๐จ๐๐ง Volatility mispricing beneath the surface, what $AMD and $ORCL are quietly telling us ๐๐ง ๐จ
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Oracle(ORCL)$ $Western Digital(WDC)$ I want to focus on a volatility screen that highlights structural mispricing rather than headline noise. This is not a list of volatile stocks. It is a list of stocks where options have been historically underpriced relative to the actual realised moves in the underlying. The attached table ranks stocks by Volatility Scorecard, with most names clustered between 96 and 100. That immediately tells me implied volatility has repeatedly failed to reflect realised volatility, not occasionally, but ac
๐โก๐ Tesla Rewrites the Tape at New Highs as $500 Becomes the Marketโs Gravity Point ๐โก๐
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Bullish $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ Bullish$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ 22Dec25 ๐บ๐ธ|23Dec25 ๐ณ๐ฟ ๐ My Daily Structure And Technical Read Price Discovery at New Highs Iโm watching $TSLA behave exactly how a momentum led breakout should. The stock printed a fresh all time high at $498.93, tagged my $498.8 blue band almost to the cent, and pulled back in a controlled, mechanical way. That response was not emotional selling. It was liquidity being tested and absorbed. ๐ Options Flow and Dealer Positioning There has been a heavy concentration of weekly $500 strike call activity, dominated by sweeps and blocks. Dealers
๐คโก๐ Quantum Options Signal Turns Aggressively One-Sided ๐โก๐ค
$D-Wave Quantum Inc.(QBTS)$ Bullish $IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ Bullish $Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ Bullish 22Dec25 ๐บ๐ธ|23Dec25 ๐ณ๐ฟ Iโm seeing a familiar early-cycle signal across quantum names, and itโs coming from positioning, not headlines. Put/call ratios across the group have collapsed to extreme lows versus their 20-day norms. That tells me traders are pressing direction, not hedging exposure. ๐ Options Positioning Is Doing the Talking The Bloomberg snapshot is unambiguous. Todayโs put/call ratios sit deeply compressed across $QBTS $IONQ $RGTI $QUBT versus their own recent history. When ratios dislocate this far, it reflects urgency and leverage,
๐โก๐ Tesla $TSLA Tightens At $483.50 As $500 Or Failure At $477 Comes Into Focus ๐โก๐
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ 21Dec25 ๐บ๐ธ|22Dec25 ๐ณ๐ฟ Iโm treating this as a classic compression phase at elevated levels. $TSLA needs to hold $483.50 on a daily closing basis to keep the path toward $500 open. Price is tightening and needs to choose a direction. A hard loss of $477 would signal failed acceptance and, quite simply, no presents under the tree ๐ฒ for this name. ๐ My Daily Structure And Technical Read I anchor to the higher timeframe first. $TSLA has printed record weekly closes in the high $490s, which carries material
๐๐ฐ๏ธ๐ Rocket Lab Execution Is Forcing Repricing ๐๐ฐ๏ธ๐
$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ $Northrop Grumman(NOC)$ $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ 21Dec25 ET ๐บ๐ธ | 22Dec25 NZ ๐ณ๐ฟ Iโm watching Rocket Lab move through a phase that separates real space companies from stories. Mission success, contract validation, analyst upgrades, and technically confirmed price discovery are now aligning. This is not a single headline move. This is layered execution. ๐ฐ๏ธ Mission Reliability Is Now Compounding Iโm starting with operations because that is where value is earned in this industry. Rocket Lab has now completed its 21st successful Ele
๐๐ฅ๐ Weekly Market Recap for week ending 19Dec25 20Dec25 ET ๐บ๐ธ | 21Dec25 NZ ๐ณ๐ฟ
$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ Bullish $Micron Technology(MU)$ Bullish $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ๐ฆ Market Pulse From my seat, the tape confirmed structural strength rather than late cycle excess. The S&P 500 settled at 6,834.78, up +0.89% on the session, extending 2025 gains to +16%, and when I map this year against the full S&P 500 return distribution back to 1928, it registers as a solid double digit outcome rather than an outlier melt up. That distinction matters to me for forward expectations, valuation tolerance, and risk management discipline. What stands out to me next is the NASDAQ Composite closing at 23,307.62, up +1.31%. I read
