Stocks to Watch:
LVMH (MC.PA): Led gains post-delay; its pricing power mitigates some tariff impact, but aspirational buyers may pull back if economic growth slows.
Pandora (PNDORA.CO): Gained after the delay, though its emerging market supply chain exposure (e.g., Thailand, Vietnam) remains a risk.
Risks: Luxury demand is sensitive to economic growth and consumer confidence, which could weaken if trade tensions escalate.
European Banks:
Why They Benefit: Banks like HSBC and Standard Chartered, with Asia exposure, rallied as tariff fears eased, reducing recession risks that could hit loan demand.
Stocks to Watch:
HSBC (HSBA.L): Benefits from reduced trade war risks in Asia and Europe, though still vulnerable to global growth slowdown.
UniCredit (UCG.MI): Gained as EU tariff delays support eurozone economic stability.
Risks: Banks are sensitive to recessionary pressures and higher interest rates, which could rise if inflation spikes.
U.S. Tech (with Tariff Exemptions):
Why They Benefit: The exemption of smartphones, computers, and electronics from Chinese tariffs boosts tech firms reliant on Asian supply chains.
Stocks to Watch:
Apple (AAPL): Relies heavily on China/Taiwan; surged after electronics tariff exemptions. Still down 9% from tariff-related losses, offering a potential entry point.
Nvidia (NVDA): Benefits from tariff exemptions on chips; recent pullback (down 44% from peak) makes it attractive for long-term investors.
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM): Gains from tariff exemptions and potential supply chain shifts to non-tariffed regions like India.
Risks: Higher Treasury yields and potential Chinese retaliation (145% tariffs) could pressure tech valuations.
U.S. Domestic Producers:
Why They Benefit: Domestic firms like steel, lumber, and autos face less foreign competition due to remaining tariffs on non-EU countries (e.g., China’s 145%).
Stocks to Watch:
Tesla (TSLA): U.S.-focused manufacturing gives it a pricing edge over foreign automakers, though imported component costs are a concern.
Nucor (NUE): Steel producer benefits from 25% tariffs on non-EU steel/aluminum, reducing competition.
General Motors (GM): Surged >3% after Trump’s auto tariff exemption comments; domestic production shields it from import costs.
Risks: Higher input costs from tariffs on raw materials could squeeze margins.
Emerging Market Beneficiaries:
Why They Benefit: Countries like India, Vietnam, and Thailand may see supply chain shifts from China due to high tariffs (145%), boosting local manufacturers.
Stocks to Watch:
Indian ETFs (e.g., INDA): Indian manufacturers could expand in the U.S. market, especially in textiles and semiconductors.
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