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Plunge! How Did Alibaba's Earnings Really Turn Out?
$Alibaba(BABA)$ released its first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings report, with revenue of RMB 268.95 billion, roughly in line with market estimates (RMB 268.52 billion). However, adjusted ADS earnings came in at only RMB 8.52, far below the year-ago figure of RMB 14.75 and the estimate of RMB 11.28. Adjusted net income was RMB 20.72 billion, down 38% year-over-year and missing expectations. Adjusted EBITDA was RMB 39.14 billion, down 14% year-over-year but slightly above estimates. Other income for the quarter was RMB 28.8 billion, significantly below the estimate of RMB 61.15 billion. The company repurchased approximately 13.4 million shares for a total of $162 million. Profit contribution from Ant Group was $230 million. Following
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19 minutes ago
$AFRM Rallies 5.13% as Bernstein and BofA Strengthen the Bull Case
$Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$ $Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM) +5.13% Surge Clears $77, Bulls Eye $78.43 Resistance for Breakout Latest Close: $77.33 (+5.13%), intraday high $78.76, low $73.35. Now trading just 1.4% below resistance at $78.43 and 22.7% below 52-week high of $100. Core Drivers: Bernstein initiated coverage with Outperform rating, adding to recent BofA target hike to $93. Macro tailwind from stabilizing consumer credit and sustained BNPL adoption continue to support momentum. Technical Analysis: Volume came in at 2.93 million shares with Volume Ratio of 0.95, confirming participation without exhaustion. RSI(6) rebounded to 56.4 from 40.4, exiting oversold territory while RSI(24) sits at 52.8 — room to run before overbought. MACD flipped
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15:16
The Fever in Rates Broke. What Ran Hardest Was a Cancer Vaccine
Hello. The long end, which had been pressing on everything for three days, got held down on Wednesday. The 30-year Treasury yield first set a 19-year high intraday, then turned back after the US Treasury said it would at least double the size of its liquidity support buybacks in 10- to 30-year securities. The 30-year fell as much as 9 basis points to 5.19 per cent, closed near 5.20 per cent, and is down to 5.18 per cent today. But technology did not come back. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ closed up 0.21 per cent and $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ 0.22 per cent, and most of that came from healthcare while tech kept being sold. One headline put it plainly: the tech sell-off resumed an
TOP苏36: If I had to choose, I'd rather own the "toll collector" in the memory cycle than the companies forced to absorb higher costs. The key point is that rising memory prices are no longer an isolated semiconductor story. They are spreading downstream — from smartphones to GPUs and AI infrastructure. Xiaomi's adjusted profit fell 42.6% year over year as higher memory costs squeezed margins, while Intel's Arc Pro B70 prices have reportedly risen sharply in some markets. That tells me pricing power currently sits upstream. But I wouldn't blindly chase memory stocks after their huge run. The better strategy is to own the suppliers with strong pricing power, healthy balance sheets and long-term AI demand, while avoiding companies whose margins are being compressed. In short: follow the money upstream, but wait for valuation to give you an entry point. The Treasury's intervention may calm bonds temporarily, but it does not solve the underlying memory shortage. @Marktomarket [正经]
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35 minutes ago
Pop Mart’s earnings have turned out to be a major disappointment!
