Tigerong
08-31

Nvidia isn’t far from the $5 trillion milestone. It needs just another 14% gain, which could happen within the year. The first trillion is the hardest, the next one gets easier.

The technological moat is very wide, even if it may not be permanent. There’s no doubt Nvidia will milk it big time in the near future. Its net profit margin is a staggering 52%.

Nvidia reported earnings on Wednesday and the stock initially dropped 3% in after-hours trading, at one point does such as 5%.

Some investors were probably just taking profits. The results weren’t bad, though some may complain that revenue growth has decelerated.

But growing at over 56% YoY is still very fast for the world’s largest company. None of the other Magnificent 7 are growing at this pace—not even half of it. Nvidia beat both revenue and earnings estimates. Even the guidance was a beat.

Another concern is Nvidia losing China revenue. H20 chip production has been halted as it’s no longer competitive against China’s homegrown alternatives.

However, Nvidia is now looking to sell a watered-down version of Blackwell to China. Trump has publicly said he is open to it. If approved, Nvidia should regain its China revenue.

Finally the customers accounted for 39% of Nvidia’s Q2 revenue. Some see this as a concentration risk, but they are likely major cloud players—the only ones with deep enough pockets to buy at scale. That’s actually a positive sign: AI spending and capex aren’t slowing.

Waiting Game: Nvidia at Highs, Add at $170 or Wait $150?
Nvidia’s Q2 revenue rose over 55%, but revenue in China dropped sharply by 24%, wiping out $93B in market value. After the last earnings report, Nvidia pulled back and consolidated before breaking to new highs, eventually climbing to $180. This time, the earnings aren’t actually bad — the recent surge just front-loaded the gains. 1. Is $170 the start of Nvidia’s new bull market, or should we wait for a pullback to the $150 support level? 2. What’s your choice — is it ever too late to buy Nvidia? 3. How will AVGO affect Nvidia stock price?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

Leave a comment
1