors entering the market.</p><p>The Model Y and Model 3 have sold a combined 347,000 vehicles so far this year, far ahead of <b>Ford</b>&#39;s No. 2 Mustang Mach-E at 28,000. In fact, Tesla owns four of the top six slots (<b>General Motors&#39;</b> Chevy Bolt is fourth with 22,000 vehicles sold).</p><p>However, <b>Bank of America</b> recently issued a report indicating its analysts expect both Ford and GM to surpass Tesla&#39;s market share, which is forecast to fall to just 11% in North America by 2025.</p><p>Tesla is currently the big fish in a small pond. In just a few years time, however, EVs will equal 10% of the entire auto market and the two big automakers&#39; EVs are cheaper than Tesla&#39;s and appeal to a different car buyer.</p><h2>Built on a shaky foundation</h2><p>Despite the expected growth in demand for EVs, Tesla and other manufacturers have a number of hurdles they&#39;re going to need to surmount that could make achieving their goals feasible.</p><p>First, demand is propped up by tax credits, and should they go away; sales could falter. The so-called Inflation Reduction Act passed in August created a new array of incentives for the next few years, but it may not be fiscally responsible to keep them going indefinitely.</p><p>Second, the electric grid will be severely stressed from all the electric cars plugging in to charge and will need to be overhauled. That may not be feasible or cheap to accomplish as it will result in large costs for generating, transmitting, and storing power. Even as California was announcing a ban on fossil fuel-powered vehicles by 2035 this past summer, it was also asking EV owners not to charge their cars to help conserve energy.</p><p>Third, EV makers face soaring costs for finite resources, particularly for the batteries needed to power their vehicles. Lithium, for example, a key component of EV batteries, currently costs around $80,000 a tonne, or 1,000% more than it did two years ago.</p><p>EVs also require substantial amounts of graphite, cobalt, rare earth metals, and nickel, and the total global production of these metals cannot match demand for them.</p><h2>A long road ahead</h2><p>While there is a search happening for alternatives to using different materials to power EVs and to upgrading and overhauling the electric grid, car manufacturers may face difficulty in seeing the growth they forecast.</p><p>Tesla itself is having a tough time selling cars in China. Although sales in November were up 90% year over year, it was a result of cutting prices and providing greater incentives to buyers. The 100,000 vehicles sold was also half of what Chinese rival BYD sold. Competition in Europe will be fierce, too.</p><p>Musk has also been selling Tesla stock, selling 19.5 million shares in November and another 20 million or so in December, likely to help finance his acquisition of Twitter.</p><p>Over the long haul, though, Tesla doesn&#39;t seem like it&#39;s going to run off the road and still has plenty of opportunity for growth. Yet it would require a near tripling in value for its stock to hit a $1 trillion valuation. It seems plausible, but investors may need the patience to wait for a number of years for that to happen.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will Tesla Ever Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock Again?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill Tesla Ever Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock Again?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-18 08:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/17/will-tesla-ever-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-again/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It wasn't all that long ago that Tesla had a trillion-dollar valuation. As recently as April, it was part of a tiny but exclusive club of companies that had broken through the threshold. Today that ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/17/will-tesla-ever-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-again/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/12/17/will-tesla-ever-be-a-trillion-dollar-stock-again/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2292831501","content_text":"It wasn't all that long ago that Tesla had a trillion-dollar valuation. As recently as April, it was part of a tiny but exclusive club of companies that had broken through the threshold. Today that club has just three members: Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet.Since then, Tesla's stock has fallen hard, losing nearly 60% of its value, and some are actively rooting for it to fail.While Tesla has its fans who seemingly wear rose-colored glasses about any of its flaws, the critics don green eyeshades tinted a few shades too dark that blind them to the EV maker's enduring potential.Somewhere between those extremes lies the truth about Tesla, so let's see if there is any hope the premier EV stock can be a $1 trillion company again.First off the lineThere's no doubt Elon Musk and Tesla brought electric vehicles into the mainstream. While there were other EVs before Tesla (they've actually existed for almost 200 years), it was the Roadster that changed the auto industry due to the range of its battery, speed, acceleration, and price that made it comparable to gas-powered cars.That first-mover status boosted Tesla to the forefront of the electric car industry, a place it remains in with a 64% market share, as of the end of the third quarter. While that's down from the 75% it held back in the first quarter, it's also a natural consequence of so many competitors entering the market.The Model Y and Model 3 have sold a combined 347,000 vehicles so far this year, far ahead of Ford's No. 2 Mustang Mach-E at 28,000. In fact, Tesla owns four of the top six slots (General Motors' Chevy Bolt is fourth with 22,000 vehicles sold).However, Bank of America recently issued a report indicating its analysts expect both Ford and GM to surpass Tesla's market share, which is forecast to fall to just 11% in North America by 2025.Tesla is currently the big fish in a small pond. In just a few years time, however, EVs will equal 10% of the entire auto market and the two big automakers' EVs are cheaper than Tesla's and appeal to a different car buyer.Built on a shaky foundationDespite the expected growth in demand for EVs, Tesla and other manufacturers have a number of hurdles they're going to need to surmount that could make achieving their goals feasible.First, demand is propped up by tax credits, and should they go away; sales could falter. The so-called Inflation Reduction Act passed in August created a new array of incentives for the next few years, but it may not be fiscally responsible to keep them going indefinitely.Second, the electric grid will be severely stressed from all the electric cars plugging in to charge and will need to be overhauled. That may not be feasible or cheap to accomplish as it will result in large costs for generating, transmitting, and storing power. Even as California was announcing a ban on fossil fuel-powered vehicles by 2035 this past summer, it was also asking EV owners not to charge their cars to help conserve energy.Third, EV makers face soaring costs for finite resources, particularly for the batteries needed to power their vehicles. Lithium, for example, a key component of EV batteries, currently costs around $80,000 a tonne, or 1,000% more than it did two years ago.EVs also require substantial amounts of graphite, cobalt, rare earth metals, and nickel, and the total global production of these metals cannot match demand for them.A long road aheadWhile there is a search happening for alternatives to using different materials to power EVs and to upgrading and overhauling the electric grid, car manufacturers may face difficulty in seeing the growth they forecast.Tesla itself is having a tough time selling cars in China. Although sales in November were up 90% year over year, it was a result of cutting prices and providing greater incentives to buyers. The 100,000 vehicles sold was also half of what Chinese rival BYD sold. Competition in Europe will be fierce, too.Musk has also been selling Tesla stock, selling 19.5 million shares in November and another 20 million or so in December, likely to help finance his acquisition of Twitter.Over the long haul, though, Tesla doesn't seem like it's going to run off the road and still has plenty of opportunity for growth. Yet it would require a near tripling in value for its stock to hit a $1 trillion valuation. It seems plausible, but investors may need the patience to wait for a number of years for that to happen.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916054945,"gmtCreate":1664492925987,"gmtModify":1676537463517,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916054945","repostId":"1152954810","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152954810","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664466614,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1152954810?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-29 23:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Officials Reinforce Rate-Hike Calls, Say Markets Got Message","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152954810","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Bullard says markets have ‘digested’ message on rate hikesMester says rates are ‘still not even in r","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Bullard says markets have ‘digested’ message on rate hikes</li><li>Mester says rates are ‘still not even in restricted territory’</li></ul><p>Federal Reserve officials reiterated Thursday that they will keep raising interest rates to restrain high inflation, and that markets are now understanding the message.</p><p>“If you look at the dots, it does look like the committee is expecting a fair amount of additional moves this year,” St. Louis Fed President James Bullard told a virtual emerging-market forum, referring to the bank’s so-called dot plot of projections. “I think that that was digested by markets and does seem to be the right interpretation.”</p><p>Cleveland Fed chief Loretta Mester repeated that officials are resolute in their quest to increase rates to a level seen as restrictive.</p><p>“Real interest rates -- judged by the expectations over the next year of inflation -- have to be in positive territory and held there for a time,” she said earlier in an interview on CNBC. “We’re still not even in restricted territory on the funds rate.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/972431d8bf1881bb5d4349f65cfcd300\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"343\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Fed officials raised interest rates by 75 basis points on Sept. 21 for the third straight meeting, bringing the target for the benchmark federal funds rate to a range of 3% to 3.25%.</p><p>Their quarterly Summary of Economic Projections, or dot plot, shows a median forecast of rates reaching 4.4% by the end of this year, implying a further 1.25 percentage points of tightening over their remaining two meetings in November and December.</p><p>Mester said her forecast is probably a bit above the median path because she sees inflation being persistent, based on her conversations with businesses, community development groups and other sources.</p><p>“In my SEP I have inflation coming down, but we have to bring interest rates up to get that downward shift in inflation,” she said, adding that the US economy has so far been able to handle the higher interest rates.</p><h3>UK Turmoil</h3><p>She drew a distinction between US markets and what is happening in the UK, where the Bank of England announced Wednesday that it would launch unlimited bond buying to address market dysfunction. When the Fed announced its bond purchases in the early months of the pandemic, it did so at a time when it was also lowering rates to support the economy, she said.</p><p>The BOE faces some communication issues because it is lifting rates but needed to purchase assets, which is typically viewed as a method for easing monetary policy, in order to support financial stability, Mester said.</p><p>“It’s a challenging situation for them,” Mester said. “For financial stability reasons and for market functioning reasons they had to go in and buy bonds.”</p><p>“Market functioning is incredibly important because you won’t be able to hit any monetary policy goals if the markets aren’t functioning,” she said. “That’s different than worrying about volatility in the markets.” Mester said that so far, there had been no sign of dysfunction in US financial markets.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Officials Reinforce Rate-Hike Calls, Say Markets Got Message</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Officials Reinforce Rate-Hike Calls, Say Markets Got Message\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-29 23:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-29/fed-s-bullard-says-markets-have-gotten-the-message-on-rate-hikes><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Bullard says markets have ‘digested’ message on rate hikesMester says rates are ‘still not even in restricted territory’Federal Reserve officials reiterated Thursday that they will keep raising ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-29/fed-s-bullard-says-markets-have-gotten-the-message-on-rate-hikes\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-29/fed-s-bullard-says-markets-have-gotten-the-message-on-rate-hikes","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152954810","content_text":"Bullard says markets have ‘digested’ message on rate hikesMester says rates are ‘still not even in restricted territory’Federal Reserve officials reiterated Thursday that they will keep raising interest rates to restrain high inflation, and that markets are now understanding the message.“If you look at the dots, it does look like the committee is expecting a fair amount of additional moves this year,” St. Louis Fed President James Bullard told a virtual emerging-market forum, referring to the bank’s so-called dot plot of projections. “I think that that was digested by markets and does seem to be the right interpretation.”Cleveland Fed chief Loretta Mester repeated that officials are resolute in their quest to increase rates to a level seen as restrictive.“Real interest rates -- judged by the expectations over the next year of inflation -- have to be in positive territory and held there for a time,” she said earlier in an interview on CNBC. “We’re still not even in restricted territory on the funds rate.”Fed officials raised interest rates by 75 basis points on Sept. 21 for the third straight meeting, bringing the target for the benchmark federal funds rate to a range of 3% to 3.25%.Their quarterly Summary of Economic Projections, or dot plot, shows a median forecast of rates reaching 4.4% by the end of this year, implying a further 1.25 percentage points of tightening over their remaining two meetings in November and December.Mester said her forecast is probably a bit above the median path because she sees inflation being persistent, based on her conversations with businesses, community development groups and other sources.“In my SEP I have inflation coming down, but we have to bring interest rates up to get that downward shift in inflation,” she said, adding that the US economy has so far been able to handle the higher interest rates.UK TurmoilShe drew a distinction between US markets and what is happening in the UK, where the Bank of England announced Wednesday that it would launch unlimited bond buying to address market dysfunction. When the Fed announced its bond purchases in the early months of the pandemic, it did so at a time when it was also lowering rates to support the economy, she said.The BOE faces some communication issues because it is lifting rates but needed to purchase assets, which is typically viewed as a method for easing monetary policy, in order to support financial stability, Mester said.“It’s a challenging situation for them,” Mester said. “For financial stability reasons and for market functioning reasons they had to go in and buy bonds.”“Market functioning is incredibly important because you won’t be able to hit any monetary policy goals if the markets aren’t functioning,” she said. “That’s different than worrying about volatility in the markets.” Mester said that so far, there had been no sign of dysfunction in US financial markets.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9071545442,"gmtCreate":1657576867886,"gmtModify":1676536025838,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>Maybe is time to invest","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SKLZ\">$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$</a>Maybe is time to invest","text":"$Skillz Inc(SKLZ)$Maybe is time to invest","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4c6b5d283de60fdfaf09b4b8b90d0f46","width":"960","height":"3645"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9071545442","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9055173725,"gmtCreate":1655253448067,"gmtModify":1676535595859,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055173725","repostId":"2243898545","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2243898545","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1655248424,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2243898545?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-15 07:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Big Tech Bill Has Votes Needed to Pass, Top U.S. Antitrust Lawmaker Says","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2243898545","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - A top Democratic lawmaker on antitrust issues said Tuesday a bill aimed at reining in th","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - A top Democratic lawmaker on antitrust issues said Tuesday a bill aimed at reining in the market power of Big Tech platforms like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> and Alphabet&#39;s Google had the votes to pass the both chambers of Congress in the next few weeks.</p><p>On the sidelines of an event to rally support for measures before the Senate and House of Representatives that would prevent tech platforms, including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> and Facebook, from favoring their own businesses in search and other ways, Representative David Cicilline, chair of the House antitrust subcommittee, said: &#34;I&#39;m very confident when these bills come to the floor, they will pass. Convincingly.&#34;</p><p>Asked when, he said: &#34;Before we leave for the summer, my hope is that it will happen. Obviously, best case scenario would be in the next week. Worst case scenario in my view, the month of July.&#34;</p><p>U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar, chair of a Senate antitrust panel, also said last week that she enough support in the Senate to win passage.</p><p>Representative Ken Buck, a Republican sponsor, said Tuesday he supported the bill at least partially because of his view that conservative views are stifled online. &#34;We&#39;re being discriminated against,&#34; he said.</p><p>The bills have been the subject of a ferocious amount of lobbying, with tech giants warning of dire consequences, like the disappearance of popular consumer online applications like Google Maps. Cicilline called some of those allegations &#34;lies&#34; on Tuesday.</p><p>The U.S. Chamber of Commerce opposes the bills, and said on Tuesday: &#34;The legislation would empower government bureaucracy to reign over our economy. No longer would competition be evaluated on the merits, instead the interest of consumers would be sidelined in favor of the interest of competitors.&#34;</p><p>Dozens of companies and business organizations sent a letter to U.S. lawmakers Monday, urging them to support the measures. [L1N2Y01EC] Companies supporting the measure include Yelp, Sonos, DuckDuckGo and Spotify.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Big Tech Bill Has Votes Needed to Pass, Top U.S. Antitrust Lawmaker Says</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBig Tech Bill Has Votes Needed to Pass, Top U.S. Antitrust Lawmaker Says\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-15 07:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - A top Democratic lawmaker on antitrust issues said Tuesday a bill aimed at reining in the market power of Big Tech platforms like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> and Alphabet&#39;s Google had the votes to pass the both chambers of Congress in the next few weeks.</p><p>On the sidelines of an event to rally support for measures before the Senate and House of Representatives that would prevent tech platforms, including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> and Facebook, from favoring their own businesses in search and other ways, Representative David Cicilline, chair of the House antitrust subcommittee, said: &#34;I&#39;m very confident when these bills come to the floor, they will pass. Convincingly.&#34;</p><p>Asked when, he said: &#34;Before we leave for the summer, my hope is that it will happen. Obviously, best case scenario would be in the next week. Worst case scenario in my view, the month of July.&#34;</p><p>U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar, chair of a Senate antitrust panel, also said last week that she enough support in the Senate to win passage.</p><p>Representative Ken Buck, a Republican sponsor, said Tuesday he supported the bill at least partially because of his view that conservative views are stifled online. &#34;We&#39;re being discriminated against,&#34; he said.</p><p>The bills have been the subject of a ferocious amount of lobbying, with tech giants warning of dire consequences, like the disappearance of popular consumer online applications like Google Maps. Cicilline called some of those allegations &#34;lies&#34; on Tuesday.</p><p>The U.S. Chamber of Commerce opposes the bills, and said on Tuesday: &#34;The legislation would empower government bureaucracy to reign over our economy. No longer would competition be evaluated on the merits, instead the interest of consumers would be sidelined in favor of the interest of competitors.&#34;</p><p>Dozens of companies and business organizations sent a letter to U.S. lawmakers Monday, urging them to support the measures. [L1N2Y01EC] Companies supporting the measure include Yelp, Sonos, DuckDuckGo and Spotify.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","GOOG":"谷歌","GOOGL":"谷歌A","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2243898545","content_text":"(Reuters) - A top Democratic lawmaker on antitrust issues said Tuesday a bill aimed at reining in the market power of Big Tech platforms like Amazon.com and Alphabet's Google had the votes to pass the both chambers of Congress in the next few weeks.On the sidelines of an event to rally support for measures before the Senate and House of Representatives that would prevent tech platforms, including Apple and Facebook, from favoring their own businesses in search and other ways, Representative David Cicilline, chair of the House antitrust subcommittee, said: \"I'm very confident when these bills come to the floor, they will pass. Convincingly.\"Asked when, he said: \"Before we leave for the summer, my hope is that it will happen. Obviously, best case scenario would be in the next week. Worst case scenario in my view, the month of July.\"U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar, chair of a Senate antitrust panel, also said last week that she enough support in the Senate to win passage.Representative Ken Buck, a Republican sponsor, said Tuesday he supported the bill at least partially because of his view that conservative views are stifled online. \"We're being discriminated against,\" he said.The bills have been the subject of a ferocious amount of lobbying, with tech giants warning of dire consequences, like the disappearance of popular consumer online applications like Google Maps. Cicilline called some of those allegations \"lies\" on Tuesday.The U.S. Chamber of Commerce opposes the bills, and said on Tuesday: \"The legislation would empower government bureaucracy to reign over our economy. No longer would competition be evaluated on the merits, instead the interest of consumers would be sidelined in favor of the interest of competitors.\"Dozens of companies and business organizations sent a letter to U.S. lawmakers Monday, urging them to support the measures. [L1N2Y01EC] Companies supporting the measure include Yelp, Sonos, DuckDuckGo and Spotify.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9068761670,"gmtCreate":1651807553790,"gmtModify":1676534975481,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9068761670","repostId":"1193948877","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193948877","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1651801639,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1193948877?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-06 09:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tiger Chart｜How Did U.S. Stocks Perform after Raising Interest Rates by 50 BP","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193948877","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The Fed raised interest rates by 50 basis points for the first time in more than 20 years.  We combe","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Fed raised interest rates by 50 basis points for the first time in more than 20 years.  We combed the return performance of the three major US stock indexes after interest rate increases of 50 basis points and above from 1990 to 2000. For the market, the range of interest rate increase may not be the key. The key lies in risk accumulation and whether the economy can &#34;soft landing&#34;. From the historical experience, on the premise of healthy financial market, if the Fed raises interest rate by 50bp or more, it will not necessarily cause heavy damage to the financial market. On the contrary, when the market expects full price in, the asset price may rise after the implementation of interest rate hike boots.