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10:50
$SPX EPS Surges While $IGV $CRM $NOW See Historic Rotation Out of Software
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ EPS estimates are being revised UP at a pace we have not seen in the last decade. Typically at this point in the year, consensus EPS estimates are being revised downward. Not this year. Now that the Macro headwinds are clearing, the earnings picture underneath is super strong. Software vs. Semis just posted its biggest 1-day move lower on record. The rotation out of Software is truly historic. $iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF(IGV)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $ServiceNow(NOW)$ $Salesforce.com(CRM)$ $Cloudfla
517
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10:47
$SPY at Extremes: Every Prior Touch Triggered a Pullback
Every time $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ tags the upper channel stretching back to the 2009 bottom — It gets REJECTED. 2011. 2014. 2018. 2022. 2025. Five touches. Five rejections. Zero exceptions. You know what follows every single one? Mean reversion to the channel midpoint - at MINIMUM. 2026 just became touch #6. Number six won't be different. Blaming Elliott Wave is like blaming technical analysis for a bad trade. The framework didn't fail — the PRACTITIONER did. Almost everyone is awful at it. But the one time they apply it CORRECTLY, at the right time? They're not reading charts anymore. They're holding a crystal ball. One taste of that precision and you're HOOKED.
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10:43
Not a Collapse, Just a Pause? $SPX $SMH Cooling, $PLTR Signals Bounce
Market breadth is weakening as momentum cools. $SPX participation is rolling over, while $SMH points to a healthy consolidation phase. At the same time, $TSLA sits at key long-term support and $PLTR shows a potential bullish reversal signal. The market may be shifting from trend to consolidation, with selective setups emerging. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The percentage of stocks above their 20DMA has reversed from 70%, usually a consolidation follows; this time potentially below the 50DMA. The market was driven by strength in Tech and Materials, overall participation was negative. 2. $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ Two weeks ago I posted in my publication that semiconductors would outperform the market at the
723
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10:38
Are IPOs really an opportunity for us?
An IPO used to be the start of a new era for companies. $Apple(AAPL)$ IPO’d four years after it was founded in 1980 with a $1.8 billion valuation. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ went public in 1986 as a relatively mature 11-year-old company with a $777 million valuation. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ went public three years after it was founded in 1997 with a $438 million valuation. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ went public six years after its founding at a $23 billion valuation. It used to be the case that companies would go public because they needed money on a scale that only public markets could offer. And in some cases it was a way to unlock value for
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04-11 09:10
Can Goldman Give Market The Perfection As It Enters Q1 2026 with Significant Tailwinds
$Goldman Sachs(GS)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on Monday, April 13, 2026, before the market opens. The stock has been a standout performer, significantly outperforming major peers like JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley over the past few years. Below is an analysis of the upcoming report and the key metrics that will likely drive the post-earnings reaction. Q1 2026 Analyst Estimates Earnings Per Share (EPS): $16.48 (Expected increase of +16.7% year-over-year). Revenue: $17.01 billion (Expected increase of +12.9% year-over-year). Implied Volatility: Options markets are currently pricing in a 5.8% move in either direction, which is notably higher than the historical average of 2.6%. Goldman Sachs (GS) reported its fiscal Q4 2025 earni
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04-11 14:54
3 Reasons Behind the $MSFT Pre-Earnings Accumulation
Josh Gottheimer buying LARGE AMOUNT of $Microsoft(MSFT)$ shares before earnings on April 29. 3 Reasons why: 1. Bullish on AI/cloud growth: MSFT's strong financials (16.4% revenue growth, 19 years of dividends) and analyst consensus ("Moderate Buy," $589 target) signal upside. 2. Past expertise: Gottheimer was Microsoft's General Manager of Advertising & Strategy, giving him deep insight into its potential. 3. Strategic bets like TikTok: He's pushed TikTok bans/sales, positioning MSFT (in acquisition talks) for gains. Disclosure filed 4/8/26 (trade 3/25/26); net buying aligns with his $84M annual trading volume.
