On Wednesday morning, Trump announced a 104% tariff increase on China. In response, China imposed an 84% tariff on the U.S. that evening. The EU also announced a countermeasure, imposing a 25% tariff on imports from the U.S. Subsequently, Shark Tank star Kevin O'Leary said he wants Trump to slap a 400% tariff on China.Tariff numbers are getting larger and larger, yet the market's reaction has become increasingly calm. Trump even posted to rally people to buy $Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ stock.Trump is becoming absurd, but has the tariff trade war already played itself out?Once tariffs exceed 100%, any additional hikes seem to lose significance. US stocks might see a short-term rebound, but the medium-term outlook remains unclear. High tariff

Long maybe 6 months at least

trump will keep playing. buy dip and keep long term

Great time to buy$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$  at 30+, the trade war is far from over. The 90days pause make no difference, most countries on 10% are still getting 10%. And there is still an ongoing trade war with China. Foresee,$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$  will go back to 50+ price very soon!

 @GoodLife99 @LMSunshine @koolgal @Shyon @Aqa @Universe宇宙 @LMSunshine @SPACE ROCKET @TigerGPT @HelenJanet Once tariffs exceed 100%, any additional hikes seem to lose significance. US stocks might see a short-term rebound, but the mediu

@GoodLife99 @LMSunshine @koolgal @Shyon @Aqa @Universe宇宙 @LMSunshine @SPACE ROCKET @TigerGPT @HelenJanet Once tariffs exceed 100%, any additional hikes seem to lose significance. US stocks might see a short-term rebound, but the medium-ter

everyone waiting for someone to blink but no-one is giving an inch and the truth is anyone can solve this by negotiating. what a mess. market is just going to be volatile at this level until a resolution is fixed.

Short term rebounce is expected after days of sharp drops. Unpredictable medium term with fears of inflation, slow growth, recession, etc continue to linger on and drag market with volaility.

Good money 🧧

In a world already battling inflation, slowing growth, and geopolitical instability, the U.S. slapping 104% tariffs on select foreign imports has lit a fresh fire under global markets — and not the kind investors celebrate. Once again, trade tensions are on the rise. The stock market, which had just started to stabilize after a rocky first quarter, now faces renewed headwinds. Investors are left wondering: Is this the beginning of a prolonged drag on equities, or will markets shake it off like they’ve done before? Why the 104% Tariff Matters The number itself — 104% — is eye-popping. But more than that, it signals a shift toward full-blown protectionism. Whether it's targeting electric vehicles, semiconductors, green energy, or strategic tech, this move is not just about economics. It's po

Honestly I feel US may have more to lose than China in long term. Everything aside, just look how both governments deal with and respond to each other. US with inconsistent and dillutional statements while China with strength, consistency and grace. I put my bet in China market.$QQQ 20250411 500.0 CALL$ Bearish. 

cash is king. holding cash is more important than anything else in recession. don't rush in to buy any stock yet. too volatile. expect more business to go bankrupt and chain effect. 

How Long Could It Last? Short-Term Escalation (Months): Right now, both sides are digging in. The U.S., under President Trump, has framed these tariffs as "reciprocal" to address trade imbalances, while China has vowed to "fight to the end" and won’t "sit idly by." This tit-for-tat pattern suggests the trade war could intensify for at least a few months unless one side blinks. Historically, Trump’s first trade war with China in 2018-2019 took about two years to reach a partial deal (Phase One in January 2020), but this round seems more aggressive with higher stakes. Mid-Term Stalemate (1-2 Years): If neither the U.S. nor China backs down, we might see a prolonged standoff. China’s economy is better prepared than in 2018, having diversified trade with other countries, and the U.S. is pushin

Additional tariff is meaningless for now as it's still focused on goods and services and markets seem to have reached bottom, pricing in the worst. However, another round mayhem will be released if and when China or others decides to hit US hard by imposing a tariff on service! US has a trade surplus in services! 

October 2023: US 10-yr bond yields 5% , "Strong economy, no recession." Oct 2023: Positive Fiscal Impulse April 2025: US 10-yr bond yield 4.37%, "bond market is crashing, recession imminent."Apr 2025: Negative Fiscal Impulse$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ You cannot make this up. via Bloomberg.ImageSmoothed #recession probabilities are in the basement, as low as they can go. There is only a recession in sentiment currently, not the real hard data, despite Larry "fake the funk" Fink's suggestion. A recession will demand current endogeny is sustained (tariffs).ImageAt this pace, President Donald J. Trump will produce the WORST $S&P 500(.SPX)$ return in 1st 75 days of a presidency... in history

If it can't resolve in a month or two,I believe we will be getting a early and long winter ❄️ ❄️ ❄️ 

104%? Please, that’s way too little. Let’s crank it to 200%, and we might see the S&P drag itself to 4000. Or maybe 300%, and watch it gracefully sink to 3000 – you know, for a dramatic exit.

For years, investors had the wind at their backs. Globalization made everything easier: Trade was booming. Supply chains ran like clockwork. Prices stayed low. That era is fading. We’re stepping into a new world—fragmentation. Countries are tightening trade. Tariffs are on the rise. Nations are shifting toward local production—even if it’s more expensive. This isn’t just politics. It’s economics. And it matters. When the world trades freely, everyone wins: Cheaper goods Higher productivity Greater access But start pulling that apart? Prices go up. Efficiency drops. Inflation gets stickier. Globalization didn’t just grow profits—it helped keep inflation down. As trade expanded, goods got cheaper. Consumers benefited. Central banks caught a break. Investors thrived. Now? That tailwind i