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3742af0ad57343aa83f9f3cc7a36184d\" tg-width=\"1500\" tg-height=\"1350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tiger Chart｜How Did U.S. Stocks Perform after Raising Interest Rates by 50 BP</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTiger Chart｜How Did U.S. Stocks Perform after Raising Interest Rates by 50 BP\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-05-06 09:47</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The Fed raised interest rates by 50 basis points for the first time in more than 20 years.  We combed the return performance of the three major US stock indexes after interest rate increases of 50 basis points and above from 1990 to 2000. For the market, the range of interest rate increase may not be the key. The key lies in risk accumulation and whether the economy can &#34;soft landing&#34;. From the historical experience, on the premise of healthy financial market, if the Fed raises interest rate by 50bp or more, it will not necessarily cause heavy damage to the financial market. On the contrary, when the market expects full price in, the asset price may rise after the implementation of interest rate hike boots.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3742af0ad57343aa83f9f3cc7a36184d\" tg-width=\"1500\" tg-height=\"1350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193948877","content_text":"The Fed raised interest rates by 50 basis points for the first time in more than 20 years.  We combed the return performance of the three major US stock indexes after interest rate increases of 50 basis points and above from 1990 to 2000. For the market, the range of interest rate increase may not be the key. The key lies in risk accumulation and whether the economy can \"soft landing\". From the historical experience, on the premise of healthy financial market, if the Fed raises interest rate by 50bp or more, it will not necessarily cause heavy damage to the financial market. On the contrary, when the market expects full price in, the asset price may rise after the implementation of interest rate hike boots.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9061904750,"gmtCreate":1651547695600,"gmtModify":1676534924880,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9061904750","repostId":"2232742796","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2232742796","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1651547153,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2232742796?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-03 11:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Group: Munger Position Halved, How About Yours?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2232742796","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryFor investors who take Charlie Munger’s action into their consideration, his Alibaba holdings","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>For investors who take Charlie Munger’s action into their consideration, his Alibaba holdings now create some ambiguity.</li><li>He doubled his stake in Alibaba twice in 2021 Q3 and 2021 Q4, but then the position was reduced by about a half according to the recent Daily Journal&#39;s 13F.</li><li>To add to the ambiguity, he has given up his role as Chairman of the Daily Journal Corporation.</li><li>This article reengineers Munger’s thought process to gain insights into where Alibaba is headed next.</li><li>BABA is another textbook illustration of Munger’s wisdom of buying good businesses on the operating table, and I still hold this view after DJCO trimmed its position.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f665544ee7146e737beb7abd9b9596c\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Eric Francis/Getty Images News</span></p><p><b>Thesis</b></p><p>Many investors in Alibaba Group (NYSE:BABA) (OTCPK:BABAF) probably included Charlie Munger’s actions as part of their investment decision. Indeed, the legendary billionaire doubled down on his BABA position twice in 2021 amid market concerns, and both times created a news splash and large stock price movements. But the most recent filing from the Daily Journal Corporation (DJCO) reported that his BABA position was reduced by about a half as you can see from the chart below. To add to the ambiguity, he has also announced that he has given up his role as Chairman of the Daily Journal Corporation, a position held since 1977. Going forward, Munger will remain a director and keep being involved in its securities portfolio.</p><p>This article is my attempt to interpret Munger’s thought process surrounding his BABA positions. As his role at DJCO winds down, we can no longer rely on his actions as guidance in our BABA decisions and we will have to rely on our own judgment more. By reengineering Munger’s thoughts, we can gain insights for ourselves not only on BABA but also on other investment opportunities.</p><p>You will see next that my view is that what has happened between 2021 Q3 and Q4 best illustrates Munger’s wisdom of buying good business on the operating table, and I still hold this view after DJCO trimmed the BABA position recently.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9660e48240f12c06602d9d01717c9f9a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"259\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: dataroma.com</span></p><p><b>Munger and BABA</b></p><p>The following chart summarizes the key events that led to Munger’s actions. As you can see from the chart below, he started buying BABA shares in 2021 Q1, after a large correction in its share price caused by the cancelation of the highly anticipated Ant Group IPO. He then doubled down his stake in Alibaba twice: first in 2021 Q3 and then again in 2021 Q4.</p><p>There are certainly good reasons for Munger’s decision. As mentioned above, the market reacted too quickly based on perception (based on the information available at that time). As a result, even though BABA’s core business is intact, its valuation became too compressed when Munger pulled the trigger to double down his bets. It is a textbook reflection of his wisdom of buying a good business on the operating table. At the prices he bought into BABA, it was valued as a terminally cheap and stagnating business, while its core fundamentals not only remain intact but also well-positioned for growth, as elaborated in the next section immediately below.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c9aab2ae2ddd5b74d6ef33ed6ea3682\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"283\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Yahoo Finance and Author</span></p><p><b>BABA’s core business remains intact</b></p><p>Firstly, my view is that many of the ongoing uncertainties as shown above (the Russian-Ukraine war, COVID interruptions, and the delisting fear) are only temporary and have little long-term relevance to BABA&#39;s existing core retail business. Secondly, the China government has expressed commitment to stabilizing the market and stimulating the economy. And key players like BABA will directly benefit from the government support, as reflected in the large share price rallies shortly after such announcements.</p><p>Under the above background, now let&#39;s look at BABA’s core retail business. BABA reported a total of 1.28 billion Annual Active Consumers Globally for the twelve months ended December 31, 2021. It is an increase of approximately 43 million from the twelve months ended September 30, 2021. This includes 979 million consumers in China and 301 million consumers overseas, representing a quarterly net increase of over 26 million (2.6%) and 16 million (about 5%), respectively. Such growth rates may be lower than its faster pace in the past. However, they are still very healthy growth rates at BABA’s scale. And again, the market overaction has compressed its valuation so much so that it is now viewed as a terminally cheap and stagnating business. But the reality is the opposite.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e09f58f155de8d774911dedd2de0f281\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"338\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>BABA Earnings report</span></p><p>Looking forward, I see the business well-positioned for future growth and the fear overblown for a few key considerations. As aforementioned, upon rational examination, many recent developments are not only temporary but also irrelevant or even positive for BABA. For example, in Sept 2021, BABA made a pledge of 100 billion RMB (or about $15.5B or $3.1B per year) to the Chinese common prosperity fund. To me, this is a positive sign because it shows that the Chinese government is working out a path forward for BABA and hints at what a “new norm” could be for BABA. And also the recent separation of its China retail and international retail is also a positive development in my view. it compartmentalized the regulatory complications and risks for its core business. BABA is now well-positioned to capture the international market. Cainiao continues to expand its global infrastructure by strengthening its end-to-end logistics capabilities, including ehubs, line-haul, sorting centers, and last-mile network.</p><p><b>BABA’s other high-growth opportunities</b></p><p>Besides its core bread-and-butter business, BABA is also well-positioned to capitalize on its investments in other high-growth and high-margin opportunities both domestically and internationally. It is in a key strategic position to capitalize on its local and cross-border supply and global infrastructure in many key areas.</p><p>Its cloud segment is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the highlights. The cloud market in China is projected to grow from RMB 0.2 Trillion in 2020 to RMB 1.0 Trillion in 2025, a 5x growth in 5 years. BABA’s cloud computing revenue grew by 50% year-on-year in its last fiscal year (which ended on 31 March 2021) despite losing a major customer in the March quarter. Since then, its cloud segment grew by another 20% year-over-year to RMB19.5B million (US$3.1B million) in the most recent quarter. At the same time, its cloud revenue is also becoming more diversified. The revenue sources used to be dominated by the internet industry (about 60%). As of the last quarter, the share of the revenue from the internet industry has decreased to about 48%. The solid 20% year-over-year growth reflected robust growth from other key sectors such as the financial and telecommunication industries.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3115a0e3831d1e821d9bf124fb342f5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"358\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>BABA earnings report</span></p><p><b>Valuation too cheap to ignore</b></p><p>Munger bought BABA shares on the operating table when it was valued as a terminally cheap business. The valuation is still too cheap to ignore. BABA remains deeply undervalued in terms of all the metrics, net earnings, free cash flow, and assets. As seen from the chart below, it’s current valued at about 12x FW PE. And according to consensus estimates, its valuation at the current price will be in the single-digit range starting in 2025 and at about only 6x by 2028.</p><p>At the same time, there is a large cash position on its balance sheet, making the valuation even more compressed than on the surface. Currently, about one-third of its market cap is in its current assets, and more than a half in its current assets, properties, and equity investments. With its China commerce raking in more than $90B of sales per year, the current valuation is equivalent to A) purchasing its equity at book value, B) paying for its China commerce operation at about 1.6x sales (Amazon is valued at about 3.5x sales in contrast), and C) getting all its other operations for free.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e840aa8a60cc3895b5046c5d64b48e23\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"281\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Seeking Alpha</span></p><p><b>Conclusions and risks</b></p><p>This article attempts to reengineer Munger’s thought process surrounding his BABA positions. My view is that what has happened between 2021 Q3 and Q4 is another textbook illustration of his wisdom of buying good business on the operating table. And I still hold this view after DJCO trimmed the BABA position recently. In particular,</p><ul><li>My view is that as his role at DJCO winds down, the trim does not reflect his view anymore. At this point, BABA’s core businesses remain intact and are well-positioned for many high-growth areas especially its cloud computing and CAINIAO logistic infrastructure.</li><li>Many current fears (listed below) are overblown or irrelevant to the business fundamentals in the long term. On the opposite, in the nearer term, BABA investment is further protected at this point by its large share repurchase plan and the Chinese government to stabilize the market and its economy. Its $25B share repurchase plan will shrink the share count by almost 9% at its current price. Given its current undervaluation, it will be highly accreditive to boost shareholder returns.</li></ul><p>Finally, BABA investment does involve considerable risks and is definitely not suitable for all investment styles. The key risks as I see are elaborated below.</p><ul><li>First, large price volatilities. its stock price has recently become dominated by market sentiment and disconnected from fundamentals. Its stock prices easily fluctuated 30%+ in a few days or even a single day recently in response to news and sentiments that may or may not have direct relevance to its business fundamentals.</li><li>Second, the VIE structure risk could lead to a 100% loss. The Chinese government could confiscate foreign investments in BABA if they decide foreign investments made in BABA under the VEI structure are illegal according to Chinese law.</li><li>Third, the delisting risk could also lead to a substantial loss. It led to a 20%+ loss following the next few days in the recent DiDi delisting example.</li><li>Lastly, given the above large uncertainties, potential investors may consider a long call option to limit total exposure risks. As detailed in my earlier article, I think the market’s perception of its price variation is too conservative, resulting in a mispricing of its implied volatility.</li></ul></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Group: Munger Position Halved, How About Yours?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Group: Munger Position Halved, How About Yours?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-05-03 11:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4505816-alibaba-group-munger-position-halved-how-about-yours><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryFor investors who take Charlie Munger’s action into their consideration, his Alibaba holdings now create some ambiguity.He doubled his stake in Alibaba twice in 2021 Q3 and 2021 Q4, but then ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4505816-alibaba-group-munger-position-halved-how-about-yours\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4505816-alibaba-group-munger-position-halved-how-about-yours","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2232742796","content_text":"SummaryFor investors who take Charlie Munger’s action into their consideration, his Alibaba holdings now create some ambiguity.He doubled his stake in Alibaba twice in 2021 Q3 and 2021 Q4, but then the position was reduced by about a half according to the recent Daily Journal's 13F.To add to the ambiguity, he has given up his role as Chairman of the Daily Journal Corporation.This article reengineers Munger’s thought process to gain insights into where Alibaba is headed next.BABA is another textbook illustration of Munger’s wisdom of buying good businesses on the operating table, and I still hold this view after DJCO trimmed its position.Eric Francis/Getty Images NewsThesisMany investors in Alibaba Group (NYSE:BABA) (OTCPK:BABAF) probably included Charlie Munger’s actions as part of their investment decision. Indeed, the legendary billionaire doubled down on his BABA position twice in 2021 amid market concerns, and both times created a news splash and large stock price movements. But the most recent filing from the Daily Journal Corporation (DJCO) reported that his BABA position was reduced by about a half as you can see from the chart below. To add to the ambiguity, he has also announced that he has given up his role as Chairman of the Daily Journal Corporation, a position held since 1977. Going forward, Munger will remain a director and keep being involved in its securities portfolio.This article is my attempt to interpret Munger’s thought process surrounding his BABA positions. As his role at DJCO winds down, we can no longer rely on his actions as guidance in our BABA decisions and we will have to rely on our own judgment more. By reengineering Munger’s thoughts, we can gain insights for ourselves not only on BABA but also on other investment opportunities.You will see next that my view is that what has happened between 2021 Q3 and Q4 best illustrates Munger’s wisdom of buying good business on the operating table, and I still hold this view after DJCO trimmed the BABA position recently.Source: dataroma.comMunger and BABAThe following chart summarizes the key events that led to Munger’s actions. As you can see from the chart below, he started buying BABA shares in 2021 Q1, after a large correction in its share price caused by the cancelation of the highly anticipated Ant Group IPO. He then doubled down his stake in Alibaba twice: first in 2021 Q3 and then again in 2021 Q4.There are certainly good reasons for Munger’s decision. As mentioned above, the market reacted too quickly based on perception (based on the information available at that time). As a result, even though BABA’s core business is intact, its valuation became too compressed when Munger pulled the trigger to double down his bets. It is a textbook reflection of his wisdom of buying a good business on the operating table. At the prices he bought into BABA, it was valued as a terminally cheap and stagnating business, while its core fundamentals not only remain intact but also well-positioned for growth, as elaborated in the next section immediately below.Yahoo Finance and AuthorBABA’s core business remains intactFirstly, my view is that many of the ongoing uncertainties as shown above (the Russian-Ukraine war, COVID interruptions, and the delisting fear) are only temporary and have little long-term relevance to BABA's existing core retail business. Secondly, the China government has expressed commitment to stabilizing the market and stimulating the economy. And key players like BABA will directly benefit from the government support, as reflected in the large share price rallies shortly after such announcements.Under the above background, now let's look at BABA’s core retail business. BABA reported a total of 1.28 billion Annual Active Consumers Globally for the twelve months ended December 31, 2021. It is an increase of approximately 43 million from the twelve months ended September 30, 2021. This includes 979 million consumers in China and 301 million consumers overseas, representing a quarterly net increase of over 26 million (2.6%) and 16 million (about 5%), respectively. Such growth rates may be lower than its faster pace in the past. However, they are still very healthy growth rates at BABA’s scale. And again, the market overaction has compressed its valuation so much so that it is now viewed as a terminally cheap and stagnating business. But the reality is the opposite.BABA Earnings reportLooking forward, I see the business well-positioned for future growth and the fear overblown for a few key considerations. As aforementioned, upon rational examination, many recent developments are not only temporary but also irrelevant or even positive for BABA. For example, in Sept 2021, BABA made a pledge of 100 billion RMB (or about $15.5B or $3.1B per year) to the Chinese common prosperity fund. To me, this is a positive sign because it shows that the Chinese government is working out a path forward for BABA and hints at what a “new norm” could be for BABA. And also the recent separation of its China retail and international retail is also a positive development in my view. it compartmentalized the regulatory complications and risks for its core business. BABA is now well-positioned to capture the international market. Cainiao continues to expand its global infrastructure by strengthening its end-to-end logistics capabilities, including ehubs, line-haul, sorting centers, and last-mile network.BABA’s other high-growth opportunitiesBesides its core bread-and-butter business, BABA is also well-positioned to capitalize on its investments in other high-growth and high-margin opportunities both domestically and internationally. It is in a key strategic position to capitalize on its local and cross-border supply and global infrastructure in many key areas.Its cloud segment is one of the highlights. The cloud market in China is projected to grow from RMB 0.2 Trillion in 2020 to RMB 1.0 Trillion in 2025, a 5x growth in 5 years. BABA’s cloud computing revenue grew by 50% year-on-year in its last fiscal year (which ended on 31 March 2021) despite losing a major customer in the March quarter. Since then, its cloud segment grew by another 20% year-over-year to RMB19.5B million (US$3.1B million) in the most recent quarter. At the same time, its cloud revenue is also becoming more diversified. The revenue sources used to be dominated by the internet industry (about 60%). As of the last quarter, the share of the revenue from the internet industry has decreased to about 48%. The solid 20% year-over-year growth reflected robust growth from other key sectors such as the financial and telecommunication industries.BABA earnings reportValuation too cheap to ignoreMunger bought BABA shares on the operating table when it was valued as a terminally cheap business. The valuation is still too cheap to ignore. BABA remains deeply undervalued in terms of all the metrics, net earnings, free cash flow, and assets. As seen from the chart below, it’s current valued at about 12x FW PE. And according to consensus estimates, its valuation at the current price will be in the single-digit range starting in 2025 and at about only 6x by 2028.At the same time, there is a large cash position on its balance sheet, making the valuation even more compressed than on the surface. Currently, about one-third of its market cap is in its current assets, and more than a half in its current assets, properties, and equity investments. With its China commerce raking in more than $90B of sales per year, the current valuation is equivalent to A) purchasing its equity at book value, B) paying for its China commerce operation at about 1.6x sales (Amazon is valued at about 3.5x sales in contrast), and C) getting all its other operations for free.Seeking AlphaConclusions and risksThis article attempts to reengineer Munger’s thought process surrounding his BABA positions. My view is that what has happened between 2021 Q3 and Q4 is another textbook illustration of his wisdom of buying good business on the operating table. And I still hold this view after DJCO trimmed the BABA position recently. In particular,My view is that as his role at DJCO winds down, the trim does not reflect his view anymore. At this point, BABA’s core businesses remain intact and are well-positioned for many high-growth areas especially its cloud computing and CAINIAO logistic infrastructure.Many current fears (listed below) are overblown or irrelevant to the business fundamentals in the long term. On the opposite, in the nearer term, BABA investment is further protected at this point by its large share repurchase plan and the Chinese government to stabilize the market and its economy. Its $25B share repurchase plan will shrink the share count by almost 9% at its current price. Given its current undervaluation, it will be highly accreditive to boost shareholder returns.Finally, BABA investment does involve considerable risks and is definitely not suitable for all investment styles. The key risks as I see are elaborated below.First, large price volatilities. its stock price has recently become dominated by market sentiment and disconnected from fundamentals. Its stock prices easily fluctuated 30%+ in a few days or even a single day recently in response to news and sentiments that may or may not have direct relevance to its business fundamentals.Second, the VIE structure risk could lead to a 100% loss. The Chinese government could confiscate foreign investments in BABA if they decide foreign investments made in BABA under the VEI structure are illegal according to Chinese law.Third, the delisting risk could also lead to a substantial loss. It led to a 20%+ loss following the next few days in the recent DiDi delisting example.Lastly, given the above large uncertainties, potential investors may consider a long call option to limit total exposure risks. As detailed in my earlier article, I think the market’s perception of its price variation is too conservative, resulting in a mispricing of its implied volatility.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":78,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9023652411,"gmtCreate":1652917814633,"gmtModify":1676535187348,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good&nbsp;","listText":"Good&nbsp;","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9023652411","repostId":"2236143467","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":186,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9012413444,"gmtCreate":1649373999632,"gmtModify":1676534499411,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok&nbsp;","listText":"Ok&nbsp;","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9012413444","repostId":"2225543880","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2225543880","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1649373544,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2225543880?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-08 07:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft Says It Disrupted Attempted Hacks By Russian Spies","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2225543880","media":"Reuters","summary":"Microsoft Corp said on Thursday it had disrupted hacking attempts by Russian military spies aimed at","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Microsoft Corp said on Thursday it had disrupted hacking attempts by Russian military spies aimed at breaking into Ukrainian, European Union, and American targets.