$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $T-REX 2X INVERSE TESLA DAILY TARGET ETF(TSLZ)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ 💣📉⚡️ TSLA’s Wedge Test, $41M Put Flood, and Elon’s Sandbag Signal ⚡️📉💣

I’m confident that what’s unfolding in $TSLA this morning isn’t just another earnings hangover; it’s a structural setup disguised beneath a haze of macro anticipation, institutional hedging, and one of the most restrained public earnings tones I’ve ever seen from Elon Musk. Just over an hour into the U.S. session, we’ve already seen over $41M in short-dated puts flood into Tesla’s tape while $24M+ in ≤90DTE calls have been dumped. That’s a flow divergence too big to ignore, and when paired with political recalibration and wedge compression, it becomes an opportunity.

🔍 Setup

$TSLA is now trading around $303.72, hovering just below key ascending wedge support visible across the daily and weekly charts. The intraday dip through $305 brings the technical structure into sharper focus; this is no longer a clean bounce, it’s a stress test. Weekly structure shows a critical rising trend intersecting long-term horizontal resistance, while the monthly chart frames this entire move within a two-year consolidation range. The pressure is real, and the compression is nearing resolution.

📊 Macro Watch: Live Catalysts Ahead

Only one key economic print is out so far:

🇺🇸 8:30am – Initial Jobless Claims: 227K (vs 221K prior)

Still ahead, real-time catalysts that can move the market mid-session:

🇺🇸 9:45am – S&P Global Manufacturing PMI

🇺🇸 9:45am – S&P Global Services PMI

🇺🇸 10:00am – New Home Sales

Institutional players are clearly leaning into downside exposure before these reports hit. That’s not reactive behaviour; it’s calculated positioning into known volatility windows.

🎯 Options Flow Dislocation

$TSLA’s early-session flow is glaringly asymmetric. Over $41.32M in ≤90DTE puts bought today. Over $24M in calls, dumped. Meanwhile, 23Jul25 saw the Mag 7 complex close with $24M+ net bullish call premium. This is not a sector-wide fade. It’s a stock-specific stress play, or a misdirection trap. Either way, the market is pushing this setup to its edge.

🎙️ Musk’s Tone: Sandbag, Not Surrender

Elon Musk didn’t just downplay the quarter; he deliberately under-communicated. From the Model Y transition to the Semi and Energy segments, major growth levers were barely addressed. There was no meltdown, no volatility, just controlled restraint.

I believe this was strategic sandbagging; a recalibration of expectations while larger roadmap execution continues behind the curtain. That tone aligns with institutional flow and wedge testing: mute the noise, shake the weak hands, and prep the runway.

🇺🇸💬 Trump’s Late-Night Recalibration

Just as wedge support was coming into view last night, Donald Trump posted on Truth Social at 9:34 PM ET:

“I want Elon, and all businesses within our Country, to THRIVE. The better they do, the better the USA does.”

That’s not political theatre; it’s a direct counter to bear narratives around subsidy risk and a live macro catalyst that recalibrates Tesla’s political floor. When markets are repositioning at technical supports and the policy winds shift in your favour, you pay attention.

🧠 Vision Beyond the Print

Elon’s latest vision statement landed around the same time:

“I’m working on a new master plan; the future of Tesla will profoundly change the world.”

From scaling Optimus toward 1M units per year by 2030 to deepening AI stack monetisation, to unlocking FSD’s full subscription potential (still underutilised by half of owners), Tesla isn’t shrinking its ambition, just its current narrative bandwidth.

📐 Technical Trigger Zones

Now sitting at $303.72, $TSLA is clinging to wedge structure. A breakdown below $301 risks opening a volume pocket to $295. But if support stabilises and macro prints ease fear, reclaiming $310 could flip the board quickly. From there, $326 (50DMA) is in play, with $350 unlocked if institutional flows reverse.

⚙️ Strategic Valuation Lens

At current levels, $TSLA trades at ~63x forward EPS. That may sound rich until you account for Tesla’s positioning as a software-defined, AI-integrated energy and mobility ecosystem. Autonomy, robotics, vertical energy integration, this isn’t an automaker, it’s an evolving operating system for the physical world.

📌 Final Take

I believe we’re staring at the kind of dislocation that only shows up when structure, sentiment, flow, and narrative all temporarily misalign. Just over an hour into the U.S. session, price has dipped below $305, puts have exploded, and macro is still loading. Elon sandbagged. Trump offered a live policy put. Flow is extreme. Compression is peaking. The volatility is real, but the reward is asymmetric.

📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets 🚀📈 I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Let’s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! 🍀

Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub @TigerPicks @TigerWire @Daily_Discussion