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Critical Week Ahead: Key Events Could Shape the US Stock Market This Week

In last Thursday's post, I discussed an important point: the market must first reset before it can restart. Has the market reset yet? From both a macro and micro perspective, it might still not be enough.If, at that time, you also started shorting during the intraday session and added your positions during the overnight trading, you probably made close to 5% in intraday gains. While it may not seem like much, being able to make money in this kind of market is already a victory. What more could you want?This week is crucial. The S&P 500 index has been hovering at its 50-week moving average for three weeks now, and this week will determine the outcome. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ There are two major events for the US stock market this week: On Wednesday
Critical Week Ahead: Key Events Could Shape the US Stock Market This Week

How to Boost Win Rate in a Volatile Market?

A friend called me a "jinx"—I wrote about the market lacking beta yesterday, and boom, Nasdaq tanked overnight...Market Performance Recap: $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -2.04% $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -1.12%Russell 2000: -1.03%Dow Jones: -0.31%Why Did the Market Drop?1. Auto Tariffs & Trade TensionsStarting next week, Trump is imposing a 25% tariff on imported cars, affecting both fully assembled vehicles and key components like engines, transmissions, and electronics.Winners? Tesla. Since all its U.S. sales come from domestic factories, it's shielded from the tariff impact. $Ford(F)$ also has a partial advantage, as 80% of its U.S. sales come from locally built vehicles.Lose
How to Boost Win Rate in a Volatile Market?

How to Find Alpha When the Market Has No Beta?

A friend told me yesterday that trading has been exhausting lately—U.S. stocks are going up one day, down the next, struggling to break higher. Meanwhile, China’s A-shares wiped out a month’s gains in just three days, leaving many traders feeling lost.That got me thinking:What if there’s no beta return this year? How do we find alpha?Understanding Alpha and Beta🔹 Alpha (α): If your stock rises 15% while the market gains 10%, or if the market drops 5% but your stock still gains 5%, that extra return is alpha. It comes from stock-picking skills, trading strategies, or investment decisions—independent of overall market trends.🔹 Beta (β): If your stock or fund moves in line with the broader market (e.g., $S&P 500(.SPX)$,
How to Find Alpha When the Market Has No Beta?
PLTR is down again—but I’m STILL not buying. Yes, the stock has sold off from $120 to $80 in just a few weeks, but that doesn’t mean it’s time to jump in. Here’s why patience is key: The weekly BX is still making lower lows—big money is leaving, and until that flips, there’s no real support. The daily chart is in the golden pocket but hasn’t hit the Smart Money Zone yet. We could see a pop to $100 before another rejection—but a real bottom likely won’t happen until $73-$70 holds.
@MillionaireTiger:PLTR Down 30%: Is Volatility an Opportunity?

Amazon Vs. Alphabet: Which Stock Is The Better Buy?

Two of the largest U.S. tech superpowers, Amazon and Alphabet, exhibit strong growth tailwinds despite the rise of Chinese AI challenger DeepSeek.Both stocks have been neck and neck, with returns hovering around 25.5% over the past year, yet have also fallen in 2025, returning -2.6% and -4.5% YTD, respectively. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ holds a "Strong Buy" rating, while $Alphabet(GOOG)$ is rated "Hold," according to Seeking Alpha’s Quant Factor Grades. Amazon's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 37.3, higher than Alphabet's 22.7, reflecting investor confidence in Amazon's growth prospects. Amazon Web Services (AWS) reported a 19% revenue increase to $28.79 billion in the latest quarter, slightly be
Amazon Vs. Alphabet: Which Stock Is The Better Buy?
Fun fact: $Apple(AAPL)$ made about $16,000,000 every second for 3 months straight.

SOFI $20 NEXT WEEK?

SOFI $20 NEXT WEEK?

Anyone read this? What is the problem? Confused[Doubt]

ImageAnyone read this? What is the problem? Confused[Doubt] $阿斯麦(ASML)$
Anyone read this? What is the problem? Confused[Doubt]
$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ down 3.6% in Amsterdam 2 reasons: 1. Dutch Prime Minister Dick Schoof gave an interview to Bloomberg TV and said the export restrictions on $ASML's sales to China will remain in place under Trump. No Did anyone really believe that would not be the case??? 2. SK Hynix had good earnings, but sait that "additional investments" this year will be "limited." SK Hynix is an $ASML customer. Doesn't change anything to the long-term thesis, short term there could be some pressure on price. Not worried at all.
avatarADguynight
2024-12-06
I got some research to do
@Olivia Bruce:How To Set Up Your Portfolio for the Future:
avatarADguynight
2024-11-28
TESLA FAMILYImage
avatarADguynight
2024-11-22

MSTR $450 today

Citron Research says MicroStrategy is 'overheated'.Citron Research has taken a short position in $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$. They previously had a short position on $GameStop(GME)$, and lost an undisclosed amount.
MSTR $450 today
avatarADguynight
2024-11-22
I disagree... smci and mstr are different beast... BTC strength is tail wind for MSTR.
@PaulSam:$SMCI was the model for $MSTR
avatarADguynight
2024-09-27

How long do you think this trend can last? A brief yet brilliant surge?

Chinese equities (i.e. $Alibaba(BABA)$ $Tencent Holding Ltd.(TCEHY)$ ) have substantially outperformed US equities YTD. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$
How long do you think this trend can last? A brief yet brilliant surge?
avatarADguynight
2024-09-04
Pelosi is still in $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$, no new disclosures.
avatarADguynight
2024-08-26
$PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ CEO: "The decline in profitability is inevitable."
avatarADguynight
2024-08-23

Who do you think will be the next President of the United States?

Why is Kamala Harris called “He Jin Li” in Chinese?👨🏻 Her father, Donald Harris, is a professor emeritus of economics at Stanford University. 👩🏻 However, the person who influenced Kamala the most was her mother, whom we refer to as Mrs. Gopalan. Born in India, Mrs. Gopalan came from a family with three daughters and a son. Fortunately, their family belonged to the highest caste in India’s caste system, the Brahmins. 👮🏻‍♀️ In 2003, when Kamala ran for District Attorney of San Francisco, her Chinese-American lawyer friend Su Rongli asked her father, Su Xifen, to give Kamala a Chinese name—He Jin Li. This name was quite strategic, clearly aiming to connect with Chinese-American voters while also showcasing her ambition.Kamala Harris has now stirred up a whirlwind across the United States, lar
Who do you think will be the next President of the United States?
avatarADguynight
2024-07-19
The positive news of today: it appears that nearly the entire world depends on $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$. Long term, very bullish.Image
avatarADguynight
2024-04-03
We might finally see the start of a correction in this stock.
@CynthiaVogt:Another buy dip?
avatarADguynight
2024-04-03
Congratulations. You will never buy Tesla.
@VivianLau:MY 5 YEAR TESLA STOCK PRICE TARGET IS $315 MY BUY PRICE FOR TESLA REMAINS AT $85

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