SPY: What's Going on Next?

tomthetrader1
05-27

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The primary outlook is a constructive advance towards new all-time highs in the S&P 500, risk-managed by the three core market signals: trend, breadth, and momentum. Unless all three risk-off criteria trigger simultaneously, this remains the guiding path.

I never know when the next “alarm” is going to be— this is the point when all three of my criteria flash risk-off. It could be as short as a few days or as long as half year between alarm bells.

What I can control is how I respond when an alarm goes. It a simple rule, protect capital; either hedge long exposure, or raise cash— if it gets worse and odds begin to favour a larger decline vs just the need to hedge, it is then where taking short positions against SPY is a simple was to trade the bearish speculation.

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