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249
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Mkoh
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09-05 19:51

The Prophet’s Pivot: Michael Burry, the AI Juggernaut, and the Substack Salvation

Michael Burry’s current ledger is a sea of red, but he’s still drawing a crowd. The man who earned immortality by shorting the American housing market is currently taking a beating on two fronts: a agonizing, falling-knife long bet on Lululemon and an aggressive crusade against the AI complex. The burning question across Wall Street isn't just whether Burry is wrong—it’s whether he’s finally realized that running a paid newsletter is vastly superior to wrestling a market that refuses to bend to reality. Late last year, Burry pulled the plug on Scion Asset Management, returning outside capital and citing a fundamental disconnect with market pricing, alongside the stifling straightjacket of SEC disclosures. In its place, he launched Cassandra Unchained on Substack. Charging hundreds of dolla
The Prophet’s Pivot: Michael Burry, the AI Juggernaut, and the Substack Salvation
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38
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Tigerong
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09:12
Broadcom is super plugged into the AI value chain. It doesn’t just produce AI chips for companies like Google, it also makes the networking chips needed to move huge volumes of data fast enough for the AI era. Its overall revenue rose 86% to $29.6b, but AI semiconductor revenue exploded 221% to $16.7b. Hock Tan, President and CEO of Broadcom, said, “In Q4 the momentum continues, and we expect AI semiconductor revenue to accelerate to $21.7 billion, up 236% year over year.” But in FY28, Broadcom isn’t expecting 200% growth anymore in AI semiconductor revenue. Revenue is projected to hit $230b, up from an estimated $115b in FY27. Still, that’s 100% growth. The stock still fell, though. Expectations were even higher. Broadcom guided Q4 revenue to $34.8b, but LSEG consensus was about $35.03b,
Broadcom is super plugged into the AI value chain. It doesn’t just produce AI chips for companies like Google, it also makes the networking chips n...
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137
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Tigerong
·
09:19
Nvidia expects $108b in Q3 revenue and projects FY28 revenue to grow about 70%. Management explicitly said customer forecasts point to demand that could support roughly doubling again next year, but it’s guiding to only about 70% growth because it doesn’t currently have enough supply to satisfy all that demand. The largest company in the world by market cap, already $5.5T, shouldn’t be growing like a young company. But that’s exactly what Nvidia is doing. It has boomed for three years running, and in the latest quarter, revenue grew 106% and earnings jumped 126%. These are numbers you’d expect from a young, fast growing company, not a megacap. Yet here we are. It’s earnings season, and investors are watching AI-related stocks closely, trying to figure out if the AI trade is alive or dying.
Nvidia expects $108b in Q3 revenue and projects FY28 revenue to grow about 70%. Management explicitly said customer forecasts point to demand that ...
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73
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Lanceljx
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12:52
My pick: A. Las Vegas Sands ($LVS). Both integrated resorts should benefit if Singapore continues strengthening its position as a premium tourism and entertainment hub, but MBS has the stronger global brand and luxury positioning. The US$8B expansion adds another growth leg through a new luxury hotel, arena and expanded MICE capacity. I particularly like the arena strategy because major concerts and events can drive spending across rooms, restaurants, retail and gaming rather than relying on casino growth alone. Genting Singapore may offer greater upside if RWS 2.0 executes well, but if I had to choose just one for 2031, I would favour LVS for the stronger competitive moat and ability to monetise high-value tourism.
My pick: A. Las Vegas Sands ($LVS). Both integrated resorts should benefit if Singapore continues strengthening its position as a premium tourism a...
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214
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Emotional Investor
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15:00
Beware of the numbers. So the pic below, (even though this year has been a tuff ride for most, including me) well it's still says I'm doing better than 98% of all investors on the tiger platform. I'm not trying to Bragg here, cause I think it will illumin a point that to me is way more important. Over time I've learned that numbers don't necessarily reflect the reality of a stock you own or you are considering buying. My point is, you must dive way deeper. So to illustrate this let me dive deeper into if me being in the top 2% of the most successful investors in tiger is actually that impressive. So tiger has over 10 million users worldwide. Of that about 2.4 to 2.7 million users are "active". Let's call it 2.5 million just so I don't need a calculator. If that 98% more successful is based
Beware of the numbers. So the pic below, (even though this year has been a tuff ride for most, including me) well it's still says I'm doing better ...
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1.16K
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jfsrevg
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08:45