@Queengirlypops:$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ I luv โค๏ธ seeing a true Rocket ๐ rocketing and my long term play soaring with fresh ๐ฐ fr! Big shoutout to @Barcode for this setup it's sure volatile with big moves but I'm in for the long haul to da moon ๐ love living close to the rocketlab facility in da city of sails in da land down under ๐ณ๐ฟ ๐ง
@Tui Jude:$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ I trimmed some positions for a little weekend cash to ๐ฆ Will look to add more positions once @Barcode gives me the nod! Happy Christmas everyone! ๐๐๐๐
I find this timing interesting. Nancy Pelosi retires at the end of this year and her disclosed portfolio is up 224% since early 2023. This is the final reported weighting as she exits public office, and itโs a reminder of how consistently sheโs been positioned in the right parts of the market. Final top holdings into retirement ~ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$$Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$$Amazon.com(AMZN)$$Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF(SCHO)$$Broadcom(AVGO)$ That mix says AI infrastructure, cloud, security, and durable cash flow. You donโt land on those weights by accident. ๐๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ จ
@Barcode:๐๐ง ๐ $NVDA Into Year-End, Calm Vol, OPEX Distortions and the $2T AI Reckoning ๐๐ง ๐
@Kiwi Tigress:$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ Got better than yesterdays wake up ๐ฒ ๐ happy weekend espesh for us Kiwis fr TY @Barcode Santa arvd early fr ๐ฅ
@Kiwi Tigress:$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ took profit too goooooood to not take some Christmas ๐ money fr ๐ค๐ค๐ค ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ THANKS FOR THE XMAS PRESSIE @Barcode
๐๐ง ๐ $NVDA Into Year-End, Calm Vol, OPEX Distortions and the $2T AI Reckoning ๐๐ง ๐
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$ ๐ 19Dec25 ๐บ๐ธ | 20Dec25 ๐ณ๐ฟ, Context Before Conclusions Iโm framing everything below through the lens of a major year-end expiry window. This is quadruple witching and OPEX territory, where equity options, index options, single-stock futures, and index futures all roll simultaneously. These events routinely distort spot price, compress realised volatility, and mute price discovery as dealer hedging dominates tape action. What looks calm on the surface often masks aggressive positioning shifts undernea
๐๐๐ Rocket Lab $RKLB enters blue sky as a defence space re-rating begins ๐๐๐
$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ๐บ๐ธ 19Dec25 | 20Dec25 ๐ณ๐ฟ Iโve spent decades watching aerospace and defence cycles rotate in and out of favour, and true regime shifts are rare. Whatโs unfolding in $RKLB is one of them. This is no longer a launch narrative trading on aspiration. The market is now treating Rocket Lab as a vertically integrated defence space manufacturer with durable, government-backed revenue and long-runway optionality across spacecraft, launch, and constellation services. The catalyst was decisive
๐โก๐ Tesla $TSLA: Liquidity Absorption, Autonomy Momentum, And Platform Optionality Into Year End ๐โก๐
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Bullish $Oracle(ORCL)$ Bullish $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Bullish 19Dec25 ๐บ๐ธ|20Dec25 ๐ณ๐ฟ Structure holding below prior highs as liquidity is absorbed into quadruple witching and Opex distortions. Real-time context into todayโs session. Historically in 2025, when $TSLAโs first 15-minute candle opens red, the stock has only closed green around 20% of the time. Same setup today. I treat this as probabilistic context, not a signal, especially into Opex and quadruple witching conditions. ๐ My Daily Structure And Technical Read I am reading $TSLA through a consolidation and absorption lens rather than deterioration. On the 4 hour chart,
