Lanceljx
08-09

Semiconductors are widely considered a long-term structural growth theme—arguably one of the most durable in the technology sector—because they are foundational to nearly every modern industry:


AI & Data Centres – High-performance GPUs (e.g., NVIDIA) and CPUs (e.g., AMD) are essential for AI training, inference, and cloud computing.


Automotive & EVs – Modern vehicles can contain thousands of chips, especially with autonomous driving systems.


5G & Connectivity – Network equipment, smartphones, and IoT devices all require advanced semiconductors.


Consumer Electronics – PCs, gaming consoles, smart devices, and wearables rely on continuous chip innovation.


Defence & Aerospace – Critical applications increasingly depend on custom, high-reliability chips.



Historically, the semiconductor industry moves in multi-year cycles—demand surges, capacity builds, and then oversupply sometimes causes corrections. But over a 10–20 year horizon, the secular demand trend has been upwards, driven by technological adoption curves.


The key for such a long-term investment is picking leaders with sustainable advantages—companies with scale, cutting-edge manufacturing (TSMC, ASML), or dominant design positions (NVIDIA, AMD, Qualcomm). The risk is that the sector is highly competitive, capital-intensive, and geopolitically sensitive—tariffs, export bans, and supply chain disruptions can cause volatility.


In short:


10–20 years: Still a strong theme if you believe in ongoing tech integration across industries.


Short term: Expect high volatility; sentiment swings sharply on macro news, policy changes, and earnings.

Waiting Game: Nvidia at Highs, Add at $170 or Wait $150?
Nvidia’s Q2 revenue rose over 55%, but revenue in China dropped sharply by 24%, wiping out $93B in market value. After the last earnings report, Nvidia pulled back and consolidated before breaking to new highs, eventually climbing to $180. This time, the earnings aren’t actually bad — the recent surge just front-loaded the gains. 1. Is $170 the start of Nvidia’s new bull market, or should we wait for a pullback to the $150 support level? 2. What’s your choice — is it ever too late to buy Nvidia? 3. How will AVGO affect Nvidia stock price?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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