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PeterDiCarlo
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06:58

$SPY Monthly BX Trender Turns Red: Is a Bigger Correction Coming?

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ ’s monthly BX trender just closed red. 70% of the time that means a dip. 30% of the time it means a crash. Here’s how I see things playing out We’ve officially broken the $758 swing low on the daily time frame, which is not ideal. We’ve been covering this zone for the past couple of weeks, and it was a very important level short term. There’s a chance price bounces from here and sweeps back up to all-time highs much sooner than I’m expecting. Historically, though, that only happens about 20% to 25% of the time, so I’m not banking on it. Now that support has broken, if price can’t get back above $760 within the next week, it will most likely keep redistributing down toward $740, the lower smart money zone on the dai
$SPY Monthly BX Trender Turns Red: Is a Bigger Correction Coming?
TOPAmelia Yong: This article sounds like attending a history class reminding us on how S&P behave in various scenarios. This is good recap to refresh our memories to keep the emotions in check.
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pretiming
·
06:55

TQQQ Outlook: AI Spending Selloff, Fed Hike Risk and 3x Leverage Math

For the next two weeks, the Weekly and Daily Pretiming Reports for $ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$ will be updated, providing deeper insights into changes in buying and selling flows, price movements, and the overall outlook. TQQQ, the fund that seeks three times the Nasdaq-100’s daily move, enters our coverage window right after the index’s worst day since June. On Friday the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ fell 3.46%, and a fund built to triple daily moves was designed to fall roughly 10%. The trigger was a week of earnings that forced one hard question: is the AI spending boom paying off? With the Fed leaning toward another hike, that question matters more than usual. Here is what to know before our Pretiming Report a
TQQQ Outlook: AI Spending Selloff, Fed Hike Risk and 3x Leverage Math
TOPKum Weng: Taking the cited $66.77 zero-gamma level as given, the Nov. 6 positioning is directionally consistent with a more unstable, downside-sensitive regime : TQQQ closed at $62.01 on 2026-11-02 , already 7.68% below that level. Below zero gamma, dealer hedging is generally pro-cyclical—selling into declines and buying into rallies—so downside moves can travel farther rather than being dampened. For ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) watchlist : The reported Nov. 6 $60 put purchase was 4,658 contracts at $1.57 , or about $731,306 gross premium , executed when TQQQ was $63.54. The $60 strike was 3.24% below the current $62.01 close; that buyer’s trade-level breakeven was about $58.43 , 5.77% below spot. The current Nov. 6 $60 put chain is very active: 8,892 contracts traded, 12,109 open interest , and a +771 open-interest change. Its delta is -0.372 and gamma is 0.048 . If the flow represents fresh customer demand absorbed by dealers, those dealers would be short put gamma and may need to sell T
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Travis Hoium
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06:41

Is Alphabet In Trouble...Or Misunderstood?

