4.38K
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09-30
Futures Capital Insight: Investors Dump U.S. Stocks and Bonds as Gold Shorts Roar Back
This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure. $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$ $微黃金2612(MGC2612)$
TOPRalphWood: Shrinking gold shorts plus long liquidation looks more like a reset than a bearish turn. If yields stop ripping, this pressure can fade fast
11.16K
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09-30
Macro Strategy Weekly:Treasury Yields Above 5%,How to Position for a Potential Long-Bond Rebound?
Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon
TOPCTA positioning can stay underweight longer than people expect, so sub-5% matters less than whether discretionary shorts start covering too. That flow shift is what can give TLT a cleaner bounce
1.34K
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09-24
$NVDA 20261120 195.0 PUT$ NVDA, the kingpin of AI, is on uptrend ( and the rest of the magnificent 7. Taking the dip as opportunity to add position.The later part of the year are usually bullish and taking this time to take positions.
NVDA PUT
09-24 00:24
US20261120 195.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 3.05 1Lot(s) | +5.58% Holding |
TOPBlackwell deliveries in Q3 are the real catalyst here. That 195 short put looks pretty clean if the uptrend stays intact
1.45K
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09-24
$Enovix Corporation(ENVX)$ Got assigned the shares 2 days early as option is deep in the money. Averaging down my overall cost for this stock with the assignment
ENVX
09-24 13:08
USEnovix Corporation
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Open | 3.50 500 | -35.14% Holding |
4.70K
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09-24
$GOOGL VERTICAL 261030 PUT 315.0/PUT 310.0$ It's frustrating that GOOGL register a bigger fall. But I'm bullish long term as it's fundamentally great stock ( still growing, great balance sheet and P/L). As it's near 50 sma and it always respect this support (always rebound), I took a vertical spread for income - to help fund my daily expenses while traveling in Europe 😉.
GOOGL Vertical
09-24 00:07
US315.0/310.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Credit Open | -1.10 3 | -- Holding |
TOPThat 50 SMA bounce has a real track record — only a few stretches in the past five years stayed below it for 10+ days. Wider put spreads into vol crush make more sense though.
7.10K
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09-24
$NFLX 20261002 84.0 CALL$ Still have 1.5 weeks till expiry and most premium has been collected. This frees up the underlying stock from any covered call obligation. It's a bit far from breakeven at $84 now so won't be selling new covered call and just wait.
NFLX CALL
09-24 22:44
US20261002 84.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Close | 0.03 1Lot(s) | +98.15% Closed |
TOPTheta did the heavy lifting here. With the stock still far from 84, waiting makes more sense than forcing another covered call
4.12K
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09-25
$PLTR 20260925 170.0 PUT$ PLTR: take profit. 2 more days with very little premium left. Happy to close and recycle margins as added few additional trades capitalizing the down Trading day.
PLTR PUT
09-24 22:20
US20260925 170.0
| Side | Price | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Close | 0.04 | +98.32% Closed |
TOPI get locking it in, but selling the 170 put feels a bit too defensive when PLTR keeps getting bought on weak days. The premium decay did its job though
5.14K
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09-25
$IREN CALENDAR 261016/261120 PUT 47.0/PUT 47.0$ Rolled for another month, while premium is great today. Booked 65% profit from the earlier trade. Demand for data centers remain high and IREN is using renewable energy.
IREN Calendar
09-25 00:52
US47.0/47.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Credit Close | -2.65 3 | -- Closed |
TOPData center demand is the part I trust most, and the renewable angle gives IREN a cleaner story than most miners.
3.94K
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09-25
$SLV CALENDAR 261016/261120 PUT 65.0/PUT 65.0$ Rolling over for another month to collect additional premium.
SLV Calendar
09-25 01:00
US65.0/65.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Credit Close | -0.76 2 | -- Closed |
TOPThat extra premium helps, but 65 is doing most of the work here. Low vol roll looks clean.
1.34K
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09-25
$RKLB 20261002 87.0 CALL$ Limit order filled to sell RKLB call at strike 87 during price recovery for credit.
RKLB CALL
09-25 01:13
US20261002 87.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 0.45 1Lot(s) | -- Closed |
3.07K
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09-25
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Sold off some to manage the margin which is more important. Earn a profit but lesser. No one can time the market perfectly. It is important to have a plan, and execute it with conviction.
