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22:25
11/10 Strategy Preview | Bounce Meets Inflation Test
① What Happened Today? US stocks had just bounced broadly, but inflation data threw cold water on the market. Yesterday the S&P 500 rose 2.35%, the Nasdaq 100 rose 3.40%, and the semiconductor index jumped 6.8%. But NVDA fell 4.3% against the trend. The VIX dropped to 19.92, showing fear clearly cooled. However, today's CPI came in above expectations: headline CPI rose 0.4% month over month, and core CPI rose 0.3%, both above forecasts. Fed Governor Waller even raised the possibility of a 50 basis point hike in December, pushing Treasury yields and the dollar higher. Tech stocks are facing pressure again. Three things to watch: Can the semi bounce last? AMD and AVGO bounced strongly, but money flow shows some of the gain came from short covering, not necessarily a new rally. NVDA risk
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19:39
AI CAPEX Has Peaked? Every Layer of the Money Said "No" in the Same Week
The Tell: SoftBank's ¥1.12 Trillion Loss Was No Accident On November 10, $Softbank Corp.(SOBKY)$ reported a quarter the market wasn't positioned for: a net loss of ¥1.12 trillion (~$7.0 billion) for the fiscal second quarter ended September, against analyst expectations of roughly ¥129 billion in profit — and versus a ¥2.5 trillion profit a year ago. The bleeding didn't come from OpenAI — that stake still sits on the books at a fair value of $99.6 billion, unchanged from March, with no impairment taken. The real damage came from a corner few people were watching: power equipment for US AI data centers. Silver Bands 7, a subsidiary held with Vision Fund 2, had pre-purchased generation equipment capacity for projects in Ohio and elsewhere; when pro
TOP苏36: The biggest signal in SoftBank’s $7 billion loss isn't the write-down. It's the rising cost of capital across the AI ecosystem. For years, investors assumed AI infrastructure spending was almost unlimited. Cheap financing funded data centers, venture capital backed compute providers, and semiconductor companies enjoyed expanding orders. That assumption is now being challenged. I wouldn't declare an AI capex peak just yet. Computing demand remains real. What may have peaked is the willingness to finance projects regardless of their returns. The next phase will separate companies selling essential infrastructure from those simply renting expensive capacity. Cash-rich hyperscalers could even strengthen their positions as weaker competitors struggle to refinance. My takeaway: Don't blindly short semiconductors, but stop treating AI spending as a guaranteed rising tide. The next winners will be determined by cash flow, pricing power and capital efficiency, not simply AI exposure.
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18:39
AI’s Next Investment: Upstream Compute Suppliers or Downstream Applications?
1️⃣ After the AI Selloff, Which Segment Do You Favor? Since October, AI-linked stocks with exposure to GPU compute, memory, optical interconnects and foundation models have suffered a sharp selloff. As some technology stocks rebound, investors considering a return to AI face a key choice: Will the next wave of AI investment returns remain concentrated in infrastructure companies supplying compute, or increasingly flow to application businesses turning AI into revenue and profits? In its November 9 weekly commentary, BlackRock placed this question at the center of discussions at its 2027 Outlook Forum. The early AI trade largely priced in the conviction that infrastructure had to be built. The research focus is now shifting to whether the size and speed of the buildout match actual adoption
TOPWhere will you place your next investment in artificial intelligence? A. Computer suppliers. You prioritize demand, orders, and technological advantages, and believe that leading companies can continue to retain profits.
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18:27
Panic Has Yet to Take Hold, but Greater Market Turmoil Is Brewing
The Market Followed Last Week’s Road Map Almost to the Letter Here is my conclusion up front: the market may be setting up for a major selloff on a weekly time frame. But the key word this week is setting up. The selloff has not arrived yet. This is precisely when investors are most likely to let their guard down: after a sharp drop, when the rebound they were waiting for finally appears. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ $Micro E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(MESmain)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Last week, I s
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17:53
Reading the 9 Institutional Forecasts for US October CPI!
