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22 minutes ago
After Payrolls Comes CPI: U.S. Stocks Enter a Two-Stage Stress Test for a September Rate Hike
Tonight’s jobs report will determine the market’s initial reaction, while next Friday’s CPI may determine the Federal Reserve’s final decision. With U.S. markets closed on Monday for Labor Day, stocks will carry this rate uncertainty into a three-day weekend. On September 3, all three major U.S. indexes rallied: the Dow rose 1.18%, the S&P 500 gained 1.06%, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.40%. The catalyst was not another corporate earnings release, but a comment from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller: if upcoming data confirms that inflation is cooling, he would be inclined to support keeping interest rates unchanged in September. Markets quickly reduced their rate-hike bets. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a September hike fell from 63.2% to 50.4% in one day
TOP苏36: I'd lean towardB: moderate cooling allows technology stocks to continue rebounding, but with one important caveat: tonight's jobs report is only the first test. The market will care less about whether payrolls beat or miss by a few thousand and more about the combination of hiring, unemployment and wage growth. The ideal scenario is a softer labor market without recession signals: slower job creation, unemployment staying around 4.1%, and wages continuing to cool. That could reduce rate-hike expectations and support tech, small caps and other rate-sensitive assets. But if employment collapses, recession fears could overwhelm the benefit of lower yields. And if wages remain hot, the Fed may stay hawkish. In my view, CPI next Friday is still the real final boss.Tonight can change the narrative; CPI could determine the direction. @Tiger_comments [微笑]
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09:53
From Follower to Disruptor: Forging the Unbreachable Moat of AI Giants
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some ai trading ideas with you! 1 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ just put its steering-wheel-free Cybercab into public Robotaxi service in Austin with Starlink and a dedicated theater mode built in. Wild seeing how Tesla is starting to design the car around what passengers do once nobody has to drive it. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ just released a new Cybercab launch video declaring “the future has arrived.” The messaging is clearly shifting toward Cybercab as a product Tesla is preparing to put on the road. 2 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ CEO Mark Zuckerberg reportedly urged President Trump to r
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44 minutes ago
Where Will AI and Semiconductors Go? Deep Dive Into Franklin Wu's September Playbook
Speaker: Dr. Franklin Wu @老实人谈美股 (Quantitative Researcher at a financial institution in Shanghai; PhD, University of Chicago — background in physics, quantitative research and trading strategy development)Live Date: September 2, 2026 (Review Live >>) In this livestream, Dr. Franklin Wu walked through a repeatable "Macro → Industry → Technicals → Risk" framework for AI and semiconductor investing — covering a hawkish Jackson Hole and the Treasury's "Bessent Put," why the AI compute chain runs far beyond Nvidia, how to turn a bullish view into an actual trad
TOPFranklin's framework is especially relevant for September:the AI bull thesis may remain intact, but that doesn't mean every AI stock is a buy. I'm still bullish on semiconductors because AI demand is expanding beyond GPUs into HBM, networking, optics, power and cooling. Nvidia's results prove demand is strong, but expectations are now extremely high. The key question is no longer "is AI growing?" purpose"Is growth strong enough to beat what the market Is already priced in?" For September, I'd watch long-term Treasury yields closely. Rising yields can compress tech valuations even when earnings remain excellent. My approach is to buy confirmation, not excitement. QQQ can remain a core position, while SOXL and TQQQ should be tactical tools with strict sizing. Macro → Industry → Technicals → Risk. The AI story tells us where to look.Risk management decides whether we survive the volatility. @TigerClub [龇牙]
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09:33
TRADE PLAN for LOTTO FRIDAY 📈
TRADE PLAN for LOTTO FRIDAY 📈 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ new all time highs in play by next week if we get a positive reaction to NFP data tomorrow and CPi next Friday. Calls can work 7750 tomorrow. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ all about 715 this month, if it starts to form a new base above 715 we can zee a push to 722,728. $Strategy(MSTR)$ big breakout today with $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ above 80k BTc to 100k coming again. $Strategy(MSTR)$ possible we see 200 if BTC runs to 100k. Calls can work above 140 for MSTR.
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09:31
Option Strategies: PL& ZS
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1 Took the following optionselling trades on $Zscaler Inc.(ZS)$ ... Wrote the Sep 18 $135 puts & Sep 4 $255 calls, and also took a very aggressive ATM trade. Got excited about that earnings pop, but am now hoping the IV crush on an ATM strike is enough to put that Mar 2027 175P trade in profit. 🤞🏽 2 Wrote a conservative put credit spread on $Planet Labs Pbc(PL)$ to play earnings for 💩 and 😂 ... and help pay for dinner tonight. Targeted that strong 13/12 volume support level.
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09:46
NVDA& AMZN: Which One is Winner in the Place?
