Michael Esther
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The Fed Just Reset the Market Reality

FED’s December Projections Have Exposed a New Market Reality.The numbers out of today’s FOMC release should freeze every investor in their tracks.Unemployment is now projected to climb to 4.5% in 2025.Seven Fed officials penciled in zero rate cuts for 2026.And the Fed’s median rate outlook for 2028 still sits at 3.1%, miles above the “easy money” markets were betting on.This is not dovish. This is not easing.This is the Fed quietly admitting inflation is not dead and won’t be for years.Bond markets reacted instantly. Treasury yields spiked. Rate sensitive sectors cracked. And futures whipsawed as traders realized the Fed’s path is far tighter than the market narrative of the last eight weeks.The message is brutal:If the Fed is right, growth slows.If the market is right, inflation stays sti
The Fed Just Reset the Market Reality

A Pivotal Week for Global Markets

BREAKING: GLOBAL MARKETS JUST ENTERED THE MOST IMPORTANT WEEK OF 2025. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ chart needs to hold above trend at $684-685 or next level of support is at $680 (then lower). But, if it holds then $688 and $690+ (check chart to study it)SPY futures ticked 0.1% higher, sitting just shy of an all-time high. $Netflix(NFLX)$ jumped 1.5% pre-market after new antitrust concerns surfaced around its Warner Bros. acquisition.Several Fed officials hinted at a rate cut on Wednesday. But under the optimism lies a deeper uncertainty whether the rate path stays friendly in 2026, and whether the AI-driven surge is truly sustainable.Bond markets sold off after ECB’s Schnabel declared that European
A Pivotal Week for Global Markets

15 Dovish Powell Statements That Signal Easing

15 BULLISH Things Jerome Powell Has Said (or Could Say) that are DOVISHStatements that imply easing, rate cuts, or confidence inflation is falling 1. “We are seeing clear and sustained disinflation in several key components.”2. “The balance of risks to our dual mandate is becoming more two-sided.”3. “The labor market is cooling, and wage growth is moderating.”4. “We are prepared to adjust policy as needed to support the economy.”5. “Inflation expectations remain well anchored, which gives us flexibility.”6. “We don’t need inflation to be at 2% to begin reducing the policy rate.”7. “Policy is already in a restrictive stance, and real rates are near their peak.”8. “We see risks of overtightening and will take them into account.”9. “Several indicators show supply and demand in labor markets a
15 Dovish Powell Statements That Signal Easing

SPY/Global Markets – PCE Pre-Impact Setup

GLOBAL MARKETS JUST FIRED A WARNING SHOT BEFORE PCE.This morning at 10:00am EST will change everything. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ and European futures rose as traders positioned ahead of the most important inflation print of 2025 PCE and FEDs expected rate cut on Dec 10.The numbers are already shifting:SPY and European markets up 0.2%Asian markets erased a 0.7% drop to secure a second week of gains.Confidence is returning not from tech euphoria, but from rising expectations of a 25 bps Fed cut.Bitcoin holds $92,000 for now.Copper just hit a new high.Silver flipped from red to green.But the real story is in the labor market.Treasury yields settled after Thursday’s selloff, driven by data showing the job market is not cracking it’s tightenin
SPY/Global Markets – PCE Pre-Impact Setup

US Labor Market – AI-Driven Tightness

US labor market is tightening in a way that should unsettle everyone. Jobless claims just fell to a 3-year low, while the unemployment rate has hovered under 4% for 23 straight months the longest streak since the 1960s. Productivity, meanwhile, surged 4.7% last quarter, the fastest pace in two decades.But here’s the part nobody wants to say out loud:AI is doing the heavy lifting and it’s replacing more than it’s hiring.Corporate surveys show 37% of firms have already automated tasks previously done by employees. Tech companies report efficiency gains of 15–30% after cutting staff. The average US worker now outputs the equivalent of 1.4 workers from 2019.This isn’t a healthy labor market.It’s a labor market being hollowed out in real timemade “stronger” because machines don’t quit, don’t sl
US Labor Market – AI-Driven Tightness

SPY Eyes 690 as Global Bonds Reprice

THIS IS BAD: $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ just went GREEN ahead of the most important payrolls print in 2025.As long as it can hold above 684 and 680 this week it should break 690 within 9 days. This chart confirms it (make sure to study it).Stocks in Asia and Europe surged overnight.US futures stayed firmly green.Traders are now betting that a Fed rate cut could ignite a worldwide rally into year-end so a massive explosion is coming.Europe’s Stoxx 600 rose 0.3%, with autos and industrials leading.Asian markets hit their highest levels in two weeks, powered by Japanese heavyweights.SPY is set for an eighth gain in 9 sessions.But here’s the part nobody is highlighting.Global bonds slumped again.Japanese yields are now driving the entire world’s
SPY Eyes 690 as Global Bonds Reprice

