$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ ⚡💸🧠 $COIN Earnings = Crypto’s Moment of Truth. Will the Blockchain Broker Bounce? 🧠💸⚡

$COIN Earnings🚨

Implied Move: $12.77 (+6.50%)

Open Interest: 1,078,373

Past Earnings Reactions:

-7.98% ❌

-15.34% ❌

-3.86% ❌

-2.45% ❌

Change Since Last Report: -33.75% ❌

Bitcoin just surged above $101K. Yet Coinbase remains stuck in the mud. With four straight negative earnings reactions and a 33.75 percent drop since its last report, the market is demanding more than numbers. It wants vision, conviction, and a breakout.

With a $12.77 move priced in and earnings tonight, this is no ordinary event. This is a macro referendum on crypto infrastructure and a micro test of Coinbase’s evolving business model.

🧠 TrendCloud and Momentum Say It’s Time

$COIN is pressing against the $199 ceiling. The daily TrendCloud is thinning, and MACD momentum has shifted decisively. DIF is now 60.56, well above MACD at 39.52. Break that $199 level with volume, and this chart flips structurally bullish. Fall short, and we revisit $186 or worse.

📊 Q1 2025 Expectations

   •   EPS: $1.98

   •   Revenue: $2.09B

   •   Bitcoin: $101,387.84, highest print of 2025

   •   MACD: Bullish crossover, growing separation

   •   Volatility: Tightly coiled, waiting to detonate

🧨 What Bears Are Still Leaning On

   •   Four consecutive post-earnings selloffs

   •   Regulatory pressure remains unresolved

   •   ETF inflows are cooling

   •   Retail trading volumes have plateaued

But here is the edge. Coinbase is no longer a retail brokerage. It is a financial backbone. It is monetising custody, staking, stablecoin velocity, and Layer 2 infrastructure. It is becoming crypto’s prime brokerage.

🔥 Why Bulls Are Lining Up

   •   Custody revenue from spot BTC ETFs is sticky, recurring, and growing

   •   Institutional flows are accelerating across staking, API access, and base-layer usage

   •   International expansion is scaling across Europe and Singapore

   •   Bitcoin just hit a 2025 high, yet Coinbase remains deeply discounted

📈 Technical Battle Zones

   •   Bullish breakout trigger: $199

   •   Acceleration targets: $220, $275, $350

   •   Breakdown risk: $186, then $175

   •   Reload support: $140, anchored by Fib and historic demand

👁️ What to Watch Post-Earnings

   •   Institutional versus retail revenue mix

   •   ETF custody impact on margins

   •   Legal and regulatory commentary

   •   Outlook on Q2 trading activity, staking, and Layer 2 monetisation

This report isn't just about one quarter. It is a declaration of Coinbase’s identity in a post-ETF world. If it positions itself as the financial OS for decentralised capital, this stock will not just bounce, it will lead. The question is not whether $COIN can move. It is whether traders will recognise the infrastructure premium before Wall Street does.

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