$Alphabet(GOOG)$ fell 12.3% last week and are down 26.8% over the past six months. Yes, I sold about a third of my Alphabet shares in July based on valuation concerns and the company entering a phase of negative free cash flow. But I didn’t see this reaction coming. I’ve been critical of a lot of the AI stocks out there because I think businesses like neoclouds are unsustainable and commodity suppliers like Micron will… commoditize. But Alphabet is king of the tech mountain and should be fine long-term. Still, the market punished shares because there are signs of disruption. Search isn’t growing the way it was expected to, and that puts the cash flow to fund AI into question. Here are my thoughts on the nuance and realities (both good and bad) at
Is Alphabet In Trouble...Or Misunderstood?
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Wolveofwallstreet
·
10-31 00:40
$PLTR 20261106 260.0 CALL$  A good or a bad trade. This is what ChatGPT wrote me. I would NOT buy this PLTR $260 call at $0.30 right now. PLTR closed around $196.42, meaning the stock needs to rise over 32% in roughly one week just to reach the strike, before accounting for premium. The key catalyst is Q3 earnings on November 2. Fundamentals remain strong: Q2 revenue grew 93%, U.S. commercial revenue 149%, and management guided FY2026 revenue growth of 82%. However, valuation is demanding, while November 6 options carry high implied volatility around 97.5%, creating significant IV-crush risk after earnings. I prefer owning PLTR shares or a lower-strike call than chasing this far OTM contract.
$PLTR 20261106 260.0 CALL$ A good or a bad trade. This is what ChatGPT wrote me. I would NOT buy this PLTR $260 call at $0.30 right now. PLTR close...
TOPKelvin 梁: PLTR’s recent large-order flow has been net negative, but the scale is modest relative to daily liquidity; its valuation remains the more consequential sensitivity. Over the latest five reported sessions (2026-10-23 to 2026-10-29), large-order flow was negative on four days and positive on one. The cumulative net outflow was US$111.46 million (calculated from the reported figures, which are in thousands). The sequence worsened into the end of that window: −US$38.19m, −US$9.43m, +US$8.99m, −US$30.54m, −US$42.28m . That pattern suggests institutional-sized activity was more distribution than accumulation. On the latest session, large orders were net −US$4.19m , while overall net flow was marginally positive at US$11.80m —small-order buying offset some of the large-order selling. Separately, the stock fell 6.27% to US$184.11 on turnover of US$5.04bn . The prior session’s US$42.28m large-order outflow equaled only 0.84% of that turnover, so it is a cautionary signal rather than evidence o
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ShanGe
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10-31 01:40
$CHROME HLDG CO(901ESC012)$ The main downside zone is $49.00 to $50.00. Stabilization in this area followed by higher short term lows could produce an interim rebound. A confirmed break followed by a failed recovery would increase downside risk. Initial resistance lies near $52.00 and $53.00, followed by the $54.60 to $55.00 zone. Short covering may emerge near support, although the rebound will not alter the trend unless key resistance levels are reclaimed.
$CHROME HLDG CO(901ESC012)$ The main downside zone is $49.00 to $50.00. Stabilization in this area followed by higher short term lows could produce...
TOPShanGe: The main downside zone is $49.00 to $50.00. Stabilization in this area followed by higher short term lows could produce an interim rebound. A confirmed break followed by a failed recovery would increase downside risk. Initial resistance lies near $52.00 and $53.00, followed by the $54.60 to $55.00 zone. Short covering may emerge near support, although the rebound will not alter the trend unless key resistance levels are reclaimed.
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QueenLT
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10-31 07:29
$Sheng Siong(OV8.SI)$ On weekly closes indexed to COIN's listing week, COIN topped on 18 Jul 2025 and BTC on 3 Oct 2025, so COIN led by about 11 weeks. In the last bear market BTC bottomed on 25 Nov 2022 and COIN on 6 Jan 2023, about 6 weeks later. The 2026 lows so far fit the same shape: BTC 26 Jun, COIN 31 Jul, about 5 weeks later. Limits: COIN has only one full cycle, so this is n=1, and neither 2026 low may be the real bottom. This is a pattern, not a forecast.
$Sheng Siong(OV8.SI)$ On weekly closes indexed to COIN's listing week, COIN topped on 18 Jul 2025 and BTC on 3 Oct 2025, so COIN led by about 11 we...
TOPalvinooyk: Profit growth doesn't keep pace with the dividend growth,next year they got to work harder
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Aaronykc
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10-31 13:01
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  broke above the 200 simple moving average and a down trending channel, it retested the 200 SMA as support and bounced off, this price action is very bullish. As long as price can stay above the 200 SMA it will continue to stay in a uptrend and I will trade it with bullish options strategies like a bull put spread 
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ broke above the 200 simple moving average and a down trending channel, it retested the 200 SMA as support and bounced off, thi...
TOPben88: hope tesla and spacex will megre.........
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trex88
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10-31 13:33
$iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ Takeaway: This long trade is currently facing heavy drawdown. Entering near the $78.84 peak without a tight stop-loss has resulted in severe exposure as silver retraced. Moving forward, reassess risk management parameters, evaluate whether to dollar-cost average or cut losses, and ensure stricter entry criteria are enforced for future setups.  
$iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ Takeaway: This long trade is currently facing heavy drawdown. Entering near the $78.84 peak without a tight stop-loss h...
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TT13
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10-31 15:54
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   Another day checking TSLA and we’re still hanging around $400 😂 Currently at $400.22, with my unrealized gain sitting at 20.28%. What’s funny is that Tesla can move quite a lot during the day, but somehow we keep coming back to this $400 level. Feels like buyers and sellers are having a little fight here lol. One thing I’ve been thinking about lately is whether Tesla’s future growth can really justify its current valuation. I’m still interested in the robotaxi business and Optimus, but I also know these things won’t turn into huge profits overnight. I think the next few earnings reports will be pretty important, especially vehicle margins and how much cash Tesla is spending on new projects. For now, I’m not making
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Another day checking TSLA and we’re still hanging around $400 😂 Currently at $400.22, with my unrealized gain sitting at 20.28...
TOPNING667: Robotaxi and Optimus are the dream, but FSD progress and energy margins probably do more near term to defend this valuation. November feels more like a catalyst month than a random range.
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newtoUS
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10-31 16:06
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ i hope that this taught me to be patience as a long term investor. As long the company is in good profit and revenue, in the long run it will pay off for investor. Stay invested
