🚨📊🌍 Palantir’s Sovereign AI Breakout: $200 Retest or $145 Flush? 🚨📊🌍

Comments

• Queengirlypops

  09-02

  Queengirlypops
  🔐 I’m all in on how you framed this because Palantir isn’t trading like a normal stock anymore, it’s trading like sovereign AI infrastructure in motion. Insiders dumping $1.04B against barely a million in buys would normally scream exit, but the State Department ORION contract and Ecuador buildout flip the script completely. That skew at 89% shows hedgers bracing for pain, yet if Foundry keeps embedding at this pace the floor everyone’s afraid of might end up being the launchpad. $156 holding while $152 acts as the pressure test makes this setup electric, and if momentum reclaims $160 the dominoes line up toward $168, $188, and a shot at $200. This is where insider caution collides with sovereign adoption, and that clash is exactly what can drive the kind of re-rating that redefines how the market values leadership in AI.
  • Barcode: 
    I’m with you, this isn’t just consolidation, it’s structural. Insider selling shows caution but sovereign contracts are embedding Foundry globally. That’s why $152 and $160 matter so much, because holding them validates the expansion story over the hedging narrative.
  • Barcode: 
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  • Barcode: 
    I’m with you, this isn’t just consolidation, it’s structural. Insider selling shows caution but sovereign contracts are embedding Foundry globally. That’s why $152 and $160 matter so much, because holding them validates the expansion story over the hedging narrative.
  • Barcode: 
    Thank you for reading my post, I appreciate the way you engaged with the roadmap and added to the conviction behind the setup.
• Cool Cat Winston

  09-02

  Cool Cat Winston
  I see that skew percentile at 89% and it’s wild how much the market’s leaning into downside protection while $PLTR sits at $156. Insider selling that big against those State Department contracts reminds me of the divergence we saw in $MSFT before its last leg higher.
  • Barcode: 
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  • Barcode: 
    I agree, that 89% skew is screaming caution while price holds $156. The parallel to $MSFT is sharp since divergence between insider moves and contract momentum can set the stage for a re-rate once support proves durable.
  • Barcode: 
    I appreciate you taking the time to read my post CCW. Your engagement helps push these market discussions further, and it’s always valuable to exchange perspectives on where we might be in the cycle.
• Hen Solo

  09-02

  Hen Solo
  🔎The compression near $156 with that support stack down to $145 makes sense technically, but linking it to the sovereign infrastructure buildout really elevates it. It feels closer to how $META was trading before it re-rated off stronger fundamentals.
  • Barcode: 
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  • Barcode: 
    Spot on, compression is only part of it, the sovereign buildout alters the risk reward profile. Like $META before its pivot, $PLTR is shifting from speculative growth to infrastructure critical which changes how the market applies multiples.
  • Barcode: 
    I’m grateful you took time to go through my post HS. The more we can exchange thoughtful ideas, the better we can navigate both the opportunities and the risks in markets like these.
• Tui Jude

  09-02

  Tui Jude
  🌍That contrast you called out between the $1.04B in insider sales and the sovereign AI contracts is massive. The ORION deal alone feels like a structural shift, and if $PLTR holds $152 it could play out like $NVDA’s base before its surge past resistance. Another masterclass article BC!
  • Barcode: 
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  • Barcode: 
    Exactly, the insider exit against sovereign contract strength is the real tension here. ORION changes the structural story and if $PLTR holds $152 it mirrors the same base formation that powered $NVDA into a higher valuation regime.
  • Barcode: 
    I’m grateful you took a moment to go through my post TJ. The more we can exchange thoughtful ideas, the better we can navigate both the opportunities and the risks in markets like these.
• Kiwi Tigress

  09-02

  Kiwi Tigress
  The way you framed insiders unloading $1.04B while Palantir locks in multi-billion sovereign contracts is actually insane to think about. I’m looking at this like a clash of narratives where the short-term hedge crowd might get steamrolled if Foundry keeps embedding across governments.
  • Barcode: 
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  • Barcode: 
    You nailed it, that clash between insider exits and sovereign adoption is what creates asymmetric setups. If Foundry keeps embedding at this pace the skew unwind could trigger a sustained re-rate far beyond short term compression ranges.
  • Barcode: 
    I appreciate you reading my article KT! Insights are always stronger when they’re part of a broader conversation, and your time spent here adds value to that dialogue.
• Barcode

  09-02

  Barcode
  I like how you caught the sequencing and framed it as a playbook. My focus was making the roadmap multi-layered with SPY rhythm, AMZN and TSLA at inflection levels, hedge fund flow, and tariffs pressing on growth. If September delivers the flush, Q4 strength becomes the high-conviction trade.