@Kiwi Tigress:$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ ๐ฅณ YAY I'm so stoked to wake up to my fav NZ๐ณ๐ฟ company Pumpin today on news catalyst Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) saw its stock surge 5.02% during Thursday's intraday trading session following the successful launch of the STP-S30 mission for the U.S. Space Forceโs Space Systems Command. The mission, completed five months ahead of schedule, underscores Rocket Lab's operational excellence and reliability in the space industry. The 'Donโt Be Such A Square' mission deployed four DiskSat spacecraft to a 550km low Earth orbit, advancing technologies critical for U.S. space superiority. Rocket Lab's ability to deliver this mission ahead of schedule highlights its agility and responsiveness, key factors in its growing reputation
๐๐ง ๐ฅ The Quiet 2026 Tech Winners, Under-Penetration, Monetisation and Margin Expansion ๐ฅ๐ง ๐
$ServiceTitan(TTAN)$$AppFolio(APPF)$ $Autodesk(ADSK)$ KeyBancโs 2026 high-conviction tech picks stand out because they are grounded in execution, not narrative. When I overlay the analyst work with what Iโm seeing across fundamentals, earnings, options flow, and chart structure, the message tightens further. This is about structural growth that compounds quietly, not short-term noise. ๐ง $TTAN ServiceTitan continues to look like a category winner in an economy that remains structurally under-digitised. Trades software penetration is still below 10%, and that gap is being closed by labour sc
Iโm watching this as a textbook structure retest. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ came back to the blue trendline, held it cleanly, and responded with a constructive bounce rather than a momentum failure. That tells me buyers are still active on dips, not chasing extensions. The pivot now is $491. Acceptance above it keeps the structure in continuation mode. Failure to reclaim it likely opens a controlled pullback, not a breakdown, toward the next liquidity pocket where demand previously stepped in. This still reads as digestion, not distribution! ๐ค๐ฆพ๐ ๐๐ค๐ฉ สแดแดแดส TESLA แดสแดแด ษชษดษข แดสแดแดแด ! แดสแดแดสs, สแด ๐๐๐
@Barcode:๐โก๐ $TSLA Tightens Structure As Autonomy Momentum And Institutional Flow Re-Align ๐โก๐
๐โก๐ $TSLA Tightens Structure As Autonomy Momentum And Institutional Flow Re-Align ๐โก๐
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Bullish $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Bullish $Micron Technology(MU)$ Bullish 18Dec25 ๐บ๐ธ|19Dec25 ๐ณ๐ฟ ๐จ New high of the day! Iโm noting the strength, but Iโm not ignoring the noise. While price continues to press higher and structure tightens constructively, regulatory headlines around historical FSD marketing and macro signals pointing to fewer US rate cuts in 2025 sit in the background. For now, neither has disrupted structure, flow, or institutional behaviour. I treat this as risk awareness, not trend invalidation, and I let the chart decide when that changes. ๐ My Daily Structure And Technical Read Iโm focused on struc
๐จโ๏ธ๐ง $ASML FACES A MONOPOLY STRESS TEST AS CHINA ACCELERATES EUV INDEPENDENCE ๐ง โ๏ธ๐จ ๐ณ๐ฑ๐จ๐ณ๐บ๐ธ GEOPOLITICS โข EUV CONTROL โข GAMMA-DRIVEN DOWNSIDE RISK ๐บ๐ธ๐จ๐ณ๐ณ๐ฑ
$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$$Micron Technology(MU)$ $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ ๐ Why this โ5% move matters, and why the market is reacting now, not later! Iโm treating todayโs $ASML selloff as structurally important, not headline noise. Reuters has confirmed that China has built a working EUV light-generation prototype inside a Shenzhen lab, led by former $ASML engineers, coordinated through a Huawei-linked program, and assembled using repurposed ASML, Nikon, and Canon components. This system is not producing chips. This system is not commercially viable. But the direction is now ir