Cycle Matters: $HOOD Cooling, $PATH Overextended, $AMZN Setup

PeterDiCarlo
12-16 14:24

1. $Robinhood(HOOD)$

HOOD bull cycle might be entering the 8th inning. ⚠️

Monthly BX has been green for ~18 months (macro bull), and our last big trade was off the April 2025 discount bias level.

Since then it’s run hard, and I see room for another ~14% drop into weekly bias discount before a real dip‑buy setup.

Unless we get that pullback and Monthly BX stays green, the risk/reward isn’t worth buying HOOD here.

2. $UiPath(PATH)$

PATH ripped +50% since our structure flipped from bearish to bullish… but I’m not a buyer here.

For a year it was making lower highs/lows (no‑go for longs).

The signal was the change of character when price broke that last lower high, then pulled back to ~$13 in November – that higher low was the A+ entry.

Now we’re in breakout territory; downside isn’t worth it. I’d only look to start a position on a pullback into weekly bias with another higher low.

3. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$

AMZN dip zone I’m watching. 👀

Monthly BX is still in a bull cycle, and this pullback is into our discount range.

In past BX cycles on AMZN, this setup has led to a 40% breakout move about 47% of the time.

As long as BX stays green, I’m looking for buyers here and a push toward $300 over the next 3–6 months.

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