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05-17

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ 💸📈🅱️ U͎ L͎ L͎ I͎ S͎ H͎ 🐂🚨⚡📈 Tesla’s Electrifying Ascent: A First-Person Deep Dive into Technicals, Macros, and the Autonomous Future 📈⚡🚨

I’ve been tracking Tesla’s stock ($TSLA) with keen interest, and I’m genuinely excited about where it’s headed. At this moment, the numbers, the broader economic landscape, and the company’s bold moves converge into a compelling narrative. One that suggests Tesla is on the cusp of something extraordinary. Let me walk you through my analysis, blending technical insights, macroeconomic forces, and the latest developments, all while offering a perspective that digs deeper than the surface noise.

📊 Technical Analysis: Momentum with Precision

As I examine Tesla’s daily chart, the stock sits at $347, a level that’s anything but random. This price marks the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement from its November 2024 peak, a point where markets often pause to reassess. What’s striking is how Tesla blasted through its 200-day moving average (200MA) after tracing out a textbook bull flag. That’s not just a casual uptick. It’s a signal of intent. The bull flag, a tight consolidation following a sharp rally, hints at a continuation. The 200MA break confirms the momentum is real.

In just four trading days, Tesla filled a volume gap between $275 and $350. That move screams aggressive buying, likely institutional.

The RSI is currently at 65, comfortably below the overbought level of 70, leaving plenty of runway for upside. The MACD is also bullish, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, confirming sustained upward pressure. These aren’t just lines on a chart. They’re a pulse check on market conviction.

Looking ahead, I see $367 as the next key hurdle, aligning with the 78.6% Fib retracement. Clear that, and $384 beckons. But if Tesla stumbles at $367, a pullback to $351 support is on the table. If that breaks, $396.36 could be in play, my “spooky season” low near October’s end.

If momentum holds, I’m eyeing $429.84 (a 26% move higher) and $457.27 (the 88.6% retracement) as short-term targets. Beyond that, Wave 3, Subwave 1 takes us to $578.48, with Wave 3 completion targeting $873.11. This isn’t speculation. It’s a roadmap grounded in price structure and volume logic.

🌍 Macroeconomic Context: Resilience Amid Turbulence

Tesla doesn’t operate in a vacuum. It moves with, and sometimes against, the global macro tide. Inflation, interest rates, and geopolitics are all tightening the noose on consumer spending. A $75,000 Model X isn’t easy to justify when borrowing costs spike. But Tesla’s brand equity and innovation buffer this pressure.

While the Nasdaq whipsaws on inflation data and Fed minutes, Tesla retains a hybrid identity, industrial strength with tech upside. That makes it unique. Global tailwinds continue to blow in its favour. The US’s $7.5B EV infrastructure plan, Europe’s Green Deal, and China’s electrification goals are all accelerants for a company already ahead of the curve in scale and battery tech.

🚗 Recent Events: Autonomy Steals the Spotlight

What’s got me most excited? Tesla’s 16-day countdown to Robotaxi launch in Austin, Texas. This is real. FSD (Supervised) is already being tested in Melbourne, Australia, proof of concept becoming proof of revenue.

These aren’t stunts. They’re signals. If successful, Tesla unlocks a revenue stream that dwarfs car sales. Think high-margin, recurring software income.

Q3 2024 earnings impressed. Deliveries hit 462,890 units, up 1% year-over-year despite cooling EV demand. Guidance was confident, citing strong demand and cost efficiencies. The global backdrop supports this. The IEA projects EV sales to reach 16.6M in 2025, up from 13.7M in 2024. Tesla’s 19% market share makes it the prime beneficiary.

Even the irony is bullish. Minnesota’s Governor Tim Walz celebrated Tesla’s decline. Yet the state holds 1.8M shares. Since his remarks, Tesla has surged over 50%. That’s not noise. That’s conviction hiding in plain sight.

🧠 Cathie Wood’s Lens: Exponential Ambition

Cathie Wood’s thesis is bold, but not irrational. She sees $TSLA reaching $2,600 by 2030, and I understand why.

She estimates 90% of Tesla’s future value will stem from Robotaxis, run as a SaaS business with 80% or higher margins. That’s leagues above the 15 to 20% margins of vehicle hardware. The math? Even 100,000 Robotaxis running 50 miles per day at $1 per mile equates to $1.8B annualised revenue. That’s just the start.

Then comes Optimus, Tesla’s humanoid robot. Musk projects 1M units per year by the decade’s end. He called it the fastest-scaling product in history. I’m not all-in on the numbers, but I get the thesis. Tesla is morphing into an AI robotics firm, not an automaker.

💡 Unique Insight: Tesla as the Autonomy Vanguard

Here’s where I deviate from consensus. Tesla isn’t just leading the EV race. It’s building an economic model that legacy automakers can’t replicate. Traditional manufacturers sit on razor-thin margins. Tesla’s betting on software, specifically FSD and Robotaxis, where margins scale and data compounds.

Autonomy, once cracked, becomes a data moat. Tesla harvests millions of real-world miles daily. That insight is monetisable. Add in Optimus, and we’ve got a company scaling into logistics, healthcare, and home automation. At $347, I don’t believe any of that is fully priced in.

📌 Forward-Looking Watchlist: Levels and Triggers

Here’s how I’m planning my next moves:

   •   Upside Breakout: A break of $367 opens the path to $384, then $429.84. A flawless Robotaxi debut could see $578.48, my Wave 3 Subwave 1 target.

   •   Pullback Scenarios: Rejection at $367 sees a retest of $351. Lose that, and $396.36 becomes my Halloween dip-buy level.

   •   Catalysts: June’s Robotaxi rollout is the centrepiece. Next earnings (23Jul25) and any regulatory FSD updates will shape sentiment. A dovish Fed pivot adds fuel.

   •   Long Shot: Wave 3 completes at $873.11 by end-2026, assuming autonomy scales successfully.

⚡ Closing Thoughts: Bullish and Charged Up

I’m unambiguously bullish. The technicals align. The macro is supportive. Autonomy is the wildcard, and Tesla is playing to win.

At $347, we’re far from cheap. But we’re also far from peak. This is no longer a car stock. It’s an emerging AI juggernaut with explosive margin upside.

Risks exist, whether they’re regulatory surprises, macro stress, or rollout delays. But Tesla has a habit of proving the doubters wrong. The tide has turned. And I’m thrilled to be riding this wave.

📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets 🚀📈 I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Let’s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! 🍀

Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerPicks @TigerWire @Daily_Discussion 

1 Trln Pay Package Approved! Tesla Sell the News: Hold for Long Term?
On November 6, more than 75% of shareholders voted in favor of Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s new compensation package. Under the plan, if Musk meets a series of milestones over the next ten years, he will gradually receive about 423.7 million restricted stock units (RSUs) — up to USD 1 trillion. Can Musk realistically hit these ambitious milestones in the next decade? Will this massive pay package truly align Tesla’s growth with shareholder interests After the approval, is Tesla a “sell the news” trade — or a long-term conviction hold?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Tui Jude
    05-17
    Tui Jude
    //@Hen Solo:

    Robotics are the future 100%! I would definitely invest in an ETF. Thank you for an excellent write up BC, most interesting!

  • Hen Solo
    05-17
    Hen Solo

    Robotics are the future 100%! I would definitely invest in an ETF. Thank you for an excellent write up BC, most interesting!

  • Tui Jude
    05-17
    Tui Jude

    A very sci-fi looking future 🤖 thank you for sharing BC! 💕

  • Cool Cat Winston
    05-17
    Cool Cat Winston

    Great article, would you like to share it?

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