NVIDIA: From the Trough to a Comeback – The AI Giant’s Road to Recovery

ToNi
04-22

The Time to Strike Back Has Come!

On April 22, 2025, NVIDIA (NVDA), a titan in the AI realm, is quietly but resolutely sounding the horn of a counterattack. The stock closed at $98.89 in after-hours trading, up $1.98 (+2.004%) from the previous session, with an additional $0.11 (+0.111%) gain post-market. From technical signals to fundamental strengths and the latest market developments, NVIDIA’s resilience and potential are sparking a question in investors’ minds: Is this the perfect moment to jump in? Let’s dive in and find out.

Technical Analysis: Signs of Stabilization from the Lows

Looking at the daily chart, NVIDIA’s stock price had soared to a high of $143.44 earlier in 2025 but later faced a significant pullback, dropping to a low of $86.62. Recently, however, the stock has shown signs of recovery, breaking through short-term moving averages (MA5: $102.80, MA10: $105.38) and approaching longer-term ones (MA20: $106.60, MA30: $110.13). This movement suggests that selling pressure may have subsided, with the key support level at $97.42 holding firm. If the stock can maintain this level, it might even challenge higher resistance in the near future. The technical stabilization signals are laying the groundwork for NVIDIA’s comeback journey.

Fundamentals: The Confidence of an AI King

NVIDIA remains a powerhouse in AI and GPU technology, with fundamentals as solid as ever. On April 15, 2025, the company launched the GeForce RTX 5060 series GPUs, starting at just $299, featuring DLSS 4 and full ray tracing to deliver an immersive gaming experience. This new product not only strengthens NVIDIA’s position in the consumer market but also acts as a catalyst for its stock price recovery.

More crucially, NVIDIA’s dominance in AI is unshakable. The MLPerf Inference V5.0 benchmarks revealed that its Blackwell platform set new records in AI inference tasks, underscoring its technological lead. Additionally, NVIDIA is partnering to build AI supercomputer manufacturing facilities in the U.S., bolstering its supply chain and market competitiveness. Financially, the company is thriving: Q4 2025 revenue reached $393 billion, up 78% year-over-year, with full-year revenue hitting $1,305 billion, a staggering 114% increase. These figures reflect NVIDIA’s ability to capitalize on the AI boom and its unwavering confidence in future growth.

Market Dynamics: Challenges and Opportunities Coexist

Despite its strong fundamentals, NVIDIA hasn’t been immune to challenges. On April 17, 2025, market sentiment took a hit due to Fed Chair Powell’s comments on slowing economic growth and new U.S. restrictions on chip exports to China, causing NVIDIA’s stock to dip. However, the rebound by April 22 suggests that the market’s long-term confidence in NVIDIA remains intact. Moreover, GeForce NOW added 11 new games, and Isomorphic Labs’ collaboration with NVIDIA to advance AI-driven drug discovery highlights the company’s ongoing efforts to expand its ecosystem.

The Horn of a Counterattack Has Sounded

Putting it all together, NVIDIA is steadily climbing out of its trough. Technical stabilization, robust fundamentals, and warming market sentiment are converging to fuel its counterattack. For investors, the current price level might present a compelling entry point, though caution is warranted given market volatility and external policy risks. It’s advisable to keep a close eye on NVIDIA’s latest updates and align decisions with personal risk tolerance.

NVIDIA’s road to recovery is just beginning. As a pioneer in the AI era, can this “green beast” reclaim its peak? Let’s stay tuned and see!

Key Citations:

• GeForce RTX 5060 Family Transforms Ordinary PCs Into Next-Generation Gaming Rigs

• NVIDIA Blackwell Sets New Records in MLPerf Inference V5.0 Benchmarks

• NVIDIA Announces Financial Results for Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2025

• NVIDIA Working with Partners to Build AI Supercomputers in U.S.

• Indexes Drop as Fed’s Powell Says Growth Appears to be Slowing; Nvidia Tumbles

• Spring Into Action With 11 New Games on GeForce NOW

• Isomorphic Labs Rethinks Drug Discovery With AI

• Latest NVIDIA News and Updates

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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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