29 $10B+ Stocks Are Leading the Market This Week

Here are the 29 strongest-moving stocks this week with market caps above $10B, broken down by industry. The biggest concentration is in semis and software, with $Micron Technology(MU)$ $SK hynix(SKHY)$ $Semtech(SMTC)$ $Skyworks Solutions(SWKS)$ Leading the semiconductor group. Semiconductors$Micron Technology(MU)$ $SK hynix(SKHY)$ $Semtech(SMTC)$ $Skyworks Solutions(SWKS)$ Capital Markets$BitMine Immersion Technologie
29 $10B+ Stocks Are Leading the Market This Week
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1.64K
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Travis Hoium
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08:27

Tesla’s Robotaxi “Launch” & The Autonomy Business Model

A large percentage of the Asymmetric Portfolio is invested in companies that could have major tailwinds from autonomous driving. My thesis is that many companies will make autonomous vehicles, leading to the modularization of components and technology, and aggregators like $Uber(UBER)$ ( ▼ 0.26% ) and $Lyft, Inc.(LYFT)$ ( ▼ 3.24% ) being huge winners as supply is commoditized. The view of a more autonomous future is consistent with many investors, but how I envision that future is very different. The market still thinks that $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ( ▼ 5.92% ) — who first promised Teslas could soon drive across the country fully autonomously in January 2016 — will d
Tesla’s Robotaxi “Launch” & The Autonomy Business Model
TOPAJPem: Tesla was always valued on dreams. But we all have to wake up eventually. Camera only autonomus driving is foolishly limited. Despite Elon saying it is fine because humans only have 2 eyes, that no reason to limit your detection options. And humans use more than their eyes while driving, or emergency vehicles wouldn't have sirens.
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1.29K
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Travis Hoium
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08:36

$JOBY Just Put Its Unit Economics on the Table

$Joby Aviation, Inc.(JOBY)$ is making the eVTOL story a little easier to actually model. A new unit economics tool lets you play with the numbers yourself — how many rides per day does an eVTOL need, what price per ride makes the business profitable, and how quickly can the aircraft pay for itself? That last part is especially important. The site now has two models: ✈️ eVTOL Economics Test ride volume, pricing, profitability and payback period. 🚗 Autonomous Vehicle Economics Look at the potential ROI of an autonomous vehicle. The idea is simple: instead of just talking about the future of air taxis and autonomy, put the assumptions into a model and see what actually has to happen for the economics to work. And payback period may be one of the most
$JOBY Just Put Its Unit Economics on the Table
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1.30K
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SmartReversals
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08:31

Is Volatility About to Spike?

I began investing and trading with real dedication and discipline in 2016. That is already 10 years ago, when I started buying stocks the way many people do: reading the news, trying to build a bullish case with fundamentals, and listening to expert opinions. I always liked candlesticks as a visual representation of price action, and back then, I studied several books on the subject. Because no single technical indicator works in isolation, I learned about oscillators (Stochastic, RSI), Bollinger Bands, moving averages, and measuring my performance against the SPX. Back then, I focused heavily on the FAANGs (if you remember that acronym, congratulations; staying in this arena this long puts you far above the average investor or trader: $Meta Platforms
Is Volatility About to Spike?
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3.17K
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PawsAndProfits
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09-04 21:05
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   I am pretty sure a handful of people have traded TSLA based on its cylical event yesterday, announcement of its cybercab roll out in Austin, Texas. However, do align your rationale and conviction accordingly. You are trading based on a single cylical move, and not based on a mid - long term outlook, or taking into account the intrinsic value of TSLA.  I do not condone or disagree with trading during a cylical event, but you have to make your reasons of entry clear so that it is not conluded with other belief systems u have. No smoke and mirr
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. $...
TOPLisaEffie: Event trades and long term conviction are two different buckets though. Cybercab rollout can move sentiment hard on its own, and TSLA always trades the story before the numbers lol
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3.13K
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Isleigh
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09-04 21:43

45 Cybercabs Are Real. The $1.49 Trillion Question Is What Happens at Car 46.

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   Tesla's Cybercab finally crossed an important line this week. It stopped being a presentation. Real Cybercabs are carrying real passengers in Austin, without steering wheels or pedals. Tesla had 45 Cybercabs registered in Texas as of Friday morning, and the stock initially celebrated, jumping 5.42%. Then reality arrived. The shares gave back the enthusiasm, and US regulators opened an audit examining roughly 1,000 Cybercabs and the technical basis Tesla used to certify that the vehicles comply with federal safety standards. That sequence tells us almost everything about the Tesla trade right now. The technology has moved forward. The valuation has moved much further. 45 Cars Matter More Th
45 Cybercabs Are Real. The $1.49 Trillion Question Is What Happens at Car 46.
TOPnimbly: I checked the Texas side too — registration count matters less than operating miles and rider feedback. The audit scope on the certification basis is the real near term gate
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4.36K
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Isleigh
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09-04 21:48

Nearly 10,000 Micron Workers Could Strike. For Once, Memory's Biggest Risk Is Not Price.