TOPTrimmed for margin makes sense. Not bearish at all, AWS is still the long game here
2.32K
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09-25
$Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$ Early assignment- tonight can sell covered call while waiting for the price to recover[Happy] [Happy]
NVO
09-25 13:06
USNovo-Nordisk A/S
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Open | 43.00 100 | -8.41% Holding |
1.82K
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09-25
$Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$ 1️⃣ Why am I making this trade now? The Fed’s latest rate hike has reset market expectations, but I see this volatility as an opportunity rather than a reason to panic\. I’m adding to high\-conviction positions like **NVDA** and **PLTR**, focusing on long-term AI growth instead of short\-term market noise. 2️⃣ What’s my plan from here? Stay disciplined, manage risk, and keep averaging into quality companies on meaningful pullbacks. I’m investing with a multi-year horizon, not trading headlines. Patience and conviction remain my edge.
LAC
09-25 21:32
USLithium Americas Corp.
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Open | 2.80 80 | -21.55% Holding |
TOPI am adding more to bring my entry average down, 2.55 is a basement price given the resource and strategic investment by DOE and GM. Mining always has setbacks and cost overuns. These will present buying opportunities to bring the average down. I can buy about 2.5x the shares now than when I started looking at LAC 6 months ago.
2.22K
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09-25
$CELH 20260925 30.0 PUT$ No margin for assignment and no choice but to close the trade [Cry] Be water, my friend—stay calm, adapt, and let the market do its thing. Watch me pocket $30K in premiums in Sep. Jun/Jul/Aug: $1,721 / $26,431 / $34,103 Sep 2026: $26,295
CELH PUT
09-25 21:47
US20260925 30.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Close | 1.73 1Lot(s) | -56.23% Closed |
TOPSep premium still looks solid, but CELH vol has cooled a lot. Put selling probably pays less now than Jun to Aug
2.43K
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09-25
$MSFT 20261030 600.0 CALL$ Taking advantage to sell call when MSFT shoot up to $517. (4% increase), effectively converting my position to a covered call. It has to break $550 to $560 resistance before my shares get called.
MSFT CALL
09-25 21:47
US20261030 600.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Open | 1.80 4Lot(s) | -- Closed |
TOP600 strike for 1.8 is clean, but the 550 to 560 wall is no joke. I stay bullish on Microsoft, just feels more like premium harvest than a breakout bet
6.46K
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09-25
$UNH VERTICAL 260925 PUT 375.0/PUT 370.0$ Decided to close off rather than monitor and wait till market closes. Slight profits but better than loss in the current market. Tough to make profit.
UNH Vertical
09-25 23:12
US375.0/370.0
| Side | Price | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Debit Close | 1.10 | -- Closed |
3.54K
·
09-25
$NFLX 20261009 84.0 CALL$ More than 90% of max premium from this covered call had been collected. The contract is only due in 2 more weeks on 9th Oct so it's prudent to close and secure profit instead of waiting for remaining few dollars.
NFLX CALL
09-25 23:21
US20261009 84.0
| Side | Price | Filled | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Close | 0.06 1Lot(s) | +92.06% Closed |
TOPClosing early makes sense here. With only two weeks left, most of the theta is gone and IV can come in fast before earnings.
9.86K
·
09-25
$C 20260925 130.0 PUT$ C: take profit. Preset profit taking at 90% premium collection at point of selling the put contract. And ended up only closed on the final hours of the final days. Cutting close.
TOP70-80% is usually clean enough on these short puts, 90% is nice but that last-day close is sweaty. Rolling a day or two earlier might fit C better
5.61K
·
09-25
$U 20260925 40.0 PUT$ U: talking profit. Both Thurs and Fri the stock dipped below strike of $40 before recovering and hovering above strike now. Negative news are pulling the stock down so at the start of market once stock recovered to above strike and enough buffer from the premium to close, then its profit taking time instead of risking assignment on expiry.
TOPDipping under 40 for two days isn't enough to shake me. The noise is loud, but Unity's engine moat and ad growth matter more here
5.51K
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09-25
$XOM 20260925 160.0 PUT$ XOM: another short put that is cutting too close to its strike price of $160 of its final day of contract expiration. Stock opened at $160 and was as low as $159.78 which would had risking assignment if stayed below strike after market close. Glad to be able to exit with a decent profit.
TOP159.5 was spicy too lol, tighter delta works until expiry day starts pinning. Nice save on the exit — assignment risk gets annoying fast that close to 160