$Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$ $MARA Holdings(MARA)$ $Kenvue Inc(KVUE)$ 🚨📈🎬 Thursday Thunder: WBD, MARA, KVUE Steal the Spotlight 📈🎬🚨

08May25 🇺🇸 USA | 09May25 🇳🇿NZST

The market’s holding its breath! Today’s earnings session is a Q1 powder keg, with high-beta names, macro catalysts, and options markets signalling seismic moves. This isn’t just a trading day, it’s a defining moment for May’s momentum. From Hollywood’s tariff turmoil to crypto’s breakout potential, we’re dissecting the setups with surgical precision. Charts, flows, and macro triggers are locked and loaded.

Let’s dominate!

📊 Earnings Snapshot: Options-Implied Moves

Before Open:

$SHOP (±9.5%)

$WBD (±8.4%)

$PTON (±13.3%)

$COP (±2.8%)

$CROX (±10.0%)

$HUT (±8.4%)

$QBTS (±11.7%)

$KVUE (±4.4%)

$LNG (±4.5%)

$VTRS (±8.2%)

After Close:

$COIN (±6.5%)

$MARA (±6.1%)

$TTD (±12.4%)

$RKLB (±9.4%)

$SOUN (±12.3%)

$NET (±10.2%)

$DKNG (±8.4%)

$PINS (±12.1%)

$AFRM (±11.4%)

$TOST (±9.6%)

🎬 Spotlight: $WBD ~ Warner Bros. Discovery

Tariff Tensions Meet Technical Breakout

Technicals:

WBD’s daily chart is poised for liftoff. Elliott Wave suggests a bottoming C-wave within the 0.786–0.886 Fibonacci zone ($8.20–$8.50). RSI is curling from oversold, and the looming golden cross could turbocharge a breakout. $10.06 is the key level. Clear that, and we could see $13.50–$14 in play by June.

Recent Data:

Close: $8.56

Volume: 51.9M (vs 45.1M avg)

IV: 67.64% (+4 pts)

Put/Call Ratio: 0.48

May $9 calls: 11,100 contracts traded

Macro Catalyst:

Trump’s proposal for a 100% tariff on foreign-made films hit media stocks hard. WBD is particularly exposed, with international productions like Minecraft filmed in New Zealand. However, the Berman Amendment likely blocks this move legally, framing the dip as a fear overreaction. Analysts remain bullish, with an average target of $13.03 and an overweight rating.

Sentiment:

Retail is piling into calls, and institutional dark pool orders are 62% on the bid!

🎯 Watch: A clean break above $10.06 post-earnings, sustained May $9 call activity, and any statement clarifying Trump’s stance. A beat on EPS (consensus -0.14) could spark a 10%+ rally.

🪙 Spotlight: $MARA ~ Marathon Digital Holdings

Crypto Coiled for Breakout

Technicals:

The chart structure is textbook. An inverse head & shoulders formation is tightening near the 20EMA, with compression into a wedge. Fib resistance sits at $19.57 with volume shelves at $20.00 and $25.00.

Recent Data:

Close: $19.12

IV: 72.1%

Put/Call Ratio: 0.52

BTC Production (April): 705 (down 15%)

Hash Rate: 57.3 EH/s (+5.5%)

BTC Holdings: 48,237 BTC ($4.64B value at $97K)

Fundamentals:

Consensus EPS: -0.06

MARA continues to HODL its Bitcoin, delaying realised gains. Short float is over 12%, and with BTC pushing toward $100K, the fuel for a squeeze is present.

Macro Tailwind:

Crypto chatter is dominated by “$100K BTC” forecasts. Trump’s pro-crypto posture adds speculative fire.

🎯 Watch: $20.00 breakout if BTC surges or earnings beat on efficiency. Downside risk to $17.50 if guidance disappoints. Chart is coiled, ready to expand.

🧴 Spotlight: $KVUE – Kenvue

Activist Alpha in a Defensive Titan

Technicals:

KVUE is pressing the upper wedge on its weekly chart, with RSI at 64 and EMAs stacked for a bullish crossover. Price needs to clear $23.75 to confirm breakout momentum.

Recent Data:

Close: $23.24

P/E: 20.7x

IV: ±4.4%

Unusual volume: May $24 calls seeing a +400% spike in open interest

Fundamentals:

EPS consensus: $0.22 (-21% YoY)

Despite this, KVUE has beaten estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters. Third Point hedge fund is pushing for the divestiture of its Skin Health & Beauty unit, valued at $9–11B. That would leave a lean, higher-margin portfolio likely to attract suitors like Haleon or Reckitt.

Sentiment:

M&A speculation is rising, and dark pool orders are 58% on the buy side. High institutional ownership continues to grow.

🎯 Watch: $23.75 breakout with strong earnings or spin-off update. If the divestiture narrative gains traction, $26 by Q3 is realistic.

🔥 Honourable Mentions:

   •   $PTON (±13.3%): Sentiment hinges on margin recovery and brand turnaround

   •   $COIN (±6.5%): Forming inverse H&S into earnings, neckline retest imminent

   •   $TTD (±12.4%): AI adtech leader, $140 resistance key

   •   $SOUN (±12.3%): High IV speculative play

   •   $PINS (±12.1%): Monetisation upside could drive a 15% post-earnings move

   •   $AFRM (±11.4%): Macro pressures but bullish skew in options

📌 Macro Context:

   •   S&P near all-time highs

   •   VIX at 22 and falling

   •   FOMC pause in effect, rate hike fears receding

   •   Trump’s foreign film tariffs spooking media and Hollywood

   •   BTC nearing $100K, sending MARA and COIN into hyper focus

This isn't just earnings. It’s the perfect storm of technicals, macro risk, and options-driven setups. The charts are tight, the flows are loud, and the market is primed to move.

📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets 🚀📈 I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Let’s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! 🍀

Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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