Option Witch
Option Witch
Magic option strategies for extra income.
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04-24 14:40

Option Witch | How to Play Apple's Earnings Like a Pro: 2 Options Trades to Watch

$Apple(AAPL)$ is scheduled to report its 2Q fiscal 2025 earnings on Thursday, May 1 after market close. Apple's 2Q revenue expected to rise 4% to $94.1 billion, following a 4% decline a year earlier. EPS could be up 6% to $1.61, reflecting the company's ability to maintain profitability even in a challenging market environment.Although Apple is expected to show modest growth in its 2Q earnings, supply-chain will likely remain the most discussed topic on earnings call. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies with Apple stock.Apple Takes Top Spot for First-Quarter Smartphone SalesiPhone sales, which accounted for 56% of the company's revenue in Q1 FY25, will be closely scrutinised. Apple took the top spot for global s
Option Witch | How to Play Apple's Earnings Like a Pro: 2 Options Trades to Watch
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04-23 10:01

Option Witch | GOOGL Earnings on Deck: Positioning with Vertical Spreads Amid Cloud Growth & DOJ Risk

$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ is scheduled to report results for the first quarter of 2025 after market close on Thursday, April 24, 2025. Alphabet's Q1 revenue is expected to be $75.434 billion, adjusted net income will be $24.783 billion, and adjusted EPS is expected to be $2.032, according to Bloomberg's consistent expectations.Alphabet’s upcoming earnings report is expected to drive significant volatility, given the stock’s 20% YTD decline, regulatory and legal risks, and google cloud growth. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies with $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ stock.Regulatory and Legal RisksAlphabet's Google needs strong measures imposed on it to prevent it from using its artificial i
Option Witch | GOOGL Earnings on Deck: Positioning with Vertical Spreads Amid Cloud Growth & DOJ Risk

Option Witch | Tesla's Make-or-Break Moment: Bearish and Bullish Options Trades to Watch

$Tesla(TSLA)$ will post its financial results for the first quarter of 2025 after market close on Tuesday, April 22, 2025. Tesla's Q1 revenue is expected to be $21.571 billion, adjusted net income will be $1.600 billion, and adjusted EPS will be $0.447, according to Bloomberg's consistent expectations.Tesla’s upcoming earnings report is expected to drive significant volatility, given the stock’s 40% YTD decline, mixed analyst sentiment, and elevated short interest. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies with $Tesla(TSLA)$ stock.Profit Margin Is A Key MetricOne of the most critical metrics investors will be monitoring is Tesla's automotive gross margin.Profitability in the
Option Witch | Tesla's Make-or-Break Moment: Bearish and Bullish Options Trades to Watch

Option Witch | How To Find Options Trades This Earnings Season

As U.S. lenders begin to report earnings this week, investors' focus will likely shift from profits to bank bosses' remarks on the economy after President Donald Trump unveiled steep tariffs and triggered a market selloff.Bank executives are also likely to be quizzed during earnings calls about the market selloff that has wiped trillions of dollars off global stock indexes. Bank stocks were among the hardest hit, after rallying earlier this year on optimism that dealmaking would recover.There’s no one-size-fits-all approach to earnings trades. Option strategy choice depends on the expected move, the volatility crush, and your directional bias (if any).1. Bull Put SpreadBullish bias + high IV: Sell put spreads or naked puts just outside the expected move. These often perform well when a sto
Option Witch | How To Find Options Trades This Earnings Season

Two Options Strategies for Tesla Before Tariff Announcement, Delivery Numbers

President Donald Trump will announce his reciprocal tariff push on Wednesday during an event in the White House Rose Garden. Trump’s tariffs target imported vehicles/parts. While Tesla produces domestically, CEO Elon Musk warns of “significant impact” due to reliance on foreign components.Tesla’s implied volatility is at 96.3% for April 4 puts, favoring sellers. Post-announcement IV collapse (if tariffs are benign) could reduce premium attractiveness but lower assignment risk. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies.US Automakers Make Mad Dash to Persuade Trump to Temper Tariffs$Ford Motor Co.(F)$, $General Motors Co.(GM)$ and Stellantis NV are lobbying the administration to exc
Two Options Strategies for Tesla Before Tariff Announcement, Delivery Numbers

Option Witch | Strategies for Alphabet, Meta and Oracle After Microsoft's Data Center Pullback

