How to qualify a business for portfolio - using financials? (22Dec25)

KYHBKO
12-21 23:09

Earnings Calendar (22Dec25)

With Christmas approaching, there will be fewer earnings in the coming week.

Without any personal earnings at stake, I will share how I quantify business.

How to conduct fundamental analysis

To qualify an investment business, I utilise a fundamental analysis approach that focuses on long-term performance and financial health. I typically review 10 years of data to evaluate how a company builds resilience and recovers during economic downturns.

Here is the framework I use to group and analyse key metrics:

1. Income Statement & Growth

I look for consistent upward trends in the following areas:

  • Revenue & Net Profit: Steady growth in both. For startups, I look for a clear trend of reducing losses.

  • Earnings Per Share (EPS): Evidence of growing shareholder value over time.

  • Dividends: If the company pays dividends, I look for a consistent or increasing Dividend Per Share (DPS).

  • Profitability Margins: I analyse both Gross and Net Profit Margins to ensure the business is operating efficiently.

2. Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

A healthy company must demonstrate stability through its internal finances:

  • Balance Sheet: I look for increasing net assets, growing retained earnings, and well-managed liabilities.

  • Cash Flow: The most critical indicators are Cash Flow from Operations and Free Cash Flow.

  • Core Business Integrity: I am cautious if a company’s profits come primarily from secondary investments or non-core activities rather than its primary business operations.

3. Industry Benchmarking & Valuation

Numbers are most meaningful when compared to the broader market:

  • Comparative Analysis: I compare a company’s performance against direct competitors (e.g., comparing FedEx with UPS or DHL) while accounting for specific service differences like integrated logistics.

  • P/E Ratio: I use the Price-to-Earnings ratio to see how the company’s valuation stands against the industry average.

  • Margin of Safety: Before investing, I calculate a target price that includes a “Margin of Safety” to protect against market volatility.

4. Qualitative Factors

Once the quantitative data is verified, I apply two final filters:

  • Economic Moat: I assess the company’s competitive advantage—its “moat”—to determine if its market position is sustainable.

  • Circle of Competence: I only invest in sectors I thoroughly understand. If a business falls outside my area of expertise, I prefer to stay away.

Hopefully, this checklist can be helpful in this investment journey. Wishing all great success in 2026. (Content is from me, image is generated by Gemini.)

@TigerStars

$S&P 500(.SPX)$

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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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