The Market Whisper: Signals Point to a Reshaped Economy by Mid-2026

The labour market is no longer strong and 6 months from now it will be worse.Job openings have fallen over 30% from last year. Layoff announcements are up 42%.Behind the headlines, pressure is building everywhere:US foreclosures have risen 9 straight quarters, with filings up 34% YoY.Rents are at records over 50% of tenants now spend more than a third of their income just to stay housed.Homelessness surged 12% this year, the largest jump on record.The market is whispering what the data will shout in six months.AI is accelerating the shift.Nearly 20–25% of task-based jobs are expected to be automated or restructured by mid-2026.Back-office roles, customer support, logistics, and entry-level analysis are already being rebuilt around models not manpower.This isn’t a slowdown.It’s a reshaping.
The Market Whisper: Signals Point to a Reshaped Economy by Mid-2026

SPY Rebound: Targeting $690 as Payroll Data Looms

Markets aren't paying attention to US payroll (labor market data) $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ will need to break this $684 level to climb higher towards $690 (it should hit within 10 days) Key level of support is at $678-$680 (check chart to confirm)The day the market revealed its direction without saying a word.While headlines focused elsewhere, SPY climbed for a second straight session (this is why Dec 15 $690 is a good swing play)SPY rose 0.2%, extending the cautious rebound from November’s pullback.Treasuries firmed. The Dollar strengthened.Bitcoin surged above $93,000, hitting a two-week high after shedding more than $1 trillion in value during the recent downturn.The tape moved before the narrative caught up.All of it is happening ahead
SPY Rebound: Targeting $690 as Payroll Data Looms

SPY - December Opens With Cross-Asset Stress Shock

BREAKING: Dec opens with $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ down almost 1%A single session revealing how fragile the market really is.SPY key levels of support are at $678 and $675. If we fail that there big demand zone from $670-$672.50 (see chart below).The day the “soft-landing” dream met its first real test.While traders positioned for a calm December, Bitcoin collapsed below $87,000, triggering a broad crypto-equity spillover.SPY futures slipped 0.5%. MAG7 all opened red. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ fell 1.1% in pre-market alone.The market moved before the bell even rang.Japan fired the second shot.The 2-year JGB yield surged to its highest level since 2008, after Governor Ueda delivered the strongest
SPY - December Opens With Cross-Asset Stress Shock

10 catalysts for SPY in Dec 2025 for target 700+

10 catalysts for SPY in Dec 2025 for target 700+ (possibly 710+)1. 25–50 bp cut on Dec 10 (releasing dot plot)→ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ 2. Decrease in November inflation (CPI) report→ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Visa(V)$ $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ 3. BITCOIN rally back towards $100,000+ and $120,000+→
10 catalysts for SPY in Dec 2025 for target 700+

Is SPY About to Repeat Its Biggest Rally Since 1933?

8 months ago, $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ ripped $481 to $689 thats 43% return. This only happened once since 1933.The exact set-up happens again in 3 days.DON'T MISS IT and here's how to play it Here's the set-up. Back in April 2025, SPY dropped below 20SMA and 50SMA then exploded with a massive catalyst.Its happening again and the catalyst is Dec 10 FOMC when JPOW will cut rates. SPY is now ABOVE 20SMA and 50SMA again. I like to add SPY calls for a scalp or swing as soon as it dips under $678 or lower: For SG users only, welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Complete your first Cash Boost
Is SPY About to Repeat Its Biggest Rally Since 1933?

Here's why SPY will create an explosion

4 massive catalyst that will send $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ towards $700+ or back under $650.Here's why this will create an explosion 🧵 Here's the 4 catalyst this week:1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ earnings today at 4pm EST (expected to beat and raise guidance)2. OPEX and Volatile products are expire this week3. THURS at 8:30am (labour market data for Sept and Oct)4. FOMC meeting minutes today at 2pm EST. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ likely to settle back under 16. And SPY is forming support above $655 so this area will have to hold this week.SPY wants to climb back above 50SMA quickly at 669. Of course it doesnt have to but the season winds of NOVEMBER should kick in
Here's why SPY will create an explosion

SPY dropped under 50SMA at $670

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ dropped under 50SMA at $670. The last time it dropped under 50SMA was on Feb 24 from $600. Then it crashed all the way to $480 before it bounced back towards $680.SPY doesn't like staying below 50SMA too long. THe market tends to stay ABOVE this green line: Today at rock bottom of the market, I called out calls and bullputsBanked $15k today on my daily breadsometimes you don’t have to guess where the market will go, but you just have to guess where the market WONT to make money follow my Instagram to learn my tip on credit spreads, but I trade these with my community every single day! For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, u
SPY dropped under 50SMA at $670