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ has abandoned data center projects set to use 2 gigawatts of electricity in the U.S. and Europe in the last six months due to an oversupply relative to its current demand forecast, TD Cowen analysts said on Wednesday.The tech giant's withdrawal from new capacity leasing was largely led by the decision not to support additional training workloads from ChatGPT maker OpenAI, the analysts led by Michael Elias said in a note.Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies.1. Microsoft's Pullback Creates Opportunities for Alphabet and MetaTD Cowen's supply chain checks indicate that $Microsoft(MSFT)$'s pullback has led to $Alphabe
Option Witch | Strategies for Alphabet, Meta and Oracle After Microsoft's Data Center Pullback

Option Witch | AMD Stock Jumps on Tariff Relief While Still Faces Uncertainty, 3 Options Strategies to Ride the Wave

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ stock gained 7% to $113.85 on Monday. News that tariffs on chips coming into the U.S. could be off the table, at least in the short term, was helping to provide a boost to shares. While Trump's whirlwind tariff offensive since his January inauguration has been marked by threats, reversals and delays, sometimes within hours of imposition deadlines. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies with AMD stock.1. Moderately BullishTariff Optimism Boosts AMD StockThe market reaction indicated that investors took that as a sign the economic impact of the tariffs, particularly on inflation and growth, might not be as bad as they initially feared. That's a bit of a relief, which likely gave businesse
Option Witch | AMD Stock Jumps on Tariff Relief While Still Faces Uncertainty, 3 Options Strategies to Ride the Wave

Option Witch | PDD at Risk of Margin Shortfall, Quarterly Revenue Likely Increases 30%

$PDD Holdings(PDD)$ is drawing attention as the Chinese multinational online commerce group and retailer prepares to announce its fourth-quarter results before the U.S. market opens on Thursday, Mar 20. So far, PDD stock has gained 12% this year.Three Things to Watch Before Earnings ReportPDD at Risk of Margin ShortfallPDD's 4Q adjusted operating margin is expected to be 25.94%, a 6.19% decline compared with the same period of 2023. That's if, like Alibaba's international digital commerce unit (AIDC), Temu incurred more costs than expected to entice both merchants and shoppers in newer overseas markets to transact on its platform. This resulted in larger-than-expected October-December losses for AIDC, including a 36% shortfall in Cainiao's profit v
Option Witch | PDD at Risk of Margin Shortfall, Quarterly Revenue Likely Increases 30%

Option Witch | NIO's Q4 Losses Likely Widened, Will Cost Control Drives Profitability This Year?

$NIO(NIO)$ stock is drawing attention as the EV maker prepares to announce its fourth-quarter results before the U.S. market opens on Friday, Mar 21. So far, NIO stock has gained 12% this year.Three Things to Watch Before Earnings ReportNIO’s Q4 Losses Likely WidenedAccording to Bloomberg’s unanimous expectations, NIO to post revenue of 20.13 billion yuan for 2024Q4; Adjusted EPS is estimated to be -2.60 yuan. Nio's 4Q operating loss could have widened vs. 3Q's 5.2 billion yuan. Vehicle deliveries were up 18% sequentially, yet average selling prices maybe 5-10% lower, as the cheaper Onvo brand accounted for 27% of unit sales. A less favorable product mix likely curbed gross margin gains despite narrower retail discounts and higher plant utilization
Option Witch | NIO's Q4 Losses Likely Widened, Will Cost Control Drives Profitability This Year?

Option Witch | Will Nvidia Stock Dip to $100 or Signal a Buying Opportunity ahead of GTC Conference? Five Options Strategies to Consider

Nvidia stock has fallen about 13% this month, with its stock price closing at $108.76 as of Mar 11. On the one hand, investors may worry that the selling pressure would accelerate. On the other hand, they don’t want to miss the opportunity to buy the dip. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies with Nvidia stock.1. Moderately BearishTariff Anxiety Has Fueled Volatility in Global MarketsInvestors worried about a potential recession down the road. That exacerbated various fears in the tech sector, including around tariff threats and whether the ever-rising spending budgets pledged toward artificial-intelligence projects are sustainable.Trump’s move to widen his trade offensive comes at a hazardous juncture seven weeks into his second term. His rapid effort to
Option Witch | Will Nvidia Stock Dip to $100 or Signal a Buying Opportunity ahead of GTC Conference? Five Options Strategies to Consider

Option Witch | Tesla Stock Gets a Boost From Trump's Car Loan Interest Deduction, While "Buyers Strike" Is Still a Problem

