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09-14

$UnitedHealth(UNH)$ πŸ’ŠπŸ“ˆπŸ›‘οΈ $UNH Breakout With Value Compounding πŸ’ŠπŸ“ˆπŸ›‘οΈ

I see UnitedHealth breaking out as a value compounder hiding in plain sight. Despite people served falling (–4.08% YoY), Optum Health growth offsets declines, driving superior cash returns. At just 15.2x P/E and a 7.92% FCF yield, the setup is compelling.

Breakout over $350 now sets short-term target $370 and medium-term path toward $395–400. Support holds at $345–347, and history shows UNH breakouts of this structure deliver 12–15% measured moves.

Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC πŸ“ˆπŸš€πŸ€πŸ€πŸ€

UNH Breakout: Next Target $400?
UnitedHealth continues to jump after the health insurer reaffirmed its full-year 2025 earnings outlook. The company said it continues to expect adjusted earnings of at least $16.00 per share with revenue in the range of $445.5 billion to $448.0 billion. Wall Street currently forecasts earnings of $16.24 per share on revenue near $448.2 billion. ----------- After breaking the key resistance level of $320, is UNH hitting the short term peak? Have you jumped on the wagon with Buffett?
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Comments

  • Lemontree2025
    09-15
    Lemontree2025
    δΈ‹ε‘¨δΈ€εˆ†ηΊ’ζ—₯η»“ζŸοΌŒθ‚‘δ»·ζœ‰ζ²‘ε―θƒ½ε›žζ’€
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      πŸ’ŠπŸ©ΊπŸ¦…πŸ…—πŸ…πŸ…ŸπŸ…ŸπŸ…¨ β“‰β“‘β“β““β“˜β“β“– πŸ…πŸ…—πŸ…”πŸ…πŸ…“! πŸ…’πŸ…—πŸ…”πŸ…”πŸ…‘πŸ…’ πŸ…‘πŸ…’ πŸ€πŸ€πŸ€πŸŸ’
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      Hold that zone and the breakout path to $370 remains intact. A close below $345 could invite a deeper check into $340–342 where recent 4H support and a volume shelf sit. Given 15.2x P/E and a 7.92% FCF yield, my base case is a brief ex-div pullback that gets bought.
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      After the ex-dividend date the stock typically opens lower by roughly the cash dividend, which is less than 1% at these prices, and that gap is often retraced quickly. I’m treating that as a shallow dip unless price loses the $345–347 shelf.
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      Lemontree2025 πŸ“Š I appreciate you taking the time to read through my post, it means a lot sharing ideas with sharp readers like you πŸŒŸπŸ€
  • LawrenceSG
    09-14
    LawrenceSG
    eagle eat medicine
    • Barcode:Β 
      πŸ’ŠπŸ©ΊπŸ¦…πŸ…—πŸ…πŸ…ŸπŸ…ŸπŸ…¨ β“‰β“‘β“β““β“˜β“β“– πŸ…πŸ…—πŸ…”πŸ…πŸ…“! πŸ…’πŸ…—πŸ…”πŸ…”πŸ…‘πŸ…’ πŸ…‘πŸ…’ πŸ€πŸ€πŸ€πŸŸ’
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      πŸ¦…πŸ¦…πŸ¦…πŸ’ŠπŸ’ŠπŸ’Š UnitedHealth is very much in that space where scale and service depth let them dominate the healthcare ecosystem. Optum’s vertical expansion has been the real growth engine, and that’s what keeps cash compounding regardless of enrollment shifts.
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      LawrenceSG πŸ’‘Thanks for checking out my post, always good to have thoughtful eyes on the setups I’m tracking.
  • Cool Cat Winston
    09-15
    Cool Cat Winston
    πŸ’ŠI like how you tied the 15.2x multiple with the 7.9% FCF yield, that combo screams undervalued defensive. Reminds me of how $JNJ held its ground while compounding when volumes slowed, quality balance sheets keep delivering.
  • Tui Jude
    09-15
    Tui Jude
    πŸ“ˆThat 12–15% measured move stat caught my eye, lines up well with your $370 short-term target. I’ve been mapping $LLY in a similar way where technical rhythm matches long-term cash flows, both show why fundamentals still drive breakouts.
  • Hen Solo
    09-15
    Hen Solo
    πŸ›‘οΈThe Optum Health offset is the real story, that’s why cash keeps expanding even as total people served dips. When I look at $PFE charts, I see how margin leverage matters more than volume, UNH is clearly positioned for another compounding run.
  • Queengirlypops
    09-15
    Queengirlypops
    Short-term $370 then pushing toward $400 is clean, you laid it out with no fluff and that’s why it hits. The fact UNH can flex like a growth stock while compounding cash like a defensive is wild, feels like one of those setups you can’t ignore.
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