Lanceljx
05-08

This highlights the strong earnings performance of most of the "Magnificent 7" tech companies, despite some concerns about guidance and seasonal factors. Here's a breakdown of the situation:


Key Observations:


1. Alphabet: Strong revenue and EPS performance, reflecting continued resilience in its core advertising business and other segments like cloud computing.



2. Microsoft: A 10% stock surge underscores robust earnings growth and optimism surrounding AI-driven opportunities, especially in its Azure and productivity suites.



3. Meta: Strong advertising revenue suggests improved monetisation and user engagement across its platforms, countering broader economic concerns.



4. Apple and Amazon: While weaker guidance affected sentiment, both companies exceeded earnings expectations, showing operational strength.




Factors to Consider:


Soft Guidance: Weaker projections for the next quarter may signal caution amid macroeconomic uncertainties or expected slower growth post-pandemic.


Seasonal Headwinds: Q2 often brings challenges like lower consumer spending and budget adjustments, which may affect performance across the sector.


Valuation: Many Big Tech stocks are trading at high multiples, making them vulnerable to corrections if growth slows.



Strategic Options:


1. Hold:


If you believe in the long-term prospects of Big Tech, particularly their ability to leverage AI, cloud computing, and advertising innovations, holding through short-term volatility may be prudent.




2. Trim Positions:


Consider reducing exposure to companies with weaker guidance (e.g., Apple and Amazon) while maintaining stakes in high-growth opportunities like Microsoft and Meta.




3. Diversify:


Look into undervalued sectors or regions to reduce concentration risk, especially if you're concerned about over-reliance on Big Tech.


Mag 7’s Pricey But Promising: Would You Ride the Last 30%?
After a strong May, the current "Magnificent 7" trades at a 42x forward P/E ratio — still about 30% below the average peak valuation of past U.S. market bubbles (58x). Despite a surge in tech hedge fund buying last week, institutional exposure to the “Mag 7” remains at a five-year low. Now that the Mag 7 has rallied to new highs, should we stay bullish — or avoid chasing the last dollar? What does it signal when institutional exposure to the Mag 7 is this low? Should retail investors buy now and wait for institutions to chase the rally — or follow the “smart money” and stay cautious?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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