$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is a great company, no question here.
What permabulls don’t understand is that valuation and being a great company are two different things.
They don’t understand this so they come up with fantasies to justify every valuation.
Robo-taxi creating $34 trillion EV by 2030 is a pure fantasy…
The global ride-hailing market now supports around $300-$500 billion EV.
Robo-taxi needs to grow the total volume 100x to add $34 trillion.
It’s not a capability problem, there is no such demand.
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2.
AI spending is not an option for hyperscalers, it’s a necessity…
None of them could afford to stop spending until all of them achieve AGI.
We don’t even know what else will be needed after that.
And we still have $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ trading at 26 times forward earnings.
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Data center GPU market shares won’t stay like this forever.
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has nowhere to go while $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ has a huge market before it to contest.
- UALink will erode NVLink’s edge.
- ROCm is slowly cathing up with CUDA.
- MI300X is better in inference than H200.
AMD is so cheap.
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