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47 minutes ago
8/17 Pre-Market Thoughts: Anthropic Targets $2 Trillion IPO
One-sentence theme: The AI primary market is red-hot (Anthropic's $2 trillion IPO pushes valuations to the limit), while secondary market funds continue to go long on the Nasdaq and short Hong Kong stocks. The tone remains unchanged: Sell Puts on pullbacks, don't chase highs. I. Sentiment Focus: Anthropic's $2 Trillion IPO — Valuation Supported by the "Future" Valuation maxed out: According to Reuters, Anthropic's IPO valuation is anchored to revenue expectations two years out — projected 2028 revenue of $190–200 billion (far above the $47 billion annualized run rate in May). This framework could support a valuation approaching $2 trillion. Growth is staggering: According to Bloomberg, Q2 revenue exceeded $11.5 billion, up 14x YoY and 2.4x QoQ (from $4.73 billion last quarter). Anthropic i
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08-14
$CBRS 20260814 215.0 PUT$ Just a 0DTE trade. Not too high or low risk at current price after an overdone earnings report drop.
CBRS PUT
08-14 21:43
US20260814 215.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 1.12 1Lot(s) | -- Closed |
TOPWernerBilly: IV looked rich enough for a 0DTE put sell. You scalping gamma around it or just letting theta do the work?
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08-14
$MSFT 20261120 390.0 CALL$ Taking profit. Bought this long call back in July at the money strike of $390 and held it for the past few weeks. Also selling shorter duration calls at higher level's to collect some additional premium. Now that price is testing $500 for the past 2 weeks and still haven't really break as of today, decided to take all profit off the table with almost a 2x gains and move on.
MSFT CALL
08-14 22:18
US20261120 390.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Close | 115.25 1Lot(s) | +198.18% Closed |
TOPNice exit. 500 got sold every time so far, I still lean fade here
230
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08-14
$TSLA 20260828 330.0 PUT$ Support / Resistance 📈📉: Support: $348-351, $337, $328-330, $318 Resistance: $348-$351, $364, $374 Outlook 📝: TSLA opened above $337 today. If TSLA is able to hold above $337, we may be heading in for more short term upside towards $348-351. If TSLA manage to break and hold $348-351, we should be able to see more short term upside towards $364. Else, if TSLA rejects at $348-$351, then watch for short term downside towards support level at $337 again. If TSLA also rejects below $337, then watch for $328-$330 support level. Target 🎯: Opened this Cash Secured Put position earlier when TSLA was trading around $344 price range. Anticipating that TSLA is able to hold $337 price range level, else w
TSLA PUT
08-14 22:40
US20260828 330.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 4.50 1Lot(s) | -1.11% Holding |
TOP20-50% feels a bit greedy for TSLA puts lol, I'd take 10% and move on. If 337 snaps, getting assigned gets way less fun
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08-14
$NVDA 20260821 200.0 CALL$ Closing position early to earn some $$$ to pay for MBS buffet 😋😋😋
NVDA CALL
08-14 22:39
US20260821 200.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Close | 26.00 1Lot(s) | +41.21% Closed |
TOPI cut my NVDA calls too early lol, you letting the rest run if it keeps squeezing?
578
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08-15 02:48
$AMD 20260814 470.0 PUT$ Option expiring todayvbut decided to close it to release margin to sell more puts. I don't just want a lucky win—I want consistent profits. I'm willing to put in whatever effort is required to achieve that. My goal for Aug is to earn $10,000 (including premiums paid to close the options). June / Jul 2026: $1,721 / $26,431 Aug 2026: $22,458
AMD PUT
08-15 02:46
US20260814 470.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Close | 0.01 1Lot(s) | +98.27% Closed |
TOPSold the 470 put too, but I’d roll farther out — closing same day feels a bit too tidy no?
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08-15 03:30
$NFLX 20260918 68.0 PUT$ Took profit and closed the position I don't just want a lucky win—I want consistent profits. I'm willing to put in whatever effort is required to achieve that. My goal for Aug is to earn $10,000 (including premiums paid to close the options). June / Jul 2026: $1,721 / $26,431 Aug 2026: $25,308
NFLX PUT
08-15 03:29
US20260918 68.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Close | 0.25 1Lot(s) | +78.27% Closed |
TOPNice close. How much theta is that put bleeding into Aug though, with earnings on the calendar?
