ChloeKeynes
ChloeKeynes
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$ProShares UltraShort S&P500(SDS)$ Non-farm payrolls exceeded expectations, coupled with looming tariff pressure, fueling inflation concerns and raising the Fed's rate hike expectations. The market is playing out exactly as predicted at the end of last year! Bearish voices from Wall Street are growing louder, with the narrative now shifting to the extent of the $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ ’s pullback. My early position in $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$ has already paid off nicely. I’ll hold firm and wait for more opportunities. The stock market is all about calm analysis and early action to catch the wave of profits!
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-30
$McDonald's(MCD)$ I genuinely don't understand why some companies in the U.S. stock market are using their profits for dividends while relying on borrowing to operate. With a debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 100%, is this really a responsible approach for the long-term benefit of shareholders? 😢
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-30
$Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares(YINN)$ Think there’s going to be an unwinding of the Trump trade prior to the election. That trade is long DJT, BTC, Gold. Short treasuries, short China. Buy the rumor, sell the news b4 the election. Trump loses, China skyrockets. Trump wins, China goes over the top on its bazooka. Translation this is the time to scale in.
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-30
$PayPal(PYPL)$ I thought this was an overreaction. I'm perfectly fine giving up some growth opportunities in exchange for higher margin business partners.PayPal is still growing while being way more healthy when it comes to financials. They can utilize this for the upcoming years to take market share. Very optimistic.
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-30
$Alibaba(BABA)$ China's economic outlook appears strong, with global discussions highlighting the country's growing competitiveness. As stimulus measures are anticipated, China's economy is likely to gain momentum, regardless of potential tariffs if Trump wins. The Chinese market is crucial for American and European companies, presenting two choices: collaborate and manage trade with China or face total chaos. I doubt Trump would want a stock market crash, as it would have widespread implications.Alibaba (BABA) is particularly well-positioned in this scenario. Its revenue is not heavily tied to the U.S. market, providing a buffer against trade tensions. Given current conditions, I expect BABA's stock to rise above $120 so
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-29
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ bought debit call spread early last week on dip for 195-200 for this week and plan to write CC double the amount than spread for $202.5 probably today . I do think it’s possible it can get to 205-208 after ER but I’ll force it up , if not I’ll make some good money. It’s likely tue or wed pulls back always seems too
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-29
$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ If Trump secures victory, it’s wise to follow the classic strategy of buying the rumor and selling the news, as market sentiment tends to shift dramatically. On the other hand, if Kamala wins, the outlook appears bleak, with the only direction being downward. By the end of next week, I anticipate a decline in the market. The real question we face is how much upward movement we can achieve in the next 5 to 6 days. My prediction is that we could see a rise to the 21-22 range.
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-29
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ this company and stock is so undervalued and inexpensive. All you have to do is look at its pe and fundamentals. Triple digit growth, which will be this way for the next minimum of five years. This stock should be well above $175 a share today.
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-24
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ The stock could finally start their "NVDA $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ moment" after this earnings. People been waiting on it for 2 years. Funny not much talk about it anymore after a large wash-out of traders this last year. The market works in tricky ways. Just my $.02 and experience. Good luck longs. AMDL is very interesting too. Wish vanguard allowed it....
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-24
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Is our shopping experience truly good? It depends on what we sacrifice, such as our personal information and the inability to break free from shopping's information bubble. Personally, I find Amazon's recommendations to be superior. It's similar to how Apple Music functions compared to platforms like NetEase or QQ Music, where your preferences are continuously catered to.
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-24
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ People think the market wont drop and continue to hold/hype until MSFT, GOOG $Alphabet(GOOG)$ and META $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ release earnings need to wake up. All the investments they put in AI will never materialize because most of the services and add-ons are FREE. Anyone using copilot? Anyone using Meta's AI tool? They beg people to use for free, have you even want to try? And google's AI tool will always be free. Forget about Microsoft's Azure, people don't use them or even try unless they are free. And every software nowadays are marketed as AI. AI hype will burst way before big earnings missings from GOOG,
