$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 🚖🤖🔥 Robotaxi ignition: Tesla’s AV rollout hits San Francisco as whales pile into 2026 calls 🔥🤖🚖

I believe the market is severely underestimating the strategic weight of Tesla’s current moves. While headlines cling to near-term earnings pressure and regulatory friction, the real revaluation catalyst is already unfolding: Tesla’s Robotaxi rollout begins this weekend in San Francisco 🇺🇸. This isn’t conceptual; this is operational execution, and it marks the start of Tesla’s transition from automaker to autonomous mobility platform.

Meanwhile, Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest just bought 143,190 shares across ARKK, ARKQ, and ARKW. That’s not retail noise; that’s institutional conviction. And in the options market, nearly $10M just rotated into 2026 LEAPs, all deep out-of-the-money, all long duration, and all placed in the past 24 hours.

Tesla is no longer being priced on unit deliveries. It’s now being repriced as an AI-native infrastructure platform. That shift is already visible.

🔍 Flow signals and technical evidence

• $TSLA 630C 15May2026: $3.0M swept, 98% OTM

• $TSLA 620C 15May2026: $1.5M, 94% OTM

• $TSLA 610C 15May2026: $1.6M, 93% OTM

• $TSLA 310P 08Aug2025: 4,126 contracts sold to open for $4.2M; structured bullish exposure

$TSLA just filled its post-earnings premarket gap and reclaimed $320. The wedge breakout structure is confirmed with RSI now above 51, MACD flipping bullish, and volume shelf resistance thinning into $335.27. The Fibonacci levels from your chart are clear:

• $306.93 (Fib 0.786)

• $353.19 (Fib 0.886)

• $414.50 (1.0 retracement)

• $741.22 (1.414 extension); a 2026 potential if Optimus and Robotaxi monetisation materialises

📊 Fundamentals and recalibration

Q2 headline numbers may have looked muted, but underlying strategic traction was critical:

• Revenue: $22.5B (vs $22.64B est)

• Adj. EPS: $0.40 (vs $0.30 consensus)

• Gross Margin: 17%, with ~15% ex-ZEV credits

• No FY25 delivery guidance issued due to global macro and subsidy expiry variables

Analysts are split between tactical neutrality and long-term optimism. Here’s the full sentiment profile:

✅ Benchmark (PT: $475): “Ignore short-term volatility. Stay focused on autonomy and scale.”

✅ Stifel (PT: $450): “FSD unsupervised likely by year-end. Margins improving.”

✅ TD Cowen (PT: $374): “AV thesis too important to ignore. Tactical Buy.”

✅ Piper Sandler (PT: $400): “Vehicle form matters less when FSD is central.”

✅ Canaccord Genuity (PT: $333): “38x 2027E EPS justified. Long-term opportunity enormous.”

⚠️ UBS (PT: $215): “FY26 EPS 18% below consensus. Execution still a risk.”

❌ HSBC (PT: $120): “Structural brand issues, EBIT miss, product fatigue.”

The key differentiator: Tesla isn’t being valued on delivery multiples anymore. It’s being repriced on optionality embedded in autonomy, AI monetisation, and vertical integration.

🔥 Macro and geopolitical catalysts

• Robotaxi launch ~ San Francisco 🇺🇸: Internal Tesla memo confirms the first revenue-generating supervised Robotaxi service begins this weekend across SF, Marin, San Jose, and East Bay.

• First-ever FSD video ~ London 🇬🇧: Tesla released a supervised FSD test drive through central London. This marks an inflection in regulatory openness abroad.

• Trump~China deal nearing 🇨🇳: President Trump stated a trade agreement is close, which could relieve Tesla’s tariff burden and realign export flows.

• Subsidy commitment: Trump publicly confirmed he would not cut subsidies for Elon’s companies, stating strong private innovation supports national strength.

🧪 Advanced trade structuring (no position assumptions)

Sample institutional-style structures based on current data:

• Long LEAP ladder: $610C/$680C/$750C expiring May2026; designed for convex upside with reduced time decay

• Delta neutral skew: Sell $310P 08Aug to fund $330/$350 call spread; balances theta decay and IV slope

• Diagonal calendar: Buy Sep $330C, sell weekly $335C; capturing IV flattening while staying net long delta

🛰️ Sector divergence and ETF overlays

Tesla has now structurally diverged from the $XLY consumer discretionary index and is tracking more closely with $QQQ and $ARKK.

• ARK’s recent repositioning includes trimming $HOOD, $MARA, and $RIVN to reload $TSLA

• ETF flow rotation indicates Tesla’s risk profile is being reclassified more in line with $SMH and $SOXX; the semiconductor AI complex

• Passive funds are rotating back into Tesla as an AI utility play, not just an EV brand

🪙 Cross-asset and alt-market contrast

Bitcoin is currently consolidating just under $116K, well below its recent $123K resistance. Meanwhile, crypto-equity momentum in names like $COIN and $MARA has stalled, with volatility compressing across the board. Tesla, by contrast, is operationalising real-world AI and AV revenue infrastructure. For allocators seeking scalable AI exposure without the regulatory uncertainty of DeFi, $TSLA is emerging as a credible, industrial-grade proxy.

🧠 Hedge fund sentiment

According to the latest 13F data:

• Point72, Millennium, and Two Sigma added $TSLA in the last quarter

• Renaissance Technologies exited $RIVN and increased Tesla exposure; reflecting a shift in quant models toward platform certainty and liquidity preference

⚖️ Strategic lens

This is not just a relief bounce. It’s a narrative reset. Tesla’s value is shifting toward software-defined revenue, humanoid robotics, and AV logistics networks.

The IV smile curve shows softening around the 300–400 strikes and a subtle curve-building above 600; precisely where the May2026 LEAP flow has clustered. That compression sets the stage for long-dated revaluation, not a quick gamma chase.

If the Robotaxi launch goes smoothly and FSD progress continues to gain regulatory and public traction, Tesla’s roadmap becomes tangible, not aspirational.

I’ll be watching closely for continuation above $320, volume confirmation through $335.27, and Fib validation at $353.19 as key steps in the broader reprice structure.

📢 Don’t miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets 🚀📈 I’m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Let’s outsmart the market and stack those gains together! 🍀

Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

@Tiger_comments @TigerWire @TigerPicks @TigerStars @TigerClub @Daily_Discussion