</p><p>In a blog post the tech firm said a group it nicknamed &#34;Strontium&#34; was using seven internet domains as part of an effort to spy on government bodies and think tanks in the EU and the United States, as well as Ukrainian institutions such as media organizations.</p><p>Microsoft did not identify any of the targets by name.</p><p>Strontium is Microsoft&#39;s moniker for a group others often call Fancy Bear or APT28 - a hacking squad linked to Russia&#39;s military intelligence agency.</p><p>The Russian Embassy in Washington did not immediately return a message seeking comment.</p><p>Ukraine has been buffeted by hacking attempts since Russian forces invaded the country in February.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft Says It Disrupted Attempted Hacks By Russian Spies</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft Says It Disrupted Attempted Hacks By Russian Spies\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-04-08 07:19</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Microsoft Corp said on Thursday it had disrupted hacking attempts by Russian military spies aimed at breaking into Ukrainian, European Union, and American targets.</p><p>In a blog post the tech firm said a group it nicknamed &#34;Strontium&#34; was using seven internet domains as part of an effort to spy on government bodies and think tanks in the EU and the United States, as well as Ukrainian institutions such as media organizations.</p><p>Microsoft did not identify any of the targets by name.</p><p>Strontium is Microsoft&#39;s moniker for a group others often call Fancy Bear or APT28 - a hacking squad linked to Russia&#39;s military intelligence agency.</p><p>The Russian Embassy in Washington did not immediately return a message seeking comment.</p><p>Ukraine has been buffeted by hacking attempts since Russian forces invaded the country in February.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4576":"AR","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4566":"资本集团","MSFT":"微软","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4538":"云计算","BK4577":"网络游戏","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4097":"系统软件","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2225543880","content_text":"Microsoft Corp said on Thursday it had disrupted hacking attempts by Russian military spies aimed at breaking into Ukrainian, European Union, and American targets.In a blog post the tech firm said a group it nicknamed \"Strontium\" was using seven internet domains as part of an effort to spy on government bodies and think tanks in the EU and the United States, as well as Ukrainian institutions such as media organizations.Microsoft did not identify any of the targets by name.Strontium is Microsoft's moniker for a group others often call Fancy Bear or APT28 - a hacking squad linked to Russia's military intelligence agency.The Russian Embassy in Washington did not immediately return a message seeking comment.Ukraine has been buffeted by hacking attempts since Russian forces invaded the country in February.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":186,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9037551836,"gmtCreate":1648158000974,"gmtModify":1676534309354,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9037551836","repostId":"1162291994","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162291994","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1648131782,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1162291994?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-24 22:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV Stocks Slid in Morning Trading ,with Xpeng and Nio Falling About 4%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162291994","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks slid in morning trading, with Xpeng and Nio falling about 4%.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>EV stocks slid in morning trading, with Xpeng and Nio falling about 4%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ce86152ee99fc7c51bf5701fb83b90c\" tg-width=\"316\" tg-height=\"208\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV Stocks Slid in Morning Trading ,with Xpeng and Nio Falling About 4%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV Stocks Slid in Morning Trading ,with Xpeng and Nio Falling About 4%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-24 22:23</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>EV stocks slid in morning trading, with Xpeng and Nio falling about 4%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ce86152ee99fc7c51bf5701fb83b90c\" tg-width=\"316\" tg-height=\"208\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162291994","content_text":"EV stocks slid in morning trading, with Xpeng and Nio falling about 4%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":212,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9989158295,"gmtCreate":1665962003718,"gmtModify":1676537682522,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989158295","repostId":"2276758809","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2276758809","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1665946740,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2276758809?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-17 02:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla, Netflix Set to Report Earnings: What to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2276758809","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Third-quarter earnings season picks up this week, with more than 60 S&P 500 companies scheduled to r","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Third-quarter earnings season picks up this week, with more than 60 S&amp;P 500 companies scheduled to report. The economic calendar will bring a bevy of housing-market indicators and other data.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCHW\">Charles Schwab</a> will be Monday&#39;s earnings highlights, followed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMT\">Lockheed Martin</a>, Johnson &amp; Johnson, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">Intuitive Surgical</a> on Tuesday.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>, Procter &amp; Gamble, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> Airlines Holdings, and Nestlé release results on Wednesday. Thursday will be busy: Blackstone, Dow, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">American Airlines</a> Group, AT&amp;T, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">Union Pacific</a>, Snap, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SAM\">Boston Beer</a> all report. Finally, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZA\">Verizon</a> Communications, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLB\">Schlumberger</a> close the week on Friday.</p><p>Housing data out this week will include the National Association of Home Builders&#39; NAHB/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a> Housing Market Index for October on Tuesday, the Census Bureau&#39;s new residential construction data for September on Wednesday, and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NHLDW\">National</a> Association of Realtors&#39; existing-home sales for September on Thursday.</p><p>Other economic releases this week include the Federal Reserve&#39;s latest beige book on Wednesday and the Conference Board&#39;s Leading Economic Index for September on Thursday.</p><p><b>Monday 10/17</b></p><p>Bank of America, Charles Schwab, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BK\">Bank of New York Mellon</a> report third-quarter earnings.</p><p>The Federal Reserve Bank of New York releases its Empire State Manufacturing Survey for October. Expectations are for a minus 2.5 reading, compared with minus 1.5 in September. Readings above zero represent economic expansion in the survey.</p><p><b>Tuesday 10/18</b></p><p>Netflix, Lockheed Martin, Albertsons, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HAS\">Hasbro</a>, Johnson &amp; Johnson, Roche Holding, Goldman Sachs, Truist Financial, State Street, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBKR\">Interactive Brokers</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OMC\">Omnicom</a> Group, J.B. Hunt Transport Services, and Intuitive Surgical are among companies discussing financial results.</p><p>The Federal Reserve releases industrial production data for September. Economists are looking for no change, after a 0.2% drop in August. Capacity utilization is expected at 79.9%, roughly in line with August&#39;s 80.0%.</p><p>The National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for October. Consensus estimate is for a 43.5 reading, compared with 46 in September. The index has dropped every month in 2022 from its 84 reading in December.</p><p><b>Wednesday 10/19</b></p><p>The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.480 million new housing starts, compared with 1.575 million in August.</p><p>IBM, Tesla, Procter &amp; Gamble, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRV\">Travelers</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CFG\">Citizens Financial Group</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBCP\">United</a> Airlines Holdings, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABT\">Abbott Laboratories</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust, Nestlé, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHGE\">Baker Hughes</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOM\">Ally Financial</a>, ASML Holding, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LRCX\">Lam Research</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLD\">Prologis</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AA\">Alcoa</a> hold earnings calls with investors.</p><p>The Federal Reserve Bank releases its beige book on current economic conditions among its 12 districts.</p><p>Thursday 10/20</p><p>Blackstone, Dow, Union Pacific, NextEra Energy, KeyCorp, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MAN\">ManpowerGroup</a>, Snap-On, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DHR\">Danaher</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">American</a> Airlines Group, AT&amp;T, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a> International, Union Pacific, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DGX\">Quest Diagnostics</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GPC\">Genuine Parts</a>, CSX, Snap, and Boston Beer hold earnings conference calls.</p><p>The Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for September. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted 0.3% month-over-month decline, after a 0.3% drop in August.</p><p>The National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for September. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.70 million homes sold, compared with 4.80 million in August.</p><p>The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index is released. Estimates call for a minus 5.0 reading in October, compared with minus 9.9 in September.</p><p>Friday 10/21</p><p>American Express, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WHR\">Whirlpool</a>, Regions Financial, HCA <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/THC\">Tenet Healthcare</a>, and Schlumberger hold earnings conference calls.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla, Netflix Set to Report Earnings: What to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla, Netflix Set to Report Earnings: What to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-17 02:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Third-quarter earnings season picks up this week, with more than 60 S&amp;P 500 companies scheduled to report. The economic calendar will bring a bevy of housing-market indicators and other data.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCHW\">Charles Schwab</a> will be Monday&#39;s earnings highlights, followed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMT\">Lockheed Martin</a>, Johnson &amp; Johnson, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISRG\">Intuitive Surgical</a> on Tuesday.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBM\">IBM</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>, Procter &amp; Gamble, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBNK\">United</a> Airlines Holdings, and Nestlé release results on Wednesday. Thursday will be busy: Blackstone, Dow, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAL\">American Airlines</a> Group, AT&amp;T, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">Union Pacific</a>, Snap, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SAM\">Boston Beer</a> all report. Finally, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZA\">Verizon</a> Communications, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SLB\">Schlumberger</a> close the week on Friday.</p><p>Housing data out this week will include the National Association of Home Builders&#39; NAHB/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a> Housing Market Index for October on Tuesday, the Census Bureau&#39;s new residential construction data for September on Wednesday, and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NHLDW\">National</a> Association of Realtors&#39; existing-home sales for September on Thursday.</p><p>Other economic releases this week include the Federal Reserve&#39;s latest beige book on Wednesday and the Conference Board&#39;s Leading Economic Index for September on Thursday.</p><p><b>Monday 10/17</b></p><p>Bank of America, Charles Schwab, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BK\">Bank of New York Mellon</a> report third-quarter earnings.</p><p>The Federal Reserve Bank of New York releases its Empire State Manufacturing Survey for October. Expectations are for a minus 2.5 reading, compared with minus 1.5 in September. Readings above zero represent economic expansion in the survey.</p><p><b>Tuesday 10/18</b></p><p>Netflix, Lockheed Martin, Albertsons, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HAS\">Hasbro</a>, Johnson &amp; Johnson, Roche Holding, Goldman Sachs, Truist Financial, State Street, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBKR\">Interactive Brokers</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OMC\">Omnicom</a> Group, J.B. Hunt Transport Services, and Intuitive Surgical are among companies discussing financial results.</p><p>The Federal Reserve releases industrial production data for September. Economists are looking for no change, after a 0.2% drop in August. Capacity utilization is expected at 79.9%, roughly in line with August&#39;s 80.0%.</p><p>The National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for October. Consensus estimate is for a 43.5 reading, compared with 46 in September. The index has dropped every month in 2022 from its 84 reading in December.</p><p><b>Wednesday 10/19</b></p><p>The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.480 million new housing starts, compared with 1.575 million in August.</p><p>IBM, Tesla, Procter &amp; Gamble, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRV\">Travelers</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CFG\">Citizens Financial Group</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBCP\">United</a> Airlines Holdings, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABT\">Abbott Laboratories</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust, Nestlé, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BHGE\">Baker Hughes</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOM\">Ally Financial</a>, ASML Holding, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LRCX\">Lam Research</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLD\">Prologis</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AA\">Alcoa</a> hold earnings calls with investors.</p><p>The Federal Reserve Bank releases its beige book on current economic conditions among its 12 districts.</p><p>Thursday 10/20</p><p>Blackstone, Dow, Union Pacific, NextEra Energy, KeyCorp, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MAN\">ManpowerGroup</a>, Snap-On, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DHR\">Danaher</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">American</a> Airlines Group, AT&amp;T, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PM\">Philip Morris</a> International, Union Pacific, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DGX\">Quest Diagnostics</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GPC\">Genuine Parts</a>, CSX, Snap, and Boston Beer hold earnings conference calls.</p><p>The Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for September. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted 0.3% month-over-month decline, after a 0.3% drop in August.</p><p>The National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for September. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.70 million homes sold, compared with 4.80 million in August.</p><p>The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index is released. Estimates call for a minus 5.0 reading in October, compared with minus 9.9 in September.</p><p>Friday 10/21</p><p>American Express, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WHR\">Whirlpool</a>, Regions Financial, HCA <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/THC\">Tenet Healthcare</a>, and Schlumberger hold earnings conference calls.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2276758809","content_text":"Third-quarter earnings season picks up this week, with more than 60 S&P 500 companies scheduled to report. The economic calendar will bring a bevy of housing-market indicators and other data.Bank of America and Charles Schwab will be Monday's earnings highlights, followed by Netflix, Lockheed Martin, Johnson & Johnson, Goldman Sachs, and Intuitive Surgical on Tuesday.IBM, Tesla, Procter & Gamble, United Airlines Holdings, and Nestlé release results on Wednesday. Thursday will be busy: Blackstone, Dow, American Airlines Group, AT&T, Union Pacific, Snap, and Boston Beer all report. Finally, American Express, Verizon Communications, and Schlumberger close the week on Friday.Housing data out this week will include the National Association of Home Builders' NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for October on Tuesday, the Census Bureau's new residential construction data for September on Wednesday, and the National Association of Realtors' existing-home sales for September on Thursday.Other economic releases this week include the Federal Reserve's latest beige book on Wednesday and the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index for September on Thursday.Monday 10/17Bank of America, Charles Schwab, and Bank of New York Mellon report third-quarter earnings.The Federal Reserve Bank of New York releases its Empire State Manufacturing Survey for October. Expectations are for a minus 2.5 reading, compared with minus 1.5 in September. Readings above zero represent economic expansion in the survey.Tuesday 10/18Netflix, Lockheed Martin, Albertsons, Hasbro, Johnson & Johnson, Roche Holding, Goldman Sachs, Truist Financial, State Street, Interactive Brokers, Omnicom Group, J.B. Hunt Transport Services, and Intuitive Surgical are among companies discussing financial results.The Federal Reserve releases industrial production data for September. Economists are looking for no change, after a 0.2% drop in August. Capacity utilization is expected at 79.9%, roughly in line with August's 80.0%.The National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for October. Consensus estimate is for a 43.5 reading, compared with 46 in September. The index has dropped every month in 2022 from its 84 reading in December.Wednesday 10/19The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data for September. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.480 million new housing starts, compared with 1.575 million in August.IBM, Tesla, Procter & Gamble, Travelers, Citizens Financial Group, United Airlines Holdings, Abbott Laboratories, Northern Trust, Nestlé, Nasdaq, Baker Hughes, Ally Financial, ASML Holding, Lam Research, Prologis, and Alcoa hold earnings calls with investors.The Federal Reserve Bank releases its beige book on current economic conditions among its 12 districts.Thursday 10/20Blackstone, Dow, Union Pacific, NextEra Energy, KeyCorp, ManpowerGroup, Snap-On, Danaher, American Airlines Group, AT&T, Philip Morris International, Union Pacific, Quest Diagnostics, Genuine Parts, CSX, Snap, and Boston Beer hold earnings conference calls.The Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for September. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted 0.3% month-over-month decline, after a 0.3% drop in August.The National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for September. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.70 million homes sold, compared with 4.80 million in August.The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index is released. Estimates call for a minus 5.0 reading in October, compared with minus 9.9 in September.Friday 10/21American Express, Whirlpool, Regions Financial, HCA Healthcare, Tenet Healthcare, and Schlumberger hold earnings conference calls.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915549532,"gmtCreate":1665092397626,"gmtModify":1676537553885,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915549532","repostId":"2273840514","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2273840514","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1665044703,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2273840514?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-06 16:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla: Agree To Buy At $200, Get Instant 3%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273840514","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Return:The premium collected  for setting aside $20,000 represents a 3% return for a month. This is a handy return anytime and even more so in the current market environment. At this time, the market assigns at 77.20% probability that Tesla remains above $200 by expiration on November 4th. To reiterate the impact of the recent stock split, the same transaction would have required $60,000 to be set aside as we'd have been talking about a $600 strike price. Granted, the premium returns would be hi","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>A 10% haircut after losing 36% from highs makes Tesla more attractive.</li><li>This article explains why $200 is attractive to us.</li><li>Always be aware of your risks when dealing with options. Play safe.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7f3cb26254a710c00fc93610b6f816b\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>jetcityimage</span></p><p>Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) lost nearly 10% of its stock price recently after deliveries underwhelmed as Seeking Alpha has covered here. These are strange times for the stock market as companies that are worth a Trillion lose in oneday what most companies are not even worth in their lifetime. Keep in mind, Tesla lost nearly 10% on a day the market rebounded. If the recent sentiment prevails on Tesla (as we are betting), then the next few red days for the market will be much harder for Tesla longs. But, with such pain come opportunities for those who can stomach the wild rides.</p><p>The stock is rebounding a bit in premarket due to the general market mood and the news that Cathy Wood dipped into the sell-off. But we strongly believe the next few days will provide some juicy opportunities for those willing to sell cash-secured puts. Tesla&#39;s recent stock split makes these transactions a lot easier for retail investors. Before the recent 3:1 split, selling a single contract for 100 shares would have required three times the capital to be set aside. Let us use the chain below as an example and see how things look now post-split.</p><h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/169ef27872a01b2f4e10b8f2bbb3595a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"149\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>TSLA Option Chain (Think or Swim)</span></p>Key data points</h2><ul><li>Strike Price: $200</li><li>Expiration Date: November 4th, 2022, exactly a month from today.</li><li>Premium: $6/share, for a total of $600.</li></ul><p>In simple words, the put seller collects $600 immediately to buy 100 shares of Tesla at $200 if the stock reaches $200 or below by November 4th, 2022. Bear in mind that time decay is in favor of the option seller, meaning as days go by, the option values decline.</p><h2>What&#39;s the expected return and possible outcomes?</h2><p><b>Return:</b> The premium collected ($600) for setting aside $20,000 represents a 3% return for a month. This is a handy return anytime and even more so in the current market environment. At this time, the market assigns at 77.20% probability that Tesla remains above $200 by expiration on November 4th. To reiterate the impact of the recent stock split, the same transaction would have required $60,000 to be set aside as we&#39;d have been talking about a $600 strike price. Granted, the premium returns would be higher (in dollar), but it is common sense that more investors can afford $20,000 compared to those who can afford $60,000.</p><p><i>Outcome #1:</i> If Tesla stays above $200 by the expiration date, the option seller just retains the premium mentioned above. The option seller will not be obligated to buy the shares.</p><p><i>Outcome #2:</i> If Tesla goes below $200 by the expiration date, the option seller will be forced to buy 100 shares at $200, irrespective of where the stock trades at that time. Keeping the premium netted in mind, the average cost, in this case, will be $194 ($200 minus $6).</p><p><i>Outcome #3:</i> As an option seller, one can &#34;buy to close&#34; anytime instead of waiting till the expiration date. That may be appealing to those who have the time and patience to play short-dated options many times over. But we typically let the option expire before choosing another chain (or another stock).