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04-11 15:13
$AMZN Is Noise Until It Expands
Here comes the real test for $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Rooting for the bulls to break through this level 🤝 I’m still sitting this one out for now I’m not trying to make money on the next trade. I’m trying to follow my system. The edge comes from consistency, not one setup. Sticking to the system matters more than what happens next. Nothing bad happens from missing a trade. With AMZN, I don’t lose money by sitting this out. I’ve got ~50 positions on and there’s always another opportunity. Worst case, it rips and I miss it. Best case, it pulls back and I get a better entry. Win win for me. Any stock with heavy compression is usually going to underperform with my system MBX doesn’t do well in sideways, low movement environments, and AMZN has been stuck in t
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04-11 15:10
Profits Taken on $AMD, $NBIS Delivers, $SPY Flashes Trap Signals
Strong week, profits secured. $AMD targets hit, $NBIS extended higher — but $SPY is now at a bearish zone with macro risk ahead. Focus shifts to protecting gains, not chasing upside. 1. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $AMD target hit 🎯 Locking in profits on calls and shares here. No reason to get greedy into the weekend in case we see a rejection. 2. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ $NBIS +40% since our Combined Signal System buy We called this setup last week. Congrats if you took it I passed since I haven’t profited on prior moves this cycle That said, last 2 callouts in 2 months have printed 60%+ 🔥 3. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $SPY at a bearish smart money zone into the wee
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04-11 14:49
Long Live the Harness
In the early days of AI, we saw the rise of “GPT Wrappers.” Companies that created a product that resembled a thin layer on top of a model. People loved to mock these products, saying all the value was in the model with everything around it commoditized. “Why would I use your app when I can just use ChatGPT directly?” Years later, we have a new name for “wrapper” which is now “harness.” OK that’s a crude analogy and not exactly apples to apples... a harness is really the code that determines what information a model sees at each step, what to store, what to retrieve, and what context to present. It’s the scaffolding around the model. But the spirit of the comparison is directionally right: there’s an enormous amount of value in what sits around the model, not just the model itself. And we
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04-11 14:46
8 Setups, 8 Targets Hit: $AMD $META $AVGO $SPY Lead a Precision Week
Two weeks ago this publication anticipated the high probabilities for a reversal given extreme oversold conditions. Back then, the price action was extremely oversold and sentiment was at lows not seen since the previous crash in April 2025. When the market began its bounce on March 31, essential levels were reclaimed. First, the Central Daily Level (our “Bullish Above / Bearish Below” indicator) sat at 6,362. The price opened above this level, providing an immediate bullish signal to subscribers who use our levels for validation. Subsequently, our Central Weekly Level (CWL) of $6,458 “sealed the deal,” confirming the weekly reversal and validating the bullish setups for the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $S
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04-11 14:42
$NDX Breaks High Alone While $SPX $DJI Lag
The bearish reversal has been building. Just one piece was missing... Today we got it. Bearish Monthly SMT Divergence with $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ . NDX is the ONLY index to cross the March High. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ didn't. $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ didn't. If this divergence persists — this Monthly candle gets ERASED. The setup just got a lot more complete. This is what SMT divergence looks like on the micro. SMT at the high of day with $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2606(NQmain)$ . Reversal to London Low. 20 straight points — on a choppy range day. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ is down -33%. NDX just rip
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04-11 12:16
Memory Just Doubled. Is Optical (Up 143%YTD) Market's Next Target?
$Lumentum(LITE)$ surged 8% this week, is up +143% YTD. $COHERENT(COHR)$ added +19% this week and continues to build momentum. J.P. Morgan just raised LITE's target from $565 → $950. COHR from $245 → $300. Both: Overweight. Why optical is back in the spotlight this week? JPM, Goldman, the OFC data: The AI infrastructure buildout is accelerating, not slowing. CPO and OCS are no longer 2028 stories — they're 2H 2026 revenue. The market is still pricing these companies like boring legacy optical hardware companies. That's the mispricing. Memory started repricing six months ago. Optical is repricing now. Memory prices just confirmed the AI hardware supercycle is real. Samsung reported Q1 earnings that demolish
TOPTimothyX: Data centers have the same problem. Millions of AI calculations are happening every second — and all that data needs to travel between chips, between servers, and between buildings at insane speeds.
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04-11 00:56
Do You Know that you can set your cost method of how the platform display your stock P&L? (Avg Cost/FIFO/Diluted Cost)
Keep wondering why my realized profit/loss is not calculated by my average cost of stock holdings (both yellow underlined prices) : This realized P&L displayed was calculated by FIFO method (ie. when my 500 sell CALL shares at 4.50 strike was being called away, the 500 shares called away (sold) were those I bought earliest at price 5.50! ) I had to seek out from the ever helpful customer service. That's the icon to look out for if you wish to change method (Avg cost/FIFO/Diluted cost) under your Portfolio Scroll down the page to find this section If I had chosen diluted cos
TOPI would prefer lot method. where i buy first lot of 10 shares. then I buy second lot of 20 shares. then I sell first lot of 10 shares, it should calculate based on first lot of 10 shares. not take average of all shares.
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04-10 22:53
AI Boom or AI Bubble? Why Software Is Being Unfairly Punished
Now everyone’s asking the same question: why did software stocks get hammered so badly yesterday, even when the broader market was rebounding? And why is money flowing into hardware but avoiding software? My take is simple — the market is reacting to fear. xAI just dropped a very powerful model, and suddenly it’s like Thanos snapped his fingers on software stocks. The narrative becomes: if AI can do everything, what’s the point of traditional software? So people sell first, think later. This fear isn’t new. It’s always been there. The recent optimism was just a pause — now we’re back to doubting software again. But let’s be clear: this selloff is not rational. Look at the data: $iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF(IGV)$ Software ETF IG
TOPWell written. Sound argument. Like.
