Although President Trump has been trying to push the narrative that the Iran conflict is nearing an end, the market remains skeptical. On Thursday, Iran issued a strong response, calling the ceasefire proposal a “third deception.” This statement significantly reduced expectations for a near-term peace deal, pushing oil prices higher and reigniting inflation concerns. In the coming weeks, the market may face more pain.
Recent price action shows clear fluctuations. While previous dips attracted central bank buying, it’s still uncertain whether this latest pullback will trigger the same response. Gold remains widely viewed as a safe-haven asset, but its price continues to react to a complex mix of geopolitical developments, inflation trends, and shifting interest rate expectations.
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COMEX gold futures for the current month rose $101.30, or 2.30%, to $4,503.3 per ounce. COMEX silver futures for the current month rose $1.88, or 2.70%, to $71.445 per ounce. Spot gold rose $32.15, or 0.72%, to $4,506.53 per ounce. Spot silver fell $0.01, or 0.01%, to $71.25 per ounce
According to the latest reports, SpaceX plans to file its IPO prospectus as early as this week, aiming for a formal listing in June. Valuation Target: Between $1.25 trillion and $1.75 trillion. Fundraising: Expected to exceed $75 billion, significantly higher than previous estimates of $50 billion. Market Standing: At a $1.75 trillion valuation, SpaceX would leapfrog $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ and $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ , trailing only the "Big Five" (Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet).
The script of "Geopolitical Shock - Resurgent Inflation - Forced Liquidation" has played out four times in the last 46 years. The 2026 iteration is distinguished by its unprecedented speed.
Before Monday open: Another TACO. Due to time zones, East Asian markets (A-shares, HK, Nikkei) often take the first hit. Repeat cycle: Last night he claims an agreement, market surges; an hour later the other side denies it, gains evaporate. Targeting newly entered, nervous retail investors.
Rising oil prices have changed the market’s view on inflation. As energy costs increase, investors are reassessing the US inflation path, believing that the previous disinflation trend may be interrupted. In this context, expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts this year have clearly diminished, while expectations for rates to remain higher for longer have strengthened.
U.S. equity indexes finished lower in a volatile week shaped by geopolitical tensions and resulting volatility in oil prices, persistent inflation concerns, and a somewhat hawkish interpretation of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy signals. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fared worst, declining 2.11%, followed by the Nasdaq Composite, which shed 2.07%. The S&P MidCap 400 Index held up best but still fell 1.34%.
Morgan Stanley's report is a mix of highlights and controversy. Cloud is the standout — revenue grew 36% YoY, with external revenue accelerating to 35%, and AI-related revenue delivering triple-digit growth for 10 consecutive quarters, validating Alibaba Cloud's competitiveness in AI infrastructure.
Yesterday, the market endured a violent V-shaped reversal. Oil prices $WTI Crude Oil - main 2605(CLmain)$ surged at the open, dragging $S&P 500(.SPX)$ down as much as 1%.
The sell-off continued today. In pre-market trading, $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ and $Gold Trust Ishares(IAU)$ fell 2.86% and 2.77%, respectively. Mining ETFs $VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$ and $VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF(GDXJ)$ declined 5.12% and 5.24%, while leveraged products amplified the downside, with $MicroSectors Gold Miners 3x Leveraged ETN(GDXU)$ down 15.37%, $Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2X Shares(NUGT)$ down 10.39%, and $Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bull 2X Shares(JNUG)$ falling 7.03%.
Typically, war equals higher gold prices. But 2026 is proving different. With gasoline prices up 21% since the conflict began, inflation expectations are ripping higher. The market is betting the Fed will stay "higher for longer," pushing real yields up and temporarily choking gold's momentum.