</p><p>Outcome #4: We will write in detail about this in a future article, but we wanted to mention this as many readers of the Amazon (AMZN) article pointed out. An option seller can always roll into future dated options. That is, instead of getting out of the game entirely by following one of the first three outcomes above, you can close the current option and initiate a new chain with a different strike/expiration/premium combination as a single transaction. There are risks and advantages to this as we plan to describe later.</p><h2>Why $200 Looks attractive?</h2><ul><li><b>Trend:</b> Apart from being a nice round number, $200 is about 20% below the current market price, a bear market by itself by definition. That is on top of the 36% already lost from highs, making $200 more than 50% off from highs. In our view, that is a compelling enough pullback for a company that still has many growth avenues in front of it.</li><li><b>Valuation:</b> At $200, Tesla will be trading at a PEG ratio of less than 1. This is based on a forward multiple of 46 [$200 divided by forward EPS of $4.32] and the five year expected growth rate of 55%. As avid followers of Growth at Reasonable Price [GARP] would attest, a PEG of less than 1 makes a stock more attractive.</li><li><b>Technical:</b> From a technical standpoint, $200 has historically offered plenty of support to the stock. As shown in the chart below, the stock has bounced off from $200 level at least five times in the last two years.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ff7c149c2736d5d318a9f05d5f660af\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>TSLA Chart (Google Charts)</span></p><h2>Many ways to skin the cat</h2><p>If the $200 strike price and the 3% premium return don&#39;t appeal to you and if you are looking for a higher premium return, consider strike price like the one below. In this example, the options seller agrees to buy 100 shares of Tesla at $220 should the stock reach that by November 4th, while collecting a premium of about $11 per share. That&#39;s a much higher return of 5% return in a month, but the risk the seller takes here is that the strike price is just 10% away from the current market price. One more day like yesterday, and you may be obligated to buy the shares. That is not necessarily a good or bad thing. It just depends on what your priority is.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e27902d5809db65325baf7bd85b6e4f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"212\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>TSLA Chain (Think or Swim)</span></p><h2>Be aware of your risks and choices</h2><p>Once again, please bear in mind that if your primary interest is in getting premiums, selling puts during down-trending markets may not be the best strategy. If the market blood bath continues, your stock may reach the strike price before you blink. However, if your interest is in acquiring the stock should things fall further, this is a wise strategy. The added income through premium does not hurt either. If you already hold at least 100 shares of Tesla, you may want to consider selling covered call if you understand that strategy. This article explains some basics of it.</p><h2>Conclusion</h2><p>Tesla is a volatile company. TSLA is a volatile stock. Tesla is led by a volatile man. And the market is volatile these days. That makes it a double-double-whammy. In such cases, we tend to prefer lower strike prices. If we do get assigned Tesla at the $200 strike price, we will be glad to hold it for the long term for the reasons mentioned above. But that&#39;s us. What is your opinion of Tesla here? Do you believe it will still be overvalued buying at $200? Please leave your comments and opinions below.</p><p><i>This article is written by Tradevestor for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla: Agree To Buy At $200, Get Instant 3%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla: Agree To Buy At $200, Get Instant 3%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-06 16:25 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544869-tesla-agree-to-buy-at-200-get-instant-3-percent><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryA 10% haircut after losing 36% from highs makes Tesla more attractive.This article explains why $200 is attractive to us.Always be aware of your risks when dealing with options. Play safe....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544869-tesla-agree-to-buy-at-200-get-instant-3-percent\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544869-tesla-agree-to-buy-at-200-get-instant-3-percent","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273840514","content_text":"SummaryA 10% haircut after losing 36% from highs makes Tesla more attractive.This article explains why $200 is attractive to us.Always be aware of your risks when dealing with options. Play safe.jetcityimageTesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) lost nearly 10% of its stock price recently after deliveries underwhelmed as Seeking Alpha has covered here. These are strange times for the stock market as companies that are worth a Trillion lose in oneday what most companies are not even worth in their lifetime. Keep in mind, Tesla lost nearly 10% on a day the market rebounded. If the recent sentiment prevails on Tesla (as we are betting), then the next few red days for the market will be much harder for Tesla longs. But, with such pain come opportunities for those who can stomach the wild rides.The stock is rebounding a bit in premarket due to the general market mood and the news that Cathy Wood dipped into the sell-off. But we strongly believe the next few days will provide some juicy opportunities for those willing to sell cash-secured puts. Tesla's recent stock split makes these transactions a lot easier for retail investors. Before the recent 3:1 split, selling a single contract for 100 shares would have required three times the capital to be set aside. Let us use the chain below as an example and see how things look now post-split.TSLA Option Chain (Think or Swim)Key data pointsStrike Price: $200Expiration Date: November 4th, 2022, exactly a month from today.Premium: $6/share, for a total of $600.In simple words, the put seller collects $600 immediately to buy 100 shares of Tesla at $200 if the stock reaches $200 or below by November 4th, 2022. Bear in mind that time decay is in favor of the option seller, meaning as days go by, the option values decline.What's the expected return and possible outcomes?Return: The premium collected ($600) for setting aside $20,000 represents a 3% return for a month. This is a handy return anytime and even more so in the current market environment. At this time, the market assigns at 77.20% probability that Tesla remains above $200 by expiration on November 4th. To reiterate the impact of the recent stock split, the same transaction would have required $60,000 to be set aside as we'd have been talking about a $600 strike price. Granted, the premium returns would be higher (in dollar), but it is common sense that more investors can afford $20,000 compared to those who can afford $60,000.Outcome #1: If Tesla stays above $200 by the expiration date, the option seller just retains the premium mentioned above. The option seller will not be obligated to buy the shares.Outcome #2: If Tesla goes below $200 by the expiration date, the option seller will be forced to buy 100 shares at $200, irrespective of where the stock trades at that time. Keeping the premium netted in mind, the average cost, in this case, will be $194 ($200 minus $6).Outcome #3: As an option seller, one can \"buy to close\" anytime instead of waiting till the expiration date. That may be appealing to those who have the time and patience to play short-dated options many times over. But we typically let the option expire before choosing another chain (or another stock).Outcome #4: We will write in detail about this in a future article, but we wanted to mention this as many readers of the Amazon (AMZN) article pointed out. An option seller can always roll into future dated options. That is, instead of getting out of the game entirely by following one of the first three outcomes above, you can close the current option and initiate a new chain with a different strike/expiration/premium combination as a single transaction. There are risks and advantages to this as we plan to describe later.Why $200 Looks attractive?Trend: Apart from being a nice round number, $200 is about 20% below the current market price, a bear market by itself by definition. That is on top of the 36% already lost from highs, making $200 more than 50% off from highs. In our view, that is a compelling enough pullback for a company that still has many growth avenues in front of it.Valuation: At $200, Tesla will be trading at a PEG ratio of less than 1. This is based on a forward multiple of 46 [$200 divided by forward EPS of $4.32] and the five year expected growth rate of 55%. As avid followers of Growth at Reasonable Price [GARP] would attest, a PEG of less than 1 makes a stock more attractive.Technical: From a technical standpoint, $200 has historically offered plenty of support to the stock. As shown in the chart below, the stock has bounced off from $200 level at least five times in the last two years.TSLA Chart (Google Charts)Many ways to skin the catIf the $200 strike price and the 3% premium return don't appeal to you and if you are looking for a higher premium return, consider strike price like the one below. In this example, the options seller agrees to buy 100 shares of Tesla at $220 should the stock reach that by November 4th, while collecting a premium of about $11 per share. That's a much higher return of 5% return in a month, but the risk the seller takes here is that the strike price is just 10% away from the current market price. One more day like yesterday, and you may be obligated to buy the shares. That is not necessarily a good or bad thing. It just depends on what your priority is.TSLA Chain (Think or Swim)Be aware of your risks and choicesOnce again, please bear in mind that if your primary interest is in getting premiums, selling puts during down-trending markets may not be the best strategy. If the market blood bath continues, your stock may reach the strike price before you blink. However, if your interest is in acquiring the stock should things fall further, this is a wise strategy. The added income through premium does not hurt either. If you already hold at least 100 shares of Tesla, you may want to consider selling covered call if you understand that strategy. This article explains some basics of it.ConclusionTesla is a volatile company. TSLA is a volatile stock. Tesla is led by a volatile man. And the market is volatile these days. That makes it a double-double-whammy. In such cases, we tend to prefer lower strike prices. If we do get assigned Tesla at the $200 strike price, we will be glad to hold it for the long term for the reasons mentioned above. But that's us. What is your opinion of Tesla here? Do you believe it will still be overvalued buying at $200? Please leave your comments and opinions below.This article is written by Tradevestor for reference only. Please note the risks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9939338596,"gmtCreate":1662066484118,"gmtModify":1676536797157,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9939338596","repostId":"1117024163","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117024163","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662045560,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1117024163?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-01 23:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US Jobs Data Have Potential to Push Fed Toward Third Jumbo Hike","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117024163","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Payrolls seen climbing 298,000; hourly wages forecast up 5.3%Data follow mostly firmer recent readin","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Payrolls seen climbing 298,000; hourly wages forecast up 5.3%</li><li>Data follow mostly firmer recent readings on labor market</li></ul><p>The hotly anticipated US jobs report has the potential to tip the scales toward a third jumbo-sized hike in interest rates later this month after a wave of data that point to a resilient consumer and high labor demand.</p><p>Friday’s report is one of the last marquee releases Fed officials will have in hand before the mid-September policy meeting to help them decipher a complex economic and inflationary puzzle.</p><p>Forecasts call for a healthy, yet more moderate 298,000 gain in August payrolls and for the unemployment rate to hold steady at 3.5%, matching the lowest in five decades. Solid wage growth is also expected amid a persistent mismatch between labor demand and supply.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14a5bf5d132b576d974952b7bae5f5b7\" tg-width=\"698\" tg-height=\"392\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Such figures, in conjunction with a blowout July employment print, improving consumer sentiment figures and a surprise pickup in job openings, could be enough to push the Fed to raise borrowing costs by 75 basis points, extending the steepest interest-rate hikes in a generation to curb an inflation surge.</p><p>“In the context of all those data, this report becomes very important,” said Anna Wong, chief US economist at Bloomberg Economics. It could “put a stamp of confirmation” on the trend the other data have been showing -- that the economy is very resilient.</p><p>Fresh data out Thursday suggest demand for labor continues to be healthy. Initial applications for unemployment benefits dropped for a third week to a two-month low, according to Labor Department data.</p><p>However, any indication of much softer employment growth in Friday’s report, combined with a bigger slowdown in the Labor Department’s average hourly earnings figures, may help shift expectations toward a half-point rate hike. Still, Fed officials will need to see results of the consumer price index later this month to crystallize their views on the appropriate policy response.</p><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell said last week the central bank’s decision later this month “will depend on the totality of the incoming data and the evolving outlook.”</p><p>One important component of the jobs report will be the pay metrics. Economists expect the report will show a 0.4% increase in average hourly earnings from a month earlier and a 5.3% rise from August 2021. The annual increase would represent a slight acceleration from the previous two months.</p><p>A slowdown in wage growth could give Fed officials some comfort by suggesting a softening in inflationary pressures, though that is not always the case, said Claudia Sahm, founder of Stay-At-Home Macro (SAHM) Consulting and a former Fed economist.</p><p>“Everything should be viewed through the lens of ‘what could this mean for inflation?’” said Sahm.</p><p>Companies have been raising pay across industries and income brackets to attract and retain workers. That’s underpinning consumer spending as Americans weather rising prices for essentials like food and rents. It also makes the Fed’s challenge of slowing down the economy to stem price gains that much more difficult.</p><p>New data from ADP Research Institute on Wednesday showed the median annual pay for those who stayed in their jobs rose 7.6% in August from a year earlier. Job switchers saw more than twice that.</p><p>Still, US companies increased headcount at a relatively sluggish pace in August with ADP reporting a 132,000 gain that was the smallest since the start of last year.</p><p>The employment report is where policy makers “probably place the highest signal value about where underlying momentum is,” said Michael Gapen, head of US economics at Bank of America Corp.</p><p>And while Friday’s report could be instrumental in pushing policy makers toward another 75 basis point hike at the conclusion of their two-day meeting on Sept. 21, there’s another big report on the horizon that the central bank will consider: the closely-watched CPI.</p><h3>Inflation Data</h3><p>Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said in an interview with Bloomberg’s Odd Lots podcast that he will be watching the jobs report for signs of what is happening with wage growth but emphasized his focus on inflation data when thinking about the September rate move.</p><p>“Ultimately, I’m very focused more than anything on the inflation data and the inflation expectation data,” Kashkari said in a Monday interview that aired on Thursday. “For me individually, I don’t think the labor market itself is going to be determinative of 50 versus 75.”</p><p>That sentiment was echoed by Atlanta Fed chief Raphael Bostic.</p><p>“Incoming data -- if they clearly show that inflation has begun slowing -- might give us reason to dial back from the hikes of 75 basis points,” Bostic said in an essay posted on his bank’s website Tuesday.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US Jobs Data Have Potential to Push Fed Toward Third Jumbo Hike</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Jobs Data Have Potential to Push Fed Toward Third Jumbo Hike\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-01 23:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-01/us-jobs-data-have-potential-to-push-fed-toward-third-jumbo-hike><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Payrolls seen climbing 298,000; hourly wages forecast up 5.3%Data follow mostly firmer recent readings on labor marketThe hotly anticipated US jobs report has the potential to tip the scales toward a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-01/us-jobs-data-have-potential-to-push-fed-toward-third-jumbo-hike\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-01/us-jobs-data-have-potential-to-push-fed-toward-third-jumbo-hike","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117024163","content_text":"Payrolls seen climbing 298,000; hourly wages forecast up 5.3%Data follow mostly firmer recent readings on labor marketThe hotly anticipated US jobs report has the potential to tip the scales toward a third jumbo-sized hike in interest rates later this month after a wave of data that point to a resilient consumer and high labor demand.Friday’s report is one of the last marquee releases Fed officials will have in hand before the mid-September policy meeting to help them decipher a complex economic and inflationary puzzle.Forecasts call for a healthy, yet more moderate 298,000 gain in August payrolls and for the unemployment rate to hold steady at 3.5%, matching the lowest in five decades. Solid wage growth is also expected amid a persistent mismatch between labor demand and supply.Such figures, in conjunction with a blowout July employment print, improving consumer sentiment figures and a surprise pickup in job openings, could be enough to push the Fed to raise borrowing costs by 75 basis points, extending the steepest interest-rate hikes in a generation to curb an inflation surge.“In the context of all those data, this report becomes very important,” said Anna Wong, chief US economist at Bloomberg Economics. It could “put a stamp of confirmation” on the trend the other data have been showing -- that the economy is very resilient.Fresh data out Thursday suggest demand for labor continues to be healthy. Initial applications for unemployment benefits dropped for a third week to a two-month low, according to Labor Department data.However, any indication of much softer employment growth in Friday’s report, combined with a bigger slowdown in the Labor Department’s average hourly earnings figures, may help shift expectations toward a half-point rate hike. Still, Fed officials will need to see results of the consumer price index later this month to crystallize their views on the appropriate policy response.Fed Chair Jerome Powell said last week the central bank’s decision later this month “will depend on the totality of the incoming data and the evolving outlook.”One important component of the jobs report will be the pay metrics. Economists expect the report will show a 0.4% increase in average hourly earnings from a month earlier and a 5.3% rise from August 2021. The annual increase would represent a slight acceleration from the previous two months.A slowdown in wage growth could give Fed officials some comfort by suggesting a softening in inflationary pressures, though that is not always the case, said Claudia Sahm, founder of Stay-At-Home Macro (SAHM) Consulting and a former Fed economist.“Everything should be viewed through the lens of ‘what could this mean for inflation?’” said Sahm.Companies have been raising pay across industries and income brackets to attract and retain workers. That’s underpinning consumer spending as Americans weather rising prices for essentials like food and rents. It also makes the Fed’s challenge of slowing down the economy to stem price gains that much more difficult.New data from ADP Research Institute on Wednesday showed the median annual pay for those who stayed in their jobs rose 7.6% in August from a year earlier. Job switchers saw more than twice that.Still, US companies increased headcount at a relatively sluggish pace in August with ADP reporting a 132,000 gain that was the smallest since the start of last year.The employment report is where policy makers “probably place the highest signal value about where underlying momentum is,” said Michael Gapen, head of US economics at Bank of America Corp.And while Friday’s report could be instrumental in pushing policy makers toward another 75 basis point hike at the conclusion of their two-day meeting on Sept. 21, there’s another big report on the horizon that the central bank will consider: the closely-watched CPI.Inflation DataMinneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said in an interview with Bloomberg’s Odd Lots podcast that he will be watching the jobs report for signs of what is happening with wage growth but emphasized his focus on inflation data when thinking about the September rate move.“Ultimately, I’m very focused more than anything on the inflation data and the inflation expectation data,” Kashkari said in a Monday interview that aired on Thursday. “For me individually, I don’t think the labor market itself is going to be determinative of 50 versus 75.”That sentiment was echoed by Atlanta Fed chief Raphael Bostic.“Incoming data -- if they clearly show that inflation has begun slowing -- might give us reason to dial back from the hikes of 75 basis points,” Bostic said in an essay posted on his bank’s website Tuesday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9077063380,"gmtCreate":1658441898540,"gmtModify":1676536157259,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9077063380","repostId":"2252253318","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2252253318","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1658397248,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2252253318?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-21 17:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY: Will The Market Swoon Ever End?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2252253318","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryThe selloff in the S&P and the Nasdaq since November last year has been a textbook example of","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The selloff in the S&amp;P and the Nasdaq since November last year has been a textbook example of controlled demolition.</li><li>No limit-down days, no Vix-spike, no panicky retail running for the door. Just a never-ending grind-down.</li><li>Will it ever end? We think the answer is more complicated than it first appears. But we don&#39;t think it&#39;s a magical mystery tour.</li><li>We believe the market can be charted quite well and key levels identified ahead of time.  We also believe crypto can be used as a canary in the coalmine.</li><li>For now, we believe SPY warrants a Hold rating; we explain below the triggers that we believe justify turning more bullish or bearish.</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6fcd2f59d5320b003b2081f400358277\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"700\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>A Message From Outside The Matrix</b></p><p>The journey of the inquisitive investor is a lifelong one. In short trousers you may learn about company fundamentals and the import thereof. Earnings, earnings per share, p/e multiples, all that sort of thing. As you progress you begin to factor macro data into your work. GDP numbers, inflation, rates and blah. If you are not<i>very</i>careful then you begin to ossify in your thinking. You see linear, directive relationships between earnings and stock prices, where only influential relationships exist. You come to expect that if inflation does X, rates will do Y, and stocks will do Z. And most of all you become locked into a way of thinking about a market trend. When it&#39;s going up, it&#39;s going up forever. And when down? Down forever.</p><p>None of this is your fault. Your problem-solving conscious brain is looking for a linear equation to solve for making money, in the same way that its prehistoric antecedent learned that there are linear equations for finding shelter and food. (Cavedweller 101: always look both ways out the front of the cave door before heading out, lest a sneaky predator deems you lunch). And your limbic brain, in an opioid haze most of the time, cannot be relied upon since it favors having you run towards the gunfire or away from it in equal measure, and an autonomic shot of the wrong corticosteroid at the wrong time can cause you to become hero or zero without any conscious input on your part.</p><p>This is why the best way to read markets is with a big dose of cynicism, a calm demeanor, and an understanding that unless you be J P Morgan himself, most folks are just there to be buffetted this way and that by the market. As far as the major indices go, in their options, futures or ETF clothing, you have in your favor that they are generally too big to fail for very long, that they are highly liquid, and that they are Playground Number One for Big Money who likes nothing better than a game of cat and mouse with Joe P. Retail. And taken together, that all means that the most popular index of all, the S&amp;P 500, can be played using pure sentiment as the gauge. Reality need never feature.