MHh
04-02
I think the ‘April effect’ will be eroded by trump’s tarring pressures. Afterall, the world hates trade wars and investors hate uncertainty. Trump threatens tariffs again and again as his negotiation wild card but does not commit to them or may u-turn once the country relents on their own tariffs for American goods. The fear will go on as long as uncertainty exists and the wars don’t end as trump promised. I wouldn’t consider antifragile trades as they may also reverse unexpectedly as long as the trump news subsides or both countries can real a new deal or lowered tariffs for both sides. I would prefer to watch and buy good stocks at a discount.
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Second-Best Month Fails? What's Your April Trade Plan?
History shows that, since 1971, April has been the second-best month of the year for the three major U.S. stock indexes, according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac. In postelection years since 1950, April has remained a top-performing month — historically ranking as the second-best month for the Dow and the S&P 500, and the third-best month for the Nasdaq (see chart below). However, Trump's tougher-than-expected tariffs drag the market down. ---------------- Is the April effect still possible or not? What's your trade strategy for April?
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