$TSLA - UBS ANALYST JOSEPH SPA-To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community

$TSLA - UBS ANALYST JOSEPH SPAK REITERATED A SELL RATING AND $225.00 PRICE TARGET ON TESLA

🔸 Caution: Expect negative 2025 revisions.

🔸 1Q25 deliveries: 336.7k (-32% q/q, -13% y/y), missing consensus (377.6k) by 11% and buy-side estimates (~355-360k) by ~6%.

🔸 Production: 362.6k (-21% q/q, -16% y/y), impacted by Model Y changeover.

🔸 Inventory proxy: 124k units (~28 days on hand), up from 15 last quarter.

🔸 2025 outlook: Consensus at 1.85M (+4% y/y), UBS at 1.7M (-5% y/y).

🔸 Challenges: TSLA needs ~8% y/y growth for 1.85M target; even 1.6M requires 2Q-4Q25 deliveries to rise 25% vs. 1Q25.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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