</p><p>Fortunately you have tools available to model not-reality and you can use those tools to build a more likely outlook for stocks than your common-or-garden earnings forecasts. Technical analysis tools are, of course, simply ways to measure sentiment. You can call them something more scientific if you like, but really all they are trying to do is pattern recognition. Every TA tool says, well, usually when a security moves like<i>this</i>in the past it moves like<i>that</i>in the future. Beyond that, the skill is in the practitioner.</p><p><b>Will The S&amp;P 500 Go Up Now?</b></p><p>Here&#39;s how the S&amp;P 500 - using its proxy ETF, SPY - looks through the lens of a common TA tool, the Elliott Wave and Fibonacci method. Using this tool can help you prepare emotionally and financially for the trend you happen to find the market in. And this can help you prepare for trend reversals - which are the moments when Big Money truly burns small accounts, pausing only to giggle whilst sailing off into the sunset - literally - whilst grasping big chunks of folks&#39; 401(k)s.</p><p>Take a brief look at the chart and then we&#39;ll walk you through it.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9b66217861357094c120e39ad1af868\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"355\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SPY Chart (TradingView, Cestrian Analysis)</span></p><p>If you were sat in Fibonacci Wave 101 right now (this is a class we will teach one day, but we are only accepting Matrix-dwellers as applicants in order to maximize our own entertainment), and you knew nothing about anything, you had no Twitter, you didn&#39;t know who Bullard, Powell &amp; Co were (maybe a law firm?), you didn&#39;t ever leave your desk to buy anything so you hadn&#39;t noticed inflation?</p><p>You would say, well, that&#39;s a textbook stock chart right there. You<i>wouldn&#39;t</i>say, gosh, will this selling ever end? And you wouldn&#39;t have been saying in 2020-2021, why, these pesky kids are crazy with their never-ending YOLO buying. You would just say, huh, fake chart, too perfect with the reversals, show me a real life one and we can talk about it.</p><p>But this<i>is</i>a real life chart.</p><p>Here goes.</p><ul><li>From the 2016 lows, SPY puts in a Wave 1 up, peaking right before the Covid crash.</li><li>From that Wave 1 high in the $340 zone comes a 0.786 retracement of the Wave 1 up, troughing at around $219. A 0.786 retrace is an important Fibonacci level and it is a<i>textbook</i>Elliott Wave 2 down.</li><li>From the Covid lows we get a Wave 3 up which peaks right around the 1.618 extension of Wave 1, which is to say around $480. Read any Elliott Wave guide and see how long a Wave 3 usually is. Answer, very often indeed they are 1.618x the length of Wave 1. As SPY hit $480 back in Q4 last year we called &#34;Yikes, The Top&#34; in our<i>Growth Investor Pro</i>service, because the index simply could not push up above that 1.618 extension, no matter how many times it tried.</li><li>We then moved into a Wave 4 down, which has so far respected two Fibonacci retracement levels - the 0.236 retrace (around $419) and the 0.382 retrace (around $380). SPY tried to hold $419 as support back in February and March, failed, then treated it as resistance in May and June. The June selloff plunged below the $380 level then pushed up against it as resistance, and the index is currently thinking about whether to turn that level into support.</li></ul><p>If, big if, SPY moves up from here, then a reversal at the 0.786 for a Wave 2 low, at the 1.618 for a Wave 3 high, and a 0.382 for the Wave 4 low, is absolute textbook.</p><p>Now, knowing these potential reversal levels and knowing which wave you are in can help you train your brain to deal with the situation.</p><p>As the limit-down days hit in the Covid crisis you would say, well, this looks like a Wave 2 down, a brutal selloff in no time at all where shock &amp; awe fill the air around the watercooler. Well, that and a poisonous miasma of viral load. As the 0.786 approached you would say, well, it<i>might</i>plunge right past that but there&#39;s a good chance it doesn&#39;t, so I&#39;ll start thinking about buying the index again.</p><p>As the 1.618 extension served as resistance on several occasions late last year, you would likely have concluded, well, it really doesn&#39;t want to go much higher - and if you looked at the QQQ and saw that it had put in a 2.618 extension at this time and was putting in a similar headbanging performance - you might have agreed further with yourself.</p><p>And into the selloff this year you would have the 0.236 and the 0.382 and the 0.5 (that&#39;s $350 for SPY, plus or minus) in your sights. You would also be saying to yourself, this is a Wave 4. It&#39;s not a Shock and Awe Wave 2. It&#39;s a Slow Bleedout, Controlled Demolition Wave 4. You would say, we had a deep Wave 2 correction so<i>probably</i>Wave 4 won&#39;t be so deep.<i>Probably</i>it will be between the 0.382 and the 0.5 that it reverses.</p><p>Well, where we sit right now in SPY is that the ETF has been down to between the 0.382 and the 0.5 retracements, reaching a local low of around $362 in mid-June. And since then it has pushed up above the 0.382 level of $380 and is thinking about holding over that level.</p><p><b>Has The Market Stopped Selling Yet?</b></p><p>Well, the easy answer is, on a textbook larger-degree 5 waves up off of the 2016 lows then the market looks set to reach new highs in a final Wave 5 up. Using that lens, the next move up would top out somewhere above $480 and the market would then make a deep correction - much deeper than we have experienced this year - for some months, maybe more than a year. The logic being the 5 waves up off the 2016 lows would form a large Wave 1 and the subsequent large Wave 2 we could expect to bottom between the 0.618 and 0.786 retracement of that Wave 1 up. That&#39;s somewhere between $250-300 for SPY. So, if this textbook chart pattern continues, you have your levels. Risk on until SPY approaches $480, then start dialing back the risk until SPY rolls over in a convincing fashion, by which time the prudent investor will already have assembled a basket of protective instruments - puts, short index positions, and so on.</p><p>Unfortunately we think it&#39;s a little more complicated than that. Sticking purely to chart analysis, and ignoring the whys and wherefores, the counterargument to the above is that the market is simply in a downtrend, and whilst that $380 can surely act as support, it will be merely until SPY hits its head on the resistance defined by that downtrend.</p><p>Like this:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84faf9e2e2308dd1c94a4ff3e5ccbd9b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"355\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>SPY Chart II (TradingView, Cestrian Analysis)</span></p><p>So even if SPY does keep pushing up, we may run into resistance at +/-$400. Then, and only then, can we know whether truly sentiment will trump what lies outside the window. If it does, we should see SPY climb back up to that 0.236 retrace ($418ish) and beyond. And if not - a move back down to $380 and below, maybe as low as $350 (which is that 0.5 retracement of the post-Covid move up).</p><p>As always, nobody can know for sure and all you can do is watch in real time to know when it&#39;s safe to be risk-on and when best to dial back. In our <i>Growth Investor Pro</i> service our house stance is as follows:</p><p>Short-term bullish on the market until SPY approaches the $395-400 range, in which case we believe cashing in gains and de-grossing positions would be prudent. If SPY pushes up and out of that downward channel, and turns the upper resistance line into support, long positions can be safely added to in our view, in anticipation of a further rise. But if the downward channel persists and we&#39;re simply in a modest rally within a continuing bear market, time to keep cash and/or add to short positions. In our service we find the short levered index ETFs are useful instruments for this.</p><p><b>Other Useful Indicators Include Crypto</b></p><p>Corroborating evidence and other indicators of risk appetite? You can look at the Nasdaq if you like, but in truth whilst the timeframes are a little shortened and the price moves a little amplified vs. the S&amp;P, the two move very much in concert. So QQQ doesn&#39;t add much visibility to the mix.</p><p>Crypto however we find useful as a canary in the coalmine. For instance, when Bitcoin scares, and it scares easy right now, the index usually follows. As you can discover on FinTwit and elsewhere, BTCUSD above $20k and moving up is a useful indicator of risk-on for now. Below $20k, risk off.</p><p>So in our view, if the present short term rally in BTC moves up and rolls over, at the rollover point we believe that can flag a pending rollover in SPY too.</p><p>Incidentally, we believe BTC can drop <i>a lot</i> once it rolls over. Its correction off of the Covid highs looks incomplete to us.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cd7e9ce0b9b0574e5d67265f1051bae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"355\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BTCUSD Chart (TradingView, Cestrian Analysis)</span></p><p>Being an instrument of pure sentiment, with no reality to it at all - no earnings, no fundamental tether to anything, BTC can be charted very well with sentimental tools like Elliott Waves and Fibonacci levels. If you look at the chart above which runs from the 2018 lows, you have again some moves that fit the patterns very well. Wave 1 up, ends just below the 0.786 retrace at the Covid lows for a Wave 2 low. Then a HUGE Wave 3 up - hitting the 5.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave 1 almost to the dollar - a Wave 4 down then a final Wave 5 higher. After a full 5 wave impulsive move like that, it&#39;s common to see a three-wave A-B-C correction and common too for A=C i.e. the price drop in the A leg is equal in the C leg before a bottom is reached. BTC hasn&#39;t achieved that yet. A=C would be satisfied around $12k which is also where the first major high volume node sits on the volume profile (in other words there was a lot of volume traded at that $12k and below price, a lot more than in the upper reaches of the recent price range; that suggests you have holders more likely to defend $12k as support than $20k as support). So at some point we would say, BTC is going to take another big hit and that&#39;s not positive for SPY.</p><p>Ether by the way tells a slightly different story and may lead BTC&#39;s recovery.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cff7b4a3384516edf55dc8cb797d86ef\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"355\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>ETHUSD Chart (TradingView, Cestrian Analysis)</span></p><p>So far ETHUSD has bottomed at the 0.786 retrace of the whole move up since the 2018 lows<i>and</i>that bottom satisfied the A=C condition, to within a few dollars in fact.</p><p><b>So What Does All This Mean For Stocks?</b></p><p>In our<i>Growth Investor Pro</i>service and indeed in staff personal accounts we have been moving to risk-on at the recent lows. We&#39;ve closed profitable short positions in XLE, USO and WEAT; taken profits in volatility (UVXY), cashed profitable long positions in inverse ETFs such SQQQ and SPXS, and closed short positions in QQQ. We recently opened a new TQQQ position, averaged down our ETHE in-price, averaged down our PINS in-price on news of the Elliott stake, averaged down in ARKW and OKTA and so forth. We think these long positions can pay off but we are watching the above levels and indicators very carefully indeed and expect to dial risk down some if SPY and BTC keep moving up. Our conclusion for stocks right now is, work out your levels ahead of time, stay on your toes, don&#39;t be complacent with gains, and practice the ability to become bullish or bearish depending on what the indicators are telling you, not what your cavedwelling limbic system would have you do!</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: Will The Market Swoon Ever End?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: Will The Market Swoon Ever End?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-21 17:54 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4523935-spy-will-market-swoon-ever-end><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe selloff in the S&P and the Nasdaq since November last year has been a textbook example of controlled demolition.No limit-down days, no Vix-spike, no panicky retail running for the door. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4523935-spy-will-market-swoon-ever-end\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4523935-spy-will-market-swoon-ever-end","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2252253318","content_text":"SummaryThe selloff in the S&P and the Nasdaq since November last year has been a textbook example of controlled demolition.No limit-down days, no Vix-spike, no panicky retail running for the door. Just a never-ending grind-down.Will it ever end? We think the answer is more complicated than it first appears. But we don't think it's a magical mystery tour.We believe the market can be charted quite well and key levels identified ahead of time.  We also believe crypto can be used as a canary in the coalmine.For now, we believe SPY warrants a Hold rating; we explain below the triggers that we believe justify turning more bullish or bearish.A Message From Outside The MatrixThe journey of the inquisitive investor is a lifelong one. In short trousers you may learn about company fundamentals and the import thereof. Earnings, earnings per share, p/e multiples, all that sort of thing. As you progress you begin to factor macro data into your work. GDP numbers, inflation, rates and blah. If you are notverycareful then you begin to ossify in your thinking. You see linear, directive relationships between earnings and stock prices, where only influential relationships exist. You come to expect that if inflation does X, rates will do Y, and stocks will do Z. And most of all you become locked into a way of thinking about a market trend. When it's going up, it's going up forever. And when down? Down forever.None of this is your fault. Your problem-solving conscious brain is looking for a linear equation to solve for making money, in the same way that its prehistoric antecedent learned that there are linear equations for finding shelter and food. (Cavedweller 101: always look both ways out the front of the cave door before heading out, lest a sneaky predator deems you lunch). And your limbic brain, in an opioid haze most of the time, cannot be relied upon since it favors having you run towards the gunfire or away from it in equal measure, and an autonomic shot of the wrong corticosteroid at the wrong time can cause you to become hero or zero without any conscious input on your part.This is why the best way to read markets is with a big dose of cynicism, a calm demeanor, and an understanding that unless you be J P Morgan himself, most folks are just there to be buffetted this way and that by the market. As far as the major indices go, in their options, futures or ETF clothing, you have in your favor that they are generally too big to fail for very long, that they are highly liquid, and that they are Playground Number One for Big Money who likes nothing better than a game of cat and mouse with Joe P. Retail. And taken together, that all means that the most popular index of all, the S&P 500, can be played using pure sentiment as the gauge. Reality need never feature.Fortunately you have tools available to model not-reality and you can use those tools to build a more likely outlook for stocks than your common-or-garden earnings forecasts. Technical analysis tools are, of course, simply ways to measure sentiment. You can call them something more scientific if you like, but really all they are trying to do is pattern recognition. Every TA tool says, well, usually when a security moves likethisin the past it moves likethatin the future. Beyond that, the skill is in the practitioner.Will The S&P 500 Go Up Now?Here's how the S&P 500 - using its proxy ETF, SPY - looks through the lens of a common TA tool, the Elliott Wave and Fibonacci method. Using this tool can help you prepare emotionally and financially for the trend you happen to find the market in. And this can help you prepare for trend reversals - which are the moments when Big Money truly burns small accounts, pausing only to giggle whilst sailing off into the sunset - literally - whilst grasping big chunks of folks' 401(k)s.Take a brief look at the chart and then we'll walk you through it.SPY Chart (TradingView, Cestrian Analysis)If you were sat in Fibonacci Wave 101 right now (this is a class we will teach one day, but we are only accepting Matrix-dwellers as applicants in order to maximize our own entertainment), and you knew nothing about anything, you had no Twitter, you didn't know who Bullard, Powell & Co were (maybe a law firm?), you didn't ever leave your desk to buy anything so you hadn't noticed inflation?You would say, well, that's a textbook stock chart right there. Youwouldn'tsay, gosh, will this selling ever end? And you wouldn't have been saying in 2020-2021, why, these pesky kids are crazy with their never-ending YOLO buying. You would just say, huh, fake chart, too perfect with the reversals, show me a real life one and we can talk about it.But thisisa real life chart.Here goes.From the 2016 lows, SPY puts in a Wave 1 up, peaking right before the Covid crash.From that Wave 1 high in the $340 zone comes a 0.786 retracement of the Wave 1 up, troughing at around $219. A 0.786 retrace is an important Fibonacci level and it is atextbookElliott Wave 2 down.From the Covid lows we get a Wave 3 up which peaks right around the 1.618 extension of Wave 1, which is to say around $480. Read any Elliott Wave guide and see how long a Wave 3 usually is. Answer, very often indeed they are 1.618x the length of Wave 1. As SPY hit $480 back in Q4 last year we called \"Yikes, The Top\" in ourGrowth Investor Proservice, because the index simply could not push up above that 1.618 extension, no matter how many times it tried.We then moved into a Wave 4 down, which has so far respected two Fibonacci retracement levels - the 0.236 retrace (around $419) and the 0.382 retrace (around $380). SPY tried to hold $419 as support back in February and March, failed, then treated it as resistance in May and June. The June selloff plunged below the $380 level then pushed up against it as resistance, and the index is currently thinking about whether to turn that level into support.If, big if, SPY moves up from here, then a reversal at the 0.786 for a Wave 2 low, at the 1.618 for a Wave 3 high, and a 0.382 for the Wave 4 low, is absolute textbook.Now, knowing these potential reversal levels and knowing which wave you are in can help you train your brain to deal with the situation.As the limit-down days hit in the Covid crisis you would say, well, this looks like a Wave 2 down, a brutal selloff in no time at all where shock & awe fill the air around the watercooler. Well, that and a poisonous miasma of viral load. As the 0.786 approached you would say, well, itmightplunge right past that but there's a good chance it doesn't, so I'll start thinking about buying the index again.As the 1.618 extension served as resistance on several occasions late last year, you would likely have concluded, well, it really doesn't want to go much higher - and if you looked at the QQQ and saw that it had put in a 2.618 extension at this time and was putting in a similar headbanging performance - you might have agreed further with yourself.And into the selloff this year you would have the 0.236 and the 0.382 and the 0.5 (that's $350 for SPY, plus or minus) in your sights. You would also be saying to yourself, this is a Wave 4. It's not a Shock and Awe Wave 2. It's a Slow Bleedout, Controlled Demolition Wave 4. You would say, we had a deep Wave 2 correction soprobablyWave 4 won't be so deep.Probablyit will be between the 0.382 and the 0.5 that it reverses.Well, where we sit right now in SPY is that the ETF has been down to between the 0.382 and the 0.5 retracements, reaching a local low of around $362 in mid-June. And since then it has pushed up above the 0.382 level of $380 and is thinking about holding over that level.Has The Market Stopped Selling Yet?Well, the easy answer is, on a textbook larger-degree 5 waves up off of the 2016 lows then the market looks set to reach new highs in a final Wave 5 up. Using that lens, the next move up would top out somewhere above $480 and the market would then make a deep correction - much deeper than we have experienced this year - for some months, maybe more than a year. The logic being the 5 waves up off the 2016 lows would form a large Wave 1 and the subsequent large Wave 2 we could expect to bottom between the 0.618 and 0.786 retracement of that Wave 1 up. That's somewhere between $250-300 for SPY. So, if this textbook chart pattern continues, you have your levels. Risk on until SPY approaches $480, then start dialing back the risk until SPY rolls over in a convincing fashion, by which time the prudent investor will already have assembled a basket of protective instruments - puts, short index positions, and so on.Unfortunately we think it's a little more complicated than that. Sticking purely to chart analysis, and ignoring the whys and wherefores, the counterargument to the above is that the market is simply in a downtrend, and whilst that $380 can surely act as support, it will be merely until SPY hits its head on the resistance defined by that downtrend.Like this:SPY Chart II (TradingView, Cestrian Analysis)So even if SPY does keep pushing up, we may run into resistance at +/-$400. Then, and only then, can we know whether truly sentiment will trump what lies outside the window. If it does, we should see SPY climb back up to that 0.236 retrace ($418ish) and beyond. And if not - a move back down to $380 and below, maybe as low as $350 (which is that 0.5 retracement of the post-Covid move up).As always, nobody can know for sure and all you can do is watch in real time to know when it's safe to be risk-on and when best to dial back. In our Growth Investor Pro service our house stance is as follows:Short-term bullish on the market until SPY approaches the $395-400 range, in which case we believe cashing in gains and de-grossing positions would be prudent. If SPY pushes up and out of that downward channel, and turns the upper resistance line into support, long positions can be safely added to in our view, in anticipation of a further rise. But if the downward channel persists and we're simply in a modest rally within a continuing bear market, time to keep cash and/or add to short positions. In our service we find the short levered index ETFs are useful instruments for this.Other Useful Indicators Include CryptoCorroborating evidence and other indicators of risk appetite? You can look at the Nasdaq if you like, but in truth whilst the timeframes are a little shortened and the price moves a little amplified vs. the S&P, the two move very much in concert. So QQQ doesn't add much visibility to the mix.Crypto however we find useful as a canary in the coalmine. For instance, when Bitcoin scares, and it scares easy right now, the index usually follows. As you can discover on FinTwit and elsewhere, BTCUSD above $20k and moving up is a useful indicator of risk-on for now. Below $20k, risk off.So in our view, if the present short term rally in BTC moves up and rolls over, at the rollover point we believe that can flag a pending rollover in SPY too.Incidentally, we believe BTC can drop a lot once it rolls over. Its correction off of the Covid highs looks incomplete to us.BTCUSD Chart (TradingView, Cestrian Analysis)Being an instrument of pure sentiment, with no reality to it at all - no earnings, no fundamental tether to anything, BTC can be charted very well with sentimental tools like Elliott Waves and Fibonacci levels. If you look at the chart above which runs from the 2018 lows, you have again some moves that fit the patterns very well. Wave 1 up, ends just below the 0.786 retrace at the Covid lows for a Wave 2 low. Then a HUGE Wave 3 up - hitting the 5.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave 1 almost to the dollar - a Wave 4 down then a final Wave 5 higher. After a full 5 wave impulsive move like that, it's common to see a three-wave A-B-C correction and common too for A=C i.e. the price drop in the A leg is equal in the C leg before a bottom is reached. BTC hasn't achieved that yet. A=C would be satisfied around $12k which is also where the first major high volume node sits on the volume profile (in other words there was a lot of volume traded at that $12k and below price, a lot more than in the upper reaches of the recent price range; that suggests you have holders more likely to defend $12k as support than $20k as support). So at some point we would say, BTC is going to take another big hit and that's not positive for SPY.Ether by the way tells a slightly different story and may lead BTC's recovery.ETHUSD Chart (TradingView, Cestrian Analysis)So far ETHUSD has bottomed at the 0.786 retrace of the whole move up since the 2018 lowsandthat bottom satisfied the A=C condition, to within a few dollars in fact.So What Does All This Mean For Stocks?In ourGrowth Investor Proservice and indeed in staff personal accounts we have been moving to risk-on at the recent lows. We've closed profitable short positions in XLE, USO and WEAT; taken profits in volatility (UVXY), cashed profitable long positions in inverse ETFs such SQQQ and SPXS, and closed short positions in QQQ. We recently opened a new TQQQ position, averaged down our ETHE in-price, averaged down our PINS in-price on news of the Elliott stake, averaged down in ARKW and OKTA and so forth. We think these long positions can pay off but we are watching the above levels and indicators very carefully indeed and expect to dial risk down some if SPY and BTC keep moving up. Our conclusion for stocks right now is, work out your levels ahead of time, stay on your toes, don't be complacent with gains, and practice the ability to become bullish or bearish depending on what the indicators are telling you, not what your cavedwelling limbic system would have you do!","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9044003217,"gmtCreate":1656667123139,"gmtModify":1676535874133,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok&nbsp;","listText":"Ok&nbsp;","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9044003217","repostId":"1171044574","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171044574","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1656664814,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1171044574?