28.08K
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08-16 01:18
$ServiceNow(NOW)$ ServiceNow ($NOW) has recently gone through a meaningful pullback, followed by a rebound that has started to restore some investor confidence. For me, however, the volatility does not change the long-term thesis. I continue to DCA because I see the pullback as an opportunity to accumulate a high-quality enterprise software company at a more attractive valuation rather than trying to perfectly time the bottom. The recent weakness was partly driven by concerns over the broader SaaS sector and expectations for a softer second half, but ServiceNow's underlying business remains strong. The biggest reason I remain bullish is the company's ability to turn AI from a buzzword into real enterprise spending. In Q2 2026, ServiceNow gener
TOPNice Sharing 😁 @Barcode @JC888 @koolgal @Aqa @DiAngel @Shernice軒嬣 2000
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08-16 12:05
$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ The covered call for this lot of CRWV expired just couple of cents in the money. Technically looks a little indecisive direction to a little bearish after its run up from its earning reports. While o can easily roll the call contract up a couple of dollars and still collect a decent premium, but decided to end this wheel cycle. Will find another opportunity to enter CSP when there's a dip in price action. Happy to take profit for now.
TOPApplying that mindset here, letting CRWV cool down before writing another CSP seems way smarter than jumping back in while momentum is fading. Still working on sticking to my journal, but learning to value capital preservation over constantly keeping capital deployed has made trading a lot less stressful.
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12:03
$JDC.HK 20260929 102.50 PUT$ Set up a cash secured put for income in view of price movement
JDC.HK PUT
08-17 11:26
HK20260929 102.50
| Side | Price | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 1.20 | -5.83% Holding |
TOPI sold the Sep put too, just went a bit higher. Is 102.5 more about downside cushion or pure premium harvest?
616
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21:39
$AMD DIAGONAL 260819/260821 CALL 510.0/CALL 515.0$ Roll to earn more $$$ to buy $8 chicken rice(Tiong Bahru Hawker Centre). 😋😋😋
AMD Diagonal
08-17 21:32
US515.0/510.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Credit Close | -1.47 1 | -- Closed |
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21:18
$GE Closes in on $375 as Bulls Take Control
$GE Aerospace(GE)$ $GE Aerospace(GE) +2.15% Breakout Run, Aviation Giant Reclaims $368 Level with Bullish Momentum 🚀 Latest Close Data: GE closed at $368.38 (+2.15%) on Aug 17, 2026. The stock is now just -5.3% away from its 52-week high of $388.84, with after-hours trading pushing to $368.37. Core Market Drivers: Aerospace and defense sentiment remains robust as GE Vernova's spin-off benefits continue to materialize. Strong institutional backing from BlackRock (8.59% stake) and Capital Research (6.78%) reinforces confidence. The company's impressive ROE of 48.23% and TTM EPS of $8.49 underscore fundamental strength driving the breakout. Technical Analysis: The MACD histogram shows narrowing bearish momentum at -1.006, signaling a potential bullish
68
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21:13
$ROKU Hits a New 52-Week High as Bulls Target $158 and Beyond
$Roku Inc(ROKU)$ $Roku Inc.(ROKU) +2.34% Hits New 52-Week High, Momentum Surges as $158 Breakout Looms 🚀 Latest Close Data: Roku closed at $157.68 on Aug 17, 2026, surging +2.34% and instantly hitting a fresh 52-Week High of $157.86. The stock is trading at a 101% premium to its 52-week low of $78.53. Core Market Drivers: CTV ad giant momentum is unstoppable as the $22B Fox acquisition enters the final countdown. Roku just delivered a massive earnings beat, with Q2 net profit soaring over 15x YoY driven by a 25% surge in both Platform revenue and subscriptions. Strong institutional backing from BlackRock and Vanguard anchors the bullish sentiment. Technical Analysis: 📊 The rally is validated by powerful volume dynamics. Short volume has collapsed
217
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21:11
$NXPI Rebounds as BMW Adoption Revives Bullish Sentiment
$NXP Semiconductors NV(NXPI)$ $NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) +1.21%: Auto Chip Giant Reclaims Momentum, $235 Pivot Triggers Reversal Signal Latest Close Data: NXPI closed at $234.71 on August 17, 2026, gaining +1.21% (+$2.80). The stock is currently rebounding from a significant discount, trading -30.9% below its 52-week high of $339.95. Core Market Drivers: The stock is recovering from recent pressure induced by UBS’s downgrade to "Neutral" and integration risks associated with the potential acquisition of Ambarella. However, sentiment is stabilizing following the confirmed adoption of NXP’s Trimension UWB chip in BMW’s upcoming vehicle lineup, reinforcing its dominance in automotive connectivity. The bounce suggests the market is beginning to price
121
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21:09