SPY Weak Below Key SMAs as Rate-Cut Odds Collapse

This $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ chart explains everything. Right now, sentiment is bad because FEDS are unsure of rate cuts in December. They were 95% sure they would cut rates, but now they are 50% sure.SPY sits below 20SMA (red line) and 50SMA (green line) right now. Both signs of weakness.SPY doesn't like to sit under 50SMA too long. Last time it went other it bounced for 4 days straight from $661-$684. SPY demand zone right now is at $661-$662 area again. So I'd be patient and watch for buyers on 1HR and 4HR time frames.We could go lower to $653 (40% chance). For SG users only, a tool to boost your purchasing power and trading ideas with a Cash Boost Account!Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,
SPY Weak Below Key SMAs as Rate-Cut Odds Collapse

Why a 25% Win Rate Can Still Make You a Millionaire Trader

You only need to be right 1 out of 4 TRADES to be a millionaire trader in 2026:Here's how:1. Every trade you risk $0.50, but aim to take $1.50–$2.00+ profit2. At 1:3 or 1:4 risk-reward, you can be wrong 70–75% of the time and STILL grow your account.3. The only requirement:Cut at –$0.50 every time.Take profits at +$1.50–$2.00 every time.4. Most traders fail not because of setups but because they don’t honor risk and they sell winners too early. For SG users only, a tool to boost your purchasing power and trading ideas with a Cash Boost Account!Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Complete your first Cash Boost Account trade with a trade
Why a 25% Win Rate Can Still Make You a Millionaire Trader

Market Deadlocked on December Cuts as SPY Targets $700+

Market is split in middle for December rate cut.📉 51.6% think we drop to 350–375 bps📈 48.4% think we stay at 375–400 bpsThis is maximum uncertainty and pain right now. But, I still think $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ hits $700+ in Nov.The pain of holding is the price of freedom. The pain of selling early is the cost of staying stuck.You MUST focus on holding longer and overcoming the fear of uncertainty and when it comes to taking a loss be confident For SG users only, a tool to boost your purchasing power and trading ideas with a Cash Boost Account!Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Comple
Market Deadlocked on December Cuts as SPY Targets $700+

SPY: Post-Shutdown Rally Signals Bullish Setup

The last US GOV shutdown ended on Jan, 25, 2019. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ ripped 20 weeks straight towads from $270-$300 for 8% gain.Exactly 1 year later, SPY hit $340 for 25% return and then crashed on February 10, 2020 (covid pandemic).This is extremely bullish I'd be holding SPY calls. 5 catalyst for SPY to hit $700+ in Nov:1. US GOV shutdown ends tonight on Nov 92. FEDS cut rates on Dec 10. and end QT on Dec 13. NVDA MU earnings on Nov 194. $2000 dividend to Americans5. 2026 FISCAL policy is expansionaryIf you missed adding SPY calls for SWING. Add Nov 28 $700 calls.For SG users only, a tool to boost your purchasing power and trading ideas with a Cash Boost Account!Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up t
SPY: Post-Shutdown Rally Signals Bullish Setup

5 plays that can go 500%-1000% in 2026

5 plays that can go 500%-1000% in 2026:1. $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ Calls Jan 2027 $40 for $5 can go to $50+2. $Quantumscape Corp.(QS)$ Calls Jan 2027 $25 for $5 can go to $50+3. $Eos Energy Enterprises Inc.(EOSE)$ Calls Jan 2027 $25 for $6 can go to $60+4. $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ Calls Jan 2027 $35 for $7 can go to $70+5. $SEALSQ Corp(LAES)$ Calls Jan 2027 $5 for $2 can go to $20+I'm known to pick 1000% winners: $IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ at $7 $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ at $8
5 plays that can go 500%-1000% in 2026

20 steps to turn $2000 into $1,000,000+ in 2026

20 steps to turn $2000 into $1,000,000+ in 2026 (if you work full-time)1. Open 2 brokerage accounts 1 for swing trading and 1 for scalping.2. Put $1000 into it each of them.3. Use $1000 for scalping so take only 0-3 trades a day max (always, do not break this rule)3. Use $1000 for swing trading 1-2 contracts at a time. Pick strong companies $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$
20 steps to turn $2000 into $1,000,000+ in 2026

SPY, NVDA, and IREN: Key Short-Term Swing Plays Amid Overvalued Market

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ above $672 can push it higher 20-30 points in 3 weeks.But, everything looks overvalued right now.Focus on these 3 plays for massive gains #1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Dec 5 2025 for $695-$700#2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Dec 26 2025 for $220-$250#3. $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ Jan 16 2026 for $100For small accounts choose SPY and always choose 2-3 weeks for swing.IREN is one of the 10 stocks we like to hold becuase it is so strong. Let us know if you want all 10.1 month ago when SPY hit $653, I stated here this would be the LOW OF THE YEAR now I have a target for SPY to $700+ in 2-3 weeks.Rules for th
SPY, NVDA, and IREN: Key Short-Term Swing Plays Amid Overvalued Market

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