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07-14 09:53
PetroChina - back in play given spike in oil prices following latest US-Iran standoff
PetroChina shares $PETROCHINA(00857)$ gained 2.4% to HKD 9.25 yesterday, tracking the rally of Asian energy shares, which look to extend gains after overnight crude brent oil prices jumped 9.6% overnight - its biggest gain since May 2020, according to Bloomberg 🛢Brent crude oil prices continue their climb to yet higher levels this morning as of 905AM, and are now 19% higher since the escalation of the US-Iran conflict on 7 July. PetroChina shares are consequently up another 3.2% this morning to HKD 9.55 as of 935AM ➡The catalyst for the oil spike began on 7 July when the US Treasury revoked the waiver allowing Iranian oil sales, jeopardizing the interim peace deal and reigniting supply disruption fears Yesterday, US President Donald Trump reinsta
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07-14 10:25
US Treasury Yields Rose on Renewed Geopolitical Tensions; LCU YTD Return Reaches 22.08% 【 CSOP SG Weekly】
【Money Market Fund】 US$ MMF Net 7-day Yield: +3.62%* The recent re-escalation of geopolitical tensions has led to rising yields, predominantly led by the front-end. Looking ahead, investors will focus on upcoming US CPI data and Fed Chair Warsh’s Congress testimony for further clues on the interest rate outlook. While lower oil prices compared with March-May levels is expected to lead to a negative June headline CPI print, HSBC believes front-end rates should remain supported as policymakers continue to focus on inflation risks and avoid providing clear forward guidance, keeping upcoming FOMC meetings "live" for potential policy action. *Bloomberg, as of 2026/07/10. 7-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal. 【REITs】 S$ SRT YTD total return: ‑2.24% As of 10
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07-14 09:56
SpaceX's First Reality Check
One month ago, $SpaceX(SPCX)$ looked unstoppable. Its IPO priced at $135. It surged to $176 on its first trading day and briefly touched $225. The market wasn't just buying a space company. It was buying the AI story. Today, that narrative is beginning to face its first real test. The stock has fallen for a second consecutive session and is now trading close to its IPO price. The question is no longer whether SpaceX is an extraordinary company. The question is what investors are actually paying for. The Rally Was Never About Rockets If you examine SpaceX's current valuation, one thing becomes obvious. The market isn't valuing the launch business. Nor is it primarily valuing Starlink. It is valuing AI. Following the merger with xAI, AI became the d
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07-13 22:19
🚀 The SK Hynix Bloodbath: Why This -15% Crash is a Gift, Not the End of the AI Super-cycle If you are watching the screen today and panicking over SK Hynix plunging 15.46% in Seoul, its 2x leverage products getting completely obliterated by 33%, and US pre-market memory names getting dragged down in sympathy—take a deep breath. The mainstream media is already writing the obituary for the AI semiconductor trade. They love calling "the top." But if you pull back the curtain on what actually happened today, you’ll realize this isn’t a fundamental collapse in AI demand. It is a textbook, mechanics-driven leverage unwind colliding with a classic "sell the news" event. If you missed the initial run-up, this violent shakeout is your golden ticket entry. Here is exactly why the party is nowhere ne
TOPbanana3441: Thank you for your kind words! I appreciate your support and am glad you enjoyed the article.
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07-13 19:01
$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ Why I invest in VOO 💰📈 For me, investing isn't about chasing the next hot stock—it's about building long-term wealth. That's why I invest in VOO, an ETF that tracks the S&P 500. Instead of betting on a single company, I'm investing in 500 of the largest and most established businesses in the U.S. If one company struggles, there are hundreds of others helping balance things out. Here are a few reasons I chose VOO: ✅ Instant diversification across 500 leading companies. ✅ Very low management fees, meaning more of my money stays invested. ✅ A long history of strong long-term growth from the U.S. stock market. ✅ A simple "buy and hold" investment that doesn't require constantly watching the market. ✅ Dividends
TOPStarted DCAing VOO last year, now it’s my biggest core holding. Hard to beat simple compounding
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07-13 20:12
$Alphabet(GOOG)$ largest profit share
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07-13 23:49
$Apple(AAPL)$ backing JPMorgan. They've consistently shown strong execution across different market conditions, with a diversified business spanning consumer banking, commercial lending, investment banking, and trading. If any of the major banks are likely to set a positive tone for earnings season, I think JPMorgan has the best chance. It'll be interesting to see whether they can once again outperform expectations and provide upbeat guidance for the
TOPPast 5 Apple reports, gross margin guide beat by 2-3 pts. Think JPM can pull that same expectations game too
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07-14 06:29
$ESR REIT(9A4U.SI)$ Oh my...whatever did I do wrong...