Just now, Pop Mart released its 2026 interim results. The numbers show that first-half revenue came in at RMB 17.173 billion, up 23.8% year over year but well below the market expectation of RMB 19.975 billion. Adjusted net income was RMB 5.156 billion, also significantly below the expected RMB 6.665 billion. In the first half of 2026, The Monsters, which includes Labubu, generated RMB 4.45 billion in revenue. Twinkle Twinkle generated RMB 2.65 billion, while Crybaby generated RMB 1.63 billion. By region, Pop Mart’s domestic revenue for the first half of the year was RMB 12.2 billion, revenue from the Asia-Pacific region totaled RMB 2.58 billion, revenue from Americas totaled RMB1.89 billion, and revenue from Europe and other regions totaled RMB 0.51 billion. Overseas revenue fell signific
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18:22
Futures Weekly:Institutions Pile into Energy&Metals as Tight Oil Inventories Risk Premiums
Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in
TOP20m to 12m bpd is not just premium anymore, that's a real supply hole. Oil has the cleanest bid here while copper still needs demand proof
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43 minutes ago
$W Climbs 6.01% as Bernstein Upgrade Adds Fuel to the Post-Earnings Rally
$Wayfair(W)$ $Wayfair(W) +6.01% Surges Past $107, Eyes $120 as Momentum Builds Latest Close Data Wayfair closed at $107.80 (+6.01%) on Aug 20, 2026. Price is now just 10.2% below its 52-week high of $119.98, with intraday range $103.55–$107.92. Core Market Drivers Bernstein upgraded W to Outperform, lifting its target from $100 to $125. Oppenheimer also flagged Wayfair as a key beneficiary of home-goods recovery, citing share gains and margin improvement. The stock has extended its post-Q2 earnings breakout. Technical Analysis Volume reached 2.41M shares, with RSI(6) jumping to 67.3 and RSI(12) at 62.1 — bullish but not yet overbought. MACD histogram turned positive at +0.916, confirming renewed upward momentum. KDJ shows K-line crossing above D-line
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50 minutes ago
$JMIA Gains 6.15% as Short Squeeze Bets and Africa E-Commerce Sentiment Improve
$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$ $Jumia Technologies (JMIA) +6.15%: Africa E-Commerce Momentum Builds, $7.96 Resistance in Focus 🚀 Latest Close Data 📊 JMIA closed at $6.73 on Aug 20, up +6.15% (+$0.39), well off its 52-week high of $14.72 but rebounding sharply from the 52-week low of $5.69. Intraday range: $6.35–$6.77. Core Market Drivers 📰 African e-commerce sentiment is improving as risk appetite rotates toward oversold emerging-market tech. Short volume ratio remains elevated (~30%), fueling squeeze potential. No major company-specific catalyst today, but capital inflows turned positive over the past two sessions, signaling renewed institutional interest. Technical Analysis 📈 Volume was 1.38M shares with a Volume Ratio of 0.47—below average, sugg
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18:09
[Live With Selina Han] From Strong Earnings to Falling Stocks: Decoding Big Tech, AI CapEx & the Q2
The tech tape has been sending a confusing signal. Across six weeks, nearly every trading day carried a major earnings report, an AI CapEx update, or a macro catalyst — and yet strong results were repeatedly met with falling share prices. Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta and Apple all delivered, all reaffirmed aggressive AI investment, and all saw post-earnings pullbacks. The signal underneath is the same one every investor now has to decode: the AI buildout is real and accelerating, but the market has stopped rewarding spending on its own and started asking a harder question — who can actually convert AI investment into sustainable earnings and cash flow? Understanding that shift, heading into Jackson Hole and a data-heavy Fed path, is no longer optional. We're bringing in Selina Han, Fo
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18:24
Cancer Vaccine Breakthrough Sends $MRK Surging 12.6% Toward $155
$Merck(MRK)$ $Merck & Co., Inc.(MRK) Soared +12.60% to $152.20: Cancer Vaccine Breakthrough Ignites 13-Year Record Rally, $155 Target in Sight 🚀💊 Latest Close Data: MRK closed at $152.20, up +12.60% (+$17.03) on 2026-08-20, marking the largest single-day gain since March 2009. The stock hit a fresh 52-week high of $153.50 intraday, just 0.85% below the all-time high zone. Volume exploded to 32.78M shares (Volume Ratio: 3.64x), dwarfing the recent daily average. Core Market Drivers: Moderna (MRNA) and Merck's personalized mRNA melanoma vaccine (mRNA-4157/V940) achieved the primary endpoint in a Phase 3 trial for high-risk melanoma patients, preventing recurrence or spread. The breakthrough ignited a biotech sector-wide rally, with MRNA nearly do
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18:09
NetEase Q2 earnings released: revenue up, profit down. Where is it headed next?