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-01 16:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Li Auto Delivered 13,024 Li Ones in June 2022, up 68.9% YOY","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171044574","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Li Auto today announced that the Company delivered 13,024 Li ONEs in June 2022, up 68.9% year over y","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Li Auto today announced that the Company delivered 13,024 Li ONEs in June 2022, up 68.9% year over year. This brought the Company’s second quarter deliveries to 28,687, representing a 63.2% year-over-year increase. The cumulative deliveries of Li ONE have reached 184,491 since the vehicle’s market debut in 2019.</p><p>Li Auto shares gained 1.72% in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77bd7e0f91fe63ffd4aaa70b064576ab\" tg-width=\"839\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>“Li L9 arrives at all Li Auto retail stores nationwide today, and we welcome everyone to visit our retail stores for a closer look. Since its launch on June 21, Li L9 has received positive feedback from users, accumulating over 30,000 orders as of June 24, 2022, each with a RMB5,000 deposit that is refundable for a limited period of time. Meanwhile, our users’ enthusiasm for Li L9 did not hold back our order intake for 2021 Li ONE, which remains high on the back of continued user endorsement. Test drives for Li L9 will be available at all our retail stores beginning on July 16, with deliveries to commence by the end of August,” commented Yanan Shen, co-founder and president of Li Auto.</p><p>As of June 30, 2022, the Company had 247 retail stores in 113 cities, as well as 308 servicing centers and Li Auto-authorized body and paint shops operating in 226 cities.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Li Auto Delivered 13,024 Li Ones in June 2022, up 68.9% YOY</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLi Auto Delivered 13,024 Li Ones in June 2022, up 68.9% YOY\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-01 16:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Li Auto today announced that the Company delivered 13,024 Li ONEs in June 2022, up 68.9% year over year. This brought the Company’s second quarter deliveries to 28,687, representing a 63.2% year-over-year increase. The cumulative deliveries of Li ONE have reached 184,491 since the vehicle’s market debut in 2019.</p><p>Li Auto shares gained 1.72% in premarket trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77bd7e0f91fe63ffd4aaa70b064576ab\" tg-width=\"839\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>“Li L9 arrives at all Li Auto retail stores nationwide today, and we welcome everyone to visit our retail stores for a closer look. Since its launch on June 21, Li L9 has received positive feedback from users, accumulating over 30,000 orders as of June 24, 2022, each with a RMB5,000 deposit that is refundable for a limited period of time. Meanwhile, our users’ enthusiasm for Li L9 did not hold back our order intake for 2021 Li ONE, which remains high on the back of continued user endorsement. Test drives for Li L9 will be available at all our retail stores beginning on July 16, with deliveries to commence by the end of August,” commented Yanan Shen, co-founder and president of Li Auto.</p><p>As of June 30, 2022, the Company had 247 retail stores in 113 cities, as well as 308 servicing centers and Li Auto-authorized body and paint shops operating in 226 cities.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171044574","content_text":"Li Auto today announced that the Company delivered 13,024 Li ONEs in June 2022, up 68.9% year over year. This brought the Company’s second quarter deliveries to 28,687, representing a 63.2% year-over-year increase. The cumulative deliveries of Li ONE have reached 184,491 since the vehicle’s market debut in 2019.Li Auto shares gained 1.72% in premarket trading.“Li L9 arrives at all Li Auto retail stores nationwide today, and we welcome everyone to visit our retail stores for a closer look. Since its launch on June 21, Li L9 has received positive feedback from users, accumulating over 30,000 orders as of June 24, 2022, each with a RMB5,000 deposit that is refundable for a limited period of time. Meanwhile, our users’ enthusiasm for Li L9 did not hold back our order intake for 2021 Li ONE, which remains high on the back of continued user endorsement. Test drives for Li L9 will be available at all our retail stores beginning on July 16, with deliveries to commence by the end of August,” commented Yanan Shen, co-founder and president of Li Auto.As of June 30, 2022, the Company had 247 retail stores in 113 cities, as well as 308 servicing centers and Li Auto-authorized body and paint shops operating in 226 cities.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":39,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9018414206,"gmtCreate":1649078773948,"gmtModify":1676534446190,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Very good","listText":"Very good","text":"Very good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9018414206","repostId":"1166573354","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166573354","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1649067720,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1166573354?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-04 18:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Twitter Shares Soar More Than 25% after Elon Musk Takes 9% Stake in It","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166573354","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Twitter shares soar more than 25% after Elon Musk takes 9% stake in it.Musk owns 73,486,938 shares o","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Twitter shares soar more than 25% after Elon Musk takes 9% stake in it.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd2c43c961af5ab3897095b5affaf2c9\" tg-width=\"866\" tg-height=\"875\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Musk owns 73,486,938 shares of Twitter, which represents a 9.2% stake in the company, according to the Securities and Exchange Commission filing.</p><p>The stake is worth more than $2.8 billion, based Twitter’s closing price on Friday.</p><p>Musk is a frequent user of Twitter and has more than 80 million followers on the platform. However, some of his tweets have gotten the Tesla chief into hot water over the years.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Twitter Shares Soar More Than 25% after Elon Musk Takes 9% Stake in It</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTwitter Shares Soar More Than 25% after Elon Musk Takes 9% Stake in It\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-04-04 18:22</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Twitter shares soar more than 25% after Elon Musk takes 9% stake in it.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd2c43c961af5ab3897095b5affaf2c9\" tg-width=\"866\" tg-height=\"875\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Musk owns 73,486,938 shares of Twitter, which represents a 9.2% stake in the company, according to the Securities and Exchange Commission filing.</p><p>The stake is worth more than $2.8 billion, based Twitter’s closing price on Friday.</p><p>Musk is a frequent user of Twitter and has more than 80 million followers on the platform. However, some of his tweets have gotten the Tesla chief into hot water over the years.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166573354","content_text":"Twitter shares soar more than 25% after Elon Musk takes 9% stake in it.Musk owns 73,486,938 shares of Twitter, which represents a 9.2% stake in the company, according to the Securities and Exchange Commission filing.The stake is worth more than $2.8 billion, based Twitter’s closing price on Friday.Musk is a frequent user of Twitter and has more than 80 million followers on the platform. However, some of his tweets have gotten the Tesla chief into hot water over the years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":59,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9013330471,"gmtCreate":1648684000637,"gmtModify":1676534376931,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9013330471","repostId":"2223334013","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2223334013","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1648680663,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2223334013?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-31 06:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Dow, S&P Close Lower After 4 Days of Gains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2223334013","media":"Reuters","summary":"U.S. bond market spurs recession worryPrivate payrolls increased by 455,000 jobs in MarchDow down 0.19%, S&P 500 down 0.63%, Nasdaq down 1.21%U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday, with the Dow and S&P 500 sn","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>U.S. bond market spurs recession worry</li><li>Private payrolls increased by 455,000 jobs in March</li><li>Dow down 0.19%, S&amp;P 500 down 0.63%, Nasdaq down 1.21%</li></ul><p>U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday, with the Dow and S&amp;P 500 snapping four-session winning streaks, on waning signs of progress for peace talks between Ukraine and Russia against a backdrop of a hawkish Federal Reserve curbing economic growth.</p><p>The S&amp;P has rebounded more than 5% in March after starting the year with two straight monthly declines. Still, the benchmark index is on track for its first quarterly decline since the first quarter of 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States was reaching full swing.</p><p>Prices for commodities such as oil and metals have surged since the invasion, intensifying already-high U.S. inflation.</p><p>&#34;Ukraine is the controlling narrative for this market, if we are going to get a settlement and we get the potential from that settlement for lower energy prices, which is really the key, and then some sort of return to normalcy in terms of the world economy that is a real positive for the market,&#34; said Rick Meckler, partner at Cherry Lane Investments in New Vernon, New Jersey.</p><p>&#34;If not, we are going to continue to just go back and forth here as the market tries to digest who the winners and losers are because there are a lot of unintended consequences coming out of this war,&#34; Meckler added.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 65.38 points, or 0.19%, to 35,228.81, the S&amp;P 500 (.SPX) lost 29.15 points, or 0.63%, to 4,602.45 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) dropped 177.36 points, or 1.21%, to 14,442.28.</p><p>As inflation intensifies, so does speculation the Federal Reserve may get more aggressive in raising interest rates, which could put a damper on economic growth.</p><p>The S&amp;P energy index (.SPNY) was the leading sector on the plus side with a gain of 1.17%. It is up nearly 40% this year, which would mark its strongest quarterly performance ever.</p><p>The sector is currently one of only three that are positive on the year and has far outpaced the next closest performer in utilities (.SPLRCU), which are up nearly 4% on the year but closed at a record high for a fourth straight session.</p><p>Some investors have taken a defensive stance due to fears of excessive Fed tightening and recent signals in the bond market that often act as precursors to a recession.</p><p>Still, economic data continues to indicate a strong labor market. The ADP National Employment Report showed private payrolls rose by 455,000 jobs last month after advancing 486,000 in February. Investors will watch for Friday&#39;s payrolls report.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">Lululemon Athletica Inc</a> surged 9.58% after forecasting full-year profit and revenue above estimates, as demand for athletic wear remains strong. read more</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.69 billion shares, compared with the 13.93 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.98-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 44 new 52-week highs and 1 new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 51 new highs and 47 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Dow, S&P Close Lower After 4 Days of Gains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Dow, S&P Close Lower After 4 Days of Gains\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-03-31 06:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><ul><li>U.S. bond market spurs recession worry</li><li>Private payrolls increased by 455,000 jobs in March</li><li>Dow down 0.19%, S&amp;P 500 down 0.63%, Nasdaq down 1.21%</li></ul><p>U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday, with the Dow and S&amp;P 500 snapping four-session winning streaks, on waning signs of progress for peace talks between Ukraine and Russia against a backdrop of a hawkish Federal Reserve curbing economic growth.</p><p>The S&amp;P has rebounded more than 5% in March after starting the year with two straight monthly declines. Still, the benchmark index is on track for its first quarterly decline since the first quarter of 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States was reaching full swing.</p><p>Prices for commodities such as oil and metals have surged since the invasion, intensifying already-high U.S. inflation.</p><p>&#34;Ukraine is the controlling narrative for this market, if we are going to get a settlement and we get the potential from that settlement for lower energy prices, which is really the key, and then some sort of return to normalcy in terms of the world economy that is a real positive for the market,&#34; said Rick Meckler, partner at Cherry Lane Investments in New Vernon, New Jersey.</p><p>&#34;If not, we are going to continue to just go back and forth here as the market tries to digest who the winners and losers are because there are a lot of unintended consequences coming out of this war,&#34; Meckler added.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 65.38 points, or 0.19%, to 35,228.81, the S&amp;P 500 (.SPX) lost 29.15 points, or 0.63%, to 4,602.45 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) dropped 177.36 points, or 1.21%, to 14,442.28.</p><p>As inflation intensifies, so does speculation the Federal Reserve may get more aggressive in raising interest rates, which could put a damper on economic growth.</p><p>The S&amp;P energy index (.SPNY) was the leading sector on the plus side with a gain of 1.17%. It is up nearly 40% this year, which would mark its strongest quarterly performance ever.</p><p>The sector is currently one of only three that are positive on the year and has far outpaced the next closest performer in utilities (.SPLRCU), which are up nearly 4% on the year but closed at a record high for a fourth straight session.</p><p>Some investors have taken a defensive stance due to fears of excessive Fed tightening and recent signals in the bond market that often act as precursors to a recession.</p><p>Still, economic data continues to indicate a strong labor market. The ADP National Employment Report showed private payrolls rose by 455,000 jobs last month after advancing 486,000 in February. Investors will watch for Friday&#39;s payrolls report.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">Lululemon Athletica Inc</a> surged 9.58% after forecasting full-year profit and revenue above estimates, as demand for athletic wear remains strong. read more</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.69 billion shares, compared with the 13.93 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.98-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 posted 44 new 52-week highs and 1 new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 51 new highs and 47 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","DDM":"道指两倍做多ETF","LULU":"lululemon athletica","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","QLD":"纳指两倍做多ETF","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","DOG":"道指反向ETF","BK4504":"桥水持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4202":"服装、服饰与奢侈品"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2223334013","content_text":"U.S. bond market spurs recession worryPrivate payrolls increased by 455,000 jobs in MarchDow down 0.19%, S&P 500 down 0.63%, Nasdaq down 1.21%U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday, with the Dow and S&P 500 snapping four-session winning streaks, on waning signs of progress for peace talks between Ukraine and Russia against a backdrop of a hawkish Federal Reserve curbing economic growth.The S&P has rebounded more than 5% in March after starting the year with two straight monthly declines. Still, the benchmark index is on track for its first quarterly decline since the first quarter of 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States was reaching full swing.Prices for commodities such as oil and metals have surged since the invasion, intensifying already-high U.S. inflation.\"Ukraine is the controlling narrative for this market, if we are going to get a settlement and we get the potential from that settlement for lower energy prices, which is really the key, and then some sort of return to normalcy in terms of the world economy that is a real positive for the market,\" said Rick Meckler, partner at Cherry Lane Investments in New Vernon, New Jersey.\"If not, we are going to continue to just go back and forth here as the market tries to digest who the winners and losers are because there are a lot of unintended consequences coming out of this war,\" Meckler added.The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 65.38 points, or 0.19%, to 35,228.81, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 29.15 points, or 0.63%, to 4,602.45 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) dropped 177.36 points, or 1.21%, to 14,442.28.As inflation intensifies, so does speculation the Federal Reserve may get more aggressive in raising interest rates, which could put a damper on economic growth.The S&P energy index (.SPNY) was the leading sector on the plus side with a gain of 1.17%. It is up nearly 40% this year, which would mark its strongest quarterly performance ever.The sector is currently one of only three that are positive on the year and has far outpaced the next closest performer in utilities (.SPLRCU), which are up nearly 4% on the year but closed at a record high for a fourth straight session.Some investors have taken a defensive stance due to fears of excessive Fed tightening and recent signals in the bond market that often act as precursors to a recession.Still, economic data continues to indicate a strong labor market. The ADP National Employment Report showed private payrolls rose by 455,000 jobs last month after advancing 486,000 in February. Investors will watch for Friday's payrolls report.Lululemon Athletica Inc surged 9.58% after forecasting full-year profit and revenue above estimates, as demand for athletic wear remains strong. read moreVolume on U.S. exchanges was 11.69 billion shares, compared with the 13.93 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.98-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted 44 new 52-week highs and 1 new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 51 new highs and 47 new lows.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":156,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9010662694,"gmtCreate":1648358925338,"gmtModify":1676534331248,"author":{"id":"4109843165472380","authorId":"4109843165472380","name":"Mic6226","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/642ea3ba3ea408756b94df1fc4fc2d69","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4109843165472380","authorIdStr":"4109843165472380"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go","listText":"Go","text":"Go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010662694","repostId":"2221071429","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2221071429","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1648343569,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2221071429?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-27 09:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alphabet Vs. Meta: One Is The Much Better Buy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2221071429","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"FotoMaximum/iStock via Getty ImagesAlphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Meta (NASDAQ:FB) are fa","content":"<html><head></head><body><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8682b68644fb0e700ccf73bfd598736\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FotoMaximum/iStock via Getty Images</p><p></p><p>Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Meta (NASDAQ:FB) are famous for enriching millions of investors over the last eight years.</p><p><b> Alphabet And Meta Returns Since 2013</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7de1c1120c62c3dad9c49e5d4e5a134\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"112\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Portfolio Visualizer Premium</p><p></p><p>In fact, both have crushed even the red hot Nasdaq during <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the hottest tech bull runs in US history, delivering Buffett-like 25% returns that resulted in an 8X return.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad549342543f2ced891f57b6c43bb4fd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Ycharts</p><p></p><p>While the market is currently in a correction, and growth stocks have been especially hard hit, Meta has been crushed, falling into a 50% bear market.</p><p>I&#39;ve bought both growth legends in this correction, but one is a core growth name in my correction plan, and the other is a non-core holding.</p><p>So let me explain why both Meta and Alphabet are great companies, worth owning, and even buying more of right now.</p><p>However, a careful examination of both of their fundamentals makes it clear that Alphabet is the global king of digital marketing, and this is likely to remain the case for the foreseeable future.</p><h2>The Challenge Facing Digital Marketers Right Now</h2><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a556ac1fd6482c83da2db4af6d5b7540\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"637\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>eMarketer</p><p></p><p>GOOG, FB, and Amazon (AMZN) have a triopoly on US digital marketing, commanding an estimated 65% of the market.</p><p>Both GOOG and FB are losing market share to AMZN because Amazon&#39;s ads are 3X as effective at converting to actual sales.</p><p>That&#39;s because Amazon has spent decades gathering customer sales data and knows what its customers want better than anyone on earth.</p><p>Apple&#39;s (AAPL) recent privacy shift in iOS, makes it much easier to opt out of data tracking, and 62% of iPhone users have indeed opted out.</p><p>This has proven a hammer blow to FB, which management says could cost it $10 billion in 2022 alone.</p><p>GOOG is less at risk since it still has the search data it can use to optimize for targeted ads.</p><p>AMZN is the least at risk since it relies far less on cookie tracking than its rivals.</p><p>This kind of business model disruption is part of FB and GOOG&#39;s risk profile, which brings us to our first point of comparison.</p><h2>Long-Term Risk Management: Winner Alphabet</h2><p>How do we quantify, monitor, and track such a complex risk profile? By doing what big institutions do.</p><h2>Material Financial ESG Risk Analysis: How Large Institutions Measure Total Risk</h2><ul><li>4 Things You Need To Know To Profit From ESG Investing</li><li>What Investors Need To Know About Company Long-Term Risk Management (Video)</li></ul><p>Here is a special report that outlines the most important aspects of understanding long-term ESG financial risks for your investments.</p><ul><li>ESG is NOT &#34;political or personal ethics based investing&#34;</li><li>it&#39;s total long-term risk management analysis</li></ul><blockquote><i><b>ESG is just normal risk by another name.</b></i><i>&#34; Simon MacMahon, head of ESG and corporate governance research, Sustainalytics&#34; - Morningstar</i></blockquote><blockquote><i>ESG factors are taken into consideration, alongside all other credit factors, when we consider they are relevant to and have or may have a material influence on creditworthiness.&#34; - S&amp;P</i></blockquote><p>ESG is a measure of risk, not of ethics, political correctness, or personal opinion.</p><p>S&amp;P, Fitch, Moody&#39;s, DBRS (Canadian rating agency), AMBest (insurance rating agency), R&amp;I Credit Rating (Japanese rating agency), and the Japan Credit Rating Agency <b>have been using ESG models in their credit ratings for decades.</b></p><ul><li><b>every credit rating for the last 30 years has included these risk models, you just weren&#39;t aware of it </b></li><li>credit and risk management ratings make up 41% of the DK safety and quality model</li><li>dividend/balance sheet/risk ratings make up 82% of the DK safety and quality model</li></ul><p>Every major financial institution also tracks long-term risk management and considers it essential to sound long-term investing including,</p><ul><li>BlackRock</li><li>MSCI</li><li>JPMorgan</li><li>Wells Fargo</li><li>Bank of America</li><li>Deutsche Bank</li><li>virtually every major financial institution in the world</li></ul><p>We use six rating agencies to get a consensus risk management percentile, comparing how well a company manages its risk relative to its peers.</p><p>For context:</p><ul><li>master list average: 62nd percentile</li><li>dividend kings: 63rd percentile</li><li>dividend aristocrats: 67th percentile</li><li>Ultra SWANs: 71st percentile</li></ul><p>The better a company&#39;s risk management consensus the more likely it will be able to adapt to challenges to its business model, as we&#39;re seeing now with GOOG and FB.