TMC_REGARD
08-03

July’s four-month winning streak has put the Nasdaq and S&P 500 right back in the spotlight, and it’s tempting to think the rally can just keep rolling. But with markets already up 3.73% (Nasdaq) and 2.55% (S&P 500) this month, it’s natural to ask: does August have another curveball in store?

Historically, August isn’t famous for huge crashes, but it’s no stranger to volatility. We saw it last year—a sharp drop that rattled nerves, but the market still managed to claw back and finish up 2% by month’s end. That’s classic late-summer action: a little fear, some profit-taking, and then the bulls find their footing again.

Could we see a bigger pullback this August? Absolutely. After four straight months of gains, sentiment is riding high and valuations are getting stretched in some corners, especially in tech and AI. Even a minor catalyst—a soft earnings report, a macro hiccup, or just traders taking summer holidays—can spark a quick 5–10% swing. If you’re fully invested, now is the time to ask: can you afford to ride out the volatility, or is it wiser to take some profits and have cash ready for a buying opportunity?

Personally, I’m trimming a little off the top in my biggest winners, especially where the run has been steepest. I’m also making sure I have dry powder ready to buy the dip if a sharp correction comes. These are the moments that can separate reactive traders from patient investors—being prepared, not panicking, and keeping an eye on the long game.

So, will August bring a crash? Maybe not, but a shakeout feels overdue—and the best investors are always ready to buy when others are scared. If you’re sitting on big gains, take a little off, plan your next move, and don’t let the noise knock you off your strategy. After all, history shows the rally often resumes after a scare—if you’re brave enough to buy the dip.

SeptemBEAR is here: Are Your Portfolio Ready for Volatility?
In September, the VIX may fly as we may see September Effect hit again. ------- 1. Is the market in danger with September effect approaching? 2. What's your strategy to cope with risks?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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