$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ ππ§ π $UPST: THE VOLATILITY VANGUARD EYES A MONSTROUS MOVE ππ§ π
Prepare for lift-off. $UPST reports after-hours today, 07 May 2025, NZ Time, and it is the top winner of implied move across the board, priced for fireworks π
With a projected revenue of $201.1M, open interest at 320,008 contracts, and an options market baking in a +/-17.37% move ($8.71), this is no ordinary earnings day. This is the battleground of the week.
Past reactions tell the story of a stock that doesnβt tiptoe on earnings:
β +31.82%
β +46.02%
β +39.51%
β -5.56%
Despite a -25.53% drop since the last report, todayβs setup suggests traders are betting big on a reversal. The bar chart data shows a Q4 2024 revenue surge, breaking a two-year slump and breathing life back into this fallen fintech.
From the chart, price is hugging the $50.15 level, just beneath the 150-day moving average, with a classic mean reversion setup. The yellow channel gives clear visual structure, and a breakout could be violent. RSI and MACD signal momentum is building.
Realised volatility sits at 1.55, but historical earnings swings suggest thatβs about to spike. The street may be underestimating just how fast sentiment can flip.
This isnβt just a trade. Itβs a test case in crowd psychology, mean reversion, and macro risk-on appetite.
π Q1 2025 earnings drop today after close, 07 May 2025, NZ Time π³πΏ
π Technical trigger: watch for break and hold above 150 MA
π Psychological trigger: reclaim of the $55 zone
π§ Fundamental catalyst: revenue inflection vs. AI risk-model scrutiny
π’ Donβt miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets ππ Iβm obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Letβs outsmart the market and stack those gains together! π
Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC πππππ
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