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-24
$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ The $10 leg has been executed, marking the completion of the current selling market cycle. It's important for everyone to be prepared for some sideways action, which may involve consolidation or a mini pump as we transition into the beginning of the next market cycle. There’s a possibility that the bulls could make a comeback, potentially leading to a V-shaped recovery throughout the day tomorrow.
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-23
$PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ BlackRock's significant increase in Pinduoduo shares sent the stock price soaring. However, I woke up to discover it was all a mix-up. It seems that a data error, likely made by an intern, led to confusion. BlackRock had updated its report in the middle of the night, correcting its shareholding from 132 million shares to 33 million shares. This discrepancy arose because four ordinary shares of Pinduoduo are equivalent to one American Depositary Share (ADS). The initial figure of 132 million only represented ordinary shares, while the actual tradable ADS stands at 33 million shares. Despite the rollercoaster ride, I remain optimistic about Pinduoduo’s fundamentals and will continue to hold my shares
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-23
$Genprex, Inc.(GNPX)$ If you have to buy with stop loss you are wasting your time and money.there has been abig player in this stock for years.he will play you bad.buy and put a $40 sell price and it will get there.don’t be fooled! Don't let yourself be deceived by the market's fluctuations
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-23
$Apple(AAPL)$ the next two quarters WS expects EPS growth for Q4 9% and 9% Q1 '25. With revenue growth in the single digits. The bar is set low for a company that is moving into a "super cycle"and trades at a 32x forward multiple. So it's more of Wall Street talking about a super cycle as their base case but isn't forecasting that in their EPS expectations. This is why being short is so hard. Your betting against an entire group of people that it's their business to make sure stocks go higher. The "better than expectations" has nothing to do with a fundamental valuation, merely a movable target by WS. The odds are always stacked against you, and you have to know that whenever you trade on the short side.
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-23
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ msft will be the 1st customer who received Blackwell and offering thier hyperscaler services to 1000s of its clients. Reporting on October 30th. Satya Nadella said they are seeing 15% more customer signups since employing Generative AI.ROI is real just that some customers see it early some little later based on their business use cases..
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-22
$Siyata Mobile Inc.(SYTA)$ So the obvious is this announcement is a hail mary? It's a nothing burger. Declining quarterly sales, BV is negative, and they're financing negative cash flow. So? 1) They desperately need to raise capital and stay above $1 per share. 2) Price jumps? Not going to hold. Maybe the company has an ATM and selling into the rise. 3) Reverse share split coming with or without additional financing. Games maybe being played with the share price this high but it won't stay. Good luck whatever you're doing.
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-22
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Elon desperately hyped the Robotaxi event when TSLA Stock had dropped to mid-$100s, because he has a loan against TSLA shares for his acquisition of Twitter, and if TSLA stock price goes below $120, Elon starts getting Margin Calls. If too steep a drop below that, it could decimate Elon and two financial firms who were in on the deal (could turn into SVB Bank collapse times 10). So Elon made the Robotaxi announcement, TSLA stock value goes over 200 (and could be manipulated so those financial firms don't get wiped out btw), then delays the event because he had to bait-and-switch Model 2 prototype as the Cybercab (which is why Model 2 now Cancelled - see cancellation news that says this exact thing- th
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-22
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ I don’t foresee the global powers pushing Microsoft (MSFT) stock into the $400 range anytime soon. With the upcoming earnings report next Wednesday and the presidential election in November, it's clear they want to project the narrative that our current financial system is in excellent shape. It’s part of maintaining market confidence, and I think they'll work to uphold this image for a while, even if underlying concerns exist. It’ll be interesting to see how these events impact the stock's performance in the near future.
avatarChloeKeynes
2024-10-22

ASML: my take

$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ From ASML earnings call, reason for lower guidance in 2025:o Customers had inventory, so did not order and hence bookings were low. o Two foundry customers have pushed out their plans on fab and that impacted ASML.o Recovery in non-AI segments (Mobile, PC, Auto) not as quick as was expectedMy Take ◾️Chinese customers had frontloaded orders/installation in prior Qs as they wanted to get ahead of stricter export restrictions◾️The two customers that pushed out their plans are are Intel and Samsung◾️Management is more conservative in guidance in two ways:1. Management has included the impact of enhanced export controls which are not yet in place2. If Chinese manufacturers can’t build chips, its share m
ASML: my take

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