The market’s recent bounce is facing an important test. For $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , the percentage of stocks trading above their 200-day moving average is currently around 52%. That keeps the market just above the 50% level that has historically mattered during broader selloffs. The bigger concern is the trend. 📉 The indicator continues to form a series of lower highs, suggesting that participation has been weakening even as the index itself tries to stabilize. A break below 50% would put the market in a different technical setup, where selling pressure can accelerate. Next week could therefore be important for $SPX: holding this area would help validate the bounce, while losing it would raise questions about whether the recent recovery was simply t
META, AVGO, LRCX, MDT: 4 Very Different Dividend Setups
4 stocks go ex-dividend this week. Here’s what stands out. 👀 But these four names have very different dividend profiles. 🟦 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ — Sep 21 Price: $665.75 Annual dividend: $2.10 Yield: 0.3% Payout ratio: 13% P/E: 25 P/FCF: 42 META is clearly not a yield play. At just 0.3%, the dividend is tiny relative to the stock price. But the 13% FCF payout ratio leaves plenty of room for the company to retain cash and continue investing in the business. For META, the dividend is more of a shareholder-return supplement than the core investment case. 🟦 $Broadcom(AVGO)$ — Sep 21 Price: $357.61 Annual dividend: $2.60 Yield: 0.7% 4-year average yield: 1.5% 3-year dividend growth: 12% FCF payout: 31% P
$Colgate-Palmolive(CL)$ W4 may be almost done. 👀 The W4/W5 model is still suggesting HIGHER. This is a Grade A setup on the Daily. We already have equal highs sitting above, which gives us a clear W5 objective. 🎯 But before that happens, I want to see one thing: A TAP into the FVG below to complete W4. If we get that reaction, I’ll be watching for the next W5 push HIGHER — ideally with a CISD or iFVG trigger. That would give me the confirmation I want before looking for the next leg up. And there’s another reason I’m watching $CL closely: If crude starts expanding again, it becomes another headwind for equities. ⚠️ That’s exactly why I made the model public. Go test it. Don’t just take my word for it. 👇 Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the
The Fed starts hiking. Valuation multiples usually compress. That part is pretty consistent. Looking at the last 5 hiking cycles, P/E contracted every single time. 📉 But here’s the part that matters: P/E compression alone didn’t necessarily mean stocks went down. The median $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 12-month return after the first Fed hike was still +6.8%. So what actually determines what happens next? Earnings. 👇 If earnings keep growing fast enough to offset multiple compression, the market can still move higher. If earnings weaken at the same time valuations are contracting, that’s when the setup becomes much tougher. That’s the piece I’d be watching across: $S&P 500(.SPX)$
The AI Trade Holding Steady as $PLTR +0.79% Above $172
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR) Edged +0.79%: AI Platform Titan Holds $172–$178 Range, Momentum Building for Retest of $182 Resistance Latest Close Data PLTR closed at $177.64 (+0.79%) on 2026-09-20, recovering from intraday low of $172.00. Still trading 14.4% below its 52-week high of $207.52, but comfortably above the 52-week low of $106.37. Core Market Drivers 📊 AI/data-platform sentiment remains constructive despite mixed macro flows. Institutional positioning stays firm—BlackRock (7.90%), Vanguard (6.63%), and State Street (4.35%) show zero share reduction. Phillip Securities recently raised PLTR's price target from $202 to $215, maintaining a Buy rating—reinforcing long-term conviction in government and c
What a 1.32% Move Means for $AFRM with $76.84 Sitting Above
$Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$ $Affirm Holdings(AFRM) Closes +1.32% at $71.21 — Bulls Defend $70 Pivot, $76.84 Resistance Looms Ahead 📈 Latest Close Data: AFRM settled at $71.21 (+1.32%) on Sep 20, 2026, with volume of 3.92M shares versus its 52-week high of $92.56. The stock sits roughly 23% below that peak, while holding above its 52-week low of $42.10. Core Market Drivers: 💳 Wolfe Research upgraded AFRM to Outperform with a $90 target on Sep 15, sparking renewed institutional interest. Q4 results remain a tailwind: revenue of $11.65B, EPS of $4.62, and GMV up 36% YoY to $14.1B. However, profit-taking after the post-earnings spike to $90.44 has kept sentiment mixed. Technical Analysis: 📊 RSI(6) recovered to 46.4 from 40.3, exiting oversold territ