As the old saying goes, "After the extreme comes the turn for the better!" 🧐 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX)$ With the worst of the negative news now behind us, positive developments are beginning to emerge! First up is tonight’s CPI inflation data. Nine top-tier U.S. investment banks have released their forecasts for October’s CPI, all pointing toward a favorable outcome—coming in below the official expectation of 0.3%. That said, core inflation remains somewhat sticky! US October CPI: Reading the Institutional Forecasts Consensus and structure Headline CPI MoM 0.23% (September 0.65% → expected slowdown of 42bp); core CPI MoM 0.22% (September 0.33% → expected slowdown of
TOPThe key question is whether slowing inflation is strong enough to change the Fed's direction. October CPI could provide the next catalyst. Die Ergebnisse der Energiebewegung wurde, dass die Energiebewegung der Energiebewegung der Energiebewegungen der Core services and shelter remain important indicators. Falling oil prices could ease inflation expectations, support bond yields and improve liquidity, potentially benefiting technology stocks and crypto. But I wouldn't call the bottom just yet. Bitcoin remains sensitive to liquidity, leverage and institutional risk appetite. My strategy: favor profitable businesses, avoid chasing rebound rallies, and wait for confirmation from inflation and Treasury yields. The next opportunity may come from patience, not prediction. @AI_FocusedTrader [思考]
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17:56
Anthropic Just Dropped Claude 5.2. Then Its IPO Pricing Details Got Pulled. Is a Trillion-Dollar Val
Pretty interesting couple of days for Anthropic. $Anthropic(ANT)$ On November 9, the company introduced Claude Fable 5.2 and Mythos 5.2, showing another major leap in coding, AI agents and complex problem-solving. Then, just a day later, Reuters reported that Anthropic had withdrawn preliminary IPO pricing information circulated to banks because some of the details were inaccurate. The withdrawn materials reportedly included a $70–$80 share price range and a potential offering size of up to $69.3 billion. To be clear, Anthropic hasn't withdrawn its IPO application. The pricing information was retracted, and those numbers shouldn't be treated as confirmed offering terms. But the pricing issue isn't really what interests me most. What
TOPI still believe AI has enormous long-term potential, and Anthropic's latest models show how quickly the technology is evolving. However, impressive benchmarks do not guarantee sustainable profits. What matters is how efficiently companies turn AI capabilities into real business value and healthy cash flow. Among the four options, I would lean towards C — Chips and memory. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , AMD and MU are essential to AI infrastructure, and increasingly complex AI agents could drive further demand for computing power and HBM. However, I would remain selective because strong industry growth does not mean every stock is attractively valued. I think AI is entering a new investment phase where investors will focus more on returns than spending. I would rather accumulate quality companies gradually during meaningful pullbacks than chase momentum. Discipline and valuation still matter more than the latest AI hype. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub @WallStreet_Tiger
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14:33
INTEL’S CEO JUST BOUGHT $9.7 MILLION OF HIS OWN STOCK — IS THIS THE SIGNAL WALL STREET HAS BEEN WAITING FOR?
When the man running the company puts nearly $10 million of his own money into its shares during a major sell-off, investors should pay attention. But should they follow his lead? Something interesting is happening at Intel (NASDAQ: INTC). CEO Lip-Bu Tan has made another substantial personal investment in the struggling semiconductor giant, purchasing 150,000 Intel shares for approximately US$9.71 million at an average price of US$64.73 on November 2, 2026. The transaction was disclosed in an SEC filing on November 4. This wasn’t a token purchase designed to generate headlines. It was a substantial commitment of personal capital at a time when Intel shares were experiencing intense selling pressure. And that raises an important question: Does Intel’s CEO see something in the current share
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16:30
Tiger live stream on 18 Nov 12 to 1pm
Find out more here:Trading the Next Move: Opportunities Around Earnings Season - To The Moon Livestream Exclusive Deposit Campaign
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16:53
Stocks Are Down 30% — A Rare Buying Opportunity or the Start of a Bigger Correction?
