Bias: Selective long in semiconductors
Setup: Momentum continuation after Micron’s earnings beat and strong guidance, with spillover support for AI and memory-linked names.
Execution:
Enter on a pullback to intraday support or a successful retest of the 20–50 period intraday moving average.
Avoid chasing the open. Let early volatility settle.
Target:
+3% to +5% for a day to short swing trade.
Trail stops if sector breadth strengthens.
Risk control:
Tight stop just below the morning swing low or key intraday support.
Keep position size modest due to elevated expectations.
What would invalidate the trade:
Broad tech weakness despite positive MU follow-through.
Rising yields or sudden risk-off tone.
Bottom line:
This is a momentum trade, not a conviction hold. Play the post-earnings strength while it lasts, stay disciplined, and be quick to step aside if leadership fades.
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