Option Witch | AMD Is Closing Gap With Nvidia - Strategy to Play This Momentum

Option Witch
06-25

AMD stock rocketed 35% in the latest three month as it is emerging as a serious AI contender with a $10B Middle East infrastructure push and next-gen chips rivaling NVIDIA. To play this momentum, consider a cost-effective bull call spread at $0.99 per spread.

AMD Secures Position in Global AI Race

IDC predicts the global market for artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure to surpass $200 billion by 2028. AMD is, of course, strategically positioned to capture share due to its diverse portfolio of compute offerings that strike at the intersection of niche use cases, mid-high performance, and competitive prices.

There is a major new AI investment hub in Saudi Arabia. AMD and HUMAIN, supported by the Saudi Public Investment Fund, invest $10 billion to develop a global AI infrastructure with 500 megawatts of computing capacity over five years. It places AMD directly in the limelight of regional AI infrastructure expansion. This is just the beginning, with many more developments to be enjoyed as the Middle East continues to modernize, integrate, and evolve. Critically, low regional energy costs enable large-scale data center build-outs, fortifying the return horizon for AMD.

With some capacity set to come online in 2026, Humain will oversee the delivery of the data-crunching power to potential customers, while AMD will provide CPUs, GPUs and its software that helps orchestrate the data crunching.

The deal could add $3-4B to AMD's 2026-2027 AI revenue (7-10% of consensus estimates) based on phased deployment schedules seen in Saudi megaprojects. It is estimated that 12-15% of AMD's projected AI revenue potentially tied to Saudi timelines by 2028.

Analysts highlight this deal as proof of AMD’s deepening role in large-scale AI infrastructure, boosting its premium valuation vs peers.

AMD Says New Chips Can Top Nvidia

AMD Chief Executive Officer Lisa Su said her company’s latest AI processors can challenge Nvidia Corp. chips in a market she now expects to soar past $500 billion in the next three years.

The new installments in AMD’s MI350 chip series are faster than Nvidia counterparts and represent major gains over earlier versions, Su said at a company event on June 13 in San Jose, California. The MI355 chips, which started shipping earlier this month, are 35 times faster than predecessors, she said.

Though AMD remains a distant second to Nvidia in AI accelerators — the chips that help develop and run artificial intelligence tools — it aims to start catching up with these new products. The stakes are higher than ever: Su previously predicted $500 billion in market revenue by 2028, but she now sees it topping that number.

Option Strategy: Bull Call Spread

Structure:

  • Buy $150 Call @ $2.68 + Sell $155 Call @ $1.69 (Jul 25 expiry)

  • Net Debit: $0.99 per spread

$AMD Vertical 250725 150.0C/155.0C$

Source: Tiger Trade AppSource: Tiger Trade App

Analysts See More Upside for AMD

On Monday (June 23), Melius analysts reportedly said AMD stock “has a lot more to go” as the company’s position in the artificial intelligence industry grows. The broker raised its price target to $175 from $110. 

Investment firm CFRA also upgraded the Dr. Lisa Su-led company, citing upcoming products and sales.

“First, we see AMD closing the competitive gap to NVIDIA in 2026 as it launches the MI400x and prepares to shift to rack-scale solutions, with the ZT deal complete, offering GPU sales upside. We see an expanding customer base for AMD's accelerators (e.g., Oracle, OpenAI) while the company is also making progress with its open-source AI software stack (ROCm).”

Zino, who raised his rating to Strong Buy from Buy and upped his price target to $165 from $125, added that the GPU server market is expected to see a sharp recovery, starting in the fourth-quarter, which should benefit AMD.

$(AMD)$
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Chesterton
    06-25
    Chesterton
    That’s insightful—thanks for sharing! 🙏 AMD’s recent 6–7% rally (to ~$138) reflects renewed AI optimism, especially after Melius and CFRA upgrades. Still, with the stock ~26% below its 52-week high, I’d be curious if you're watching any resistance levels or buying dips on product rollouts.
Leave a comment
1
5