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07-14 07:18
$META 20270917 500.0 CALL$ profit limited by poor man covered call... but at least its a profit
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07-14 07:19
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ still waiting for rocket ship
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07-13 19:53
[Stock Prediction] Can TSM Beat Again?
TSMC is scheduled to report its 2026 second-quarter earnings before the market opens on July 16 (Thursday),$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ After reporting a 67.9% year-over-year jump in June revenue, TSMC's first-half revenue reached NT$2.4 trillion, up 35.6% from a year ago. June revenue also increased 6.2% month over month, bucking the seasonal slowdown seen in recent years. With AI demand remaining exceptionally strong, the company has already exceeded the high end of its own second-quarter revenue guidance. What to Watch This Quarter AI remains the biggest growth engine for TSMC.From NVIDIA, Apple and AMD to the world's largest cloud providers, demand for advanced AI chips continues to outpace supply. Analysts estimate
TOPPCT: TSM July 16 Closing Price v1.0 : PCT = Pandas Coffee Talk. Current Price Range: TSM has been trading in the $420–$430 range recently. Analyst Consensus: Analysts have an average 1-year price target of roughly $498, with high estimates going up to $700. The Catalyst: The July 16 earnings call is viewed as a bellwether for the entire AI and hardware supply chain. Strong guidance could push the stock higher, while cautious outlooks could pull it back. My guess is $420 pullback.
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07-14 09:19
Meta Changed the AI Debate, Just Added Another 3GW of AI Capacity
For months, one question has dominated the AI debate: Has AI CapEx peaked? Every earnings season, investors have watched hyperscalers spend tens of billions on AI infrastructure while asking the same question: How long can this continue? $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ may have just provided an important answer. The company expanded its planned Hyperion AI campus from 2GW to 5GW, pushing the project's estimated investment beyond $50 billion. The stock didn't fall. It rose. That tells us something important. The market isn't automatically punishing companies for spending more on AI. It's becoming far more selective about who is spending—and how they're funding it. The Wrong Comparison May Be the Dot-Com Bubble Many investors continue comparing today's
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07-14 07:43
$SPY Faces Its Biggest Test of 2026: CPI Tomorrow
The most dangerous CPI of 2026 drops tomorrow 8:30am. And the risk is pointing in only one direction: Inflation went 2.4% in Feb to 4.2% in May. That's not cooling that's the fastest reacceleration in years. Tomorrow tells us if the top is in, or if this is just getting started. Here's what makes it print low: energy. The Iran/Hormuz oil spike that drove 60%+ of last month's jump is fading, and gas has rolled over. That alone drags headline from 4.2% down to around 3.8%. On the surface it looks like relief. But here's what makes it print high everything that doesn't fade. Shelter is still sticky. Tariffs are bleeding into core goods. Services never cooled. Energy leaves, but these stay. That's the trap sitting under the "cooling" headline. So ignore the headline number. Watch core CPI inst
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07-14 07:16
Beginning Of the End For OpenAI?
The product is wrong, the strategy is off, and now Apple is suing. I intended to publish an article on AI’s enterprise incentives yesterday, but it’s been expanded into much more after the drama of the last 72 hours. Since Thursday, ChatGPT released an update without a chatbot, on Friday, Apple sued OpenAI, and over the weekend, Sam Altman took on Elon Musk on Twitter. But before we get to all of that and how it’ll impact investors, let’s start with the weekly update. OpenAI Gives Up On Consumers? OpenAI updated its Mac app last week, and it told us more than they thought about the near-term future of AI. ChatGPT, as we know it, is dead. Enterprise AI and AI for “work” is the future, even for the product that reached a billion consumers faster than any other. This is what ChatGPT looks lik
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07-14 08:00
Bullish on $NVDA, $BABA, $NFLX & $MSFT, Patient on $PLTR
Some stocks are bouncing from high-probability support. Others still haven't reached attractive entry zones. Here's a technical update on six names I'm watching most closely: $NVDA, $BABA, $NFLX, $MSFT, $PLTR and $ONDS. 👇 1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Still bullish on $NVDA Bouncing off Weekly FVB support and testing this trend line 2. $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ Cut $ONDS for a 13% loss. Could it bounce short term? Sure. I am fine without it. Monthly BX is dark red. Historically when that happens, we finish the cycle red about 82% of the time. If this support breaks, there is room for a multi month slide toward $5. I do not want to sit through that. I would rather rotate that capital into a stronger name. 3.