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04-10 10:44
VICOM 2026: Balancing Dividend Yield with Industrial Growth Catalysts
Technical Analysis (TA) The chart shows a strong bullish momentum that has accelerated over the last quarter. $VICOM LTD(V01.SI)$ $VICOM Ltd(WJP.SI)$ Moving Averages (MA): The short-term MA (pink/blue lines) is well above the 200-day long-term MA (green line), which is currently trending up at $1.637. This indicates a sustained long-term uptrend. Price Action: The stock is trading at $1.82, a multi-year high. It has successfully cleared previous resistance levels at $1.50 and $1.65. Support & Resistance: * Resistance: Immediate psychological resistance at $1.90 - $1.92 (marked by horizontal line). Support: Immediate support lies at $1.78 (50-day MA area). A strong historical floo
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04-10 22:11
TOP 15 GROWTH NAMES WITH THE CLEANEST SETUPS RIGHT NOW
1. $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ - AI Infrastructure 2. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ - AI Infrastructure 3. $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ - AI Compute 4. $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ - AI Compute 5. $Hewlett Packard Enterprise(HPE)$ - AI Servers 6. $Vertiv Holdings LLC(VRT)$ - Data Center Cooling 7. $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ - Photonics 8. $Aehr Test(AEHR)$ - Photonics 9. $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ - Semis 10. $
TOPis mara, hood,coin, lunr,oscr are growth....looks they are in dd
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04-10 21:26
You’re more likely to see a 20% gain in a year than a negative return. (Data since 1980)
The Wildest Stat in the Market Since 1980, there have actually been more years where the market gained over 20% than years where it lost money at all. Let that sink in. We see an average drop of 14% at some point during every single year. Pullbacks are just part of the deal，some are small, some are scary. But most of the time, the market still ends the year in the green. Embracing those down years is exactly how you earn your long term returns. JPMorgan just dropped their Q2 Markets Guide, and here are the biggest takeaways. Valuations are cooling down US stocks are cheaper than they were, though I wouldn't call them "cheap" yet. We started the year with a forward P/E of 22x, and now we’re sitting around 19.7x. Simply put, you're paying less for every dollar of expected earnings than you w
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04-09
Breakout or Bull Trap? $SPY Reclaims 200DMA but Faces 20W MA
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ S&P 500 may have closed above its 200-day MA, but one hurdle remains: The 20-week moving average with the $SPY currently on track for a 6th consecutive close below it 🚨📉 S&P 500 $SPY posts first close above the 200-day moving average in 14 trading days 📈🥳🫂 More than 82% of S&P 500 stocks are now trading above their 5-day moving average, the strongest short-term market breadth since November 📈🥳🫂 Investors have been rotating to cash at one of the fastest paces in history 🚨🚨 Stock Market says goodbye to Extreme Fear for the first time in over a month 🥳📈🫂
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04-10 19:40
Q2 Strategy: After 7 straight green days, are you adding or cutting?
We just had 7 straight green days. $VIX broke below 20 for the first time since the Iran escalation. Friday pre-market is green again. On the surface, things look pretty good. But here's the thing – Wall Street is not agreeing on what comes next. Citadel says we're in an "asymmetric upside" setup. They think net positioning is light enough that any good news will hit harder than usual. Goldman is warning that everyone expecting 11% earnings growth in Q2 is being too optimistic – they see margins getting crushed and growth slowing to 7% in the second half of the year. And Morningstar says growth stocks are 21% below fair value, which is rare, but also says Q2 rallies stay capped unless Iran publicly signals they want to negotiate. So who's right? I put together a full breakdown of the Q2 ou
TOPthe three risks that you pointed out - oil, Fed, Iran - says all that needs to be said [Salute]
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04-10 20:15
$MU Iron Fly — Cost $115, Max Earn $385 in 7 Days
$MU Options Iron Fly: Credit $3.85, Max Profit $385 on 2026-04-17 📊 Contracts 🎯 Sell to Open: 1x $MU 2026-04-17 $420 Call @ $17.80 (Bid) Sell to Open: 1x $MU 2026-04-17 $420 Put @ $15.65 (Bid) Buy to Open: 1x $MU 2026-04-17 $425 Call @ $15.75 (Ask) Buy to Open: 1x $MU 2026-04-17 $415 Put @ $13.85 (Ask) Financials 💰 Net Credit: $3.85 ($385 per spread) Max Profit: $385 (achieved at $420 at expiration) Max Loss: $115 (wing width $5 − credit $3.85 = $1.15 → $115 per spread) Breakevens: $416.15 and $423.85 Thesis 🧠 Neutral to slightly bullish on $MU as it trades with elevated IV (IV Percentile ~72.8%). Selling short-term premium with defined risk. Targeting rapid time decay into 1-week expiration. Happy to harvest the $385 credit if $MU stays between $416.15 and $423.85. Ready to exit if breake