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I firmly believe the worst is yet to come. The stock market has already seen significant declines, with the Nasdaq down 6% and the S&P 500 dropping 3%. The Fear & Greed Index has plunged to 8, indicating extreme fear among investors. Additional retaliatory tariffs, particularly from the EU and China, are expected to take effect soon. These developments could push both the U.S. and global economies toward a recession. I anticipate the market will decline further, potentially falling by 20% and entering bear market territory in the coming weeks. Inflation is likely to spike, and the Federal Reserve may hold off on planned interest rate cuts. Overall, heightened volatility lies ahead, and the outlook appears grim.
@TigerEvents @CaptainTiger @Tiger_Insights @Daily_Discussion @Tiger_comments @TigerCommunity @TigerBrokers
FOMC Decision: Are 3 Rate Cuts Still Possible This Year?
Currently, the market widely expects the FOMC to keep the federal funds rate target range unchanged at 4.25%–4.50% in this week’s policy meeting. Last Friday’s stronger-than-expected April nonfarm payroll data has given the Fed more room to hold steady. The market is still pricing in roughly 75 basis points of rate cuts this year—equivalent to three 25-basis-point cuts. But is the market being too optimistic? If rate cut expectations shift again, could the market come under pressure once more? As the broader market begins to pull back, what impact will this week’s FOMC meeting have?
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