The Smiling Curve - The most important concept in business and investing

Travis Hoium
04-15

What is the most important concept in business and investing today?

The Smiling Curve!

Ever wondered why tech giants dominate and niche creators thrive while mid-sized businesses struggle?

The Smiling Curve explains this phenomenon. Let’s dive in.

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Originating from Acer’s founder, Stan Shih, in the 1990s, the Smiling Curve illustrates value distribution across an industry.

In his example, high value is found in R&D and marketing, with manufacturing in the middle adding the least value.

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In the digital age, this curve extends beyond manufacturing. It now represents how scale and specialization impact value creation.

On the left of the curve are niche creators and specialists.

They offer unique value without needing massive scale. Think indie newsletters, boutique consultancies, or specialized artisans.

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On the right: are large platforms and aggregators.

Companies like $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Netflix(NFLX)$ leverage massive scale to dominate markets.

They benefit from network effects and vast user bases.

The middle? Generalists and mid-sized firms lacking unique value or scale. They often struggle to compete, squeezed by both ends of the curve.

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This dynamic explains trends across industries:

TV and streaming is dominated by YouTube (aggregating individual creators) and Netflix (the most subs).

Paramount, Max, and even $Walt Disney(DIS)$ are struggling being in the middle.

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Social Media

Facebook prints money while $Snap Inc(SNAP)$ $Reddit(RDDT)$, and others struggle.

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Music

Streaming has been won by $Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$ on the scale side with $Apple(AAPL)$ , Amazon, and even YouTube as music afterthoughts.

Some artists are struggling, but the successful individuals -- like Taylor Swift -- are bigger than ever.

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For investors and entrepreneurs, the takeaway is clear: 

•Aim for the edges of the curve.

•Differentiate through specialization or scale.

•Avoid the undifferentiated middle ground.

Understanding the Smiling Curve helps navigate the modern economy.

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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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