Jonathan Lo From Stock Valuation to Market Cycles โ 4 Essential Lessons for Smarter Investing
How do you identify a good business, determine whether its stock is fairly valued, and decide when to invest? In Tiger Brokers' Fundamental Analysis seminar, Jonathan Lo, Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers Singapore, shared a practical framework for evaluating companies, understanding financial performance, identifying competitive advantages, and navigating changing market conditions. ๐จโ๐ซ About the Speaker: Jonathan Lo With nearly 20 years of practical trading and investment experience, Jonathan Lo brings a market-oriented perspective to investment analysis. His approach incorporates multi-asset, macro-directed long-short strategies, primarily expressed through equities and options. Rather than focusing solely on stock prices or short-term market movements, Jonathan encourages inve
Election results sent money back to large technology platforms first
After Democrats won control of both chambers of Congress, the $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ gained 0.96 per cent on Wednesday and the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rose 1.64 per cent. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ advanced 6.73 per cent, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ gained 6.10 per cent and $Apple(AAPL)$ rose 5.36 per cent as investors favoured large technology companies with stronger profit and cash flow. Semiconductors moved in the opposite direction. Micron fell 6.99 per cent, Sandisk lost 7.90 per cent, Nvidia declined 3.12 per cent and Ma
Jonathan Lo's Playbook: From Sectors to Macro, Putting the Whole Framework Together
Speaker: Jonathan Lo, Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers Singapore, on how sectors are classified, which macro factors move markets, and the order to combine all the tools. [About the Speaker] Jonathan Lo is an Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers (Singapore). With nearly 20 years of practical trading and investment experience, he interprets markets through multi-asset, macro-directed long-short strategies expressed through equities and options. [The Hook] The speaker asked the room a simple question: have you cut back on spending lately? Would you still pay $300 for a T-shirt? That is the economy in miniature: your spending is someone else's income, and when consumers pull back, some companies feel it first. [Sorting the Market: 11 GICS Sectors] The GICS framework groups all
Jonathan Lo's Playbook: Valuation Ratios and the Moat Behind the Business
Speaker: Jonathan Lo, Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers Singapore, on P/E, ROE, dividend yield, and why the quality of a business can matter more than the quality of its management. [About the Speaker] Jonathan Lo is an Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers (Singapore). With nearly 20 years of practical trading and investment experience, he interprets markets through multi-asset, macro-directed long-short strategies expressed through equities and options. [The Hook] Is management more important, or the enterprise itself? The speaker leaned on Buffett: a structurally disadvantaged company is hard to turn into a consistently profitable one, even for a good management team. [The Popular Valuation Ratios] P/E ratio comes in two kinds. Trailing 12-month P/E is backward-looking, "l
Jonathan Lo's Playbook: Is the Profit Real? Reading Income and Cash Flow
Speaker: Jonathan Lo, Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers Singapore, on profitability ratios, why cash flow tells a different story from profit, and how EV/EBITDA levels the playing field. [About the Speaker] Jonathan Lo is an Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers (Singapore). With nearly 20 years of practical trading and investment experience, he interprets markets through multi-asset, macro-directed long-short strategies expressed through equities and options. [The Hook] Near the end of the session, the speaker asked: which ratio tells you whether a business generates enough income to sustain its operations? The answer wasn't profit margin. It was cash flow. Here's why. [The Income Statement: Profitability] Revenue minus the cost of goods sold gives gross profit. Then: Operat
Jonathan Lo's Playbook: Price Is What You Pay, Value Is What You Get
