July Sees 4-Month Winning Streak: Will August Crash Repeats?

Nasdaq has seen 4-month consecutive gains. Nasdaq and S&P 500 have risen 3.73% and 2.55% respectively this month. Historically, August hasn’t been a month with significant declines, though it tends to be more volatile and often ends higher. Last August, the market experienced a sharp drop but still closed up 2%. Could August bring a major pullback? And if it does, are you ready to buy the dip? Can you afford possible big swing? Will you choose to take some profits?

avatarTiger_comments
11:57

July Wrap-Up: After 4-Month Gains, Will August Fall into Which Scenario?

As July trading officially comes to a close, U.S. stocks delivered a solid "summer report card": $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ rose for a fourth consecutive month, gaining 3.73% in July. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ climbed 2.55%, once again reaching fresh all-time highs. Market sentiment remains supported by crypto strength and AI-driven optimism.🗓 A Look at Historical Trends: August Isn’t Bearish, but Volatility Tends to RiseWhen July ended with gains, August followed with gains 14 times — a 70% probability.However, August is also one of the most volatile months seasonally, especially in post-election years, where the first eight trading days tend to be weak.⚠️ But it’s September that truly earns the “danger month” title:In
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July Wrap-Up: After 4-Month Gains, Will August Fall into Which Scenario?
avatarMHh
9 minutes ago
I think august will be tricky. The hopes of a rate cut has been lowered as inflation might be very sticky. There will also be many who will take profit. However, as trump strikes many deals with the various countries, the market might continue to rally and historically usually august tends to be green when July is green. So I think there is equal chance of either way. If marker corrects by 10%, I will prefer to hold as it will be just a few more months to the Santa rally and there might be rate cut end of the year. It would still be too expensive for me to buy more. I would be monitoring VTI and SMH if potential dip buying. A 10% might be possible given current valuation but 20% would be worrying. It depends on one’s investment horizon. In the longer run, market tends to go up and
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avatarShyon
10:50
"July Sees 4-Month Winning Streak: Will August Crash Repeats?". I note that Nasdaq has seen four-month consecutive gains, with Nasdaq $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$   and S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$  rising 3.73% and 2.55% respectively this month. While this growth is impressive, it makes me cautious given the extended rally. Historically, August has not been a month with significant declines, though it tends to be more volatile and often ends higher. I recall that last August, the market experienced a sharp drop but still closed up 2%. This historical context leads me to believe that a pullback is possible, and I am prepared to wait patie
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avatarEBITDA is King
10:39
The Nasdaq’s remarkable four-month winning streak—with July adding another solid 3.73% gain—has been impressive, but investors can’t shake off the ghost of past August volatility. Historically, August is notoriously unpredictable: it rarely brings massive losses, but it’s known for sharp, sudden swings that test investors’ nerves. Last year’s August was a perfect example: a steep mid-month pullback rattled confidence, yet the market recovered just in time, closing up 2%. With both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 now sitting comfortably at fresh highs, it’s natural to wonder if the market’s luck could run out in August. A pullback wouldn’t just be unsurprising—it might actually be healthy, offering the market a breather after months of relentless optimism, AI-driven hype, and stretched valuation
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avatarMaverickWealthBuilder
09:47

🚨 ALGN CRASH: 35% Plunge! Invisalign’s ASP Collapse Exposes Pricing War Wounds​

Invisalign's parent company $Align Technology(ALGN)$ Falling revenues and EPS misses, along with guidance cuts, put short-term pressure on the stock, which plunged 35% after hours.While Invisalign remains competitive with over 90% market share and continued innovation (e.g., iTero Lumina and Palate Expansion System), the company has also undertaken a program of investment and restructuring in the digital dentistry space that opens new doors for its long-term transformation.Performance and market feedbackTotal Revenue Misses EstimatesTotal revenue for the second quarter of 2025 was $1,012.4 million, down 1.6% year-over-year ($1,029.0 million in Q2 2024) and below analysts' expectations of $1,059.3 million, but up 3.4% sequentially ($979.3 million i
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🚨 ALGN CRASH: 35% Plunge! Invisalign’s ASP Collapse Exposes Pricing War Wounds​
avatarInvesight_Capital
07:44

