To The Moon

$INTC  High-significance bearish gap risk Catalyst: Q3 earnings and weaker-than-expected Q4 guidance, released 29 October US time. Intel fell sharply after hours following its earnings release. Reuters reported a decline of approximately 23%; another market-data source showed $70.86, down 23.04% from the $92.07 regular-session close. Other snapshots showed higher after-hours prices, so the exact price depends on the timestamp. Regular-session close, Oct 29 $92.07 Reported after-hours low snapshot $70.86 What the technical evidence says 1. The earnings gap is the primary signal. Confirmed: Q4 revenue guidance of $15–16 billion fell short of analyst expectations of approximately $17 billion. Intel also cited manufacturing constraints and ongoing PC-market weakness. Volume: Regular-sessi

Semiconductor stocks have not responded to Big Tech earnings in the way investors might have expected. Despite continued investment in AI infrastructure, chip stocks remain under pressure, with the iShares Semiconductor ETF still more than 20% below its record high. The latest earnings have highlighted an important distinction: strong AI spending does not automatically mean every semiconductor company will benefit equally. Microsoft and Alphabet have both demonstrated significant demand for cloud and AI services, but their results also raise questions about the scale of investment required and how quickly that spending can generate returns. For chipmakers, the market needs more than announcements of larger AI budgets. It wants evidence that those budgets are becoming orders, shipments and

Big Tech earnings have failed to give semiconductor stocks the boost many investors expected. Despite continued AI investment, chip shares remain under pressure as the market questions whether current spending levels can translate into sustainable earnings growth. Two companies worth watching are Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) and Micron Technology (MU). Both have delivered strong results, but their businesses offer different ways to participate in the AI boom. 1. TSMC (TSM): The Manufacturing Backbone TSMC is one of the most important companies in the global semiconductor industry. It manufactures advanced chips designed by companies such as Nvidia and AMD. Its latest third-quarter results showed revenue growth of 41.2% year over year, while earnings per ADR increased 57.5%. Str

Tech was getting hammered. Amazon fell. Intel collapsed. AI names were under pressure. And then a shoe company suddenly exploded almost 25% higher. Crocs. The easy conclusion is: “Money is rotating from tech into consumer stocks.” I don't think that is what happened. In fact, Crocs management gave us an important warning: The low-end consumer is still weak. So why did CROX explode? Because I think the market is beginning to reward something very different: SELF-HELP. Crocs did not need the economy to suddenly become wonderful. It fixed the part of its own business investors had almost given up on. And that creates a much more interesting investment lesson than simply: Consumer stocks are back. 🔵 THE HEADLINE NUMBERS WERE GOOD Crocs delivered Q3 revenue of: $1.04B, +4.6% Adjusted EPS: $3.69

Alphabet just suffered its worst one-day percentage decline ever. Roughly 12.6% gone. About $500B of market value erased. And the contradiction inside the earnings report was extraordinary. Google Cloud revenue: +103% to $30.7B. Cloud backlog: $561B Yet Alphabet's free cash flow: NEGATIVE $9.1B. How can a company double its fastest-growing major business and simultaneously start burning cash? The obvious answer is: Alphabet is spending too much on AI. That is partly true. But I think it misses something much more interesting. Google is quietly changing what kind of company it is. And one clue buried inside the quarter explains why its cash-flow profile may never look exactly like old Google again. That clue is: TPU SYSTEMS. 🔵 OLD GOOGLE HAD A BEAUTIFUL BUSINESS MODEL For years, Alphabet's

1. Q3 GDP Spending on data centers & computers is now America's single largest investment by far: 50% larger than single-family home construction, 3x factories, or 6x apartments 2. PCE AI-driven inflation in core PCE is slowing finally. 3. AAII Sentiment Survey The AAII bull-bear spread's 52-week moving average has been negative for 72 consecutive weeks, the third-longest streak on record. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is +29% over this period. The two streaks that lasted longer were 2008-10 and 2022-23. 4. Low Vol crowding. The cautious backdrop (hyperscaler earnings, $Anthropic(ANT)$ S-1, Brazil, midterms, etc) has coincided with a further shift toward defensive positioning, with crowding in the

The $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ fell 1.42 per cent on Thursday and the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ declined 0.30 per cent. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ closed down 4.25 per cent and fell about another 7 per cent after its results. Microsoft slipped just 0.16 per cent, while Meta gained 1.96 per cent. Companies making large AI investments were no longer trading as one group. Amazon reported third-quarter revenue of $201.9 billion, up 12 per cent, and earnings of $1.89 a share. AWS revenue grew 39 per cent to $46.0 billion, while operating income rose 55 per cent to $17.8 billion. The issue was cash generation: trailing 12-month free cash flow s

$VT$  $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$   If you invested $1,000 in the Invesco QQQ Trust 10 years ago, your investment would be worth more than $6,700 today. So please DCA with QQQ - it's a no-brainer. Key Details of the Growth Total Return: Around 571% over the 10-year period (with dividends reinvested). Annualized Return: A compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of roughly 21%. Market Outperformance: QQQ significantly beat the S&P 500 index over the same timeframe. Main Growth Drivers: The fund’s heavy concentration in mega-cap technology and artificial intelligence leaders—such as Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft—pushed these gains

As of the morning session on 30 October, 24 S-REITs (including property trusts) had released results or business updates for periods ended 30 Sep, representing just over three-fifths of the 39 actively traded trusts. The releases span quarterly, half-year, nine-month and full-year periods. Positive rental reversions were a common feature: 19 of the 20 trusts reporting numerical measures recorded at least one positive portfolio, market or segment figure. The measures cover different reporting periods and lease scopes and do not measure total portfolio rental-income growth. Singapore’s REIT sector spans domestic malls and offices alongside overseas logistics, data centres and rental housing, exposing portfolios to different leasing cycles. Higher renewal rents can support income as leases co

Thursday was another rough day for the AI trade. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ dropped -0.3%, while the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell -1.4%. Earlier in the week, Semis rallied 3 straight days on $Anthropic(ANT)$ ’s IPO filing. That bounce didn’t last. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ led the way down today (-12.6%). And after the bell, it got even worse. Fed Recap The Fed held rates steady yesterday at 3.75%-4%. On Sunday, I said this would be a pretty boring FOMC, and it mostly was. The 1 wrinkle was the vote. It was 10-2, with Lisa Cook and Beth Hammack both dissenting in favor of a hike. Cook hadn’t dissented once since joining the Fed in 2022. War

$SFM 20261120 45.0 PUT$ Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) watchlist : sharp reset, but fundamentals now need to stabilise Conditional view: SFM looks materially cheaper after its post-earnings collapse, but it remains a “prove it” situation rather than a clear recovery setup. The valuation has reset sharply; however, the reset followed weaker Q3 results and a significant FY2026 guidance cut, while revenue and profit growth had already slowed markedly. Price action: SFM closed at US$48.00 on 2026-10-30 , down 22.58% on the day, with volume ratio 6.15x . It is just 1.37% above its 52-week low of US$47.35 and 49.42% below its US$94.89 high. The technical trend remains in decline across both short and medium horizons. Catalyst: Q3 E