Speaker: Jonathan Lo, Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers Singapore, on how fundamental analysis helps investors tell a stock's price from its value, and how to read a balance sheet in two quick checks. [About the Speaker] Jonathan Lo is an Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers (Singapore). With nearly 20 years of practical trading and investment experience, he interprets markets through multi-asset, macro-directed long-short strategies expressed through equities and options. [The Hook] Stock A trades at $20. Stock B trades at $25. Which one do you buy? Most people go for the cheaper one. Then the speaker added the details: A is a company in trouble that needs to raise funds and is issuing new shares to pay off debt. B is pricier, but pays a regular $5 dividend. Suddenly the an
Technical Edge: Hang Seng Rally Fades Into Monthly Pressure as Gold Nears a Major Turn
English Version: Hello everyone. Today we will review the latest technical developments in the Nasdaq 100, WTI crude oil, gold and the Hang Seng Index. Market performance remains divergent this week. The Nasdaq and Hang Seng are still correcting, WTI remains under pressure after a downside breakdown, while gold has rebounded from lower levels. Policy changes following the US midterm elections, the interest rate environment and energy supply risks remain key market drivers. We will combine fundamentals with technical structures to identify key support, resistance and the conditions required to confirm the next move. Hang Seng Index: Monthly Correction Continues, Watch Support Near 23,000 $ๆ็ๆๆธ(HSI)$
Democrats' First Policy Push: Healthcare, Tariffs, and a Congressional Stock Trading Ban
The U.S. midterm elections are over, but the real policy battle is only beginning. On November 4, following the Democrats' victory in both chambers of Congress, House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries outlined an ambitious agenda for the next Congress. The priorities are clear: restore Affordable Care Act (ACA) subsidies, reverse Medicaid spending cuts, challenge Trump's tariffs, and ban members of Congress from trading individual stocks. And Wall Street is already reacting. On November 4, the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 3%, the S&P 500 gained 1.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.4%. Healthcare stocks were among the most interesting movers. Centene jumped approximately 12.6%, while Molina Healthcare climbed around 8.9%, as investors began pricing in potential changes to federa
๐ Four AI and semiconductor names are showing very different stages of their market cycles. 1. $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ โ Long-Term Accumulation Zone $AAOI has retraced all the way into the Smart Money Zone, just as anticipated. This is why patience matters. Price is now entering a long-term accumulation zone, with a 12โ24 month target of $206. โญ 2. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ โ AI Rally Still Has Momentum Everyone was asking whether the AI rally was over. $AMD just delivered an answer: Data Center revenue grew 97%. We bought the Silver Bullet setup. 3. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ โ Waiting for a Better Entry $NBIS has fallen 46% since reaching the Institutional S
$MU Breaks Short-Term Support. These Are the Next Key Buy Zones
$Micron Technology(MU)$ has been rejected from the Institutional Sell Zone and has now broken short-term support near $900. If the breakdown holds, I'm watching two major long-term demand areas for a potential bullish reaction: ๐ฏ Key Levels: Institutional Buy Zone: $660โ$520 Smart Money Zone: $520โ$470 One important confirmation to watch is the November monthly candle. If MU closes November in the red, it would confirm continued weakness and could set up a more favorable entry as price approaches these longer-term zones. For now, I'm watching how the pullback develops rather than trying to catch the first dip.
$PLTR: Is the Long-Term Bearish Thesis Starting to Fall Apart?
I may have been wrong about the long-term rejection in $Palantir(PLTR)$ . Technically, the weekly structure remains bearish. Price has not yet made a clear break above the $208 swing high, so the possibility of a deeper correction over the next 6โ12 months remains. A move into the long-term Smart Money Zone is still on the table, although the odds appear much lower now. Here's what has changed: Daily Smart Money Zone: Bullish Monthly BX: Green Weekly structure: Still bearish until $208 is reclaimed The key downside level to watch is $160. A break below that level would make the bearish scenario much more interesting again. For now, I'm watching how the structure develops. Let's see what happens.