No Cut, No Clarity: Fed Stays Put in July

At its July 31st meeting, the Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at 4.25%–4.5%, but something unusual happened: two Fed governors—Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman, both Trump appointees—broke ranks and voted for an immediate rate cut. It’s the first time in over 30 years that two FOMC members have simultaneously dissented in favor of easing. In its statement, the Fed acknowledged that economic growth has "moderated," though it continued to describe the labor market as “strong” and inflation as “slightly above target.” The central bank also warned that the economic outlook remains “highly uncertain.” This mixed messaging reflects a growing dilemma for policymakers: on one hand, tariffs could keep inflation elevated, arguing for staying higher for longer; on the other, job m
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No Cut, No Clarity: Fed Stays Put in July
avatarV1king
06:44
Idk what to say other than jump on this quickly while you can but then I don't even know kw what the fuck i am doing here 
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avatarV1king
06:01
OMG LOOK AT THIS  craziness must act now 
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avatarxc__
04:16

Four-Month Rally Faces August Test: Crash or Opportunity?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have been on a tear, climbing for four consecutive months to record highs of 6,297.36 and 20,884.27, respectively, as of July 31, 2025. But as August looms, investors are on edge: will this hot streak end in a crash, or is it just another volatile month with upside potential? Historically, August has been a rollercoaster, often ending higher despite sharp mid-month dips—last year, the S&P 500 gained 2% after a notable drop. With the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on July 30, 2025, and a packed earnings season, the market’s next move is anyone’s guess. This report dives into August’s historical trends, current market dynamics, potential catalysts, and strategic approaches to navigate vola
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Four-Month Rally Faces August Test: Crash or Opportunity?
avatarWeChats
03:56
📉 August Crash or Buy-the-Dip Opportunity? 🧠 Here's My Playbook The S&P 500 ($SPY$) and Nasdaq 100 ($QQQ$) just notched four straight winning months. Momentum is hot. AI names are holding. Rates are (mostly) stable. But here’s the catch: August is historically tricky — and last year gave us a brutal reminder. > So… are we due for another August shakeout? Or is this rally stronger than it looks? Let’s break it down 👇 --- 📉 August Isn’t a Crash Month… Until It Is Zooming out, August has one of the weakest seasonality profiles of the year. According to historical SPY data: August averages a negative return over the past 10 years 2023 saw a mid-month drop of -5.2% 2015 and 2011 brought steep selloffs after geopolitical or Fed surprises Volatility tends to spike mid-to-late August — espe
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avatarLanceljx
02:28
This observation is historically consistent. August is often a volatile month, influenced by lighter trading volumes, macro uncertainty, and seasonal shifts in institutional activity. While not typically the worst-performing month, it has delivered mixed results across years: 2023: A sharp mid-month correction occurred due to rising yields and China growth concerns, but markets rebounded to end +2%. Average S&P 500 performance in August (past 20 years): Slightly negative to flat, with frequent intramonth pullbacks followed by recoveries. Current Setup: Caution with an Upside Bias? The market is currently on a four-month winning streak, driven largely by: Strong earnings from tech megacaps. Persistent AI enthusiasm. Soft-landing hopes amid resilient labour and consumer data. However, se
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avatar1PC
07-30 12:28
August isn't a crash month - just a drama Queen[Gosh]   👑 . Last year: Sharp drop, still Closed +2%. This year: 4-month rally 📈📈📈📈, stretched tape [OMG]  . Pullback coming [Thinking]  ? Maybe 🤔 Buying the Dip? [Helpless]   Only if the tape says "Go". [Drowsy]  Infra, Defensive, Quality Growth 📈 - On Watch 👀. Volatility is Not = fear 😨.It's Opportunity [Chuckle]  📉📈
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avatarSpiders
07-30 11:30

Market Rises for 4 Months: Will This August See Another Crash?

After four straight months of gains, investors are starting to wonder: Has the rally built enough momentum to continue, or is it losing steam? S&P 500 (.SPX) Historically, August has been a tricky month. It’s not typically the scene of dramatic crashes, but it tends to be more volatile and often ends higher. Last year, the market dipped sharply in August, only to rally back and close with a 2% gain. That’s August in a nutshell: volatile, unpredictable, and often overlooked. But let’s zoom out further. Over the past 20 years, August has delivered mixed results. However, some of the market’s most unnerving selloffs like the drop in August 2011 during the debt ceiling crisis, or the sharp correction in 2015 following China’s surprise yuan devaluation serve as reminders that August isn't a
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Market Rises for 4 Months: Will This August See Another Crash?
avatarShyon
07-30 10:48
Historically, August has not been a month with significant declines, though it tends to be more volatile and often ends higher. Last August, the market experienced a sharp drop but still closed up 2 percent. The market has now risen for four consecutive months—could August bring a major pullback? I have been observing the market trends closely, and I believe that a healthy pullback could be beneficial in the long run. After four consecutive months of gains, it is natural for the market to experience some correction. This could help reset valuations and set the stage for a more sustainable bull run. The historical data suggests that August is not typically a month of significant declines, which gives me some confidence. However, the increased volatility mentioned does indicate that we shoul
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avatarxc__
07-30 09:22

Four Months Up: Is August About to Tank the Market?