$NVDA +1.34% as AI Capex Momentum Keeps Buyers in the Name
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA) +1.34% Closes at $222.27 — AI Capex Momentum Builds, $226 Resistance in Sight 📈 Latest Close Data: NVDA settled at $222.27 (+1.34%) on Sept 20, 2026, with intraday range $218.03–$222.73. Price sits just 6.03% below 52-week high of $236.54 and 35.3% above 52-week low of $164.27. Core Market Drivers: Bloomberg reported NVIDIA committed $2B to Brookfield's AI infrastructure fund, reinforcing AI capex narrative. Pre-market/after-hours quotes near $219–$222 signal sustained institutional accumulation. Volume ratio of 1.90 (1.90亿 shares) confirms above-average participation without panic selling. Technical Analysis: RSI(6) recovered from 30.13 to 59.74 — fully out of oversold and now neutral-bullish. RSI(12) at 54.55 and RS
$PINS +1.58% as Short Covering Lifts the Name Off Its Lows
$Pinterest, Inc.(PINS)$ $Pinterest, Inc.(PINS) Closed +1.58% at $18.60: Oversold Bounce Gains Traction, $21.54 Pivot in Focus Latest Close Data 📊 PINS finished at $18.60, up +1.58% (+$0.29) on Sep 20, 2026. The stock traded in a range of $18.26–$18.82, still sitting -48.9% below its 52-week high of $36.45 and +34.4% above its 52-week low of $13.84. Volume surged to 33.62M shares with a volume ratio of 2.12, signaling elevated participation. Core Market Drivers 📰 The rebound comes after weeks of pressure from Q3 revenue guidance deceleration (13–15% YoY vs. 18% in Q2), CFO departure announced in late August, and intensifying competition from Google's AI-driven Pinterest-like features. Asian cross-border retailer regulatory headwinds continue to wei
$DXCM +1.61% and the Next Test Sits Right at $90.44
$DexCom(DXCM)$ $DexCom, Inc.(DXCM) +1.61%: Momentum Building, $90.44 Resistance Test Looms 📈 Latest Close: $89.35 (+1.61%), within 3.5% of the 52-week high of $92.59. The stock rebounded from intraday low $87.39 to close near session high $89.92. After-hours was $89.60, showing steady holding. Core Drivers: Follow-through buying after Q2 earnings beat with raised FY26 revenue guidance to $51.8–52.5B remains the anchor. Short interest elevated (short volume ratio 15.9% on Sep 18), with recent short volume spike of 231.8万 shares—fueling squeeze potential. Technical Analysis: Volume Ratio surged to 4.17, indicating explosive interest. MACD remains negative but narrowing: DIF 0.52, DEA 0.80, MACD -0.55, suggesting bearish momentum fading. RSI(6) at 68
$Yum(YUM)$ $Yum Brands (YUM) Rose +1.65%: Value Defense Holds at 52-Week Low, $153 Resistance Looms Latest Close Data: YUM closed at $137.99 (+1.65%) on Sep 20, 2026. The stock is trading just 2.78% above its 52-week low of $134.26, while remaining 18.9% below its 52-week high of $170.14. Core Market Drivers: Consumer defensive positioning supported YUM as investors rotated toward dividend-paying staples amid macro uncertainty. YUM's 2.12% dividend yield offers defensive appeal, though no company-specific catalyst emerged today. Short volume spiked to 33.64% on Sep 18, signaling elevated bearish sentiment. Technical Analysis: Volume surged to 4.73M shares (2.18x ratio), confirming accumulation at the 52-week low. MACD remains deeply negative (DIF -
It Took One Session for $HLF to Gain 1.71% and Reclaim $11.89
$Herbalife(HLF)$ $Herbalife(HLF) +1.71% Bounces Off $11.46 Support, MACD Turns Bullish with $13.41 Resistance in Sight Latest Close Data: HLF closed at $11.89 (+1.71%) on Sep 20, 2026, rebounding from session low $11.51 and nearing the Sep 18 support $11.46. Still trades 41.7% below 52-week high of $20.40. Core Market Drivers: 💊 Volume ratio surged to 2.38 with total inflow $625.34万 vs outflow $507.68万—large orders net bought $173.13万, signaling institutional dip-buying. Short volume ratio moderated to 13.10% on Sep 18 from 31.80% two sessions prior, reducing near-term squeeze risk. Technical Analysis: 📊 MACD histogram flipped positive to +0.0016 (DIF -0.0265 vs DEA -0.0273), printing a fresh bullish crossover. RSI(6) snapped back to 44.19 from ove
Back Above 393, ISRG +2.55% and Closing In on $458
$Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$ $Intuitive Surgical(ISRG) +2.55% Surges Past $393 as MACD Golden Cross Confirms Upside, $458 Resistance Eyed 📊 Latest Close Data ISRG closed at $393.33 (+2.55%) on Sep 20, 2026, with volume reaching 4.93M shares (Volume Ratio 2.00), signaling heavy accumulation. The stock now trades 34.9% below its 52-week high of $603.88, but has staged a powerful recovery from the $328.57 52-week low. 🔥 Core Market Drivers UBS upgraded ISRG to Buy with a $500 target, arguing hospital capex fears are overblown. Management's recent call signaled overseas lease rates will "rise over time," while a new Malaysia production facility (2028) underscores Asia-Pacific expansion confidence. Q2 EPS of $2.80 beat estimates by 12%. 📈 Technical Analy
$IBKR +2.61% while the Brokerage Sector Keeps Outperforming
$Interactive Brokers(IBKR)$ $Interactive Brokers (IBKR) +2.61% — Brokerage Bellwether Reclaims $90, Momentum Building Toward $93.69 Resistance 🚀 Latest Close: $90.69 (+$2.31) — now just 8.2% below its 52-week high of $98.75. Core Market Drivers: Brokerage sector resilience continues as IBKR outperforms peers amid elevated retail trading activity. UBS downgraded IBKR to Neutral earlier this month, but BMO raised its PT to $110 with Outperform — mixed sentiment is keeping volatility alive. Technical Analysis: Volume surged to 6.23M shares (VR 1.59) confirming accumulation. MACD remains negative (-0.84) but the histogram is shrinking rapidly, signaling a potential bullish crossover. RSI(6) recovered from 28.4 oversold to 53.0 — momentum has flipped n
After a 2.70% Move, $AMD Sits Just Below the $569 Trigger
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) +2.70% to $559.82: Momentum Ignites Near Record High, $569 Breakout in Focus 🚀 Latest Close Data: AMD closed at $559.82 (+2.70%) on 2026-09-20, just 4.3% below its 52-week high of $584.73. Intraday range: $541.53–$559.91. Volume surged to 31.87M shares (Volume Ratio 1.43), confirming strong buying pressure. Post-market momentum extended to $557.50. Core Market Drivers: Raymond James upgraded AMD in late August, and Daiwa lifted its PT from $500 to $575 with Outperform — analysts continue chasing AI-datacenter upside. Broad semiconductor strength and sustained AI capex optimism provided the macro tailwind. Technical Analysis: MACD is decisively bullish — DIF 12.75 vs DEA 4.32, with histogra
$AVGO +2.97% as Broadcom Fires Off Oversold Reversal Toward $394
$Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Broadcom(AVGO) +2.97% Fires Off Oversold Reversal, $363 High Sets Up $394 Re-Test Latest Close Data: AVGO closed at $357.61 (+2.97%) on heavy volume of 44.03M shares (1.75x volume ratio). Price is 39% below the 52-week high of $495.00, but now sits 8.2% above the 52-week low of $289.96. Core Market Drivers: Citic Securities upgraded AVGO to Buy with a $525 target on Sept 9, fueling accumulation. Volume spike and +$10.31 single-day gain suggest rotation back into AI semiconductor leaders. Institutional flows remain constructive with BlackRock (8.34%) and Vanguard (7.05%) holding firmly. Technical Analysis: MACD: DIF −9.52 vs DEA −9.15, histogram narrowing sharply to −0.73 — bullish convergence forming off deeply negative territory
$WDC +4.13% and Back Above $441 while Bulls Eye $523 Next
$Western Digital(WDC)$ $Western Digital (WDC)+4.13%: Storage Giant Reclaims $441 with Volume Surge, RSI Breakout Targets $523 Resistance Latest Close Data: WDC closed at $441.36 (+4.13%) on 2026-09-20, with intraday range $424.55–$448.85. Volume hit 13.52M shares, volume ratio 1.93 — nearly double average turnover. Price stands 45% below its 52-week high of $799.87, but well above the low of $105.32. Core Market Drivers: 🧠 AI-memory supercycle sentiment continues to drive storage names despite recent sector volatility. Western Digital's Q4 earnings beat earlier in August laid the base, while concerns over China's ChangXin listing and Korean DRAM competition are easing. Today's move reflects renewed accumulation after a prolonged pullback. Technical
$INTU 20261023 320.0 PUT$ Naked put - hope it expires worthless Be water, my friend—stay calm, adapt, and let the market do its thing. Watch me pocket $30K in premiums in Sep. Jun/Jul/Aug: $1,721 / $26,431 / $34,103 Sep 2026: $22,451
$PLTR 20260918 170.0 PUT$ PLTR: take profit on the last day of expiry. Could have waited to let it expire worthless but the days trading on a slightly weaker market. Decided to not take an unintended assignment risk so close it proactively. Have sold a fresh put further dated to replace this one. Still bullish on PLTR and think have sone legs to grow further