Daily Charts - Stocks peak *before* the economy

Callum_Thomas
04-13

1.Reminder: stocks peak *before* the economy.

(they also *trough* before the economy, albeit that might be more of a conversation for later...?) $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

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2.Tariffs or Not, inflation looks set to resurge as the previous global monetary policy pivot plays through...

But if anything tariffs could add further impetus to this either by forcing more stimulus or through cost-push inflation.

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3.Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts:

  • Stocks saw a strong rebound + technical wins last week.

  • Yet a couple of technical challenges and tests remain overhead.

  • And arguably a lot of damage has already been done.

  • Recession risk is the key variable from here for stocks.

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