The stock market has been on a roll, climbing for four straight months, and now August is here, stirring up the big question: are we headed for a crash? History shows August isn’t usually a disaster zone—sure, it’s volatile, but it often ends in the green. Last year, we saw a mid-month plunge, yet the market still closed up 2%. With this hot streak behind us, though, could August finally break the rally? And if it does, are you poised to scoop up some bargains? Let’s unpack the past, size up the present, and figure out how to play a potential dip. We’ll lean on hard data and real trends to see what’s brewing—and how you can come out ahead. August’s Track Record: Wild but Not Deadly August has a reputation—it’s a rollercoaster, not a cliff. Looking back over decades, the S&P 500 tends
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Four Months Up: Is August About to Tank the Market?
avatarAN88
07-30 04:39
No crash. Will keep growing 
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avatarToNi
07-30 03:30
Why August Will Be a Golden Buying Opportunity for Stocks Introduction Global stock markets have risen for four consecutive months, with the S&P 500 hitting 6,370.86 and the Nasdaq Composite reaching 21,098.29—both all-time highs. While August is often dubbed a volatile month, I argue, based on robust data, AI-driven growth, and a unique historical cycle, that it presents a bullish opportunity. Savvy investors should seize this chance to “buy the dip” during any short-term pullbacks. Unique Perspective: August’s Dip as a Historic Opportunity Conventional wisdom labels August as a risky month for stocks, but I propose a contrarian view: its volatility is a golden window for long-term investors. In August 2024, the S&P 500 dropped about 5% (to a low of 6,100) but closed up 2% (at 6,2
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avatarLanceljx
07-30 02:44
Historically, August is often a choppy month, not necessarily deeply bearish, but known for increased volatility, thinner trading volumes (due to summer holidays), and macro surprises (e.g., inflation data, Fed commentary, geopolitical events). Here's a professional breakdown of the situation: --- 📉 Could August Bring a Major Pullback? Possibly. Consider the following: Seasonality: August and September have historically been weaker months for equities. Sentiment: The market has rallied for four consecutive months, potentially stretching valuations and increasing vulnerability to negative surprises. Catalysts for a pullback: Disappointing earnings from mega-cap tech. Hawkish tone from the Fed at Jackson Hole (late August). Higher-than-expected inflation prints. Renewed geopolitical ten
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avatarWeChats
07-29 23:36
🚀 The Great Divergence: Why Your Stocks Are Flat While QQQ Hits Highs The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) just hit fresh record highs. And yet... most portfolios aren’t celebrating. 📉 Growth names are fading after earnings. 📉 Small caps are sluggish. 📉 Even winners like $AMD$ and $TSLA$ have pulled back despite the index surge. Sound familiar? You’re not alone — and this disconnect between index strength and stock-level weakness is exactly what I’ve been digging into.👇 📊 The Illusion of Strength: Why QQQ Looks Strong But You Feel Weak Let’s start with the basics. Indexes like QQQ and SPY are cap-weighted, meaning a handful of mega-caps drive most of the gains. Right now, $NVDA, $MSFT$, $AAPL$, $AMZN$ and $META$ account for over 45% of QQQ’s movement. So when NVDA rallies 4%, the index pops — even if 70%
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avatarSpiders
07-29 13:37
I opened $iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLH)$  ,People might believe the US economy remains strong and that a recession is unlikely due to current indicators like employment and consumer spending. However, I bought TLH as a hedge, anticipating the possibility of an economic slowdown. TLH tends to perform well when interest rates drop, often during periods of economic weakness or recession.
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avatarxc__
07-29 11:39

Index at Record Highs, Stocks Lag—How to Trade the Summer Dip?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are soaring to record highs, closing at 6,297.36 and 20,884.27, respectively, on July 25, 2025, fueled by tech giants and economic optimism. Yet, beneath this bullish facade, many individual stocks are stumbling post-earnings, with names like Tesla (-4%), UnitedHealth (-5%), and ASML (-14%) taking hits despite the broader market’s strength. With seasonal trends pointing to a potential 7-10% pullback in late summer, investors face a critical decision: take profits, hedge, or pivot to defensive sectors? This report dives into the market’s divergence, seasonal risks, and strategic trading approaches to navigate this volatile landscape while seizing opportunities. Market Dynamics: A Tale of Two Markets Th
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Index at Record Highs, Stocks Lag—How to Trade the Summer Dip?
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