NetEase reported Q2 net revenue of RMB 30.1 billion, up 7.9% year-over-year and beating market expectations of RMB 29.54 billion. Gross profit came in at RMB 21.2 billion, rising 17.5% year-over-year and surpassing the consensus estimate of RMB 19.57 billion. In contrast, adjusted diluted net income per ADS from operating activities was RMB 12.02, falling short of the market's expected RMB 15.59. On a segment basis, online game services revenue reached RMB 25.02 billion, exceeding expectations by RMB 740 million, while innovation and other businesses generated RMB 1.64 billion in revenue, in line with market forecasts. On the bottom line, net profit attributable to shareholders of the company was RMB 7.0 billion, down nearly 18.6% from RMB 8.6 billion in the same period last year. Followin
TOPRevenue and gross profit beat is the hard part that matters. Profit got dragged by impairment, so I care more about the game pipeline and overseas traction here
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08-19 17:45
🌟The bubble squeezers vs the yield riders: which side should investors choose? The bubble squeezers are like prophets of doom & gloom. They point directly to the US 30 year Treasury Bond yield blasting to its historic 19 year high at 5.33%. They argue that expensive debt slows economies & crashes over leveraged accounts. Interest rate is poking the speculative bubble. Their play? Sell the rallies, hoard cash & watch gravity take its prize. The Yield riders treat bond market panics like seasonal allergies - uncomfortable, temporary & entirely predictable. Every time a hot inflation strikes or geopolitical headlines send yield to multi year peaks, they simply shrug. They believe in the deep deflationary power of technology & innovation. They
TOPI’m with the deflation-through-innovation camp here. A 5.33% long bond yield feels more like a valuation reset than the endgame, and that’s usually when quality gets interesting.
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08-19 18:21
🌟🌟🌟The $Intel(INTC)$ inversion: Is this a healthy change of hands or the edge of a trend cliff? Case 1: Healthy change of hands. Intel isn't just an ordinary chip designer. It has the US government backing, injecting billions in CHIPS Act funding to secure domestic silicon supply chains. Intel presents great value compared to its peers. Case 2: The case for Trend Inflection Point. Turning Intel into a world class foundry takes a decade, not a quarter. Every minor delay in Intel roadmap forces margins lower , making a 6.6% single day decline highly indicative of smart money using the recent rally as a liquidity exit door. The Verdict: Hold or Sell? I prefer to invest in
TOPSMH makes more sense here. Intel turnaround risk is real, and the basket smooths out roadmap misses while keeping the upside in chips
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08-19 21:45
Silver (XAGUSD) Elliott Wave Perspective: Higher Extension to Finalize Impulse
The short‑term Elliott Wave view in Silver (XAGUSD) indicates that the metal is unfolding an impulsive structure from the July 17 low. From that level, wave ((i)) advanced to $60.93 before a corrective pullback in wave ((ii)) reached $56.54. Following this retracement, the market resumed higher in wave ((iii)), which developed as another impulse of lesser degree. Within this sequence, wave (i) ended at $62.9, while the subsequent dip in wave (ii) found support at $60.85. The rally in wave (iii) extended to $66.47, and the pullback in wave (iv) settled at $64.2. The final leg, wave (v), concluded at $66.8, thereby completing wave ((iii)) at a higher degree. At present, the market is correcting in wave ((iv)), which is unfolding as a flat Elliott Wave structure. Down from the wave ((iii)) pe
TOPHourly RSI divergence lines up with that ((iv)) idea too. If 61.1 to 63.2 holds, silver probably has one more push higher
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08-19 22:21
Beginner guide to why even good news market drops
Beginner guide to why even good news market drops ConclusionDespite supportive headlines—President Trump’s remarks about reduced tariffs on Canada and the Federal Reserve’s signal of more easing for corporate buybacks—Nasdaq declined today. The primary driver was profit-taking in mega-cap technology shares after a sharp rally, compounded by lingering inflation data and quarterly options expiration (quad witching) volatility. The positive macro headlines were largely priced in, while traders focused on stretched valuations and rising Treasury yields. Key Information Factor Detail Nasdaq Composite Fell ~1.2% intraday (approx. 180 points) as of 2:30 PM ET Mega-cap drag Nvidia (-2.4%), Microsoft (-1.8%), Apple (-1.5%) collectively shaved ~90 points off the index Treasury yields 10-year y
TOPYesterday’s dip-buy mindset still makes sense to me. Short-term shakeout is normal, but the long-term tech growth story looks intact if yields stop pushing higher
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08-19 23:10
I’d pick A — a company I like that’s down 30% from its high. I’d rather take advantage of a meaningful pullback in a company whose fundamentals and long-term story remain intact than chase a stock simply because it’s making new highs. For me, names like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and $Micron Technology(MU)$ can become especially interesting after a correction. A 30% drawdown doesn’t automatically mean the thesis is broken; sometimes it creates a much better risk/reward entry point,
TOPA 30% dip only matters if the multiple resets too. For Nvidia, I care more whether valuation is back near its own range than the drawdown itself.