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07-14 07:55
$META, $MSFT, $NFLX & $AMD: Opportunity or Value Trap?
From smart money support and historical bounce zones to earnings catalysts and discounted valuations, these four names are showing technical setups that deserve a spot on every investor's watchlist. 👇 1. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ This is where bull cycles are born $META 🚀 Price has bounced off “smart money” levels twice. Worst case in my view: one more pullback toward 600 before the next leg higher. 2. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ 85% of the time when $MSFT tags this support, it bounces and makes new all‑time highs within 12 months. We’re back there now. I opened a position today. 3. $Netflix(NFLX)$ 70% of the time this $NFLX setup marks the bottom 🚨 Often followed by a
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07-14 07:46
$SNDK Delivered 6,000%. Is $SYM the Next Opportunity?
$SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ made everyone holding 4000%-6000% This stock is your 2nd chance if you missed SNDK: Firstly, robotics is the next big theme and you'd be super early getting into it right now. $Symbotic Inc.(SYM)$ summary: - Builds AI-powered robots that run entire automated warehouses. - Robots store, retrieve, sort, and stack products at scale. - Handles pallets, cases, AND individual items rivals can't. - Real revenue robotics: $2.5B sales, 70+ systems, $22B backlog. - Proof that "physical AI" is a business, not hype. - $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ is the anchor customer AND second-largest shareholder. - SoftBank JV "GreenBox" committed $7.5B over six years. - Other cli
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07-14 07:38
24 AI Stocks Ranked by Distance From Their Highs
The AI trade has cooled—but many of the sector's biggest winners are still well below their highs. Here's an updated cheat sheet showing how far 24 leading AI stocks remain off their peaks. Save it for your watchlist. 👇 The entire AI trade is ON SALE. 24 stocks, avg –33% off their highs: 🔴 $Oracle(ORCL)$ –59.3% 🔴 $IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ –49.4% 🔴 $ServiceNow(NOW)$ –49.2% 🔴 $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ –48.6% 🔴 $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ –46.5% 🔴 $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ –46.3% 🔴 $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$<
TOPWow you wrote this?? Incredible work! In essence, I take it that you’re an overall bull of the AI trade and that any pullbacks are a buying opportunity? Or do you have other opinions regarding the AI space
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07-14 07:24
DIS, MU & GM - Three Charts, Three Big Investment Themes
From Disney's enduring moat to Micron's valuation debate and GM's economic warning, these three charts highlight the themes investors should be watching right now. 1. $Walt Disney(DIS)$ Understanding Disney is about understanding the parks business. What's the magic? Why are parks a generational experience? Why is Disney World better than Universal, even though Universal is new?!? Understand that and you'll get what drives Disney and will for decades. 2. $Micron Technology(MU)$ Built a simple model on fiscal_ai valuing Micron. 2028 and 2029: EBIT Magin: 50% (above historical average) CapEx/Revenue: 15% (below historical average) Implies an 80% downside from here. 3. $Gene
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07-14 07:20
Why Memory Stocks Are Suddenly Selling Off
Memory Stocks Are Collapsing! Why? If you can't articulate the reason, you shouldn't be investing in memory. 1. Memory is a commodity and demand is inelastic, meaning suppliers have pricing power in an undersupplied market and are screwed in an oversupplied market. Right now, we're undersupplied, but for how long? 2. Memory is defined by huge capex cycles and capex is going up. Don't want to invest because you want to keep your high margins? Someone else will. $Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.(SSNLF)$ , $SK hynix(SKHY)$ , and $Micron Technology(MU)$ are all upping capex because they have to. Eventually, that leads to oversupply, see #1. 3. China isn't watching idly.