</p><h4>Meta Long-Term Risk-Management Consensus</h4><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Rating Agency</b></td><td><b>Industry Percentile</b></td><td><p><b>Rating Agency Classification</b></p></td></tr><tr><td>MSCI 37 Metric Model</td><td>26.0%</td><td><p>B Industry Laggard, Negative Trend</p></td></tr><tr><td>Morningstar/Sustainalytics 20 Metric Model</td><td>0.7%</td><td><p>32.4/100 High-Risk</p></td></tr><tr><td>Reuters&#39;/Refinitiv 500+ Metric Model</td><td>88.9%</td><td>Good</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 1,000+ Metric Model</td><td>18.0%</td><td><p>Very Poor- Stable Trend</p></td></tr><tr><td>Just Capital 19 Metric Model</td><td>50.0%</td><td>Average</td></tr><tr><td>FactSet</td><td>30.0%</td><td><p>Below-Average Stable Trend</p></td></tr><tr><td>Morningstar Global Percentile</td><td>30.6%</td><td>Below-Average</td></tr><tr><td>Just Capital Global Percentile</td><td>25.4%</td><td>Poor</td></tr><tr><td><b>Consensus</b></td><td><b>33.7%</b></td><td><p><b>Below-Average (verging on poor) - medium risk</b></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Sources: MSCI, Morningstar, Reuters&#39;, Just Capital, S&amp;P, FactSet Research)</i></p><p>The rating agency consensus is that FB is below-average at managing its risk, verging on poor.</p><p>Now contrast that with GOOG.</p><h4>Alphabet Long-Term Risk-Management Consensus</h4><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Rating Agency</b></td><td><b>Industry Percentile</b></td><td><p><b>Rating Agency Classification</b></p></td></tr><tr><td>MSCI 37 Metric Model</td><td>53.0%</td><td><p>BBB Average, Negative Trend</p></td></tr><tr><td>Morningstar/Sustainalytics 20 Metric Model</td><td>39.7%</td><td><p>24.3/100 Medium-Risk</p></td></tr><tr><td>Reuters&#39;/Refinitiv 500+ Metric Model</td><td>85.88%</td><td>Good</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 1,000+ Metric Model</td><td>47.0%</td><td><p>Average- Positive Trend</p></td></tr><tr><td>Just Capital 19 Metric Model</td><td>100.00%</td><td><p>#1 Industry Leader</p></td></tr><tr><td>FactSet</td><td>30.0%</td><td><p>Below-Average Stable Trend</p></td></tr><tr><td>Morningstar Global Percentile</td><td>60.88</td><td>Above-Average</td></tr><tr><td>Just Capital Global Percentile</td><td>100%</td><td><p>#1 Industry Leader, #1 Company In America</p></td></tr><tr><td><b>Consensus</b></td><td><b>64.6%</b></td><td><b>Above-Average - low risk </b></td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Sources: MSCI, Morningstar, Reuters&#39;, Just Capital, S&amp;P, FactSet Research)</i></p><p>GOOG doesn&#39;t just manage its long-term risk better than FB, it&#39;s beating FB by 31%.</p><ul><li>far more likely to successfully deal with privacy policy shifts, regulators, and every other major risk to its business model</li></ul><p>And risk-management isn&#39;t the only factor in which GOOG outshines FB by a wide margin.</p><h2>Overall Quality: Winner, Alphabet</h2><p>The Dividend King&#39;s overall quality scores are based on a 241 point model that includes:</p><ul><li><p>dividend safety</p></li><li><p>balance sheet strength</p></li><li><p>credit ratings</p></li><li><p>credit default swap medium-term bankruptcy risk data</p></li><li><p>short and long-term bankruptcy risk</p></li><li><p>accounting and corporate fraud risk</p></li><li><p>profitability and business model</p></li><li><p>growth consensus estimates</p></li><li><p>management growth guidance</p></li><li><p>historical earnings growth rates</p></li><li><p>historical cash flow growth rates</p></li><li><p>historical dividend growth rates</p></li><li><p>historical sales growth rates</p></li><li><p>cost of capital</p></li><li><p>long-term risk-management scores from MSCI, Morningstar, FactSet, S&amp;P, Reuters&#39;/Refinitiv, and Just Capital</p></li><li><p>management quality</p></li><li><p>dividend friendly corporate culture/income dependability</p></li><li><p>long-term total returns (a Ben Graham sign of quality)</p></li><li><p>analyst consensus long-term return potential</p></li></ul><p>It actually includes over 1,000 metrics if you count everything factored in by 12 rating agencies we use to assess fundamental risk.</p><ul><li><p>credit and risk management ratings make up 41% of the DK safety and quality model</p></li><li><p>dividend/balance sheet/risk ratings make up 82% of the DK safety and quality model</p></li></ul><p>How do we know that our safety and quality model works well?</p><p>During the two worst recessions in 75 years, our safety model predicted 87% of blue-chip dividend cuts during the ultimate baptism by fire for any dividend safety model.</p><p>That&#39;s because we don&#39;t miss anything important about a company&#39;s fundamental safety and quality.</p><p>So how do GOOG and FB stack up on one of the world&#39;s most comprehensive and accurate safety and quality models?</p><h2>Meta: A Speculative 11/19 Quality Blue-Chip</h2><p><b>Meta Balance Sheet Safety</b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Rating</b></td><td><b>Dividend Kings Safety Score (151 Point Safety Model)</b></td><td><b>Approximate Dividend Cut Risk (Average Recession)</b></td><td><p><b>Approximate Dividend Cut Risk In Pandemic Level Recession</b></p></td></tr><tr><td>1 - unsafe</td><td>0% to 20%</td><td>over 4%</td><td>16+%</td></tr><tr><td>2- below average</td><td>21% to 40%</td><td>over 2%</td><td>8% to 16%</td></tr><tr><td>3 - average</td><td>41% to 60%</td><td>2%</td><td>4% to 8%</td></tr><tr><td>4 - safe</td><td>61% to 80%</td><td>1%</td><td>2% to 4%</td></tr><tr><td>5- very safe</td><td>81% to 100%</td><td>0.5%</td><td>1% to 2%</td></tr><tr><td><b>FB</b></td><td><b>100%</b></td><td><b>NA</b></td><td><b>NA</b></td></tr><tr><td>Risk Rating</td><td>Medium Risk (34th industry percentile risk-management consensus)</td><td>Effective AAA stable outlook credit rating 0.07% 30-year bankruptcy risk</td><td>2.5% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Recommendation - speculative, turnaround stock</td></tr></tbody></table><p><b>Long-Term Dependability</b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>DK Long-Term Dependability Score</b></td><td><b>Interpretation</b></td><td><b>Points</b></td></tr><tr><td>Non-Dependable Companies</td><td>21% or below</td><td>Poor Dependability</td><td>1</td></tr><tr><td>Low Dependability Companies</td><td>22% to 60%</td><td>Below-Average Dependability</td><td>2</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500/Industry Average</td><td>61% (58% to 70% range)</td><td>Average Dependability</td><td>3</td></tr><tr><td>Above-Average</td><td>71% to 80%</td><td>Very Dependable</td><td>4</td></tr><tr><td>Very Good</td><td>81% or higher</td><td>Exceptional Dependability</td><td>5</td></tr><tr><td><b>FB</b></td><td><b>67%</b></td><td><b>Average Dependability</b></td><td><b>3</b></td></tr></tbody></table><p><b>Overall Quality</b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>FB</b></td><td><b>Final Score</b></td><td><b>Rating</b></td></tr><tr><td>Safety</td><td>100%</td><td>5/5 very safe</td></tr><tr><td>Business Model</td><td>100%</td><td>3/3 wide moat</td></tr><tr><td>Dependability</td><td>67%</td><td>3/5 average dependability</td></tr><tr><td><b>Total</b></td><td><b>84%</b></td><td><b>11/13 Speculative Blue-Chip</b></td></tr><tr><td>Risk Rating</td><td><p>2/3 Medium Risk</p></td><td></td></tr><tr><td>2.5% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Rec - speculative, turnaround stock</td><td><p>20% Margin of Safety For A Potentially Good Buy</p></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table><p>And here&#39;s GOOG.</p><h2>Alphabet: A 13/13 Quality Ultra SWAN</h2><p><b>Alphabet Balance Sheet Safety</b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Rating</b></td><td><b>Dividend Kings Safety Score (151 Point Safety Model)</b></td><td><b>Approximate Dividend Cut Risk (Average Recession)</b></td><td><p><b>Approximate Dividend Cut Risk In Pandemic Level Recession</b></p></td></tr><tr><td>1 - unsafe</td><td>0% to 20%</td><td>over 4%</td><td>16+%</td></tr><tr><td>2- below average</td><td>21% to 40%</td><td>over 2%</td><td>8% to 16%</td></tr><tr><td>3 - average</td><td>41% to 60%</td><td>2%</td><td>4% to 8%</td></tr><tr><td>4 - safe</td><td>61% to 80%</td><td>1%</td><td>2% to 4%</td></tr><tr><td>5- very safe</td><td>81% to 100%</td><td>0.5%</td><td>1% to 2%</td></tr><tr><td><b>GOOG</b></td><td><b>100%</b></td><td><b>NA</b></td><td><b>NA</b></td></tr><tr><td>Risk Rating</td><td>Low Risk (65th industry percentile risk-management consensus)</td><td>AA+ stable outlook credit rating 0.29% 30-year bankruptcy risk</td><td>20% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Recommendation</td></tr></tbody></table><p><b>Long-Term Dependability</b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>DK Long-Term Dependability Score</b></td><td><b>Interpretation</b></td><td><b>Points</b></td></tr><tr><td>Non-Dependable Companies</td><td>21% or below</td><td>Poor Dependability</td><td>1</td></tr><tr><td>Low Dependability Companies</td><td>22% to 60%</td><td>Below-Average Dependability</td><td>2</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500/Industry Average</td><td>61% (58% to 70% range)</td><td>Average Dependability</td><td>3</td></tr><tr><td>Above-Average</td><td>71% to 80%</td><td>Very Dependable</td><td>4</td></tr><tr><td>Very Good</td><td>81% or higher</td><td>Exceptional Dependability</td><td>5</td></tr><tr><td><b>GOOG</b></td><td><b>89%</b></td><td><b>Exceptional Dependability</b></td><td><b>5</b></td></tr></tbody></table><p><b>Overall Quality</b></p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>GOOG</b></td><td><b>Final Score</b></td><td><b>Rating</b></td></tr><tr><td>Safety</td><td>100%</td><td>5/5 very safe</td></tr><tr><td>Business Model</td><td>100%</td><td>3/3 wide moat</td></tr><tr><td>Dependability</td><td>89%</td><td>5/5 exceptional</td></tr><tr><td><b>Total</b></td><td><b>95%</b></td><td><b>13/13 Ultra SWAN</b></td></tr><tr><td>Risk Rating</td><td>3/3 Low Risk</td><td></td></tr><tr><td>20% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Rec</td><td><p>5% Margin of Safety For A Potentially Good Buy</p></td><td></td></tr></tbody></table><ul><li>Meta: 114th highest quality company on the Masterlist: 78th percentile</li><li>Alphabet: 39th highest quality: 92nd percentile</li></ul><p>Both companies are exceptionally high quality given that our company database is one of the best in the world.</p><p>The DK 500 Master List includes the world&#39;s highest quality companies including:</p><ul><li><p>All dividend champions</p></li><li><p>All dividend aristocrats</p></li><li><p>All dividend kings</p></li><li><p>All global aristocrats (such as BTI, ENB, and NVS)</p></li><li><p>All 13/13 Ultra Swans (as close to perfect quality as exists on Wall Street)</p></li><li>48 of the world&#39;s best growth stocks (on its way to 100)</li></ul><p>But when it comes to overall quality, factoring in over 1,000 fundamental metrics, the winner is clearly once more Alphabet.</p><p>Why is GOOG the hands-down winner in this quality fight with FB?</p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>Quality Rating (out Of 13)</b></td><td><b>Quality Score (Out Of 100)</b></td><td><b>Dividend/Balance Sheet Safety Rating (out of 5)</b></td><td><b>Safety Score (Out Of 100)</b></td><td><b>Dependability Rating (Out Of 5)</b></td><td><b>Dependability Score (out Of 100)</b></td></tr><tr><td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Meta Platforms</a></td><td>11 Speculative Blue-Chip</td><td>84%</td><td>5 Very Safe</td><td>100%</td><td>3 average</td><td>67%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet</td><td>13 Ultra SWAN</td><td>95%</td><td>5 Very Safe</td><td>100%</td><td>5 exceptional</td><td>89%</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal)</i></p><p>Both FB and Meta have exceptionally strong balance sheets, making the risk of bankruptcy as close to zero as you can find on Wall Street.</p><h4>Alphabet&#39;s Balance Sheet: AA+ Rated By S&amp;P</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a13f13c309fa748452dfea0afb27ebdf\" tg-width=\"491\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>GuruFocus Premium</p><p></p><p>GOOG has $140 billion in cash and just $13 billion in debt.</p><p>Its advanced accounting metrics (F, Z, and M-score) are exceptional.</p><ul><li>F-score is a measure of short-term bankruptcy risk</li><li>4+ is safe, 7+ very safe and GOOG&#39;s is 8</li><li>M-score is 84% to 92% accurate at forecasting long-term bankruptcies</li><li>1.81+ is safe, 3+ is very safe and GOOG&#39;s is 13.04</li><li>M-score is 76% accurate at catching accounting fraud, and 82.5% accurate at finding companies with honest accounting</li><li>-1.78 or lower is safe and GOOG&#39;s is -2.48</li></ul><h4>Meta&#39;s Balance Sheet: Effectively AAA</h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68209d14c736c8328e46572200e82060\" tg-width=\"487\" tg-height=\"373\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>GuruFocus Premium</p><p></p><p>The only &#34;debt&#34; Meta has is receivables, it actually carries no long-term debt.</p><p>That is why it&#39;s the largest company on earth that doesn&#39;t pay the $500K per year for a credit rating.</p><p>However, given its current and historical advanced credit metrics, as well as its exceptionally strong solvency ratios (current ratio, quick ratio, and cash ratios), I&#39;m highly confident that it would be AAA-rated.</p><ul><li>because it&#39;s literally not possible for FB to default on debt it doesn&#39;t have</li></ul><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Credit Rating</b></td><td><b>30-Year Bankruptcy Probability</b></td></tr><tr><td>AAA (Meta)</td><td>0.07%</td></tr><tr><td>AA+ (Alphabet)</td><td>0.29%</td></tr><tr><td>AA</td><td>0.51%</td></tr><tr><td>AA-</td><td>0.55%</td></tr><tr><td>A+</td><td>0.60%</td></tr><tr><td>A</td><td>0.66%</td></tr><tr><td>A-</td><td>2.5%</td></tr><tr><td>BBB+</td><td>5%</td></tr><tr><td>BBB</td><td>7.5%</td></tr><tr><td>BBB-</td><td>11%</td></tr><tr><td>BB+</td><td>14%</td></tr><tr><td>BB</td><td>17%</td></tr><tr><td>BB-</td><td>21%</td></tr><tr><td>B+</td><td>25%</td></tr><tr><td>B</td><td>37%</td></tr><tr><td>B-</td><td>45%</td></tr><tr><td>CCC+</td><td>52%</td></tr><tr><td>CCC</td><td>59%</td></tr><tr><td>CCC-</td><td>65%</td></tr><tr><td>CC</td><td>70%</td></tr><tr><td>C</td><td>80%</td></tr><tr><td>D</td><td>100%</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Sources: S&amp;P, University of St. Petersberg)</i></p><p>This means the fundamental risk of losing all your money over the next 30 years buying FB or GOOG today is approximately</p><ul><li>1 in 1,429 for FB</li><li>1 in 345 for GOOG</li></ul><p>And both companies&#39; balance sheets are expected to keep getting stronger over time.</p><p><b>Alphabet: Consensus $441 Billion In Net Cash By 2027 </b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c3a6843c329c2b16d3839e0e124674\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"308\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p></p><p><b>Meta: Consensus $71 Billion In Net Cash By 2027</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec44680d5d8318ba8ed74d4b40ae28e9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p></p><p>Now let&#39;s consider profitability, Wall Street&#39;s favorite quality proxy.</p><h2>Profitability: Winner, Meta By A Small Amount</h2><p><b>Meta Profitability Vs Peers</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e2b501a3cd5bb6da5299422362bed67\" tg-width=\"486\" tg-height=\"342\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Gurufocus Premium</p><p></p><p><b>Alphabet Profitability Vs Peers</b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/926a2ab456d218b3ef8cd49552df5565\" tg-width=\"488\" tg-height=\"345\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Gurufocus Premium</p><p></p><p>Both companies are profit-minting machines.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/673b7f04eadaf433b4fe704dda171180\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Ycharts</p><p></p><p>These are two of the most profitable companies on earth, and their industry-leading profitability has been stable or improving for over a decade, confirming a wide and stable moat.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a1b491d8a76dd73ddc3b2ea13e999c8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"187\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p></p><p>FB&#39;s free cash flow is expected to keep growing and reach $77 billion in 2027.</p><p>This is expected to result in impressive buybacks in the coming years.</p><ul><li>$219 billion in consensus buybacks through 2027</li><li>38% of shares at current valuations</li></ul><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93f9e72220887060384ea19dc975503c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"165\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FactSet Research Terminal</p><p></p><p>GOOG&#39;s annual free cash flow is expected to grow to $139 billion in 2027, allowing it to undertake even more impressive buybacks.</p><ul><li>$380 billion in consensus buybacks through 2027</li><li>21% of shares at current valuations</li></ul><p>Now let&#39;s consider one important profitability metric in particular.</p><p>Return on capital or ROC is Joel Greenblatt&#39;s gold standard proxy for quality and moatiness.</p><p>ROC = pre-tax profit/operating capital (the money it takes to run the business).</p><ul><li>S&amp;P 500&#39;s average in 2021 was 14.6% (average investment pays for itself in 7 years)</li></ul><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>ROC (Greenblatt)</b></td><td><b>ROC Industry Percentile</b></td><td><b>13-Year Median ROC</b></td><td><b>5-Year ROC Trend (OTC:CAGR)</b></td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms</td><td>74%</td><td>65%</td><td>95%</td><td>-16%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet</td><td>87%</td><td>67%</td><td>74%</td><td>-7%</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)</i></p><p>In the past year, GOOG&#39;s return on capital was higher than FB&#39;s and it&#39;s also above its 13-year median indicating a more stable moat.</p><p>In other words, when it comes to profitability, FB edges out GOOG by a small amount, except in terms of return on capital, where it&#39;s once more the winner.</p><h2>Valuation: Winner, Meta</h2><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>Average Fair Value</b></td><td><b>Current Price</b></td><td><b>Discount To Fair Value</b></td><td><b>DK Rating</b></td><td><b>PE 2022</b></td><td><b>PEG 2022</b></td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms</td><td>$265.75</td><td>$214.35</td><td>19.6%</td><td>Potentially Reasonable Buy</td><td>17.19</td><td>1.49</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet</td><td>$3,161.89</td><td>$2,771.92</td><td>12.3%</td><td>Potentially Good Buy</td><td>23.51</td><td>1.67</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)</i></p><p>FB is trading at a slightly lower valuation and a higher margin of safety, though not quite high enough for me to consider it a good buy.</p><ul><li>20% discount is needed to make FB a potentially good buy given its lower quality and risk profile</li></ul><p>If we back out cash we see that FB is once more the more undervalued company.</p><ul><li>FB EV/EBITDA: 9.5</li><li>GOOG EV/EBITDA: 14.5</li></ul><p>However, both companies are trading at highly attractive valuations.</p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>12-Month Consensus Total Return Potential</b></td><td><b>12-Month Fundamentally Justified Upside Total Return Potential</b></td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms</td><td>48.47%</td><td>23.98%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet</td><td>25.77%</td><td>14.11%</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)</i></p><p>This is why analysts expect both to deliver very strong returns, though FB potentially much more than GOOG.</p><p>Of course, what happens in the next year doesn&#39;t matter as much as the kind of returns both companies can deliver over the long-term.</p><h2>Long-Term Total Return Potential: Winner, Alphabet</h2><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Company</b></td><td><b>Yield</b></td><td><b>FactSet Long-Term Consensus Growth Rate</b></td><td><b>LT Consensus Total Return Potential</b></td><td><b>Risk-Adjusted Expected Return</b></td></tr><tr><td>Meta Platforms</td><td>0.00%</td><td>11.5%</td><td>11.5%</td><td>8.1%</td></tr><tr><td>Alphabet</td><td>0.00%</td><td>14.1%</td><td>14.1%</td><td>9.9%</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)</i></p><p>GOOG is expected to grow significantly faster than FB over time, resulting in far better long-term returns.</p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Investment Strategy</b></td><td><b>Yield</b></td><td><b>LT Consensus Growth</b></td><td><b>LT Consensus Total Return Potential</b></td><td><b>Long-Term Risk-Adjusted Expected Return</b></td><td><b>Long-Term Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected Returns</b></td><td><b>Years To Double Your Inflation &amp; Risk-Adjusted Wealth</b></td><td><p><b>10 Year Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Return</b></p></td></tr><tr><td>Europe</td><td>2.6%</td><td>12.8%</td><td>15.4%</td><td>10.7%</td><td>8.6%</td><td>8.4</td><td>2.27</td></tr><tr><td>Value</td><td>2.1%</td><td>12.1%</td><td>14.1%</td><td>9.9%</td><td>7.7%</td><td>9.3</td><td>2.10</td></tr><tr><td><b>Alphabet</b></td><td><b>0.0%</b></td><td><b>14.1%</b></td><td><b>14.1%</b></td><td><b>9.9%</b></td><td><b>7.7%</b></td><td><b>9.4</b></td><td>2.10</td></tr><tr><td>High-Yield</td><td>2.8%</td><td>11.3%</td><td>14.1%</td><td>9.9%</td><td>7.7%</td><td>9.4</td><td>2.10</td></tr><tr><td>High-Yield + Growth</td><td>1.7%</td><td>11.0%</td><td>12.7%</td><td>8.9%</td><td>6.7%</td><td>10.8</td><td>1.91</td></tr><tr><td>Safe Midstream + Growth</td><td>3.3%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>11.8%</td><td>8.3%</td><td>6.1%</td><td>11.8</td><td>1.80</td></tr><tr><td><b>Meta</b></td><td><b>0.0%</b></td><td><b>11.50%</b></td><td><b>11.5%</b></td><td><b>8.1%</b></td><td><b>5.9%</b></td><td><b>12.3</b></td><td>1.77</td></tr><tr><td>Nasdaq (Growth)</td><td>0.8%</td><td>10.7%</td><td>11.5%</td><td>8.1%</td><td>5.9%</td><td>12.3</td><td>1.77</td></tr><tr><td>Safe Midstream</td><td>5.5%</td><td>6.0%</td><td>11.5%</td><td>8.1%</td><td>5.9%</td><td>12.3</td><td>1.77</td></tr><tr><td>Dividend Aristocrats</td><td>2.2%</td><td>8.9%</td><td>11.1%</td><td>7.8%</td><td>5.6%</td><td>12.9</td><td>1.72</td></tr><tr><td>REITs + Growth</td><td>1.8%</td><td>8.9%</td><td>10.6%</td><td>7.4%</td><td>5.2%</td><td>13.7</td><td>1.67</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500</td><td>1.4%</td><td>8.5%</td><td>9.9%</td><td>7.0%</td><td>4.8%</td><td>15.1</td><td>1.59</td></tr><tr><td>Realty Income</td><td>4.6%</td><td>5.2%</td><td>9.8%</td><td>6.9%</td><td>4.7%</td><td>15.4</td><td>1.58</td></tr><tr><td>Dividend Growth</td><td>1.6%</td><td>8.0%</td><td>9.6%</td><td>6.7%</td><td>4.5%</td><td>15.9</td><td>1.56</td></tr><tr><td>REITs</td><td>2.9%</td><td>6.5%</td><td>9.4%</td><td>6.6%</td><td>4.4%</td><td>16.4</td><td>1.54</td></tr><tr><td>60/40 Retirement Portfolio</td><td>2.1%</td><td>5.1%</td><td>7.2%</td><td>5.1%</td><td>2.9%</td><td>24.9</td><td>1.33</td></tr><tr><td>10-Year US Treasury</td><td>2.3%</td><td>0.0%</td><td>2.3%</td><td>1.6%</td><td>-0.5%</td><td>-131.1</td><td>0.95</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: Morningstar, FactSet, Ycharts)</i></p><p>Both companies are expected to beat the S&amp;P 500 over time, though FB merely to match the Nasdaq while GOOG is expected to run circles around big tech.</p><p>What kind of difference does 2.6% per year in potential extra returns actually mean for your life?</p><h4>Inflation-Adjusted Consensus Return Forecast: $1,000 Initial Investment</h4><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Time Frame (Years)</b></td><td><b>7.7% CAGR Inflation-Adjusted S&amp;P Consensus</b></td><td><b>11.9% Inflation-Adjusted GOOG Consensus</b></td><td><b>9.3% CAGR Inflation-Adjusted FB Consensus</b></td><td><b>Difference Between Inflation Adjusted GOOG and FB Consensus Returns</b></td></tr><tr><td>5</td><td>$1,449.03</td><td>$1,756.06</td><td>$1,561.34</td><td>$194.71</td></tr><tr><td>10</td><td>$2,099.70</td><td>$3,083.73</td><td>$2,437.79</td><td>$645.95</td></tr><tr><td>15</td><td>$3,042.53</td><td>$5,415.21</td><td>$3,806.22</td><td>$1,608.99</td></tr><tr><td>20</td><td>$4,408.74</td><td>$9,509.42</td><td>$5,942.82</td><td>$3,566.60</td></tr><tr><td>25</td><td>$6,388.41</td><td>$16,699.08</td><td>$9,278.77</td><td>$7,420.31</td></tr><tr><td>30</td><td>$9,257.02</td><td>$29,324.53</td><td>$14,487.34</td><td>$14,837.19</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: Morningstar, FactSet, Ycharts)</i></p><p>Both FB and GOOG are likely to generate good returns but GOOG could turn a modest investment today into a potentially small fortune in the coming decades.</p><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Time Frame (Years)</b></td><td><b>Ratio Inflation-Adjusted GOOG and FB Consensus</b></td></tr><tr><td>5</td><td>1.12</td></tr><tr><td>10</td><td>1.26</td></tr><tr><td>15</td><td>1.42</td></tr><tr><td>20</td><td>1.60</td></tr><tr><td>25</td><td>1.80</td></tr><tr><td>30</td><td>2.02</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)</i></p><p>In fact, GOOG could potentially double FB&#39;s 30-year returns if both companies grow as analysts currently expect.</p><h2>Short &amp; Medium-Term Total Return Potential: Tie</h2><p><b>Meta 2024 Consensus Return Potential </b></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f903c32f63dbb4cfa5efa19492b8a0f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"322\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet Research</p><p></p><p>FB growing at 11.5% is worth about 20.5X earnings based on the company&#39;s historical PEG ratio.</p><ul><li>analyst 12-month consensus forecast is for 21.9 PE</li></ul><p>This means that if FB grows as expected through 2024 it could deliver about 18% annular returns, far more than the 17% overvalued S&amp;P 500 is likely to generate.</p><p>What about the next five years?</p><h4>S&amp;P 500 2027 Consensus Return Potential</h4><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>Year</b></td><td><b>Upside Potential By End of That Year</b></td><td><b>Consensus CAGR Return Potential By End of That Year</b></td><td><b>Probability-Weighted Return (Annualized)</b></td><td><p><b>Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected Returns</b></p></td></tr><tr><td>2027</td><td>34.75%</td><td>6.15%</td><td>4.61%</td><td>1.27%</td></tr></tbody></table><p><i>(Source: DK S&amp;P 500 Valuation And Total Return Tool)</i></p><p>For context, analysts expect 35% returns from the S&amp;P 500, which adjusted for inflation and risk is 1% compared to the market&#39;s historical 6% to 7% real return.