$BBY Nears 52 Week High as Truist Upgrade Lifts Sentiment
$Best Buy(BBY)$ $Best Buy (BBY) +1.25%: Rebound Momentum Builds, Truist Upgrade Puts $95 Target in Play 🚀 Latest Close Data: $BBY closed at $86.42 (+1.25%), bouncing from yesterday’s $85.35. The stock is now just 5.3% below its 52-week high of $91.27, showing resilience near peak levels. Core Market Drivers: The surge is fueled by Truist Securities upgrading BBY to "Buy" with a price target raise to $95, citing AI-driven consumer electronics cycles and internal operational improvements. However, BofA’s recent re-coverage with an "Underperform" rating and $80 target creates a conflicting narrative, keeping volatility high. Technical Analysis: Volume spiked to 2.92M shares (volume ratio 1.04), confirming active participation. The MACD histogram is na
330
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21:04
The above chart shows the weekly volatility ranges and simulated short put alternative strike prices for 17 key stocks, calculated based on various indicators — for simulation reference only 👆 📊 Noteworthy Points IV continues to broadly decline (off-season + no near-term earnings): Compared to last week — SKHY 87% → 78.5%, MU 75% → 67%, SPCX 89% → 67%, INTC 74% → 68%, AMD 63% → 59%. Volatility expectations for storage/AI names continue to cool, and seller premiums are thinning out. SPY at 19.46%, QQQ at 22.38%, AAPL at 24.74% — the broader market remains extremely stable. NVDA reports earnings on August 26, which will also impact AMD's stock price. AAPL at 305.8 and GOOGL at 345.9 are both sitting at the lower end of last week's forecast ranges, resting on support levels. Barring debt issu
162
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20:47
$HLF Sets Up for a Potential Short Squeeze Above $14.34 🔥
$Herbalife(HLF)$ $Herbalife (HLF) +1.31%: Bottoming Patterns Emerge as Short-Squeeze Risk Builds, $14 Resistance in Focus 📈 Latest Close Data: $HLF closed at $12.33 on Aug 17, 2026, gaining +1.31%. The stock is trading 39.6% below its 52-week high of $20.40 but has recovered significantly from its 52-week low of $7.56. Core Market Drivers: Extreme value investors are circling the stock; the P/S ratio is a mere 0.25, and the Forward P/E of 5.21 is near its historical average. Pressure remains from negative shareholder equity and a high short interest, with the short volume ratio hovering around 26% on Aug 14, setting the stage for a potential violent squeeze. Technical Analysis: The MACD is on the verge of a bullish crossover, with the DIF line (-0.
127
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20:27
$PYPL Eyes $62.31 as Takeover Talks Add Fuel to the Rally
$PayPal(PYPL)$ $PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) +1.77% Surge: M&A Talks Fuel Breakout, $62.31 Resistance in Sight 🚀 Latest Close Data: PYPL closed at $61.66 (+1.77%) on Aug 17, 2026, extending its rally after opening at $60.52. The stock is now consolidating 22.17% below its 52-week high of $79.22, signaling strong recovery momentum. Core Market Drivers: The surge is fueled by ongoing M&A negotiations. Reports indicate Stripe and Advent International are in talks to acquire PayPal, with a previous bid of $60.50 per share deemed too low. Negotiations for a higher price are underway. Additionally, Q2 earnings beat estimates (EPS of $1.38 vs. $1.28 expected), reinforcing fundamental strength. Technical Analysis: Volume exploded to 15.71M shares,
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20:09
$SNAP Rebound Faces Its Biggest Test at $5.84
$Snap Inc(SNAP)$ $Snap Inc. (SNAP) +2.08%: Social Media Rebound Gains Momentum, Testing Critical $5.84 Resistance Zone 📈 Latest Close Data: SNAP closed at $5.41 on Aug 17, 2026, marking a +2.08% gain. The stock is currently trading 41.7% below its 52-week high of $9.28, but has rebounded significantly from the $3.81 low. After-hours action shows a slight uptick to $5.42. 🚀 Core Market Drivers: The rebound is fueled by the halo effect of Snap’s strong Q2 earnings beat reported earlier this month, where revenue surged 19% YoY to $16B. 💰 Short-covering is a potential catalyst, with short volume dropping to 11.13% of total volume on Aug 14, down from a peak of 27.95% on Aug 7. However, broader sentiment remains cautious amid heavy insider selling by c
236
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19:31
Why Cisco’s $9.3 Billion AI Order Book Could Not Protect Its Margin
$Cisco(CSCO)$’s fiscal fourth-quarter results showed that AI infrastructure is becoming financially meaningful, but the stock’s sell-off demonstrated that investors care about the profitability of that growth as much as its scale. Cisco reported on August 12 for the quarter ended July 25. Revenue increased 18% to $17.25 billion, while adjusted earnings reached $1.22 per share. Full-year revenue was $63.33 billion, up from $56.65 billion. Cisco’s official fourth-quarter release provides the results and fiscal-2027 guidance. The bullish thesis is that Cisco is becoming a major supplier of networking systems connecting AI clusters. Fiscal-2026 AI-infrastructure orders from hyperscale customers reached approximately $9.3 billion, including roughly $4