After months of strong gains, semiconductor stocks have suddenly become one of the most debated areas of the market. The recent sell-off has been painful. Concerns about the sustainability of AI spending, data-centre construction delays, high valuations and uncertainty following the US midterm elections have triggered a rapid unwinding of the AI trade. But Monday brought a sharp rebound. The $iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX)$ jumped approximately 7%, as investors returned to chip stocks that had suffered significant losses. Some Wall Street analysts believe the correction has created an attractive entry point. Others warn that the sector could have further to fall. So, is this the opportunity investors have been waiting for, or is it too early
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17:19
🚀 AI IS BACK IN THE DRIVER’S SEAT – BUT IS THIS RALLY BUILT TO LAST?
Wall Street’s sharp rebound has reignited optimism across the AI supply chain, and the ripple effects could extend well beyond US markets. From semiconductors and optical communications to data storage and power infrastructure, investors are once again recognising that AI is much bigger than just a handful of mega-cap technology stocks. 🇺🇸 The US opportunity NVIDIA remains central to the AI investment story, while AMD continues to fight for a larger share of the accelerator market. But the bigger opportunity may lie in the companies supplying the infrastructure that makes AI possible. Think chips, networking, cooling, storage and electricity. 🇭🇰 Could Hong Kong stocks benefit? A sustained recovery in US technology sentiment could lift Hong Kong-listed semiconductor, technology and related
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06:30
MARA sold 13,597 bitcoin after quarter end, 40.0% of its holdings
$MARA Holdings(MARA)$ Produced 2,247 BTC in Q3. After quarter end the company sold 13,597. At 30 Sep 2026 it held 34,012 bitcoin, valued at about $2.8 billion on the letter's spot. That sale was 40.0% of those holdings. Proceeds were about $1.1 billion. Of that, $750.0 million repaid bitcoin-collateralised term loans in full and released 17,477 pledged bitcoin. Inside the quarter it already sold 3,891 bitcoin at an average $75,300. In-quarter sales exceeded production. Company letter first, then my read: a treasury story, not a production story. On any miner, line up produced, sold in-quarter, held at quarter end, and sold after the print; then ask what the sale funded. The pile shrank on purpose. Repair was paid with the treasury, not
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07:28
Nvidia Fell 4.27% While Nasdaq Surged 2.74%. Is $170 the Bottom? I Think the Market Just Gave Us a More Important Signal.
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$
TOPNice Sharing 😁 @Barcode @koolgal @Shyon @DiAngel @Aqa @JC888 @Shernice軒嬣 2000
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09:09
Personally, I would lean towards $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ because of its established business model, consistent earnings and healthier profitability. With growing concerns over AI capital expenditure and monetisation, I believe companies that can translate AI demand into sustainable earnings and cash flow will attract stronger investor confidence. I still see long-term potential in CRWV and NBIS, as AI computing demand remains strong. However, their massive capital expenditure, financing costs and cash flow requirements make me cautious. Rapid revenue growth alone is not enough without a clear path to profitability. My strategy is to wait for earnings and management guidance before making further moves. I would rather miss the initial rally th
TOPNice Sharing 😁 @Barcode @Aqa @DiAngel @JC888 @Aqa @koolgal @Shernice軒嬣 2000
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10:11
Options Puppy: Rocket Lab (RKLB) — Good Numbers, But Neutron Is Still the Big Question Join me on Tiger Trade!