</p><h4><b>Meta 2027 Consensus Return Potential</b></h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66d31fef78452199e2961d8d89d65454\" tg-width=\"275\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet Research</p><p></p><p>FB could more than double your money if it grows as analysts expect over the next five years.</p><ul><li>3.2X the S&amp;P 500 consensus</li></ul><h2><b>GOOG 2024 Consensus Return Potential </b></h2><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc664bb22e0ba08e06de0e9bbed286c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"271\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet Research</p><p></p><p>GOOG could deliver 13% annual returns through 2024 if it grows as expected.</p><p>In the past GOOG has grown as slowly as 11% and billions of investors still paid 25.7X earnings, meaning that its historical market-fair value multiple of 25 to 26X earnings should still be valid.</p><h4><b>GOOG 2027 Consensus Return Potential</b></h4><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36d07a6169cb075678d6646bca01679\" tg-width=\"399\" tg-height=\"511\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>FAST Graphs, FactSet Research</p><p></p><p>Thanks to GOOG&#39;s faster growth rate analysts expect both companies to potentially deliver identical returns.</p><ul><li>about 14% annually over the next five years</li><li>also 3.2X better than the S&amp;P 500</li></ul><h2>Bottom Line: Both Are Great Companies But In The Battle Of Meta And Alphabet There Is One Clear Winner</h2><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5dea4bc19b8951f30e1b2bea40e989b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"314\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Dividend Kings Automated Investment Decision Tool</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/507426f09d401e866c66a1f1dd597e4f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Dividend Kings Automated Investment Decision Tool</p><p></p><p>Both Alphabet and Meta are wonderful companies, and as close to perfect growth blue-chip opportunities as you can find on Wall Street right now.</p><ul><li>far superior valuation</li><li>superior quality</li><li>superior long-term return potential to the S&amp;P 500</li></ul><p>However, when we examine both companies in their entirety one fact is clear.</p><ul><li>GOOG is a higher quality company</li><li>GOOG is a faster-growing company (<i>with potentially 2X better long-term return potential than FB</i>)</li><li>GOOG has far better long-term risk management (to deal with the disruption the digital advertising industry is currently facing)</li><li>GOOG has superior return on capital and a more stable moat</li></ul><p>While FB offers superior valuation and potentially double the short-term return potential, it&#39;s a speculative blue-chip currently going through the largest business pivot in the company&#39;s history.</p><p>In contrast, GOOG is a faster-growing Ultra SWAN that is expected to buy back almost $400 billion worth of stock in the next five years, double that of FB.</p><p>Simply put, if you can only buy one of these growth legends today, I recommend Alphabet, and that&#39;s why I have it as a core growth position in my correction plan.</p><p>Not just for the next few weeks, but all of 2022 and beyond.</p><p>Because at the end of the day, when you focus on safety and quality first, and prudent valuation and sound risk-management always, you never have to pray for luck on Wall Street, you make your own.</p><blockquote>Luck is what happens when preparation meets, opportunity.&#34; - Roman philosopher Seneca the younger</blockquote></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alphabet Vs. Meta: One Is The Much Better Buy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlphabet Vs. Meta: One Is The Much Better Buy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-27 09:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4497464-alphabet-vs-meta-one-is-better-buy><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>FotoMaximum/iStock via Getty ImagesAlphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Meta (NASDAQ:FB) are famous for enriching millions of investors over the last eight years. Alphabet And Meta Returns Since ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4497464-alphabet-vs-meta-one-is-better-buy\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4508":"社交媒体","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4497464-alphabet-vs-meta-one-is-better-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2221071429","content_text":"FotoMaximum/iStock via Getty ImagesAlphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Meta (NASDAQ:FB) are famous for enriching millions of investors over the last eight years. Alphabet And Meta Returns Since 2013Portfolio Visualizer PremiumIn fact, both have crushed even the red hot Nasdaq during one of the hottest tech bull runs in US history, delivering Buffett-like 25% returns that resulted in an 8X return.YchartsWhile the market is currently in a correction, and growth stocks have been especially hard hit, Meta has been crushed, falling into a 50% bear market.I've bought both growth legends in this correction, but one is a core growth name in my correction plan, and the other is a non-core holding.So let me explain why both Meta and Alphabet are great companies, worth owning, and even buying more of right now.However, a careful examination of both of their fundamentals makes it clear that Alphabet is the global king of digital marketing, and this is likely to remain the case for the foreseeable future.The Challenge Facing Digital Marketers Right NoweMarketerGOOG, FB, and Amazon (AMZN) have a triopoly on US digital marketing, commanding an estimated 65% of the market.Both GOOG and FB are losing market share to AMZN because Amazon's ads are 3X as effective at converting to actual sales.That's because Amazon has spent decades gathering customer sales data and knows what its customers want better than anyone on earth.Apple's (AAPL) recent privacy shift in iOS, makes it much easier to opt out of data tracking, and 62% of iPhone users have indeed opted out.This has proven a hammer blow to FB, which management says could cost it $10 billion in 2022 alone.GOOG is less at risk since it still has the search data it can use to optimize for targeted ads.AMZN is the least at risk since it relies far less on cookie tracking than its rivals.This kind of business model disruption is part of FB and GOOG's risk profile, which brings us to our first point of comparison.Long-Term Risk Management: Winner AlphabetHow do we quantify, monitor, and track such a complex risk profile? By doing what big institutions do.Material Financial ESG Risk Analysis: How Large Institutions Measure Total Risk4 Things You Need To Know To Profit From ESG InvestingWhat Investors Need To Know About Company Long-Term Risk Management (Video)Here is a special report that outlines the most important aspects of understanding long-term ESG financial risks for your investments.ESG is NOT \"political or personal ethics based investing\"it's total long-term risk management analysisESG is just normal risk by another name.\" Simon MacMahon, head of ESG and corporate governance research, Sustainalytics\" - MorningstarESG factors are taken into consideration, alongside all other credit factors, when we consider they are relevant to and have or may have a material influence on creditworthiness.\" - S&PESG is a measure of risk, not of ethics, political correctness, or personal opinion.S&P, Fitch, Moody's, DBRS (Canadian rating agency), AMBest (insurance rating agency), R&I Credit Rating (Japanese rating agency), and the Japan Credit Rating Agency have been using ESG models in their credit ratings for decades.every credit rating for the last 30 years has included these risk models, you just weren't aware of it credit and risk management ratings make up 41% of the DK safety and quality modeldividend/balance sheet/risk ratings make up 82% of the DK safety and quality modelEvery major financial institution also tracks long-term risk management and considers it essential to sound long-term investing including,BlackRockMSCIJPMorganWells FargoBank of AmericaDeutsche Bankvirtually every major financial institution in the worldWe use six rating agencies to get a consensus risk management percentile, comparing how well a company manages its risk relative to its peers.For context:master list average: 62nd percentiledividend kings: 63rd percentiledividend aristocrats: 67th percentileUltra SWANs: 71st percentileThe better a company's risk management consensus the more likely it will be able to adapt to challenges to its business model, as we're seeing now with GOOG and FB.Meta Long-Term Risk-Management ConsensusRating AgencyIndustry PercentileRating Agency ClassificationMSCI 37 Metric Model26.0%B Industry Laggard, Negative TrendMorningstar/Sustainalytics 20 Metric Model0.7%32.4/100 High-RiskReuters'/Refinitiv 500+ Metric Model88.9%GoodS&P 1,000+ Metric Model18.0%Very Poor- Stable TrendJust Capital 19 Metric Model50.0%AverageFactSet30.0%Below-Average Stable TrendMorningstar Global Percentile30.6%Below-AverageJust Capital Global Percentile25.4%PoorConsensus33.7%Below-Average (verging on poor) - medium risk(Sources: MSCI, Morningstar, Reuters', Just Capital, S&P, FactSet Research)The rating agency consensus is that FB is below-average at managing its risk, verging on poor.Now contrast that with GOOG.Alphabet Long-Term Risk-Management ConsensusRating AgencyIndustry PercentileRating Agency ClassificationMSCI 37 Metric Model53.0%BBB Average, Negative TrendMorningstar/Sustainalytics 20 Metric Model39.7%24.3/100 Medium-RiskReuters'/Refinitiv 500+ Metric Model85.88%GoodS&P 1,000+ Metric Model47.0%Average- Positive TrendJust Capital 19 Metric Model100.00%#1 Industry LeaderFactSet30.0%Below-Average Stable TrendMorningstar Global Percentile60.88Above-AverageJust Capital Global Percentile100%#1 Industry Leader, #1 Company In AmericaConsensus64.6%Above-Average - low risk (Sources: MSCI, Morningstar, Reuters', Just Capital, S&P, FactSet Research)GOOG doesn't just manage its long-term risk better than FB, it's beating FB by 31%.far more likely to successfully deal with privacy policy shifts, regulators, and every other major risk to its business modelAnd risk-management isn't the only factor in which GOOG outshines FB by a wide margin.Overall Quality: Winner, AlphabetThe Dividend King's overall quality scores are based on a 241 point model that includes:dividend safetybalance sheet strengthcredit ratingscredit default swap medium-term bankruptcy risk datashort and long-term bankruptcy riskaccounting and corporate fraud riskprofitability and business modelgrowth consensus estimatesmanagement growth guidancehistorical earnings growth rateshistorical cash flow growth rateshistorical dividend growth rateshistorical sales growth ratescost of capitallong-term risk-management scores from MSCI, Morningstar, FactSet, S&P, Reuters'/Refinitiv, and Just Capitalmanagement qualitydividend friendly corporate culture/income dependabilitylong-term total returns (a Ben Graham sign of quality)analyst consensus long-term return potentialIt actually includes over 1,000 metrics if you count everything factored in by 12 rating agencies we use to assess fundamental risk.credit and risk management ratings make up 41% of the DK safety and quality modeldividend/balance sheet/risk ratings make up 82% of the DK safety and quality modelHow do we know that our safety and quality model works well?During the two worst recessions in 75 years, our safety model predicted 87% of blue-chip dividend cuts during the ultimate baptism by fire for any dividend safety model.That's because we don't miss anything important about a company's fundamental safety and quality.So how do GOOG and FB stack up on one of the world's most comprehensive and accurate safety and quality models?Meta: A Speculative 11/19 Quality Blue-ChipMeta Balance Sheet SafetyRatingDividend Kings Safety Score (151 Point Safety Model)Approximate Dividend Cut Risk (Average Recession)Approximate Dividend Cut Risk In Pandemic Level Recession1 - unsafe0% to 20%over 4%16+%2- below average21% to 40%over 2%8% to 16%3 - average41% to 60%2%4% to 8%4 - safe61% to 80%1%2% to 4%5- very safe81% to 100%0.5%1% to 2%FB100%NANARisk RatingMedium Risk (34th industry percentile risk-management consensus)Effective AAA stable outlook credit rating 0.07% 30-year bankruptcy risk2.5% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Recommendation - speculative, turnaround stockLong-Term DependabilityCompanyDK Long-Term Dependability ScoreInterpretationPointsNon-Dependable Companies21% or belowPoor Dependability1Low Dependability Companies22% to 60%Below-Average Dependability2S&P 500/Industry Average61% (58% to 70% range)Average Dependability3Above-Average71% to 80%Very Dependable4Very Good81% or higherExceptional Dependability5FB67%Average Dependability3Overall QualityFBFinal ScoreRatingSafety100%5/5 very safeBusiness Model100%3/3 wide moatDependability67%3/5 average dependabilityTotal84%11/13 Speculative Blue-ChipRisk Rating2/3 Medium Risk2.5% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Rec - speculative, turnaround stock20% Margin of Safety For A Potentially Good BuyAnd here's GOOG.Alphabet: A 13/13 Quality Ultra SWANAlphabet Balance Sheet SafetyRatingDividend Kings Safety Score (151 Point Safety Model)Approximate Dividend Cut Risk (Average Recession)Approximate Dividend Cut Risk In Pandemic Level Recession1 - unsafe0% to 20%over 4%16+%2- below average21% to 40%over 2%8% to 16%3 - average41% to 60%2%4% to 8%4 - safe61% to 80%1%2% to 4%5- very safe81% to 100%0.5%1% to 2%GOOG100%NANARisk RatingLow Risk (65th industry percentile risk-management consensus)AA+ stable outlook credit rating 0.29% 30-year bankruptcy risk20% OR LESS Max Risk Cap RecommendationLong-Term DependabilityCompanyDK Long-Term Dependability ScoreInterpretationPointsNon-Dependable Companies21% or belowPoor Dependability1Low Dependability Companies22% to 60%Below-Average Dependability2S&P 500/Industry Average61% (58% to 70% range)Average Dependability3Above-Average71% to 80%Very Dependable4Very Good81% or higherExceptional Dependability5GOOG89%Exceptional Dependability5Overall QualityGOOGFinal ScoreRatingSafety100%5/5 very safeBusiness Model100%3/3 wide moatDependability89%5/5 exceptionalTotal95%13/13 Ultra SWANRisk Rating3/3 Low Risk20% OR LESS Max Risk Cap Rec5% Margin of Safety For A Potentially Good BuyMeta: 114th highest quality company on the Masterlist: 78th percentileAlphabet: 39th highest quality: 92nd percentileBoth companies are exceptionally high quality given that our company database is one of the best in the world.The DK 500 Master List includes the world's highest quality companies including:All dividend championsAll dividend aristocratsAll dividend kingsAll global aristocrats (such as BTI, ENB, and NVS)All 13/13 Ultra Swans (as close to perfect quality as exists on Wall Street)48 of the world's best growth stocks (on its way to 100)But when it comes to overall quality, factoring in over 1,000 fundamental metrics, the winner is clearly once more Alphabet.Why is GOOG the hands-down winner in this quality fight with FB?CompanyQuality Rating (out Of 13)Quality Score (Out Of 100)Dividend/Balance Sheet Safety Rating (out of 5)Safety Score (Out Of 100)Dependability Rating (Out Of 5)Dependability Score (out Of 100)Meta Platforms11 Speculative Blue-Chip84%5 Very Safe100%3 average67%Alphabet13 Ultra SWAN95%5 Very Safe100%5 exceptional89%(Source: DK Research Terminal)Both FB and Meta have exceptionally strong balance sheets, making the risk of bankruptcy as close to zero as you can find on Wall Street.Alphabet's Balance Sheet: AA+ Rated By S&PGuruFocus PremiumGOOG has $140 billion in cash and just $13 billion in debt.Its advanced accounting metrics (F, Z, and M-score) are exceptional.F-score is a measure of short-term bankruptcy risk4+ is safe, 7+ very safe and GOOG's is 8M-score is 84% to 92% accurate at forecasting long-term bankruptcies1.81+ is safe, 3+ is very safe and GOOG's is 13.04M-score is 76% accurate at catching accounting fraud, and 82.5% accurate at finding companies with honest accounting-1.78 or lower is safe and GOOG's is -2.48Meta's Balance Sheet: Effectively AAAGuruFocus PremiumThe only \"debt\" Meta has is receivables, it actually carries no long-term debt.That is why it's the largest company on earth that doesn't pay the $500K per year for a credit rating.However, given its current and historical advanced credit metrics, as well as its exceptionally strong solvency ratios (current ratio, quick ratio, and cash ratios), I'm highly confident that it would be AAA-rated.because it's literally not possible for FB to default on debt it doesn't haveCredit Rating30-Year Bankruptcy ProbabilityAAA (Meta)0.07%AA+ (Alphabet)0.29%AA0.51%AA-0.55%A+0.60%A0.66%A-2.5%BBB+5%BBB7.5%BBB-11%BB+14%BB17%BB-21%B+25%B37%B-45%CCC+52%CCC59%CCC-65%CC70%C80%D100%(Sources: S&P, University of St. Petersberg)This means the fundamental risk of losing all your money over the next 30 years buying FB or GOOG today is approximately1 in 1,429 for FB1 in 345 for GOOGAnd both companies' balance sheets are expected to keep getting stronger over time.Alphabet: Consensus $441 Billion In Net Cash By 2027 FactSet Research TerminalMeta: Consensus $71 Billion In Net Cash By 2027FactSet Research TerminalNow let's consider profitability, Wall Street's favorite quality proxy.Profitability: Winner, Meta By A Small AmountMeta Profitability Vs PeersGurufocus PremiumAlphabet Profitability Vs PeersGurufocus PremiumBoth companies are profit-minting machines.YchartsThese are two of the most profitable companies on earth, and their industry-leading profitability has been stable or improving for over a decade, confirming a wide and stable moat.FactSet Research TerminalFB's free cash flow is expected to keep growing and reach $77 billion in 2027.This is expected to result in impressive buybacks in the coming years.$219 billion in consensus buybacks through 202738% of shares at current valuationsFactSet Research TerminalGOOG's annual free cash flow is expected to grow to $139 billion in 2027, allowing it to undertake even more impressive buybacks.$380 billion in consensus buybacks through 202721% of shares at current valuationsNow let's consider one important profitability metric in particular.Return on capital or ROC is Joel Greenblatt's gold standard proxy for quality and moatiness.ROC = pre-tax profit/operating capital (the money it takes to run the business).S&P 500's average in 2021 was 14.6% (average investment pays for itself in 7 years)CompanyROC (Greenblatt)ROC Industry Percentile13-Year Median ROC5-Year ROC Trend (OTC:CAGR)Meta Platforms74%65%95%-16%Alphabet87%67%74%-7%(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)In the past year, GOOG's return on capital was higher than FB's and it's also above its 13-year median indicating a more stable moat.In other words, when it comes to profitability, FB edges out GOOG by a small amount, except in terms of return on capital, where it's once more the winner.Valuation: Winner, MetaCompanyAverage Fair ValueCurrent PriceDiscount To Fair ValueDK RatingPE 2022PEG 2022Meta Platforms$265.75$214.3519.6%Potentially Reasonable Buy17.191.49Alphabet$3,161.89$2,771.9212.3%Potentially Good Buy23.511.67(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)FB is trading at a slightly lower valuation and a higher margin of safety, though not quite high enough for me to consider it a good buy.20% discount is needed to make FB a potentially good buy given its lower quality and risk profileIf we back out cash we see that FB is once more the more undervalued company.FB EV/EBITDA: 9.5GOOG EV/EBITDA: 14.5However, both companies are trading at highly attractive valuations.Company12-Month Consensus Total Return Potential12-Month Fundamentally Justified Upside Total Return PotentialMeta Platforms48.47%23.98%Alphabet25.77%14.11%(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)This is why analysts expect both to deliver very strong returns, though FB potentially much more than GOOG.Of course, what happens in the next year doesn't matter as much as the kind of returns both companies can deliver over the long-term.Long-Term Total Return Potential: Winner, AlphabetCompanyYieldFactSet Long-Term Consensus Growth RateLT Consensus Total Return PotentialRisk-Adjusted Expected ReturnMeta Platforms0.00%11.5%11.5%8.1%Alphabet0.00%14.1%14.1%9.9%(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)GOOG is expected to grow significantly faster than FB over time, resulting in far better long-term returns.Investment StrategyYieldLT Consensus GrowthLT Consensus Total Return PotentialLong-Term Risk-Adjusted Expected ReturnLong-Term Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected ReturnsYears To Double Your Inflation & Risk-Adjusted Wealth10 Year Inflation And Risk-Adjusted ReturnEurope2.6%12.8%15.4%10.7%8.6%8.42.27Value2.1%12.1%14.1%9.9%7.7%9.32.10Alphabet0.0%14.1%14.1%9.9%7.7%9.42.10High-Yield2.8%11.3%14.1%9.9%7.7%9.42.10High-Yield + Growth1.7%11.0%12.7%8.9%6.7%10.81.91Safe Midstream + Growth3.3%8.5%11.8%8.3%6.1%11.81.80Meta0.0%11.50%11.5%8.1%5.9%12.31.77Nasdaq (Growth)0.8%10.7%11.5%8.1%5.9%12.31.77Safe Midstream5.5%6.0%11.5%8.1%5.9%12.31.77Dividend Aristocrats2.2%8.9%11.1%7.8%5.6%12.91.72REITs + Growth1.8%8.9%10.6%7.4%5.2%13.71.67S&P 5001.4%8.5%9.9%7.0%4.8%15.11.59Realty Income4.6%5.2%9.8%6.9%4.7%15.41.58Dividend Growth1.6%8.0%9.6%6.7%4.5%15.91.56REITs2.9%6.5%9.4%6.6%4.4%16.41.5460/40 Retirement Portfolio2.1%5.1%7.2%5.1%2.9%24.91.3310-Year US Treasury2.3%0.0%2.3%1.6%-0.5%-131.10.95(Source: Morningstar, FactSet, Ycharts)Both companies are expected to beat the S&P 500 over time, though FB merely to match the Nasdaq while GOOG is expected to run circles around big tech.What kind of difference does 2.6% per year in potential extra returns actually mean for your life?Inflation-Adjusted Consensus Return Forecast: $1,000 Initial InvestmentTime Frame (Years)7.7% CAGR Inflation-Adjusted S&P Consensus11.9% Inflation-Adjusted GOOG Consensus9.3% CAGR Inflation-Adjusted FB ConsensusDifference Between Inflation Adjusted GOOG and FB Consensus Returns5$1,449.03$1,756.06$1,561.34$194.7110$2,099.70$3,083.73$2,437.79$645.9515$3,042.53$5,415.21$3,806.22$1,608.9920$4,408.74$9,509.42$5,942.82$3,566.6025$6,388.41$16,699.08$9,278.77$7,420.3130$9,257.02$29,324.53$14,487.34$14,837.19(Source: Morningstar, FactSet, Ycharts)Both FB and GOOG are likely to generate good returns but GOOG could turn a modest investment today into a potentially small fortune in the coming decades.Time Frame (Years)Ratio Inflation-Adjusted GOOG and FB Consensus51.12101.26151.42201.60251.80302.02(Source: DK Research Terminal, FactSet)In fact, GOOG could potentially double FB's 30-year returns if both companies grow as analysts currently expect.Short & Medium-Term Total Return Potential: TieMeta 2024 Consensus Return Potential FAST Graphs, FactSet ResearchFB growing at 11.5% is worth about 20.5X earnings based on the company's historical PEG ratio.analyst 12-month consensus forecast is for 21.9 PEThis means that if FB grows as expected through 2024 it could deliver about 18% annular returns, far more than the 17% overvalued S&P 500 is likely to generate.What about the next five years?S&P 500 2027 Consensus Return PotentialYearUpside Potential By End of That YearConsensus CAGR Return Potential By End of That YearProbability-Weighted Return (Annualized)Inflation And Risk-Adjusted Expected Returns202734.75%6.15%4.61%1.27%(Source: DK S&P 500 Valuation And Total Return Tool)For context, analysts expect 35% returns from the S&P 500, which adjusted for inflation and risk is 1% compared to the market's historical 6% to 7% real return.Meta 2027 Consensus Return PotentialFAST Graphs, FactSet ResearchFB could more than double your money if it grows as analysts expect over the next five years.3.2X the S&P 500 consensusGOOG 2024 Consensus Return Potential FAST Graphs, FactSet ResearchGOOG could deliver 13% annual returns through 2024 if it grows as expected.In the past GOOG has grown as slowly as 11% and billions of investors still paid 25.7X earnings, meaning that its historical market-fair value multiple of 25 to 26X earnings should still be valid.GOOG 2027 Consensus Return PotentialFAST Graphs, FactSet ResearchThanks to GOOG's faster growth rate analysts expect both companies to potentially deliver identical returns.about 14% annually over the next five yearsalso 3.2X better than the S&P 500Bottom Line: Both Are Great Companies But In The Battle Of Meta And Alphabet There Is One Clear WinnerDividend Kings Automated Investment Decision ToolDividend Kings Automated Investment Decision ToolBoth Alphabet and Meta are wonderful companies, and as close to perfect growth blue-chip opportunities as you can find on Wall Street right now.far superior valuationsuperior qualitysuperior long-term return potential to the S&P 500However, when we examine both companies in their entirety one fact is clear.GOOG is a higher quality companyGOOG is a faster-growing company (with potentially 2X better long-term return potential than FB)GOOG has far better long-term risk management (to deal with the disruption the digital advertising industry is currently facing)GOOG has superior return on capital and a more stable moatWhile FB offers superior valuation and potentially double the short-term return potential, it's a speculative blue-chip currently going through the largest business pivot in the company's history.In contrast, GOOG is a faster-growing Ultra SWAN that is expected to buy back almost $400 billion worth of stock in the next five years, double that of FB.Simply put, if you can only buy one of these growth legends today, I recommend Alphabet, and that's why I have it as a core growth position in my correction plan.Not just for the next few weeks, but all of 2022 and beyond.Because at the end of the day, when you focus on safety and quality first, and prudent valuation and sound risk-management always, you never have to pray for luck on Wall Street, you make your own.Luck is what happens when preparation meets, opportunity.\" - Roman philosopher Seneca the younger","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}