$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Roundhill TSLA WeeklyPay ETF(TSLW)$ $Kurv Yield Premium Strategy Tesla (TSLA) ETF(TSLP)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ 🤖🚀⚡ I’m staring at Tesla’s tape and it feels like spring-loaded pressure, the kind that snaps once positioning, narrative, and liquidity finally sync. One push through $300 could light the fuse, and I want my plan locked in before the fireworks.

🤖🚀💥 Fibonacci Fuse at $300, My Tesla Breakout Blueprint 💥🚀🤖

📊 Price Pulse and Key Levels

Tiger has Tesla at $302.33, up 2.85% on rising volume. Price carved a $297–$304 intraday envelope and now grinds directly into the $300 wall, flanked by Fibonacci pivots at $302 and $304.65.

A close above that band unlocks the neckline of an inverted head and shoulders at $308 (see first chart), and opens the gap toward $312–$315.

Below, I’m marking $285 as primary demand and $282 as my final line in the sand. Those support zones align with the green boxes on the second VPVR overlay.

📈 Technicals in Focus

Hourly candles show a textbook inverted head and shoulders nested inside a falling channel.

The right shoulder bounced from $295, precisely the 0.618 retracement of the May high to the June low.

Weekly moving averages cluster at MA20 $292 and MA30 $326; reclaiming MA30 flips the medium-term bias constructive (fourth screenshot).

Daily RSI reclaimed 50, MACD crossed positive for the first time since April, and the Guppy ribbon has turned green above the $290–$291 volume fortress.

Momentum finally confirms price!

💸 Options Flow and Short Mechanics

Unusual call sweeps exploded around the 305–315 strikes, outrunning puts 1.7 : 1.

A 14k contract block printed at 07:34 ET, delta-adjusted to $43M notional.

Short interest hovers near 3% of float, with days to cover at 1.0; any candle that clears $305 could trigger forced buy-ins.

🧠 Fundamentals and Analyst Heat Map

🗣️ Cathie Wood told Business Insider she’d choose Tesla if she could only own one stock, reiterating Ark’s $2.6k 2029 target, and stressing Musk “will get the job done.”

🗣️ Dan Ives just hiked his price target to $500, framing robotaxis as the “fourth Industrial Revolution on wheels.”

🗣️ Tom Lee calls Tesla “the centre of everything that matters,” vaulting it from auto pure-play to AI platform.

Street consensus is drifting higher: Mizuho at $350, Guggenheim at $375, Wedbush at $500, pinning $350 as the new midpoint.

🌍 Macro Interplay and Political Risk

The 10-year yield drifts near 4.25%, and Tesla’s 0.28 positive correlation means every tick higher in yields has recently boosted the equity.

Fed speakers dial back rate-cut expectations; yet tech multiples hold because AI capex dominates macro gloom.

The wild card is Musk’s America Party launch. Barron’s warns the distraction could alienate left-leaning buyers and invite policy pushback.

I’m sizing positions prudently; a sudden tariff or tax credit twist could undercut the bid.

🚗🤖 Robotaxi Reality and AI Flywheel

Reuters confirmed Tesla’s Austin pilot with 10–20 Model Y robotaxis, geofenced and charging a tongue-in-cheek $4.20 fare.

Waymo delivers 250k weekly rides, Tesla’s human network handles 226M.

If Tesla automates just 1% of its current volume by 2027, that’s 2.3M robotaxi trips, or about $690M in annual revenue before upsell layers.

The pilot validates the tech stack and lubricates the AI data loop powering FSD, Optimus, and Dojo.

🧾 My Trade Plan

I reloaded core at $290–$300 after banking gains near $344 in May.

I’ll add on a confirmed close above $305 with volume above the 20-day average.

Hard stop sits just under $285.

To monetise implied volatility, I’m shorting weekly 330 calls against half the shares, and will roll them higher if price breaks resistance.

🧨 Risk Matrix

Primary: political distraction or regulatory lash-back

Secondary: macro demand air pocket denting discretionary spend

Tactical: a failed breakout that closes under $297, negating the bullish pattern. I trim quickly if any of these tripwires hit.

🕵️‍♂️ Watchlist

• 23 Jul earnings for margin trajectory and FSD attach rate

• Weekly Austin robotaxi utilisation metrics

• Trump tariff chatter and EV credit adjustments

• Yield curve steepness and VVIX for risk appetite clues

🔚 Conclusion

Tesla is my highest conviction AI-transport fusion.

The coils at $300 are tight, Fibonacci alignment is precise, options lean bullish, and heavyweight analysts keep lifting targets.

I’m positioned for a breakout through $305, hunting $312–$315 first, then trailing stops in case a larger wave to $350–$400 ignites.

Discipline is my edge, liquidity is my friend, and I’ll let price prove the thesis!

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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