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has broken below its short-term swing low, putting its internal market structure under pressure. Unless the stock reclaims the $208โ$210 area by next week, the short-term structure remains broken. That raises the probability of further downside toward the Institutional Buy Zone, also known as the weekly Smart Money Zone. This is the risk I highlighted back in July. โ Although Nvidia broke out last month, it never recorded a weekly close above the previous swing high. As a result, the active weekly trading range remains: Weekly range low: $163.90 Weekly range high: $235 Key recovery zone: $208โ$210 The next move is important. Reclaiming $208โ$210 would help repair the short-term structure. Failure to do so leaves room for a deeper pu
$SITM โ A+ Weekly Setup With a $900 Long-Term Target
๐ฃ $SiTime Corp(SITM)$ is currently trading in a strong discount range on the weekly chart. Based on the current market structure, a move toward the previous swing high near $900 remains possible over the next 12โ18 months, provided the setup continues to hold. ๐ฏ Key Levels: Weekly Smart Money Zone: Current trading range Upside target: $900 Invalidation: Weekly structure breaks below $300 Major catalyst: Upcoming earnings Earnings will be an important test. The results could determine whether this setup gains momentum, consolidates or becomes invalidated. I'm not taking a position at this level because my capital is allocated elsewhere. However, from a rules-based, longer-term perspective, $SITM remains an A+ setup on my watchlist.
$SPY Rebounds From $748 to $768. Is $800 the Next Target?
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ staged a sharp reversal, climbing from $748 to $768 in a single day. The next upside target is $800+. Here are 8 reasons a Democratic-controlled Congress could be bullish for stocks: ๐บ๐ธ 1. Potential Iran War De-escalation Congress controls war powers and funding. A path toward de-escalation could reduce geopolitical risk. ๐ข๏ธ 2. Falling Oil Prices Brent crude dropped below $100 for the first time in weeks, easing pressure on energy-driven inflation. ๐ 3. More Room for Fed Rate Cuts Lower oil prices and cooler CPI readings could give the Fed greater flexibility to ease monetary policy. ๐๏ธ 4. Congressional Gridlock A divided government could make sweeping legislation harder to pass, reducing the risk of major policy s
You Don't Need to Quit Your 9โ5 to Become a Profitable Trader
The biggest lie in trading is that you can't make money because you work a full-time job. You don't need to watch charts all day. You need about 30 minutes to prepare your $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ watchlist and identify potential setups. Here's a simple routine: 1. Find 4โ6 stocks to watch Focus on stocks with: The highest trading volume The biggest catalysts The strongest percentage gains 2. Mark your key levels Before the opening bell, identify: Previous day's high Previous day's low Premarket high Premarket low Previous day's close Market open 3. Focus on the opening hour When the market opens at 9:30 AM EST, you only need to actively watch for 30 minutes to an hour at most. The biggest mistake new traders make is believing they need to
$NDX: One More Leg Lower Could Set Up a Bullish $SPX Reversal
$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ is showing the cleaner bearish Elliott Wave count, with its Wave 4/Wave 5 structure still intact. As long as price remains below today's high, I'm leaning toward one more move lower to complete Wave 5. Here's the scenario I'm watching: $NDX makes a lower low to finish its fifth wave, while $S&P 500(.SPX)$ holds a higher low. That would create a bullish SMT divergence between the two indices and could provide the catalyst for $SPX to rally toward the 7,725 trendline. The ABC Model also nailed all three major $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2612(NQmain)$ moves over the past two days. Look at the reactions around the 90%โ100% Fibonacci extensions.
The Great Grab Awakening: From Beatdown Stock to Cash Monster
๐๐๐The market finally woke up and stopped treating $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ like a forgotten parking ticket. Let's be honest. Before this week, looking at Grab's stock chart felt like watching a slow motion car crash. Grab's stock was brutally battered, losing nearly 33% year todate. Wall Street critics aggressively dismissed it as a growth -at-all-costs cash burner. But while the Bears were busy writing obituaries, 57 million people across Southeast Asia were using the Grab App to move, eat and pay every single day. The fundamental truth did not just catch up with Grab's stock price, it absolutely steamrolled it. Grab's Amazing Turnaround Grab shattered expectations
ARKG Investment Tracker position change: Increased position in Pacific Biosciences of California by 246,575 shares, the number of shares held increased 2.09% compared to the previous period and now represents 1.35% of the total position.