I don't see a world where $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ or $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ don't end up ~2x from where they are today. -> Nvidia: We have a supply constrained business growing ~90% in FY27 and +70% in FY28 with 55% net income margins meaning we're trading ~13.5x FY28 EPS. 13.5x FY28 EPS is literally sub 0.2x PEG (for FY28). -> Amazon Further down the road but AWS likely reaches $1T in revenue in the next 9 years as per my model. At $2.75T MC today with digital ads on track for being a $800B business, e-comm ~$800B, Anthropic stakes, Prime, and everything else. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ likely has a lot more than 2x in the next
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09:44
CRDO: The Undervauled Stock for Superior competitiveness
1. I own a small amount of $Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd(CRDO)$ 2. $Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd(CRDO)$ is a volatile stock. 3. I think $Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd(CRDO)$ about 10-20% lower is where the r/r becomes too good to ignore. Here's a few reasons why that is true: -> Should do +$6.50 in EPS in FY27 and ~$10 in EPS in FY28 which is 70% CAGR. If we trade at ~$130 that means we're trading sub 15x FY28 EPS which considering would be a bargain at 70% growth. Back when $Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd(CRDO)$ traded at sub $100 it
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09:39
GOLD: The Overall Market Sentiment has Now Undergone a Dramatic Reversal
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Following the release of the U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, which was clearly another broad-based positive for gold, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) plummeted 0.57% to 98.991. The overall market sentiment has now undergone a dramatic reversal. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ H1 Chart: The candlestick chart shows a pattern of several consecutive large bullish candles shooting up like bamboo shoots, with virtually no significant pullback. The price has now reached a high of $4,510.79. Breaking through the 4,500 level signifies that the medium-term bullish trend in the market has bee
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09:37
AVAV, CIFR, ASST, SNDK& GOOG Enjoy Great Potential To Buy
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ This trend zone actually goes WAY back... 2 $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ About as tight as it gets. 3 $Strive(ASST)$ Notable breakout this week. 4 $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ Looking pretty... 5 $AeroVironment(AVAV)$ Holding up at this trend zone going into earnings soon.
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09:32
New Rally, New Gap
U.S. stocks rallied propelled upward as Treasury yields fell following comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, who indicated he would support holding interest rates steady at the upcoming policy meeting later this month. The probabilities for a rate hike in the next FOMC meeting fell to 50% today, from 63% yesterday, a major change that fueled the stock market. On the macro site, the ADP private sector payrolls report showed an increase of 38,000 jobs in August, coming in below estimates and providing further evidence of a cooling labor market, a factor that also favors continuation in interest rates instead of a rate hike. With that said, the rally left a new gap open for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ at 7,681 and for the
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09:29
$SPY, $HIMS, $TSLA, $CIFR, $COHR Tell Five Different Stories
I’m not looking at these five names the same way. Some need confirmation. Some need a pullback. Some are already at the point where I’d rather step aside. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ comes first because the broader structure still hasn’t flipped. The 1HR is continuing to print lower lows, so bulls need to reclaim the $775 pivot if they want full control again. Until that happens, another rejection is still on the table. That’s also why I’m watching $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ differently. The 1HR Smart Money Zone is holding, and the internal 1HR structure remains bullish. As long as that stays intact, there’s no reason to chase lower. But if the zone breaks, I’m ready for the next level. I al
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09:24
NVDA, ASAN, IOT, LULU& HOOD: Does the Earning Report Drive the Price?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 Within striking distance of ATHs ⚡️ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 2 Robinhood just kicked the door open 🔓 $Robinhood(HOOD)$ 3 $Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ FALLS BELOW $100/SHARE FOR FIRST TIME SINCE MAY 2018 🩸 4 $Samsara, Inc.(IOT)$ DOUBLE BEAT & RAISE 🔥 Q2 Adj. EPS: $0.20 vs $0.16 est ✅ Q2 Sales: $508.437M vs $483.261M est ✅ Raised FY2027 Adj EPS Guidance ✅ Raised FY2027 Sales Guidance ✅ 🟩 +12.62% 5 $Asana, Inc.(ASAN)$ DUMPING ON A DOUBLE
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07:28
Cost Over Safety. That’s the Tesla FSD Debate. 👀
The argument around $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ’s FSD has become pretty simple. Cost vs. safety. Tesla’s approach has always leaned heavily toward making autonomy work with a simpler hardware stack. But real-world driving isn’t predictable. When something goes wrong, safety often comes down to redundancy — having another system available when the first one fails. That’s why the FSD debate isn’t really just about whether the system can drive. It’s about whether the system has enough backup when the real world throws something unexpected at it. Tesla says FSD is still supervised and does not make the vehicle fully autonomous. That distinction matters. The bigger question is whether a lower-cost approach can eventually deliver the level of redundancy peopl