$Micron Technology(MU)$   Memory stocks finally pulled back. Micron fell 2.64%. SanDisk lost 1.90%. SK Hynix dropped 2.31%. Normally, after the extraordinary memory rally we have seen, I would call that healthy profit-taking. This time I would not dismiss it so quickly. A new variable has entered the memory thesis: production risk. Unions representing nearly 10,000 Micron workers in Taiwan are threatening strike action over bonuses and profit-sharing. That matters because Taiwan is not peripheral to Micron's business. It is one of the company's most important manufacturing hubs. Until now, the biggest debate around MU has been: How high can memory prices go? The question may temporarily become: How much memory can
Nearly 10,000 Micron Workers Could Strike. For Once, Memory's Biggest Risk Is Not Price.
TOPglintzi: Not sure the labor angle hits output that hard. Advanced DRAM lines are heavily automated, so pricing roll-over would worry me more.
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2.06K
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苏36
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09-04 23:18
If I had to pick just one, I’d go with $SNOW. BE has the cleaner technical breakout, while HOOD, COIN and MSTR could deliver bigger gains if Bitcoin keeps climbing. But SNOW is the setup I find most convincing because the fundamentals are catching up with the price. Product revenue grew 37% YoY to $1.49B, and management raised FY2027 guidance to $6.07B. More importantly, AI is driving increasing customer consumption, suggesting this isn’t simply another AI-fueled valuation story. Still, a 16%+ one-day rally means expectations are now elevated. I wouldn’t chase the spike. I’d rather wait for consolidation or a pullback and see whether the earnings gap becomes a new support zone. My choice: SNOW. Not the fastest horse, but arguably the one with the strongest evidence behind its breakout.
If I had to pick just one, I’d go with $SNOW. BE has the cleaner technical breakout, while HOOD, COIN and MSTR could deliver bigger gains if Bitcoi...
TOPmoonzo: BTC strength can absolutely juice COIN and MSTR, but for this list SNOW still feels cleaner after a pullback. That 16% gap needs to prove support first
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1.94K
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苏36
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09-04 23:21
I’d pick C. Both. The bigger opportunity isn’t MBS taking market share from RWS, but Singapore growing the entire tourism pie. MBS’s US$8 billion expansion is a major bet on luxury tourism, concerts and MICE. Its 15,000-seat arena could attract more global acts and overseas visitors, boosting spending across hotels, restaurants, retail and entertainment. Meanwhile, Genting Singapore’s RWS 2.0 provides its own growth catalyst through expanded attractions and hospitality. If both projects succeed, Singapore could create a powerful cycle: better attractions bring more tourists, while bigger events drive higher-value spending. By 2031, the real winner may be Singapore itself. For investors, however, I’d focus on ROIC, visitor growth, gaming revenue and valuation. A bigger tourism market is bu
I’d pick C. Both. The bigger opportunity isn’t MBS taking market share from RWS, but Singapore growing the entire tourism pie. MBS’s US$8 billion e...
TOPcutzi: That US$8B expansion is the right bet, but ROIC is still the scoreboard. Tourism can grow for both, yet the cleaner return profile wins.
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1.25K
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苏36
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09-04 23:24
Chart #12 probably hits hardest: losses are mathematically brutal. A 50% drawdown requires a 100% gain just to get back to where you started. That’s why avoiding permanent capital destruction matters more than chasing every hot trade. But Chart #14 is the bigger lesson for me: time is an investor’s greatest advantage. Compounding rewards those who start early, keep adding, and resist the temptation to constantly interfere. The market will always offer reasons to panic at the bottom and feel invincible near the top. The real edge is staying rational when everyone else is emotional. I’d rather own a few businesses with durable moats, strong ROIC and long reinvestment runways than constantly rotate into whatever is trending. Investing isn’t about being right every quarter. It’s about survivi
Chart #12 probably hits hardest: losses are mathematically brutal. A 50% drawdown requires a 100% gain just to get back to where you started. That’...
TOPsnixy: Time matters, but the quality of the cash you keep adding matters too. Reinvested dividends are where compounding really starts to feel unfair
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899
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koolgal
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09-05 03:25
🌟Wall Street just got hit by a massive economic curve ball.  The highly anticipated August Non Farm Payrolls data was just released today. While the consensus was braced for a modest 53,000 to 56,000, the US economy had a staggering 162,000 new jobs!  That is nearly triple the forecast. By any normal logic, a roaring labour market is a cause for celebration, right? Wrong.  Welcome to the upside down world of macro economic trading where Good News is Bad News! Wall Street realised that the Federal Reserve no longer has any incentive to hand out aggressive interest rate cuts at its policy meeting later this month. What should investors do? With Nasdaq 100 close to its all time high, the risk of buying at the peak is incredibly high. Instead of playing the guessing game, why n