Tesla stock dropped in recent trading days as investors considered tariffs, weak Chinese sales data, and the impact of a "buyers strike" on the electric-vehicle maker. However, it’s not all bad news for Tesla as Trump says he wants to make interest payments on car loans tax deductible if the cars are made in America. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies with Tesla stock.1. Bullish OutlookTrump to Make Interest Payments on Car Loans Tax DeductiblePresident Donald Trump delivered the biggest speech of his presidency yet, he stopped short of saying if he would claw back some of this week’s levies on Canada and Mexico, though Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick has suggested a partial reprieve from the duties could be coming.On taxation, Trump proposed sweeping
Option Witch | Tesla Stock Gets a Boost From Trump's Car Loan Interest Deduction, While "Buyers Strike" Is Still a Problem

Option Witch | Sea Ltd's Q4 Revenue Expected to Rise 29% YoY; Strong E-Commerce Performance, Games' Recovery Persist

$Sea Limited(SE)$ stock is drawing attention as the Singapore-based internet services company is scheduled to report fourth-quarter 2024 results before the US market opens on Tuesday, March 4. Shares have gained about 20% as of Mar 2 this year. Key Factors to Note Ahead of Q4 ResultsQ4 Revenue is Expected to Increase 29% YoYAccording to Bloomberg’s unanimous expectations, Sea Ltd to post to report a 29% increase in revenue to $4.66 billion from $3.62 billion a year ago; Adjusted EPS is estimated to be $0.72, swings to profit YoY.Sea Limited is expected to have benefited from a strong e-commerce performance despite a highly competitive environment, maintaining its mid-20% GMV growth guidance for the year. The holiday season, a key online shopping dem
Option Witch | Sea Ltd's Q4 Revenue Expected to Rise 29% YoY; Strong E-Commerce Performance, Games' Recovery Persist

Option Witch | Nuclear Stocks Roll up and Down on AI Revolution. Smart Options Play With Modest Investment

Nuclear energy stocks rolled up and down this week. $Oklo(OKLO)$, $NANO Nuclear Energy(NNE)$, and $NRG Energy(NRG)$ all saw their shares jump around 10% on Wednesday. However, stocks tumbled in previous trading sessions on news that the demand for power from one big tech player may not be as high as expected.Since these stocks are volatile and speculative, they might be a smart place to park a modest investment to play options related to them.1. Bullish OutlookInvestors are excited about the nuclear energy outlook. Energy demand is on the rise, partly due to the rapid buildout of AI data centers. These technology campuses can use as much electricity as small cities
Option Witch | Nuclear Stocks Roll up and Down on AI Revolution. Smart Options Play With Modest Investment

Option Witch | Is Microsoft’s Stock Drop a Misread? Here's What We Could Do Amid Data Center Concerns

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ stock dropped in three consective trading days. On the one hand, investors may worry that the selling pressure would accelerate as it cancelled leases for AI data centers. On the other hand, falling stock price may just be a “misread” story. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies with Microsoft stock.1. Moderately BearishMicrosoft stock is trading between $397.9 and $418.98 this month. A bear put spread strategy may be less risky if you are not optimistic about Microsoft’s near-future performance.Microsoft Cancels Leases for AI Data CentersMicrosoft Corp. has begun canceling leases for a substantial amount of datacenter capacity in the US, a move that may reflect concerns about whether it’s buildi
Option Witch | Is Microsoft’s Stock Drop a Misread? Here's What We Could Do Amid Data Center Concerns

Option Witch | Will Tesla Stock Dip Below $300 or Just Signal a Prime Buying Opportunity?

Tesla stock has fallen 18.3% this month, with its stock price closing at $330.53 as of Feb 24. On the one hand, investors may worry that the selling pressure would accelerate. On the other hand, they don’t want to miss the opportunity to buy the dip. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies with Tesla stock.1. Moderately BearishWhile Tesla’s technicals and sentiment skew bearish on weak sales, a sharp drop below $300 within a month (requiring 9% decline) would need a catalyst. The options market just assigns a 21% probability to this scenario. A bear put spread strategy may be less risky if you are not optimistic about Tesla’s future performance.Tesla Sales Fall 45% in Europe as Rivals’ EV Registrations SoarTesla Inc.’s sales plunged 45% last month across Eur
Option Witch | Will Tesla Stock Dip Below $300 or Just Signal a Prime Buying Opportunity?