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07:19
$SPCX, $CRCG & $XXRP: Three Very Different Stories
Good morning, tigers! ☕️ Three names caught my attention for very different reasons today. 1. $SpaceX(SPCX)$ 🚀 A massive volume run is underway. $SPCX is sitting around a $1.9T market cap, with relative volume at just 31%, but nearly $4.5B has already traded versus roughly $12B in average daily dollar volume. That’s a serious amount of money changing hands. The interesting part isn’t just the percentage move in volume. It’s the absolute dollar volume behind it. 👀 2. $Leverage Shares 2X Long CRCL Daily ETF(CRCG)$ 🎯 The update here is less about the stock and more about how I want to trade it. I’m not a fan of getting in and out of the same name several times a week. Too much screen time. Too much stress. T
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07:51
$SPCX, $HOOD, $META: The Smart Money Trades Are Moving Into Their Next Phase 🎯
The interesting thing about these three setups isn’t just how much they’ve moved. It’s where they moved from — and where they are now. The common thread has been buying into Smart Money zones rather than chasing strength. And the results are starting to show. $SpaceX(SPCX)$ was the first one to deliver. After reaching the 1HR Smart Money Discount, the stock has climbed 17%. The key pivot support held, giving dip buyers exactly the reaction they were looking for. At this point, the original $120 buy zone I was waiting for looks increasingly unlikely to come into play. The trade has already moved away from the discount area. Then there’s $Robinhood(HOOD)$ . This one has gone even further. Since reaching the
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07:40
I’m Bullish on $TSLA. I Still Sold. 🎯
I just closed my $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ position for a +22% gain in about a month. And no, I haven’t turned bearish on Tesla. I’m still very bullish on the long-term story. But I closed the position for two reasons. 1️⃣ The structure is still bearish. On both the daily and weekly timeframes, we’re still seeing lower highs. Within my framework, I expect a potential rejection somewhere around $380–$420. If that happens, I’d rather let the stock come back down into the institutional buy zone and look for another long entry. In other words, I’m not trying to predict the top. I’m trying to follow the structure. 2️⃣ The profit came quickly. A 22% gain in roughly one month is a solid return. When profit velocity is that strong, I’m comfortable taking some
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07:34
Here’s Four Big-Tech Focused - $GOOG, $TSLA, $META, $MSFT
Last night, I live-traded $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ from $1.80 to $8.00+, capturing a 500%+ return in front of thousands of traders. 🔥 Now I’m watching four setups closely. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ This is the big reversal play on my radar. The idea is a move back toward $350, with a longer swing target of $400+ if the reversal continues to develop. $350 is the first level I want to see reclaimed. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ TSLA is more of a continuation setup. The focus is a move back toward the $365–$370 area. Rather than chasing strength, I’m watching whether the current move can continue toward that zone. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(MET
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07:25
Apple Is Raising Prices. The Real Question Is Volume. 🍎
$Apple(AAPL)$ ’s recent revenue growth hasn’t only come from selling more iPhones. A big part of it has been getting customers to spend more and moving them toward higher-priced models. That works — until the price increases start changing buying behavior. With potential price hikes reaching 20–30%, the next step gets much more interesting. 📈 Higher prices can keep revenue growing. 📉 But if those prices start hitting unit demand, volume could take a meaningful hit. That’s the balance I’ll be watching over the next 18 months. Can Apple keep growing revenue faster than it loses volume? 👀
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07:23
$IWM, $NFLX, $MSFT Bulls Are Watching These Levels
Three charts are standing out for three very different reasons today. 1. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ 🎯 The bearish setup from Saturday played out almost perfectly. The downside targets were 292 and 289, and yesterday’s low came in at 289.40. Small caps are now down 1.7% this week, while the chart is starting to look oversold. That opens the door for a technical bounce. But bulls still have something to prove. 👉 $291.20 needs to be reclaimed to flip short-term momentum back up. If that happens, 292.40 comes back into focus. For now, I’m watching the reaction around 291.20 before getting too aggressive. 2. $Netflix(NFLX)$ 🍿 NFLX has been much more constructive since the extreme oversold reading around ea
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07:07
$MSCI Hasn’t Moved in 5 Years. Maybe the Market Is Wrong 👀
When I look at $MSCI Inc(MSCI)$ , three things stand out. First, it’s a great company with strong financial metrics. Second, the valuation looks attractive. And third, the stock price has basically gone nowhere for five years. 🤔 That combination is what makes $MSCI interesting. Because if the business looks good and the valuation looks reasonable, why hasn’t the stock gone anywhere? There are really two possibilities. 👉 The market is right. Future profitability and business quality could deteriorate, and the current valuation is already pricing in what looks like an attractive setup. 👉 The market is wrong. Investors may be underestimating how strong MSCI’s profitability and business quality can remain in the future. If it’s the second one, there’s