🌏 China–US Talks Again? Tariff Risk, Political Noise & Market Hopes
Markets dipped after the ISM data but quickly rebounded on chatter of a potential high-level US–China meeting. Classic geopolitical seesaw — tension, tweet, then tentative recovery.
📉 Last week's Trump comments re-ignited tariff worries. But if talks do resume, expect semis, EVs, and Chinese ADRs to get a short-term lift. I'm keeping an eye on $Alibaba(BABA)$ , $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$
🧠 My take? We've seen this movie before. Headline-driven pops are often short-lived unless backed by structural progress. That said, I'm cautiously holding long positions in large-cap indices (SPX, QQQ), while rotating out of overly China-dependent small caps for now.
📌 If S&P 500 clears 6,000 decisively, it'll likely be macro sentiment — not tariffs — driving it. Still, tariffs remain a wildcard risk as we head into US election season.
Comments