🌟Wall Street just got hit by a massive economic curve ball. The highly anticipated August Non Farm Payrolls data was just released today. While the...
TOPCrystalRose: 162K vs 56K is a huge beat, but the market may be overpricing the rate-cut fade. For QQQM, that still looks more like soft landing support than bad news lol
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koolgal
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09-05 04:29
🌟🌟🌟Fed Governor Waller started a fire in the market with a single sentence: Give disinflation a chance & Bitcoin rockets past USD 81,200.  The trading desks go wild & crypto stocks start pulling off double digit spikes like the party is never going to end.  Then just 1 day later, a monster jobs report drops, rate cut hopes evaporate and the entire crypto sector slides right back down. If you are wondering whether to buy crypto stocks or just stick to $iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$ the answer is obvious: Stop buying the side show & just buy the underlying real estate. When you buy crypto stocks like $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ or $Strategy(M
🌟🌟🌟Fed Governor Waller started a fire in the market with a single sentence: Give disinflation a chance & Bitcoin rockets past USD 81,200. The tradi...
TOPEltonRichard: IBIT flow data already says enough — institutional money picks the clean beta. COIN and MSTR can rip harder, but the extra balance sheet risk is real
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758
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koolgal
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09-05 05:01
🌟🌟🌟My response is C:  Both Marina Bay Sands $Las Vegas Sands(LVS)$ & $Genting Sing(G13.SI)$ can benefit from bigger tourism market. Singapore is not treating this as a zero sum cage match between 2 competing properties.  Instead the Singapore government is deliberately curating a massive structural tourism expansion to scale the country's global market share. The eye watering USD 8 billion Marina Bay Sands or MBS expansion paired with Genting SGD 6.8 billion RWS 2.0 blueprint is designed to grow the total addressable market of luxury, VIP and high yield event visitors to Singapore. When Singapore introduces the infrastructure to capture massive global music tours, world class exhibitions
🌟🌟🌟My response is C: Both Marina Bay Sands $Las Vegas Sands(LVS)$ & $Genting Sing(G13.SI)$ can benefit from bigger tourism market. Singapore is not...
TOPYoungYun: Both winning sounds too neat — Genting's SGD 6.8b spend can easily dilute shareholder returns for years, that's the part bothering me
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Mkoh
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09-05 07:29
table 11. Visa one of my biggest holdings have been quietly compounding while everyone focus are on hyperscalers. Examples from recent data: ~31–34% in 2025/2026 periods; multi-year averages often in the high 20s to low 30s. It comfortably exceeds Visa’s cost of capital (WACC typically estimated around 8%), creating a wide positive spread and substantial economic value. This reflects Visa’s asset-light network business model: enormous operating leverage, high margins (operating margins often ~60%+), strong free cash flow conversion, and limited need for heavy capital reinvestment relative to profits. The global payments network benefits from scale, network effects, brand strength, and high switching costs—classic durable competitive advantages that support ROIC persistence
table 11. Visa one of my biggest holdings have been quietly compounding while everyone focus are on hyperscalers. Examples from recent data: ~31–34...
TOPJoyceTobias: Cross-border is the extra kicker here. If that mix keeps climbing and B2B flows deepen, ROIC staying above 30% does not look stretched at all
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Mathematical Money
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09-05 09:11

I Got Called Away From Oracle At $135. Then I Bought It Back

Mathematical Money | September 6, 2026 Oracle reports Q1 on Thursday. It's an odd setup going in. The stock closed Friday at $153.75, which sounds healthy until you notice it traded as high as $345.72 within the last year. It's 54% off that. And yet Barclays, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan all raised their price targets into this print — Barclays went to $281 from $221, and the average across the top analysts is sitting around $261. So the sell-side thinks it's worth roughly 70% more than it trades, the chart says it's been cut in half, and the print lands Thursday after the close. Consensus is looking for about $19.1 billion of revenue and $1.30 of GAAP EPS. Take your pick which of those you believe. I made my choice last week. Bought three October 2027 $120 calls. How I got here In late Aug
I Got Called Away From Oracle At $135. Then I Bought It Back
TOPfrostiix: I like the long-dated call angle more than chasing the print. If revenue clears 19.1B, that gap to the 261 analyst average starts looking way less crazy.
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