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08-19 23:17
MODERNA
MODERNA $MRNA JUST MORE THAN DOUBLED IN A SINGLE DAY The stock is +127% to $143.05, adding more than $80 a share in one session. Merck $MRK is +12%. A Phase 3 cancer vaccine trial read out this morning and the result was strong enough to reprice both companies: The personalized mRNA cancer vaccine from Merck and Moderna, paired with Keytruda, significantly extended the time melanoma patients lived without their cancer returning compared to Keytruda alone. It also cut the risk of the cancer spreading to distant parts of the body. More than 1,100 patients, all of whom had their detectable cancer removed by surgery first. This is the first late-stage trial the approach has ever run. The vaccine is built per patient. Every tumor carries its own set of mutations, so the shot targets the specifi
TOPPhase 3 came in way stronger than expected, and this MRNA repricing still feels early. Distant metastasis reduction matters even more than recurrence-free survival for solid tumors.
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01:10
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ I'm still averaging up my position in $SOXL$ despite the recent pullback and correction because I see it as a reset within the broader semiconductor uptrend, rather than a reason to abandon my thesis. The recent weakness has brought down some of the overheated sentiment around AI and semiconductors, but the underlying demand story remains strong. AI infrastructure, data centers, high-performance computing and memory continue to require enormous amounts of semiconductor capacity, and I believe the long-term cycle still has plenty of room to run. The correction is actually one of the reasons I'm more comfortable adding gradually. After the strong rally earlier, valuations and expectations had
SOXL
08-19 01:42
USDirexion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares
| Side | Price | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Open | 126.16 | -4.37% Holding |
TOPHPC backlog into next Q2 matters more to me than the AI narrative. With SOXL the trend can stay right and still shake people out lol
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🌟 $SK hynix(SKHY)$ watched its share price dropped by 9% in a single session only to stage a sudden green candle recovery today. The big catalyst was the good news that SK Hynix management has approved a staggering 40 trillion won (USD 28.6 billion) capital deployment to aggressively repurchase and destroy about 3.3% of its entire share count over the next 3 months on August 19 2026. SK Hynix management also announced that it will return over 50% of all cumulative free cash flow directly to shareholders through 2027 via expanding dividends and aggressive corporate action. SK Hynix signed a massive, multi year co-development and infrastructure road map deal with $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ . This ti
TOP40 trillion won sounds huge, but memory downcycles chew through cash fast. Buyback headlines are nice, I care more about whether FCF can really hold up
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07:23
The semiconductor selloff is a wake up call for investors. Option B: Higher yields require further valuation adjustment is the absolute core driver. You cannot look at the tech stocks valuation in a vacuum. With the US 30 year Treasury Bond yield blasting to a 19 year high of 5.33%, paying extreme premium for future unproven tech earnings does not make sense. Higher yields from the US bonds is like a vacuum cleaner, sucking the speculative liquidity out of high beta tech stocks. The selloff isn't happening because AI demand died. It is happening because macro physics are forcing a standard valuation reset across the entire sector. While Option B tells you why the market is dropping, Option E is the ultimate strategy for turning that red ink into long term wealth. B
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🌟🌟🌟I vote $Alibaba(BABA)$ $BABA-W(09988)$ will close Flat in the -5% to 5% zone. Alibaba has missed Wall Street's Consensus EPS expectations for 4 consecutive previous quarters. Today's numbers confirm that heavy capital expenditure into AI cloud infrastructure continues to compress immediate profit margins, giving bears plenty of ammunition to cap any explosive surges. A "Very Red" crash is almost entirely off the table because the underlying top line volumes are exceptionally health. Driven by an uncharacteristically strong double digit revenue expansion and massive domestic excitement surrounding its operating system integrations with $Apple
TOPThe Apple integration angle matters more than people think. From a longer view, that is ecosystem stickiness getting rebuilt while the market keeps staring at margin compression lol