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ i hope that this taught me to be patience as a long term investor. As long the company is in good profit and revenue,...
TOPJamieLKH: AMD for sure is a company with great potential for good earnings due to AI boom, just needs to be patient and it'll pay off!
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Stevesiah
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10-31 16:24
$GDS Holdings Ltd(GDS)$   Management & Lessons Learned (Recommended) Trade Review: $GDS (GDS Holdings Ltd) Ticker: GDSHoldingsLtd(GDS) Unrealized P&L: -33.62% Trade Post-Mortem & Reflection: Entered $GDS anticipating a long swing trade driven by continuous growth in Asia's data center infrastructure and AI demand. However, aggressive technical selling and broad tech sector headwinds pushed the stock well below key structural support levels, deepening the drawdown to -33.62%. Key Takeaways & Execution Strategy: Stop-Loss Enforcement: Allowing a drawdown to reach -33.62% underlines the necessity of strict stop-loss rules when technical support fails. Capital Allocation: Avoid averaging down without technical confirmation of
$GDS Holdings Ltd(GDS)$ Management & Lessons Learned (Recommended) Trade Review: $GDS (GDS Holdings Ltd) Ticker: GDSHoldingsLtd(GDS) Unrealized P&L...
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401
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YoshiR
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10-31 16:43
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Ah_Meng
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10-31 18:09
$ProShares Ultra Silver(AGQ)$  I am still bullish with silver but as far as AGQ goes, I am out for now... The reason was straight forward. Silver price has been making lower highs and lows, meaning it is a downtrend with no end in sight of yet. I am not one to fight the trend and I have rode my silver waves to a certain extent.  With oil prices rising, fuel induced inflation is getting out of control. Furthermore, people are starting to wake up to certain reality of AI excessive spending, especially by hyperscalers. Frankly, at this point in time, I have no idea who is really making the money. It appears in every earning seasons that companies like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ <
$ProShares Ultra Silver(AGQ)$ I am still bullish with silver but as far as AGQ goes, I am out for now... The reason was straight forward. Silver pr...
TOPRiver0: Silver still has the monetary bid, and sticky inflation keeps that alive. AGQ decays, sure, but oversold under 20 RSI can rip hard when sentiment flips
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Kenbey2002
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10-31 18:55
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Alfred8189
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11-01 20:24
$Uber(UBER)$   Uber trading offers an interesting investment opportunity due to its strong brand recognition, global presence, and growing demand for ride-hailing and food delivery services. The company has demonstrated potential for long-term growth through technological innovation, expansion into new markets, and improvements in operational efficiency. However, investors should also consider risks such as increasing competition, regulatory challenges, rising operating costs, and market volatility. Before investing, it is important to examine Uber’s financial performance, profitability, cash flow, and future growth prospects. Overall, Uber could be a promising investment for those seeking long-term capital appreciation, provided they ad
$Uber(UBER)$ Uber trading offers an interesting investment opportunity due to its strong brand recognition, global presence, and growing demand for...
TOPcheezi: Brand and scale help, but the model still looks fragile. How does Uber protect margins if Europe tightens gig worker classification and local courts push more drivers toward employee status?
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Icecream29
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11-01 20:36
$Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF(QQQM)$   My trade on QQQ provided valuable experience in understanding market movements and managing investment risks. I monitored price trends, market sentiment, and technical indicators before making my trading decisions. Although QQQ offers exposure to leading technology companies and growth opportunities, its price can be affected by market volatility and economic developments. This trade reminded me of the importance of patience, discipline, and proper risk management. I also learnt that timing the market is challenging, and decisions should be based on analysis rather than emotions. Moving forward, I will continue improving my trading strategy, setting clear entry and exit points, and reviewing each trade t
$Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF(QQQM)$ My trade on QQQ provided valuable experience in understanding market movements and managing investment risks. I moni...
TOPHunterGame: RSI and volume matter more here than patience alone; clean entry and exit rules are what keep QQQM trades repeatable
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Jason2607
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11-01 20:50
$SPCX 20261120 160.0 CALL$   Will close my SPCX $160 covered call expiring November 20, 2026 soon. The position had reached 92.50% of its maximum potential profit, making it a good opportunity to lock in gains rather than hold until expiration. My original cost basis was $13.34, and I decided to take the profit off the table while preserving flexibility and reducing the risk of holding the short call longer than necessary. This trade reflects my approach of managing covered calls proactively, capturing the majority of available premium, and prioritizing consistent returns over squeezing out the last few percentage points of profit.
$SPCX 20261120 160.0 CALL$ Will close my SPCX $160 covered call expiring November 20, 2026 soon. The position had reached 92.50% of its maximum pot...
TOPYaomao: Closing at 92.5% makes sense. Past 80-90%, the extra premium usually is not worth the assignment and gamma risk.
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Kokkeng1119
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10-31 22:45
$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ Grab Holdings Inc. (GRAB) Bear Case risks Buying GRAB at $2.71 offered a decent entry margin, but the long-term bear case remains a looming threat to capital preservation. Grab’s core segments—ride-hailing and delivery—operate in hyper-competitive, low-margin markets across Southeast Asia. Structural inflation and rising driver-incentive costs heavily pressure their path to sustained, high-quality profitability. Furthermore, macroeconomic headwinds in regional markets risk dampening consumer discretionary spending, slowing down GMV (Gross Merchandise Volume) growth. While the company has made strides toward GAAP profitability, its reliance on heavy promotional spending to defend market share against agile regional competitor
$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ Grab Holdings Inc. (GRAB) Bear Case risks Buying GRAB at $2.71 offered a decent entry margin, but the long-term bear case rem...
TOPThe White Knight: They provide a big pay check to their big bosses. There is no direction when the company can turn into profits. Will rather invest in companies that pays well in dividends than a money losing company. It’s time to call for pay cut if consecutive 8 quarters making losses. Good luck Tigers
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