Here's 10 things JPOW said everyone missed but insanely important

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ crashed almost 5% in 2 hours because JPOW said bad things about economy.

Here's 10 things he said everyone missed but insanely important:

1. “Tariffs will likely raise inflation and slow growth.”

Stat: Tariffs announced are “larger than anticipated.” Businesses have increased imports early in Q1 2025 to beat tariff hikes, dragging GDP forecasts down.

2. “Inflation is falling, but still above 2%.”

Stat: Headline PCE inflation is at 2.3%, Core PCE is 2.6% YoY (March 2025).

3. “Labor market is solid but job growth is slowing.”

Stat: U.S. added ~150,000 jobs/month in early 2025, down from 2024’s pace.

4. “Higher inflation and higher unemployment may happen together.”

Stat: Fed is preparing for stagflation-like conditions (inflation + job losses).

5. “AI could massively impact productivity—or job losses.”

Stat: Powell said AI could be one of the top 3 global economic drivers over the next 20 years.

6. “U.S. fiscal policy is unsustainable.”

Stat: Federal debt is rising sharply even at full employment. Interest payments are now one of the top 4 U.S. spending categories.

7. “Supply chain risks from tariffs could trigger longer inflation.”

Example: Car companies may face multi-year delays in parts due to China tariffs, echoing semiconductor shortages during COVID.

8. “Immigration slowdown is now limiting worker growth.”

Stat: Immigration has “fallen sharply” under the current administration. Worker supply growth has stalled.

9. “The Fed is not here to rescue the stock market (no Fed Put).”

Stat: Powell said volatility is high but markets are functioning normally. VIX has spiked, but no intervention is planned.

10. “Uncertainty is the #1 thing freezing the economy right now.”

Quote: A business leader told the Fed: “I’ve never felt more uncertain in my 40-year career.”

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