Option Witch | Grab's Q4 Revenue Expected to Rise 16% YoY; Corporate Tax Rebate Adds Momentum

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ stock is drawing attention as the Southeast Asian ride-hailing and food delivery company prepares to announce its fourth-quarter results after the U.S. market closes on Wednesday, February 19. So far, Grab stock has gained 16% in February.Three Things to Watch Before Earnings Report:Q4 Revenue is Expected to Increase 16% YoYAccording to Bloomberg’s unanimous expectations, Grab to post revenue of $757.8 million for 2024Q4, up around 16% YoY; EPS is estimated to be USD-<0.01, swings to loss YoY.Grab's upgraded 2024 guidance calls for a 2-8% sequential increase in group adjusted Ebitda in 4Q, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of sustained growth, anchored by low-to mid-single-digit revenue gains. The mobility segment coul
Option Witch | Grab's Q4 Revenue Expected to Rise 16% YoY; Corporate Tax Rebate Adds Momentum

Option Witch | Could BigBear.ai be Next Palantir? Don't Miss This Rising AI Star!

$BigBear.ai(BBAI)$ stock has gained nearly 120% this year. This round of rally was not purely driven by speculation as the gain primarily stemmed from the company’s recent contract awards from the Department of Defense (DoD). On the other hand, optimism around Palantir’s strong 2025 outlook also lift the AI stock.Like Palantir, BigBear.ai is in the field of data analytics and AI. More specifically, the company provides different forms of predictive analytic technology. This can be used for Defense applications, but also within the Enterprise segment to optimize operations.BBAI is similar to Palantir but lacks profitability and a compelling product portfolio, making it a risky investment.Since BigBear.ai has had a strong rally this year, it’s reaso
Option Witch | Could BigBear.ai be Next Palantir? Don't Miss This Rising AI Star!

Option Witch | Trade Super Micro's Strong Outlook, Delayed Annual Report Using Spread Strategies

$Super Micro Computer(SMCI)$ stock is back to insight as shares had climbed more than 35% as of Tuesday and rose 6% in overnight trading on Wednesday. The rally was primarily driven by two pieces of good news.Super Micro Computer Inc. gave an aggressive long-term revenue outlook late Tuesday. The company also expects to submit its delayed annual filing by the Feb. 25 deadline.Sales will be $40 billion in the fiscal year ending in June 2026, the company said Tuesday in a statement, which also provided preliminary fiscal second-quarter results. Analysts, on average, estimated $30.7 billion for fiscal 2026, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.Last week, the company said it had reached full production availability for products containing Nvidia Co
Option Witch | Trade Super Micro's Strong Outlook, Delayed Annual Report Using Spread Strategies

Option Witch | Will Alibaba Surpass October Highs? Bull & Bearish Spreads to Consider

Alibaba stock surged 29% in two months, closing at $111.32 on Monday. It is now nearing its previous high of $117.52 on October 7 last year, from which it sharply pulled back.This round of rally was majorly driven by DeepSeek. The success of Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) start-up DeepSeek is prompting investors to reassess the nation’s technology companies that trade at half of the valuation of the “Magnificent Seven” US tech giants.The consensus among analysts remains bullish for Alibaba, with many citing bullish technical signals and ongoing AI advancements enhancing its competitive stance in the market.But since the price approached the resistance level, indicating key challenges for further upward movement. Here are some options strategies you can consider based on different mar
Option Witch | Will Alibaba Surpass October Highs? Bull & Bearish Spreads to Consider

Option Witch | Netflix Analyst Predicts Q4 Subscriber Beat. How to Trade it Before Earnings Report?

$Netflix(NFLX)$ ended 2024 on a high note with two NFL football games, a halftime show by Beyonce, and the return of hit series "Squid Game." But Netflix stock was tackled for a loss to start 2025. Investors are hoping the streaming video leader can get back on track with its quarterly earnings report next week.The Los Gatos, Calif.-based company will report its fourth-quarter results late Tuesday.Earnings Estimates & Analysts OpinionsAnalysts polled by FactSet expect Netflix to earn $4.20 a share on sales of $10.12 billion in the quarter ended Dec. 31. In the year-earlier period, Netflix earned $2.11 a share on sales of $8.83 billion.Wall Street is looking for Netflix to add 8.2 million new subscribers worldwide in the fourth quarter, for a t
Option Witch | Netflix Analyst Predicts Q4 Subscriber Beat. How to Trade it Before Earnings Report?

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