$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ 🚀! 🐶 My take: Rocket Lab delivered a mixed set of Q3 2026 results. Revenue and gross profit margins came in better than expected, and Q4 guidance also looks encouraging. However, investors are disappointed because the highly anticipated Neutron rocket maiden flight has been delayed to 2027. For me, this is a reminder that in the stock market, good earnings do not always mean a higher share price. Investors are not just buying today’s revenue. They are buying expectations of tomorrow’s growth. 📊 1. Revenue is growing, but Launch needs to catch up Rocket Lab reported revenue of US$268 million, approximately 4% above market expectations. The main growth driver was Space Systems, while Launch revenue disappointed. Ho
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10:26
The CPI Pivot Point: Evaluating Tech Sector Valuations, Fundamental Headwinds, and Tactical Asset Allocation
The market dynamics are facing a delicate macro pivot. Following a massive, stronger-than-expected October jobs report (+165,000 payrolls vs. 59,000 expected), are investors and market looking at the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report to be the ultimate make-or-break catalyst for the tech sector? In this article, we would like to share how we go about examining the market setup, inflation scenarios, non-macro headwinds, individual ticker strategies (GOOGL, AMZN, AVGO, AMD, QCOM), and asset allocation ahead of the upcoming CPI report. 1. The Delicate Macro Pivot: Jobs Blowout Meets CPI The broad market environment is confronting a significant re-pricing event. The October employment figures sent shockwaves through fixed income and equity desks alike, printing at +165,000 jobs against an expe
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11:54
My vote is B: Wait and see. GTA VI has enormous commercial potential, given the franchise’s global popularity and Take-Two’s established monetisation ecosystem. However, a highly anticipated launch does not automatically translate into attractive investment returns, particularly when expectations are already elevated. The quarterly revenue and bookings misses suggest investors are placing considerable weight on future performance. I would prefer to assess actual launch sales, player engagement, recurring spending and management’s updated guidance before committing capital. There is also a risk of a “sell the news” reaction, even if GTA VI performs exceptionally well. A successful game launch and a successful stock investment are not necessarily the same thing. For me, the key question is
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14:12
From Megawatts to Monetization: Analyzing Nebius Group’s (NBIS) Delivery Timeline, Capacity Stages, and Revenue Conversion
$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ Nebius Group (NBIS) can deliver actual revenue only as infrastructure is physically built, energized, equipped with hardware, and utilized by customers. In this article, we would like to share how we would be analyzing the 5-stage physical execution workflow (Land & Power Shell → Substation & Energization → Fit-out & Interconnect → Cluster Rack & Staging → Customer Provisioning & Billing), Q3/Q4 execution metrics, GPU availability, and backlog conversion mechanics. 1. Introduction: The Physical Infrastructure Reality In the modern artificial intelligence economy, compute has emerged as the fundamental unit of value creation. However, public equity markets frequently misinterpret the speed at which capital expendi
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15:20
I would choose B: Wait and see. GTA VI is clearly a major catalyst, but a great game does not automatically make a great entry price. The bullish case is real: Take-Two says pre-orders are far above initial expectations, and the November 19 launch could reset its revenue trajectory. Yet the market already knows this. The more revealing detail is that management kept FY2027 net bookings guidance at $8.0–$8.2 billion despite the strong pre-order commentary. That suggests executives are unwilling to convert excitement into hard numbers before launch. I would rather see the first sales data, player engagement and evidence that GTA Online can sustain recurring spending. A successful launch may still trigger a “sell the news” reaction if expectations have run too far ahead. My approach: keep TT
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15:01
Invest in China's AI Ecosystem with iFAST Global ETFs
Receive up to S$100^ Cash Coupon when you subscribe to the iFAST ChinaAMC CSI Robot Index ETF and iFAST ChinaAMC CNI Semiconductor Chips Index ETF during Initial Offer Period. China's AI landscape extends beyond the technology names investors may already be familiar with. From robotics bringing physical AI applications to life to semiconductor chips powering AI computing, opportunities span across different segments of the ecosystem. [Event] Think AI. Think Broader. The Next Chapter: China’s AI Ecosystem Join Roger Leng, Assistant Director of Global ETFs at iFAST Financial, and Chen Jingjing, Senior Vice President of Global Capital at ChinaAMC, for an insightful session exploring China’s comprehensive AI engine. Discover how new ETFs launched in partnership with ChinaAMC (one of China’s le
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11-09 15:09
$AMD: Shipments have started. Gross margin is the real test. My sell put pick. The two days • Thursday: −17.26% to $404.40 in the AI chip selloff. Intraday low $402.10. • Friday: +11.04% to $449.04 on 45.7M shares, about double the ~22M average. No AMD-specific news; the whole chip sector bounced (SOX +4.2%). • AMD is still 30.9% below its record of $649.42. The topic asks what would confirm this is more than an oversold bounce. My answer goes through all three candidates. 1. MI450 shipments: already happening On the Nov 3 call, management said Q3 was "the first quarter that we shipped MI455 and Helios racks for revenue." Volume shipments went to customers including Anthropic, Meta, Microsoft, OpenAI and Oracle. Management also said: "We have a big step up in Q4. We'll continue to ramp thr